The Ukraine War and Hearts Of Iron IV

If you are a history buff, then what we are seeing in Ukraine is not exactly news to you. Indeed, it may be depressing how much history does repeat itself. And yet, looking at history does mean that you can look at the past and see the parallels to today and decide not to make the same mistakes. It also means that those who do choose to repeat the same mistakes are doing it because they are under the same delusions as their forbears.

And if you play computer games on Steam, you’ve probably at least heard of the Hearts of Iron series, and the last few times I’ve played that game I’ve noticed that the loading screens feature a lot of historical quotes that have at least ironic value, and some of them seem to be that much more ironic in the wake of the first large-scale war in Europe since 1945.

Gaiety is the outstanding feature of the Soviet Union.

-Joseph Stalin

This is an example of how “truth” works in a totalitarian universe where everybody HAS to believe the government line (on pain of death) and so politicians don’t even need to lie well. It’s of a piece with the Winter War against Finland, where Finns invented the phrase “Molotov cocktail” but also invented the phrase “Molotov’s breadbaskets” because Foreign Minister Molotov insisted that Soviet bombing runs on Finnish cities were really just dropping food parcels for Finland’s starving masses.

Alternately, it could be that this phrase is just an example of Stalin’s famously dark sense of humor. But as Stalin was (inaccurately) quoted as saying, “Dark humor is like food. Not everybody gets it.”

Certainly not the Ukrainians.

The Nazis entered this war under the rather childish delusion that they were going to bomb everyone else, and nobody was going to bomb them.

-Sir Arthur “Bomber” Harris

Harris was a leader of the British Royal Air Force Bomber Command in World War II, and like America’s General Sherman, he had a single-minded focus on destroying the enemy’s home ground as the most quick, efficient, and therefore humane, means of ending a war that was thrust upon his country.

In World War II, this led to the outright destruction of cities like Dresden from conventional bombs.

It’s been slightly less than two months, and already there are reports that Ukraine has been able to target supply depots in Russian territory with air attacks. Recently Vladimir Putin’s government acknowledged that the economic sanctions from the West would have an effect on his economy, contradicting previous government remarks. Which is funny, given that shortly after the invasion started, Putin’s main protege (or perhaps ingenue) told his own fan club that the invasion was a genius move because Putin got access to all that territory for maybe $2 in sanctions. But that’s understandable, given that said protege launched his own half-assed attack on a national capital over a year ago and hasn’t even paid two dollars for it yet.

Yes, despite all the carnage in places like Yemen and Palestine and all the violence previously committed by Putin, the attack on Ukraine was what finally got the world’s attention. Even then, if Putin had succeeded in taking Kyiv in the first week and sweeping through the east, the international community probably would have had to take it as a fait accompli like his other aggressions. But then, the feat has not been accomplished. Because Ukraine fights back, it exacts a price for aggression, and that makes it a lot easier for the rest of the world to do likewise.

It brings to mind a much more famous quote by wartime prime minister Winston Churchill: “Never, never, never believe any war will be smooth and easy, or that anyone who embarks on the strange voyage can measure the tides and hurricanes he will encounter. The statesman who yields to war fever must realise that once the signal is given, he is no longer the master of policy but the slave of unforeseeable and uncontrollable events.”

That’s the part of the speech most people know. The part that isn’t quoted as often is: “Antiquated War Offices, weak, incompetent, or arrogant Commanders, untrustworthy allies, hostile neutrals, malignant Fortune, ugly surprises, awful miscalculations — all take their seats at the Council Board on the morrow of a declaration of war. Always remember, however sure you are that you could easily win, that there would not be a war if the other man did not think he also had a chance.”

People don’t matter, only what they represent.

I would rather live in a swamp of Greater Romania than a paradise of small Romania.

-Ion Antonescu

Ion Antonescu was a general in the Kingdom of Romania leading up to World War II, at a time when the political spectrum there ranged between pro-German and people who thought the Nazis weren’t anti-Semitic enough. Antonescu’s faction ended up winning control of the government by 1940 and Romania ended up joining the Axis invasion of the Soviet Union next year. Part of this was to take back territory that the previous government had conceded to Stalin, even though Romania had also surrendered Transylvania to Hitler’s other ally Hungary. The rearranged borders were defined by Antonescu as “Greater Romania.” Of course the Axis lost that war and Romania ended up losing that eastern territory again.

Antonescu’s quotes above reflect the philosophy of collectivists, whether they be left-wing socialists or right-wing fascists. They don’t see people as individuals. They don’t think that individual lives matter, or even the collective impact of government decisions. All that matters is the collective – the State, or the race. Any deprivation the individual people suffer is irrelevant to the goals of the state (or rather, the people who currently own it).

Which is why, contrary to some analysts, I don’t think that Putin is going to acknowledge a timeline. They say he only has a few months worth of supplies and financial reserves to wage a war, but that assumes he actually cares about the discomfort of the civilian population, or even his elite allies. So of course he’s going to let the government default on its debt, of course he’s going to create a national draft, of course he’s going to institute rationing and of course he’s going to come up with even more restrictions on public activity that would make all his “freedom-loving” fellow travelers in the US howl and scream if they were enacted by a Democrat. I mean what else could he do, back off and admit he made a mistake? See, that’s the beautiful thing about fascism. Fascism means never having to say you’re sorry.


Germany will either be a world power or it will not be at all.

-Adolf Hitler

In review of Putin’s career, there are a lot of quotes that indicate certain ideas are consistent in his mind even if he has not always been so reckless in pursuing them. The press has brought up where he said that the death of the Soviet Union was “the greatest geopolitical disaster of the 20th century.” More recently in December 2021, Putin did an interview and said that the event was ” the disintegration of historical Russia under the name of the Soviet Union”.

Further back, Putin made a speech to the Munich Security Conference in 2007 lamenting the “unipolar” state of the world, namely a world in which America and the West were dictating terms without Russian influence. A few months after his Munich speech, Putin spoke at a meeting with members of the Valdai International Discussion Club. In that speech, he elaborated: “I know that, unfortunately, in some Eastern European countries, not just the candidate for the post of defense minister but even candidates for less important posts are discussed with the U.S. ambassador. Is this a good thing? I do not think it is very good for all the countries concerned because sooner or later it will provoke the same rejection that Soviet domination once provoked in these countries. Do you understand? It might seem welcome today, but tomorrow it could lead to problems. Even old Europe is obliged to take NATO’s political interests into account in its policies. You know how the decision-making process works. There is probably no need to explain. Sovereignty is therefore something very precious today, something exclusive, you could even say. Russia cannot exist without defending its sovereignty. Russia will either be independent and sovereign or will most likely not exist at all.”

Similar to the quote about Greater Romania, the status of the nation is more important to the fascist than its living conditions. In the case of World War II, it’s worth noting that the main nations of the Axis Powers – Germany, Italy and Japan – were all latecomers to empire after the great powers of Britain and France had already taken the best colonies in the undeveloped world. Germany had lost World War I while Italy and Japan were on the winning side but both thought they didn’t get enough spoils from the war, and both (like later Nazi Germany) wanted to re-assert themselves via imperial expansion at the same time that Britain, France and the United States were seeing colonial empires as not only contradictory to their humanist ideals but more hassle than they were worth. The Axis nations’ struggles against not only the West but neighboring nations endangered their economies and in the long term lowered daily living standards. And that of course was before full scale war in 1939, which ended up with the Axis being bombed into the Stone Age and occupied. And yet Germany and Japan in particular recovered from that occupation and became economic powers with an arguably better standard of living than America or Britain.

Germany ended up losing its colonial empire and Great Power status, just as Britain and France did, and had to suffer a lot more for it on the way because it decided to force itself on the rest of the world rather than adapt to it. Now, maybe Russia isn’t going to be fucked in the way that they (literally) fucked Germany after World War II, but like them they might find out that in the long run, plain old market liberalism is better than empire after all. But in the immortal words of Wesley Snipes, “Some motherfuckers just gotta ice skate uphill.”

GIRAFFES ARE HEARTLESS CREATURES

Well, yes.

The New Cold War and The Party Of Putin

Prior to last week, the month of February was notable for the continuing attempts of our once and future Viceroy, Donald Trump, to stay relevant, although some of those were actually more like embarrassing revelations. For one thing, in their attempts to recover presidential artifacts, the National Archives (allegedly) discovered that Trump was flushing government documents and plugging up the White House toilet. I’m pretty sure that Trump has been plugging up toilets for most of his life, but not for that reason. But then after weeks of military buildup, Trump’s Thunder Buddy For Life, Vladimir Putin, directly attacked Ukraine on February 24, allegedly to “de-Nazify” an anti-Russian country. “De-Nazification” of course, is code for liquidating a Jewish head of state and imposing a hard-right government that beats and kills ethnic minorities and homosexuals. Prior to this, most people other than the Biden Administration had assumed that all of Putin’s maneuvers, including the recognition of “independent” Russian republics inside Ukraine, were just a game of chicken. But that assumes that Putin had any cause to back off.

Be advised that one can only take a Hitler comparison so far. But: Hitler was born in Austria, a German-speaking country that had never been under the Berlin government. As a racist and pan-nationalist, Hitler believed that all Germans should be united under the same government. And he finally achieved that goal with Austria when he united it with Germany in 1938. And because this was actually fairly popular in Austria itself, this didn’t cause too much of a backlash. But then Hitler decided to go after the Sudetenland, border territory formerly run by the Austrians and now part of the Czech Republic, and the rest of the world realized that would be a much greater disruption of world peace, especially since the move was not universally popular in Czechoslovakia. Various attempts were made to pacify Hitler short of the Munich conference, and later various attempts were made to negotiate when he mobilized against Poland, but nothing worked because Hitler didn’t want peaceful relations. He wanted those German speaking territories and was willing to sacrifice any economic convenience and ultimately go to war.

Same here. I had mentioned that the Crimean peninsula always had a Russian population and was only shifted to the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic under Soviet Russia’s internal bureaucracy, partially because there was no expectation that Ukraine would ever be independent of Moscow. So when that did happen, there were a whole bunch of people in the borders of Ukraine who were really more loyal to Mother Russia. So when Putin pulled his little fait accompli to seize Crimea during the second term of the Obama Administration, not only did America not do much about it, there might not have been much cause to do so. The move was fairly popular, at least in Russia itself. However Russian emigration during the Soviet period also meant a lot of Russians had settled the eastern provinces that always had been considered Ukraine proper, and thus Putin’s none-too-subtle sponsorship of “independence” movements in the Donetsk region was harder for Ukraine, and the West, to tolerate.

Of course there’s the real reason any comparison between Hitler and a Russian leader can only go so far- Russia has nukes. No matter how much we protest, we’re not going to go to war with a fellow nuclear power. Period. Just like we didn’t when Putin’s heroes stomped on East Germany in 1953, when they stomped on Hungary in 1956 and when they stomped on Czechoslovakia in 1968. However, it doesn’t seem to have reached that point yet with Ukraine. That’s partially because on those occasions, Soviet troops were already in the borders as occupiers and here the Russians have to fight just to get in. It may be partially because Ukrainian defense forces are tougher than anyone (including the West) gave them credit for, or that Russian conventional forces are not as tough as most people (including Putin) thought they were. In any case, outside analysis indicates that Putin hasn’t concentrated all the force that he could have, even towards Kyiv, which is only a few dozen miles south of Putin’s ally Belarus. And that may because he’s bought into his own hype that the Ukrainian government is illegitimate and even non-Russian Ukrainians would greet him as a liberator. And that means he hasn’t contemplated exactly the level of force that would be needed to conquer territory, let alone hold it against resistance.

I also think there’s a psychological dimension here that isn’t being elaborated on. Russia, like America, has a certain romantic relationship with war. We used to say “we don’t start wars, we finish them.” Of course that was before the Bush Administration. But generally we believe it is neither moral nor practical to have wars of choice. Russia is marked by an extremely defensive posture. They were first invaded ages ago from Central Asia, then by Napoleon, and twice in one century by Germany. When the Nazis invaded Stalin’s Russia, they called it “the Great Patriotic War.” This is a war of choice. Putin can’t even justify it the way the Soviets could justify attacking their satellites, cause they were under occupation at the time. And if he wants Russians to think of Ukraine as part of the same country, he doesn’t seem to realize the effect it has on Russians to attack fellow Slavs in the same way that Hitler did.

Indeed, while America’s Dipshit Duce Donald Trump has always looked up to Putin in a “when I gwow up, I wanna be JUST WIKE YEW!” way, Putin had always seemed to be the rational adult in the relationship. Now, not so much. Trump’s defenders will frequently point out that Trump has never invaded anybody, unless you count Washington DC. Putin is the one who’s lashing out and being emotional. I think that’s also causing new feelings in the Russian domestic audience. “Wait, OUR guy isn’t the violent racist dumbfuck! He’s the guy who exploits violent racist dumbfucks! Right…?”

It got to the point where this weekend Putin announced he was putting his nuclear forces on alert. Which is kind of rhetorical in itself because strategic forces always have to be on call. But this is what happens when a tyrant or abuser doesn’t get his way all the time. The mask of civilization slips and he makes clear what he really is. Putin is quite literally trying to hold the world hostage to get Ukraine, cause apparently he wants the whole territory to be as radioactive as Chernobyl. And again, that just reveals the weakness of his position, because if this were the “golden days” of the Soviet empire, he would be winning by now. As it is, observers like Rachel Maddow have been pointing out that the Russian Federation doesn’t even have the domestic product of Italy, and if it wasn’t for his petro-chemical syndicate, he’d have no non-combat influence at all. And the best example of how things were going last week is that Russia, the biggest fuel exporter in Europe, is having stalled vehicles during the invasion cause they’ve run out of gas.

But the very fact that Putin went this far means that even if things work out for Ukraine, we have clearly come to the end of the post-Cold War era in which the great powers were no longer in an ideological death struggle. In fact that’s been the case for quite some time, it’s just now a lot more obvious.

Russia and China decided to abandon orthodox Marxism for capitalism (because you can’t rule a population when they’ve all starved to death) but that doesn’t mean they embraced nice Western liberal concepts of a world order. Having abandoned leftist internationalism, they embraced more primal and regressive ideas of human nature, rejecting concepts of universal human rights in favor of nationalism or a government with “Chinese characteristics.” Naturally, the Chinese model of totalitarianism is a little difficult to export to white Western countries, but the Russian model is another story.

Not just here, but with the Le Pen family in France and Viktor Orban in Hungary (who has coined the term ‘illiberal democracy’) you have a whole bunch of people whose model of government not only smells of fascism in its reaction to social-democrat liberalism, it is a reaction to the classical liberalism of Jefferson, Monroe, Locke and Voltaire. This general movement is often called “the Dark Enlightenment” or is associated with Catholic integralism and other philosophies that hold that classical liberalism and its alienating pursuit of individual fulfillment is spiritually exhausted and therefore the solution is to hearken back to the traditional, collectivist, authority-based models that liberalism replaced because they were spiritually exhausted (not to mention, counterproductively bloody).

As Rod Dreher says, this is part of why Putin, having abandoned Leninism in ends if not means, publicly embraced the Russian Orthodox Church: “he knew that he needed some kind of legitimating authority, so he began to rehabilitate the Orthodox Church in public life. It was a wise thing for him to do, strictly speaking from a political perspective.” This veneer of Christianity creates a role model for other anti-liberals, at least those who actually care about philosophy or theology more than bashing liberals. Dreher thinks that while such a fusion of Church and State would work in Russia or a Catholic nation like France, the US is too Protestant for that, and “We are far more likely to get a nationalist-conservative government like Hungary’s, a Christian democracy that provides something that a majority can potentially affirm. That’s what I hope for, anyway”. Of course that assumes that Hungary is either a democracy or Christian, let alone whether years of jiggering the elections and legal system have resulted in a country where we can fairly confirm that the majority is on board with Orban. But apparently that’s what guys like Dreher hope for.

Hungary is also the role model of much more public figures like Fox News’ Tucker Carlson, who took his show to Hungary and spent some time there expounding on the virtues of Orban’s system over America’s. While America’s liberals were sleeping, thinking that each election would go like the one before, Republican thinking evolved. Well, changed at least. It went from Newt Gingrich to the Tea Party to Steve Bannon and now to guys like Carlson. The former disputes between the two ruling factions over taxes and the like degraded to what lots of people are referring to as a Cold Civil War, where the two parties cannot agree to co-exist and are ultimately trying to destroy each other, but cannot do so openly for practical reasons (namely, the risk of killing the gravy train they are each trying to control).

Even that was too much balance of power for a party that takes its emotional lead from Donald Trump and grievance media and its intellectual lead – to the extent that it has one – from outspoken anti-liberals like Steve Bannon and Michael Flynn, who make no secret of their distaste for liberal artifacts like “civilian control of the military” and who have also not been ashamed of their associations with Putin.

The problem, as always, is when the wishes of this crowd smack up against complex reality.

Even Dreher, who is a lot more sympathetic to Orban than I would be, pointed out in his Monday morning post that Orban, despite getting 80 percent of Hungary’s natural gas from Russia, is totally on board with European Union measures against Putin. (Maybe because of that little misunderstanding in 1956? That’s the other thing with reactionaries, they know how to hold a grudge.) But nevertheless, Orban’s willing protege and advocate in America, Tucker Carlson didn’t seem to get the memo that Putin is a bad guy and beating up on innocent countries is not cool. He said that Ukraine wasn’t really a democracy, which apparently justifies threats from a country even less democratic. He said, in his usual bad-faith, just-askin’-questions way, “Has Putin ever called me a racist? Has he threatened to get me fired for disagreeing with him? Has he shipped every middle-class job in my town to Russia? Did he manufacture a worldwide pandemic that wrecked my business and kept me indoors for two years? Is he teaching my children to embrace racial discrimination? Is he making fentanyl? Is he trying to snuff out Christianity?” Is he turning our children into transsexuals who are going to have abortions and then raise the abortions as gay? No, but apparently Biden is.

But suddenly once Tuck heard that the invasion was actually happening, that it was unpopular, AND it was not going well, he suddenly opined: “Vladimir Putin started this war. He is to blame tonight for what we’re seeing tonight in the Ukraine.” Well yes. When you start a war of choice against another country that’s not attacking you, that’s your fault, not the fault of some politician you hate. This is what’s known as a logical chain of causality. A concept Tucker might not have been aware of.

And then of course there’s our own Mini-Vlad. Leading up to the shebang, Trump continued to praise Putin and even after the invasion started, said, “I went in yesterday and there was a television screen, and I said, ‘This is genius.’ Putin declares a big portion of the Ukraine… Putin declares it as independent,” Trump said. “Oh, that’s wonderful. …He continued of Putin: “Here’s a guy who’s very savvy. I know him very well. Very, very well.” Wednesday at Mar-a-Lago, Trump told an audience, “I mean, (Putin)’s taking over a country for $2 worth of sanctions. I’d say that’s pretty smart.” This last quote was from a Daily Beast article headlined “Trump Pals Beg Him to Stop Kissing Putin’s Ass During Ukraine Invasion“.

I mean really, if Trump doesn’t stop sucking up to Putin, his handlers are gonna have to move him from Fox News Channel to Pornhub.

But this weekend they were having the CPAP convention, even as the cool kids of the Republican Party seemed to be going elsewhere. And of course the man of the hour Saturday was Trump. He basically said that none of this would have happened if his election hadn’t been “stolen.” One suspects that if Trump ever went to church, he’d tell the congregation that Jesus wouldn’t have been crucified if the Democrats hadn’t cheated in 2020. But he also praised the Ukrainian people for their bravery, including President Zelenskyy. You know, the guy he tried to blackmail in hopes of conjuring dirt on Joe Biden.

Which just goes to show that Trump has always been a little kiss-up yes-man. What Ayn Rand would call a “second hander.” Or as Bob Dylan would say, “you just want to be on the side that’s winning.”

And maybe even Trump is starting to grasp that his personal role model is no longer winning, or at least is not invincible. I had said a while back that if the Trump Organization had been running Nazi Germany in 1939, and they had invaded Poland on September 1, the Polish Army would be reaching Berlin by September 4. Well, now you’ve got the Soviet Union’s successor state under Putin trying to invade a former satellite, and clearly it’s not THAT bad, but it ain’t good.

It’s still too early to tell, especially with all the other things that could go wrong, but this might be a turning point. If nothing else, the “conservatives” who pretend to intellect might realize that Putin is just as emotional and irrational as Trump, maybe even more so, just with less opposition. And maybe the rest of this country might start to snap out of it. Not the Party of Trump of course, which is more clearly than ever the Party of Putin. After all, at that CPAC con, he still got an overwhelming preference in the people polled for the next Republican presidential nominee. It doesn’t matter if Mitt Romney looks at Trump and calls his actions “borderline treasonous” or says that Republicans like Marjorie Taylor Greene are “morons.” After all, Mitt is a Mormon, and Mormons are heretics. As in, they think that Jesus Christ is someone other than Donald Trump.

But this country was already run by these guys for four years and as long as some people thought the economy was good, they didn’t care what Trump was doing to certain demographics or to the law. But then Trump Virus hit, largely because the Leader, like Putin, was a thin-skinned little tyrant who didn’t want to hear anything that made him look bad or feel bad. And a clear (though not big enough) majority of the country decided that whatever benefits they were getting out of the Trump Administration having our government in its financial portfolio, they weren’t going to matter if you were intubated. Nevertheless, these guys have been winning the culture war after Trump’s de-thronement, since it’s always easier to bitch about something than to do things yourself. Now that the international Party of Putin is exposed in its moral rot, people might quit taking their cues, if only because their aggression against the innocent and actual attacks on freedom might cause people to grow a sense of perspective. Or as one internet post this weekend put it, “As I’m watching husbands and fathers say goodbye to their loved ones, their children, not knowing if they will ever see them again, I just cannot believe that for two years we’ve been watching people cry and protest over having to wear a fucking mask.”

Cause just as people these days can’t seem to remember the politics of the Cold War, they also wouldn’t know that this is not America’s first experience with fascist sympathizers. It may not even be our worst one. Back in the 1920’s and 30’s, it seemed like fascism was the “new way.” They said “Mussolini made the trains run on time.” Winston Churchill said, “If I had been an Italian, I am sure I should have been wholeheartedly with you from start to finish in your triumphant struggle against the bestial appetites and passions of Leninism. But in England we have not yet had to face this danger in the same deadly form.’ As for the Nazis, they were obviously a big inspiration to a lot of people in the US, where institutional racism was still fashionable.

Aviation hero Charles Lindbergh pursued closer ties with Nazi Germany, at first because of their aviation research, but he still refused to return a medal the Nazis had given him after Kristallnacht. He ended up being one of the founders of the isolationist “America First” Committee. This movement culminated in a German-American Bund rally in Madison Square Garden, February 1939, where the head of the organization went on about “Frank D. Rosenfeld” and his “Jew Deal.”

What changed? Well, after Pearl Harbor, Japan was allied with Nazi Germany, so it’s not like we had a choice to be on the sidelines anymore. But even before that, the increasing aggression of the people who claimed to be fighting against liberalism and Bolshevism included the peoples of France and Britain, countries we actually like. By 1941, it was clear that there was a global conflict with a moral dimension, no matter how much we wished to avoid it, and that if it were forced on us, that would be no fault of ours. As with World War I, Germany’s submarine warfare in the Atlantic was affecting American ships. Roosevelt got to pass the Lend Lease programs and by late 1941 72% of Americans agreed that “the biggest job facing this country today is to help defeat the Nazi Government”.

And the average American decided that however much they hated FDR’s heavy-handed, top-down socialism, they hated lickspittles and bullies even more. And largely as a result, Republicans didn’t have the White House for a full 20 years.

And it’s on the verge of happening all over again.

I am not sure Trump realizes this, except maybe in the sense that a dim shock comic realizes he’s losing his audience. But I’m pretty sure Mitch McConnell does.

Fuck Joe Biden

It is testimony to how disingenuous and cowardly the Right is that they continue to proffer their snickering meme “Let’s Go Brandon” as though it were not a candy-ass censorship of “Fuck Joe Biden” while simultaneously continuing to use it in the hopes it will make liberals cry. Your typical leftist response to “Brandon” is, “Dude, grow up. You can go ahead and say ‘fuck Joe Biden’. We’ve been saying it a lot longer than you have.”

As the Biden Administration passed its first year in the White House (News Flash to Republicans: Joe Biden is president), it suffered multiple setbacks last week. Foremost, the Democrats failed yet again in their attempts to pass a bill through the Senate, allegedly because Joe Manchin (D.-West Virginia) and Kyrsten Sinema (D.-Arizona) wouldn’t accede to a waiver of the filibuster to pass by simple majority. But for all the talk about how the filibuster is a “sacred tradition” and all the leftist talk about how the filibuster is obstruction, the filibuster is ultimately beside the point. As many liberals pointed out last week, Mitch McConnell and the Senate Republicans were perfectly willing to waive the filibuster during the Trump period for the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and (along with Manchin and Sinema) to raise the debt ceiling this year, even though Manchin had previously said he wouldn’t support lifting the filibuster for the debt ceiling. Allegedly the difference is that “(a) Senate Democratic aide, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss internal deliberations, emphasized that the debate to lift the filibuster for the debt ceiling was a one-time, limited option that Republicans were happy to go along with. By contrast, lifting the filibuster on voting rights would be a lasting change to how the Senate works, and the decision rests entirely on Senate Democrats.” Uh-huh. This is the Senate. When are they NOT going to vote to raise the debt ceiling? When Republicans hold on to that it only gets them fried in the court of public opinion, which is why they let go this time. Why is a debt-ceiling exception more of a one-time exception than a vote on the voting rights bill? Simply put, the debt ceiling was a priority for everybody (even though Republicans did not vote to raise it, they just let the Democrats pass by simple majority), and the voting rights bill was not a priority for 52 of 100 Senators, including Manchin and Sinema. Thus, the filibuster is not the issue. The issue is not that Democrats can’t get 10 people in the Party of Trump to go along with their ideas. The issue is that they can’t get 50 Democrats to go along with their ideas.

As I’ve said more times than I can count, real polarization in this duopoly does not only mean that the Democratic Party only goes Left, though leftism has gotten a lot more popular in that party as the Right moves further from the mainstream and they brand even moderate positions as “socialist”. Rather, the dynamic is that the Republican Party goes that much further away from the center and then the Democrats take in everybody who’s been purged by the Republican Party, including people who don’t really belong on the Left. Like, Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema. Manchin is an old-style Southern pol, socially conservative and fiscally liberal, who favors some public spending, which is more than Republicans who wouldn’t want any at all. Sinema is a former Green who has since become a lot more business-friendly now that she’s in a party that wins elections. In many ways she’s a lot more pro-business than Manchin. But she’s also a bisexual of no declared religion, and she would not fit in a Republican Party which is now basically a fundamentalist Christian concern whose main debate is whether Trump is Christ. Really, Sinema ought to just declare herself a Libertarian. I’d have more respect for her if she did.

I would prefer to be in the Libertarian Party rather than choose one faction of this dysfunctional duopoly, but I don’t have that luxury. Since I don’t, I would prefer to be in the party of Manchin and Sinema versus the party of AOC and Sanders. But I don’t have that luxury either. We are all stuck with the choice of The Church of Trump vs. Everybody Else, and Everybody Else needs a policy and a leader, and right now that leader is Joe Biden. I do not have the luxury of being in the party of Manchin and Sinema, and neither do Manchin and Sinema.

Because here’s the deal, as Joe would say. We’re having a congressional mid-term this year. At the end of it, Sinema and Manchin will have to deal with one of three possibilities: One, Democrats lose the Senate, or both chambers, and Manchin and Sinema will either be voting with a Democratic minority (and be useless) or with the Republican majority (and be surplus, thus also useless). Two, Democrats could lose the House but expand their Senate majority or keep the 50 seats they have. Being the Senate majority doesn’t count for as much if Democrats aren’t going to get bills from their party in the House. Three, Democrats could actually expand their lead in both the House and the Senate, and Biden will be able to negotiate with other Senators, presumably more agreeable ones, to get his fifty plus one. The bet right now is that Democrats lose seats, but any which way, Manchin and Sinema will no longer be in the catbird seat after this year.

Now in that circumstance you could try to build your reputation within your party or you could work to tear it down. As I’d already mentioned, the “progressives” had already conceded to Manchin in that they dropped their demand to tie the 2021 entitlement bill to the infrastructure bill, a demand they had held to precisely because they knew Manchin and others weren’t going to support the first bill, and lo and behold, they did not once the pressure was lifted. Are Manchin and Sinema seriously expecting to get everything they want while the progressive wing gets nothing? (I mean, Chuck Schumer is the Majority Leader, so that’s a real question.) It might be that Manchin doesn’t have to care either way because his West Virginia constituents are that much more conservative than he is, but Sinema’s Arizona is if anything going the other way. A recent poll placed her favorability with Arizonans at 8 percent. Not a typo.

Which is why whatever my preferences, I don’t like what Manchin and Sinema are doing to a party they claim to be members of, because their obstruction has less to do with principles than whatever games they want to play for their impenetrable purposes. And if you’re a Libertarian, you should either be trying to make money (which you could do better in the private sector rather than living on the government tit), or trying to serve in government, and you can’t serve very long if you keep pissing off your own constituents.

It works both ways, of course. Moderates and Biden critics would say that the “progressives” haven’t been accommodating enough to people like Manchin. But we currently have a situation where the Democrats very technically have a majority in both houses of Congress, yet they still don’t have a real majority in the Senate. And that’s because again, the Democrats aren’t a united party. To judge from 2020 election results, if being a Democrat simply means not being in the Church of Trump, then Democrats are a clear, if slim, majority of the country. But if “Democrat” means “I agree most of the time with AOC and Sanders” then the Senate is consistently demonstrating that Democrats are not the majority of the country. That’s what certain people want to impress upon Joe Biden and the “progressives.” Of course what they leave out is that if “Democrat” means “I agree most of the time with Manchin and Sinema” then even less people are in that group. I mean, in theory most of the country is centrist, but in practice anybody who’s not with the Democrats is with the Trumpniks, because it’s not like they care about fiscal conservatism and they sure as hell don’t care about inviolate Senate traditions and decorum.

And that’s what Sinema, and Manchin, and their apologists, don’t seem to get, or if they do, don’t want to admit.

Now supposedly people in Washington are trying to proceed on the basis of taking some of the individual ideas in Joe’s “Build Back Better” and try to get them passed because they’re more appealing to Manchin than the whole package. That at least would address the centrist concern that the Biden Administration didn’t acknowledge their starting position with a Congress that had the slimmest of majorities and therefore could not afford to be too ambitious or “progressive.” But the Congress is not something the president can directly control, no matter how much it seems otherwise. The other issues with Biden concern the stuff he can directly control. For instance, his own mouth.

The day before the one-year anniversary of Biden’s inaugural, he held a press conference for the better part of two hours, which in itself ought to dispel Trumpnik jokes about “Sleepy Joe” having no “stamina.” That didn’t mean he acquitted himself perfectly. Or even that well. Mostly the event was noted for President Biden saying that he would “guess” that Russia would invade Ukraine, and that “a minor incursion” might not merit a serious international response. Which was a terrible thing to say. That is, it was terrible to even admit that we wouldn’t respond to an attack on Ukraine’s borders. Far better to do what Obama did when he just let Putin walk in to Crimea and acted like it never happened.
This was the sort of thing that made people think of Chamberlain at Munich, or later in 1939 when Hitler invaded Poland and the West didn’t do much of anything until they got invaded themselves. Not to compare Vladimir Putin to Hitler. Hitler had cool sidekicks like Mussolini and Tojo. Putin has Trump. And not like Putin doesn’t have reason to feel that the Western powers are crowding him in, which is why he’s so obsessed with making sure Ukraine can’t get into NATO. But hey, it’s not like our reputation for living standards and human rights is that high any more, and if Ukraine and the Baltic States would still rather deal with us than Putin, maybe he ought to ask himself why.

Thus Biden is in the fix of having to pretend that we are going to seriously react to Putin’s attack on Ukraine (which on the downlow has actually been happening through deniable assets for at least a year) when there are various reasons it’s not going to happen. Biden is reminding people of his withdrawal from Afghanistan, which I thought was a great example of knowing when to cut bait, but which critics are in retrospect seeing as the start of his decline, especially as that country becomes more of a clusterfuck as days go by. The “international community” may be as much of an oxymoron as “gaming industry ethics” or “the conscience of a conservative” but it seems they still demand a position of strength. And that is what Biden is not giving them.

And did you catch where he said he didn’t think that the Republicans would be this obstructionist? After eight years of working in the Obama Administration? What, did Joe think that Mitch and the others would work better with him cause he’s an old, white Senatorial veteran like they are? If anything, the Republicans are treating him with MORE contempt than they did Obama. At least they acknowledged Obama was president.

Biden did say one true thing, though. When set upon by an unusually large number of reporters from the right-wing grievance media, Biden said, “What is their (Republican) agenda? They had an agenda back in the administration when — the eight years we were president and vice president, but I don’t know what their agenda is now. What is it? The American public is outraged about the tax structure we have in America. What are they proposing to do about it? Anything? Have you heard anything? I mean, anything? I haven’t heard anything.”

But that’s been the case for quite some time. Again, when Trump got elected, he told Paul Ryan and Mitch McConnell that after so many years of them voting against the Affordable Care Act, that when he was inaugurated, he expected a ‘repeal and replace’ national health care plan on his desk, Day One. And he never got it. Republicans don’t have anything to offer because that’s not their business. They exploit discontent with the Democrat establishment, use that to get power and then when they have power loot the candy store until they get voted out in turn. They attack the establishment without offering an alternative cause it doesn’t matter. They do it cause they know it works, and the fact that this dynamic worked against them so clearly in 2020 doesn’t matter, cause they’re trying to make sure they never have to lose an election again, which is what that voting rights bill was about. But that’s also what happens when you have no philosophy beyond what serves you in the moment and Tuesday you’ve always been at war with Eastasia and Wednesday you’ve always been at war with Eurasia and at peace with Eastasia.

The stakes for this year’s congressional elections are such that Democrats can’t really afford to lose even one chamber to Republicans (among other things, that means the House investigation into the January 6 attack would be shut down by Kevin McCarthy and the other cultists), but discontent with the president’s party is almost a universal, which is why the Democrats are predicted to lose seats, just like the president’s party is predicted to lose seats every midterm. The utter nihility of the Republican Party, not even considering Trump worship, is one reason Republicans might not do that well. But as I had said in reaction to last November’s odd-year elections, “Americans can understand, full well in advance, just how criminal and irresponsible Donald Trump and his party of enablers are, and Democrats can STILL lose an election to them because simply being NotDonaldTrump is not the same as being good for anything.” It ultimately doesn’t matter that Republicans are worse than useless, because people are only looking at who’s in charge now, and Democrats are not really making a good impression for themselves.

Because when Biden first announced his run for president, I concluded, “The strength of Joe Biden as a candidate is the implicit promise that once he’s elected president, things will get back to where they were before. But that is also his real weakness. ”

There is no getting back to the way things were, partially due to everything else happening, but also because, to the extent that we have been getting back to business as usual, it just confirms that business as usual wasn’t working and that things had to change.

So “conservatives”, it doesn’t even matter if you say ‘fuck Joe Biden.’ He and his own party are doing a better job of that than you did in 2020.

Hitler Ruined That Mustache For Everybody

Well, we’ve passed New Year’s, so that’s the end of the secular “holiday season.” We are also approaching Epiphany on January 6, which is the end of Christmastide on the Christian liturgical calendar. So we are putting away yet another year of holiday crap. No more worrying which modern pop music act is going to butcher a holiday standard with a contemporary arrangement. No more getting a Hanukkah card for your Jewish friend and then forgetting to give it cause you can never remember which week of December Hanukkah is. No more mispronouncing “let it snow” as “le tits now.”

But as we get into 2022 let me get to a subject that has been cropping up various ways over the last year. In this particular case I was on Facebook and one gamer site I go to had this fairly badass picture of a German Stuka assault bomber in dive mode, and somebody pointed out a little detail in the picture that might have been glossed over: The swastika that historically was on the tail got the center fuzzed out (you know, like Facebook does every time they see a nipple) so you could see the branch arms but not the cross. And this person objected to the censorship and other people objected as though he was sticking up for the Nazis. Apparently there’s some mystery as to why the favorite symbol of a genocidal movement that killed tens of millions of people might be offensive.

Nazism of course was based on a myth that the relatively light-skinned (but still dark) peoples that settled northern India from central Asia were the first “Aryan” race (because Sanskrit is considered a root language for what some still call the ‘Indo-Aryan’ or Indo-European language group). The swastika was, and still is, considered to be a good luck symbol in Hinduism and to some extent in Buddhism. It is considered to be a sun emblem and a symbol of life.

In addition to the Indian civilization, the swastika was also used by the Navajo and variations of the pointed cross also exist in Africa and elsewhere. The fact of the matter is that the swastika (in both left and right-facing varieties) is used by an astounding number of cultures, not just the Hindus, and it’s possible that in addition to the symbol’s “Aryan” origins, the Nazis picked it up precisely because it was so recognized and universal. Which if anything should undermine the white supremacists’ claim of exclusive ownership of the swastika. At the risk of sounding like Randal in Clerks 2, I think we should try to reclaim it.

Of course, that would be tasteless even by Kevin Smith standards. Besides, it’s not the only example of the Nazis trying to latch onto the popular thing. If you’ve seen pictures of Hitler prior to 1919 and in the German Army during World War I, he had one of those standard droopy mustaches (sometimes waxed) but after the war he started wearing the “toothbrush” style – allegedly not because Charlie Chaplin was the most famous movie star of the silent era, but the fact of the matter is that it was a fairly popular style at the time, used also by Oliver Hardy and by fellow Nazis like Ernst Rohm and Heinrich Himmler. Chaplin’s own response to the Hitler image was the immortal film The Great Dictator. But it’s worth noting that by that point, Hitler was already at war and Chaplin hadn’t been using his Little Tramp character for years. But if that was who we most associated with the mustache, you might see it as much as you did in the 20’s and 30’s. But you don’t. Even Ron Mael doesn’t wear it any more.

I mean, that’s how bad it is. You have guys who are willing to shave their heads and tattoo swastikas on them, but wearing a toothbrush mustache is just too much.

Hitler ruined that mustache for everybody.

Which certainly didn’t stop our media from using a lot of Nazi stuff. In 1945, Germany was in ruins, we were just finding out how horrible the Holocaust really was, the Soviets were taking over the power vacuum in Eastern Europe… did we learn anything from that? Well, what did we come up with just 20 years later?

Hogan’s Heroes!

I mean, picture the scene: Southern California, Television City, CBS, a couple of executives are brainstorming in an office, and one of them says to the other, “Prisoners of war in Nazi Germany? What a great idea for a sitcom!”

Thing is, a lot of the cast and crew on that show were ethnically Jewish, including Robert Clary, who actually survived the Holocaust. The Nazi history was still fresh in everyone’s minds, and the main reason that a lot of those actors did the show was on the specific condition that the Nazis never get to win one. That Hogan’s crew would always win and that the Nazis would always be the butt of the joke. It was like Wile E. Coyote versus the Road Runner, the fun was watching exactly how the bad guy would get screwed. The outcome was never in doubt.

Back then we had a lot of war movies and Nazi media and Nazi memorabilia because that period was still fresh in the public consciousness and we knew that we had beat them. We wanted to commemorate beating them.

And I think that a lot of what’s going on today is that there’s an unexpressed fear that the Nazis are back and maybe this time, we’re not going to beat them. And the Left is acting like even a mention of Nazism is giving them recognition that they don’t deserve, and if they can’t actually stop the fascists with politics, they can at least shut them out of the media.

Which would have been a great idea five years ago when all those “liberal media” outlets gave Donald Trump free publicity and the status of a serious candidate when he excreted words that would have gotten him laughed out of a Libertarian or Green convention. But no, they promoted Trump cause he was “great for ratings.” Then he got elected and a year or so afterward, he gave the neo-Nazis at Charlottesville moral equivalence with their counter-protestors, and everyone was just so shocked.

But now it’s basically a culture war between people who want to preserve certain media for free speech reasons, sometimes even sincerely, but don’t know (or care) that these media are seen as endorsing fascism and genocide. And so the response from the Left is to try to shut down such displays as if pretending that these things don’t exist will make them just go away.

I am not sure which approach is worse. But I know that neither one is solving the problem.

As with the swastika, you used to be able to show the Stars & Bars a lot more – back when Jimmy Carter was running for president, Democrats embraced the flag because he (and the party) had Southern roots. But back then it sorta was “heritage, not hate.” Since then, as the more racist parts of America have decided it’s safe to come out and play, people have been doing a lot of retrospection and have come to realize that it was one thing to try to bring the white South back into the national community, but ever since Reconstruction, the Union has given the Confederate sympathizers an inch and they took it as a mile. A lot more than one mile, in fact.

This peace-and-good-feelings approach to a defeated enemy was also endorsed for the Germans after World War I by the idealist president (and Confederate sympathizer) Woodrow Wilson, and because Western civilization was so shellshocked by that war (and had a whole bunch of other problems, including a major pandemic, to deal with) they basically left the new German republic to its own affairs.

Well, once Germany started another major war, we eventually decided that that approach to peace wasn’t going to work. At the Casablanca conference, the three big Allies (Britain, USSR, US) decided that their military end goal was the unconditional surrender of Germany and the other Axis powers at which point the Allies would occupy the entire nation (which they did not do in World War I) and impose their order of government. In fact, if you think Germany got screwed in 1945, you should have seen what Henry Morgenthau wanted to do.

And of course one of the first things that the postwar governments of Germany did was to ban the display of the swastika and related symbols to make it clear that such beliefs would have no tolerance and no home ground. (That’s another reason you don’t see swastikas in European games, because they’re made for an international market.) But we didn’t think that was necessary here. We were the winners. We were the good guys. We thought that we didn’t have to worry about fascism in this country, or that we didn’t have to worry about domestic terrorism (as opposed to imported terrorism) because the powers that be generally assumed that we had the best of all possible countries and no one could have a problem with our system of government, and people who knew the example of Germany’s history would think, “now that we know better, no one could be THAT stupid!”

Of course the flaw with that thinking is the assumption that Americans learn from history.

Because, in addition to World War II and various other nerd hobbies, I’ve also delved into the the fictional world of H.P. Lovecraft (another politically incorrect racist) and many of these stories are a Pulp/Horror genre where an archaeologist or investigator encounters some black magic cult that wants to summon an extradimensional deity to Earth so that it can destroy reality and eat everybody, and I always thought that killed plausibility. I thought “Why would even evil people want to destroy the world they have to live on?” Now I look around me and go “Oh.”

I mean, right now there’s a cult that worships an amorphous blight of nethermost confusion which blasphemes and bubbles at the center of all infinity, and as it turns out, they don’t exist in enough numbers to win a national election, but they’re trying to make sure that having a majority is irrelevant to controlling the country. And part of the reason they have gotten as far as they have is because the majority of Americans are if anything too kind. We are too willing to assume that the cult are reasonable people with good faith motivations and not nihilists who seek out misery and death.

These people are so determined to identify as “free thinkers” that they bypassed the “thinker” part and uncritically accepted any space case idea that some idiot or charlatan threw at them, precisely because it was rejected by everybody else. Ideas like “horse dewormer is good for COVID”, “maybe anti-Semites had a point” and “regardless of your opinion of the morality of anti-Semitism, declaring war on the entire planet at once is GREAT military strategy”.

I don’t think that they realize that just as with the Nazis, they run the risk of making their (not) cool thing not only uncool, but completely unacceptable. Who knows, in the next few generations taking a paint roller to your face and turning it the color of a rotten orange might be considered repulsive and unfashionable. Which is one thing if we’re talking fashion sense but something else if we’re talking about political ideas.

So, this is why we can’t show swastikas anymore. We used to be able to, ten, even six years ago, but back then people were smart enough and well-adjusted enough to keep Nazi cosplay in its place and not make it the basis of a major American political party.

Oh, and on a related subject, January 6 is also the one-year anniversary of the January 6 holiday, in which the Trump cult celebrates their Leader’s ascension from elected official to unaccountable God. So kids, make sure to leave out a burnt steak and a can of Diet Coke for Mr. Trump when he magically appears at your house to steal your silverware and plug up the toilet.

Harry Reid, RIP

Well, as we flush out another bad year like so much cheap Mexican food, there was at least one more significant celebrity death this week (besides Betty White, of course): Former Nevada Senator and Democratic Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid.

It was only a few weeks ago that the state of Nevada completed its goal to rename Las Vegas’ famous McCarran Airport to Harry Reid International Airport, which now seems even more appropriate, since Reid was that much more powerful a Senator and that much more beneficial for Nevada than Pat McCarran, the Nevada Senator for whom the airport was originally named.

There have already been lots of biographical articles out for Reid: I recommend an excellent obituary by Megan Messerly for Jon Ralston’s The Nevada Independent, to which I will be referring. Most coverage of Reid’s life refers to his small-town values, his hard work, his Mormonism (although neither he nor his wife were raised Mormon) and his hardscrabble upbringing, but now that he is gone, it might be best to compare where the Democrats were with him to where they are without him.

Reid’s record belies the impression in modern politics (among both Democrats and Republicans) that power and virtue are mutually exclusive. Of course, many would argue whether Reid was truly virtuous. In office he engaged in land deals that benefited him and his family. In the 2012 campaign, Reid accused fellow Senator (and Republican presidential candidate) Mitt Romney of having not paid income tax for several years. This led Romney to release his records, which proved Reid wrong but also illustrated how Romney gamed the system. Asked if he had any regrets, Reid just said, “Romney didn’t win, did he?”

Reid was never really that popular; in his last election in 2010, he barely beat Sharron Angle, or as I called her, “the glassy-eyed fanatic.” That campaign was a great example of how Democrats struggle against the other party but succeed not so much through their own efforts but because the Republican challengers have made themselves that much more unpopular.

And with Reid it wasn’t just a case of “Democrats are bad, but Republicans are worse.” Reid actually did constructive and proactive things with his position, which matters because as we’ve seen from the last few elections, simply being a net zero or not actively bad doesn’t really help Democrats when voters want change and reform.

I’ll tell you this, even back when I was a lot more conservative and Republican-sympathetic than I am now, I knew that Harry Reid was the main reason that Nevada avoided having the Feds foist the Yucca Mountain nuclear waste repository on us. Or as we in the state call it, the nuclear waste suppository. (It was so called when former Nevada Republican Senator Chic Hecht accidentally used that term in a public appearance and created one of the great Freudian slips of American politics.)

And that’s because Reid may have been cynical and ruthless, but it was because he had a purpose. One reason he had endorsed the Affordable Care Act for President Obama (and bitterly resisted President GW Bush’s attempt to privatize Social Security) is because of that hard early life, in which he and his family had to get along with no medical care at all, and his father ultimately died of suicide. He had ideals, but no real illusions. Reid mentioned how in one pressure campaign to stop financing of a polluting copper mine, “I called the head of a hedge fund. I said, ‘I don’t know how I can get even with you. But you mark my word, I will get even in some way. I don’t know how. You back out of that deal to build that plant or you’ve got me just out there looking at everything you do.’ So, I did that with all four of them, and they all backed out.”

Reid illustrated one of the issues with politics, where people become corrupted for the sake of ostensibly valid goals, pursuing those goals with any means necessary. This may be why a lot of Democrats, both mainstream institutionalists and idealist “progressives” try to imagine themselves as being above such games. But Reid knew what approach worked against the opposition he had, and that Republican opposition had a lot more respect for the mainstream institution than the Party of Trump and Mitch McConnell does now.

I mean, I assume there is a reason that Chuck Schumer is still the Democrats’ Senate leader, I just don’t know what it is. By comparison, I don’t think much of Nancy Pelosi as a person, but everyone acknowledges she knows her job and she can enforce a consensus among her party. A large part of the Biden Administration’s problem is that they can’t enforce a standard even as well as Democrats could when they had a majority under Barack Obama, but then, Harry Reid was the Majority Leader back then.

And in regard to the mainstream institution and Mitch McConnell, Reid’s record is often disparaged for his decision to remove the filibuster for judicial nominations, but it isn’t considered that this was the best compromise he could make towards eliminating it altogether. And this was done largely in response to McConnell pre-emptively declaring a filibuster on every initiative the Democrats wanted. It demonstrated the reality of politics: You have to have a goal, but you also have to know where you are, and how to get to the goal from where you are. Reid’s decision did ultimately pave the way for Donald Trump to have no less than three Supreme Court nominations (again, partly with McConnell’s help) but it also meant that President Biden has been able to nominate more judicial appointments in his first year than any president since Ronald Reagan in 1981.


Reid’s hardball approach is an example of the way Democrats used to do things: using power unapologetically and often unethically. But it got results. And after four years of a Trump Organization whose persistent self-dealing made the nepotist Kennedy Administration look like actual Camelot, Republicans are in no position to argue that Reid or any other Democrat is more crooked or self-serving than they are, and unlike Reid cannot seriously argue that their changes benefit anyone other than the Religious Right and the donor class.

Basically, as we remember Harry Reid, Democrats who seek to honor him should try to learn from his example. That is, they need to be the vicious partisan bastards that Republicans merely project them to be. If more of them were like Reid than Schumer, they might be able to get more done with Joe Manchin, if not with actual Republicans.

It Ain’t So, Joe

On a Sunday morning Fox News chat show, Senator Joe Manchin (D.-West Virginia) announced flat-out that he can’t support President Biden’s “Build Back Better” bill, and since Democrats only have a maximum of 50 Senate votes plus Vice President Harris as a tie-breaker, any Democratic Senator voting “no” basically kills the agenda.

Wow. Who didn’t see this coming? Besides Chuck Schumer and Joe Biden, apparently.

The same day, White House press secretary Jen Psaki released a statement:

Weeks ago, Senator Manchin committed to the President, at his home in Wilmington, to support the Build Back Better framework that the President then subsequently announced. Senator Manchin pledged repeatedly to negotiate on finalizing that framework “in good faith.”

On Tuesday of this week, Senator Manchin came to the White House and submitted—to the President, in person, directly—a written outline for a Build Back Better bill that was the same size and scope as the President’s framework, and covered many of the same priorities. While that framework was missing key priorities, we believed it could lead to a compromise acceptable to all. Senator Manchin promised to continue conversations in the days ahead, and to work with us to reach that common ground. If his comments on FOX and written statement indicate an end to that effort, they represent a sudden and inexplicable reversal in his position, and a breach of his commitments to the President and the Senator’s colleagues in the House and Senate.

And yet, the response from the Lamestream Media in the last few days has been that “it’s not over yet” and after all, they still need Manchin to keep their (alleged) majority, and the Administration is still trying to negotiate with him.

First off, if this is an example of continued negotiation, I would hate to see what negotiation breakdown looks like. But second, if this is a continuing process of negotiation, then the Administration through Psaki is signaling to Manchin that the president will not be indefinitely led by a carrot that he will never get to bite.

In his Tuesday announcements on Omicron virus, President Biden was asked about the matter and told a reporter, “People think I’m not Irish, cause I don’t hold a grudge.” Well, I’m Irish, and I do.

Thing is, when it gets down to it, I’m closer to Manchin on budget issues than I am to AOC or Pramila Jayapal. But this dickery actually offends me on a visceral level, because of the way Manchin is going about things. He knows damn well that his party needs to succeed in Congress to get people re-elected, not to mention carry out their promises on popular items. He also knows, or ought to know, that anything that screws the Democrats in this binary system benefits the Republicans. But not only does he screw them, he screws them by pretending he’s negotiating in good faith when there’s always some reason he can’t agree to what everyone else has agreed to.

With friends like this, who needs Trump?

People act like there’s some big mystery to Manchin’s motivations, when there really isn’t. He’s a Senator for a state where most people are that much more conservative than he is. And the fact of the matter is, he’s bought and paid for. You can’t expect him to cooperate with Biden’s agenda, even if Biden is more moderate than the “progressives”, because Manchin is serving the people who pay his way. Not the people of West Virginia, but the corporate donors who like the system just the way it is.

I’m sure Manchin doesn’t care about any political factors, because it was enough of a miracle for West Virginia to elect a Democrat last time. I likewise don’t think Krysten Sinema cares much, because as blue as Arizona is getting, it still has a certain Sagebrush Rebellion culture and Sinema, an ex-Green who’s gotten increasingly pro-corporate, is clearly trying to play both sides of the street. But that just means these guys only care about themselves and not the future of their Party. Which is incredibly short-sighted. Supposedly the reason Manchin in particular doesn’t just join the Republican Party (like the rest of West Virginia) is because he would no longer be a linchpin, just another member of Mitch McConnell’s caucus, and Mitch would be calling all the shots, not him. But if Democrats become the minority party next year, he certainly won’t be the linchpin any more.

One pundit had analyzed Manchin’s supposedly Sphinx-like motives to be that he “is happy not to accomplish much of anything as long as people have to continually kiss his ass to even get judges and cabinet officials approved.” And I’d said it would be a lot more likely that he would be the Man Whose Ass Must Be Kissed if he let Democrats get rid of the filibuster, because then his vote actually would be a possibility rather than a ‘gee if only we could get ten Trump apologists to agree with us’ theoretical. And my conclusion at the time was “Thus one returns to the rejected theory: That Joe Manchin is an abject moron who, if he ever paid attention to what the Senate was like in his entire tenure, is certainly not aware of what it’s like now.”

But that’s the generous interpretation. As is the Occam’s Razor theory that Manchin is serving his donors. The more recent events suggest a more prosaic explanation: That he’s just extremely petty.

According to one article, Manchin has (allegedly) said “In recent months, Manchin has told several of his fellow Democrats that he thought parents would waste monthly child tax credit payments on drugs instead of providing for their children, according to two sources familiar with the senator’s comments. … Manchin’s private comments shocked several senators, who saw it as an unfair assault on his own constituents and those struggling to raise children in poverty.” The article went on to quote “Manchin has also told colleagues he believes that Americans would fraudulently use the proposed paid sick leave policy, specifically saying people would feign being sick and go on hunting trips.” Apparently someone in West Virginia thinks there’s a problem with hunting.

And then the Washington press came up with other leaks saying that what lost Manchin was a Biden statement: ““I had a productive call with Speaker Pelosi and Majority Leader Schumer earlier today. I briefed them on the most recent discussions that my staff and I have held with Senator Manchin about Build Back Better. In these discussions, Senator Manchin has reiterated his support for Build Back Better funding at the level of the framework plan I announced in September. I believe that we will bridge our differences and advance the Build Back Better plan, even in the face of fierce Republican opposition.”

According to Steve Clemons, who seems greatly sympathetic to Manchin, THAT’s what lost him. “Given the protests that Manchin’s family has experienced at his home, which is a boat in Washington Harbor — with folks harassing him, his wife and grandson by kayak around his boat and the gate to the marina — I knew this presidential statement was personalizing the game. It put his family at risk, in my view.”

I mean, all these ‘liberal’ media guys seem to be at pains, to a disturbing degree, to tell Biden and the other Democrats to go back to the table no matter how many times Manchin pisses on them, pointing out for instance that Biden wouldn’t have been able to appoint any judges if he didn’t have that technical Senate majority. Even leftist New York writer Eric Levitz took his position, sort of, saying “HuffPost’s Tara Golshan tweeted that Manchin had said he “knew from the beginning he wouldn’t support BBB.” Progressive Twitter users interpreted this to mean that Manchin had just confessed his own bad faith: He knew from the start that he would oppose Build Back Better, no matter what concessions the White House offered. He was just playing them this whole time — and now he was admitting it!

“Of course, what Manchin actually said was close to the opposite of this. His point in the interview wasn’t that negotiations were doomed because he never actually cared about his own substantive demands, but rather, that they were doomed because he did care about those demands, and the White House was unwilling to meet them.

“Nevertheless, Manchin’s supposed confession of bad faith quickly became a rationale for progressives to preemptively disavow making any further substantive concessions to the senator, since doing so would be pointless, anyway.”

Well, yes.

Psaki’s statement this week indicated that Biden had in fact sought Manchin’s opinion, Manchin had come to Biden directly and given him an agenda, and Biden said he was willing to work with that, and then on Sunday Manchin gave him a flat No.

All of this handwringing and placating Joe Manchin seems to be based on the assumption that he’s actually going to negotiate in good faith, and all this stuff that he says he wants, like voting rights reform and a talking filibuster reform, are actually going to happen. I see little evidence of that based on history. At this point in the Democratic Party, there are a lot more “progressives” than there are people like Manchin, maybe even people like Biden. And even Biden is able to work with them. Largely because of Manchin, the main entitlement bill had its cost reduced by about half (which I agreed with), and Biden got the Left to agree to drop their demand to pass that bill at the same time as the bipartisan infrastructure bill, which the Left was holding up because they knew the Republicans and people like Manchin wanted to throw the progressive bill out. Negotiation, compromise, and working with the other factions of your party presume that in fact you’re going to concede something to the other group if they concede to you.

And if homeboy is so piqued at even being mentioned by name in a very restrained and diplomatic statement, imagine how offended the rest of his party is when he basically tells them, on Fox News no less, “Fuck you because I can”? If he thinks he was getting harassed before, why would he want to make that even worse?

I am reminded of the classic joke where I guy goes to his old friend’s house and meets the friend’s hot wife, and the three of them have dinner and later on because of the weather, the guy has to stay overnight. There’s no couch in the home (for purposes of the joke) so the couple offers to let their friend sleep in the same bed with them. And shortly after they’re all settled in, the wife turns to the guy (let’s say his name is Joe) and says “Hey Joe, you wanna screw?” And he says, “Your husband’s right here!” And she goes, “Oh he’s sound asleep. Go ahead, pull a hair off his ass and see if he wakes up.” So Joe does that, and sure enough, the friend doesn’t move. So Joe fucks the guy’s wife. And a few minutes later, she wants to go at it again. And he’s like, really? And she goes, “Go ahead, pull a hair off his ass and see if he wakes up.” And Joe does that, and sure enough, he doesn’t move. So the two of them go at it again. About ten minutes after climax, the wife motions to Joe, they nod, he reaches for his friend, and the friend turns over and says, “Look Joe, bad enough you’re fucking my wife, but quit using my ass for a scoreboard!”

That guy is Joe Manchin. And the husband is the Democratic Party.

So supposedly, because they have no other choice except to make Mitch McConnell happy and push Manchin to the Republican camp, Democrats are continuing to negotiate with Manchin even when he’s done everything he can to make it clear that he’s not going to give them what they want even as he demands the advantages of being the deciding vote on their agenda.

They really ought to talk brass tacks with him and make it clear that he needs their support at least as much as they need his. Otherwise, why would he stay in the Democratic Party when he clearly won’t agree with either the Left or Biden?

Because again, while there are all kinds of reasons for Manchin to skip to the Republican Party, since it seems to be a much better fit for him, there are several key reasons why he might not. One, Manchin seems to at least in theory agree to spending on infrastructure and the middle class. Second, as discussed, is that going Republican changes him from the guy who dictates to President Biden to the guy who is dictated to by Senate Majority Leader McConnell. And third, related to the second, is that everything we have seen about Manchin this year distinguishes him as a vain, imperious man with the emotional sensitivity of the Princess and the Pea, who demands that everyone bow and scrape and cater to him or else he’s going to wreck everything they want.

Given that that is also a perfect description of Donald Trump’s behavior within his own party, I don’t know if there’s enough room for the two of them.

Communication Is At Least One Operating Cost Of Being A Government

That is something that a Facebook friend told me a little while ago and it makes as much sense in describing America’s current government as anything else.

This month, Senate Democrats are still trying to hash out the “Build Back Better” act for President Biden (and speaking of communication, that name is some awfully lame branding) with various people putting delays in the process. And as we speak, Biden held a virtual meeting for the first-ever “Summit For Democracy” saying “Here in the United States, we know as well as anyone that renewing our democracy and strengthening our democratic institutions requires constant effort. American democracy is an ongoing struggle to live up to our highest ideals, to heal our divisions and to recommit ourselves to the founding idea of our nation.” But either for the sake of a global audience or just to be nice, he didn’t name names and point out what the real problem is with an American democracy that had been chugging along for over two centuries: The fact that one faction of the duopoly has rapidly regressed in intellect and now is not only against the Left’s vision for our nation, but is against the founding idea of our nation itself.
Go back to this November’s odd-year elections. Or as I describe it, further evidence that the Democratic Party couldn’t score in a bordello.

I mean, the previous off-year elections in Virginia, and the 2018 midterms and 2020 presidential election had me thinking that the Democrats might have learned the central lesson of 2016: that Americans can understand, full well in advance, just how criminal and irresponsible Donald Trump and his party of enablers are, and Democrats can STILL lose an election to them because simply being NotDonaldTrump is not the same as being good for anything. But then Virginia’s Democratic Governor was longtime Clinton hack Terry McAuliffe, so some people clearly didn’t learn. And a lot of conventional wisdom pundits thought that Republican Glenn Youngkin won by accusing Democrats of promoting “critical race theory” in schools even as Democrats insist that it’s only a collegiate-academic discussion.

What, you’re going to tell Republicans, you’re going to tell these people, who tell you with a straight face that “Let’s Go Brandon” is not code for “Fuck Joe Biden” and that there is no connection between Donald Trump and the neo-Confederate thugs who brought riot gear to the “peaceful protest” on January 6, you’re going to tell those people that antifa is not an organization and that critical race theory has no strict definition? Please. You can’t out-bullshit these people. Don’t even try.

Define your terms, liberals, or the enemy will define them for you.

The thing is, it wasn’t just Virginia, which was only starting to turn blue in recent elections. In New Jersey, which is almost as much a Democrat monoculture as New York state, incumbent Democratic Governor Phil Murphy was expected to coast against Republican Jack Ciatarelli, and ended up only winning by a slim margin, 24 hours after Election Day. One writer for New York magazine gave his analysis (and being on the New York Magazine staff, that makes him basically a Democratic Party insider right there): “Who could have predicted this? Well, anyone with a kid in public school during the pandemic paralysis of last year. I won’t pretend that my own experience is more meaningful than anyone else’s. But the singular of data is anecdote, so let me tell you what happened in my town.” Andrew Rice goes over some of the background: “There was a brief moment, in the summer of 2020, when it appeared as if Murphy might be edging toward a more proactive role. The scientific evidence was already pretty clear by this time: With masking and contact tracing, it would be possible to resume in-person learning. Other states were already doing so. But many teachers were understandably terrified. Over a few days in August, the state’s largest and most powerful teachers union, the New Jersey Education Association, declared that it was unsafe to return to classrooms, and Murphy immediately reversed himself, saying local districts could continue with remote learning if they provided a “good reason.” Oftentimes, that reason turned out to be the objection of the unionized workforce. It was hard to escape the suspicion that Murphy was removing himself because he was unwilling to cross NJEA, his most important political ally. Among other things, the union had secretly funneled millions into a super-PAC formed to advocate for Murphy’s policy objectives.”

(I mean, for all the Facebook leftists telling me how important it is that we get people unionized, they haven’t seemed to learn why unions outside the government sector aren’t that popular any more.)

And then Rice goes over how this played out with actual parents (you know, those suburban moms who went big for Democrats the last few years): “Many parents — women especially — found themselves acting as involuntary substitute teachers and full-time caregivers, continually on call to dig out crayons, serve snacks, and solve technical problems with the Zoom. It was only natural that many of these frustrated parents started to pay closer attention to what was happening in the classroom — it was right there in their home. In the run-up to the election in Virginia, which was considered the one to watch, the media mainly focused — probably too much, in retrospect — on Fox News–driven controversies over critical race theory that erupted in conservative suburbs in Virginia. These were only one culturally specific manifestation of a universal ramification of remote learning. Parents were watching. They were Zooming into school board meetings. They were bombarding principals with emails. They were livid; they wanted to know who was in charge.

“But where was the manager?”

As for all that talk about how Washington Democrats’ inability to get a budget deal passed before the election hurt their chances, it is difficult to see how much that hurt in retrospect, but it’s hard to see how that helped. Some guy on Facebook posted “Sign I saw yesterday said ‘I wanted a large pizza with mushrooms and voted for who I thought would deliver. What I got was a medium cheese instead. But the the other party wanted to feed me arsenic and nails.” I commented, “You forgot the part of the joke where Joe Manchin scraped off the cheese and tomato sauce cause it wasn’t paid for.”

But even so, certain people wanted to rationalize that the Democrats’ hammering was a good thing in the long run, since after all the president’s party tends to lose off-year elections, and maybe if there’s a typical changeover that will help get things back to “normal.” Andrew Sullivan, whose remaining point in common with the Right is a loathing of PC wokeness, said after the Virginia election, “I know it’s an incredibly low bar, and if the Dems had won, we might have returned to Bannonland, but still. A peaceful, sane transfer of power? At this point, I’ll take it. A GOP victory with Trump off-stage? Every one counts. You have to repair norms bit by bit. Part of what the American voters had wanted from Biden was congenial, bipartisan normalcy. But the left mugged him. Youngkin had a chance to fill that abandoned moderate space in our politics — and grasped it. … Youngkin seemed like an old school Republican, spoke in reasoned language, did not resort to vile insults, proposed massive spending on education; promised to end a grocery tax; and took the 2008 moderate Obama position on race and history.”

The Left refuses to trust that this is just politics as usual, because they can’t trust that the Republican opposition is coming back to normal. Nor should they.

Please do not forget, conservative apologists, that the Republican Party started its Orwellian “election integrity” foist after, not during, Trump’s whiny campaign to “Stop the Steal” (that is, stop the Electoral College). Do not forget that they changed the laws to take power away from local Secretaries of State after, not before, January 6. You can see what the deal is. These people want to appease the Trumpniks, but they’re doing it a bit too late to make a difference. This time. Having seen that a motivated coalition of NotRepublicans can take out even the most popular Republicans (such as they are), they want to gin the system to make sure that can’t happen again, but they’re doing it in the hopes of getting a competent demagogue, someone who can push the buttons of the gullible, angry mob but who doesn’t eat paste (or well-done steaks with ketchup). I say it’s a hope because if they had a competent authoritarian, they wouldn’t have gone all in on Trump. I’m sure they’re hoping that by now some politically-correct governor like Ron DeSantis will run for the presidential nomination in 2024 and be a Trump with (relative) brains, but if anybody in the party had even the balls of a mouse to confront Mister Mean Tweets, again, they wouldn’t have Trump. And it’s not like they’re challenging him even now. They’re just hoping that without the presidency and the exposure that the Mainstream Media and Twitter unwisely gave him, that he’ll fade away. But even then, their best case scenario just means that America is run like DeSantis’ Florida or Greg Abbott’s Texas, and you can ask people in Texas how well that’s working out. You probably shouldn’t ask over the internet, because their power may go out this Christmas, and you probably shouldn’t ask by mail, because Louis DeJoy is still Postmaster General.

A few weeks ago I saw a Medium column from Umair Haque and it was yet another of his despairing attacks on America in general and how he predicted how the Virginia race was going to go because his parents moved there when he was a child, and he went over how horrible it was for him as a dark-skinned boy of British Commonwealth origins to grow up in Redneckistan.

He said “So there white Americans are. Let me say it again. They’ve got the society they want. They. Nobody else wants that kind of society — a place denuded of public goods and social protections, where guns have more rights than women do. By and large, minorities don’t want to live in that kind of ultra-competitive, individualistic society — they want something more like Canada or Europe.” Ah yes, the countries that are LESS multi-racial and more white than we are. So clearly we’re operating on different definitions of “white.”

But again, Haque does make great points even in spite of himself. He also said, “What on earth are white Americans so angry about? If you think about it, it doesn’t make a whole lot of sense. They’ve got the society they want. The very one they keep on voting for. Sure, they don’t have healthcare and retirement and decent education and any kind of social systems or public goods. But that’s the society white America wants.”

That’s why I call this political movement “whiny fascism.” I mean, with Germany, they used to be this bad-ass Great Power that rivaled Russia and Britain and France, then they lost World War I, lost their colonies, got East Prussia split off from the rest of the country, got the Rhineland occupied, got inflation that jacked the price of goods into billions, and that was BEFORE the Great Depression. You can understand why they went for rage and hate. You can understand why Russia went for Stalin. Between the March Revolution and the consolidation of the Soviet Union, the country was in absolute chaos and civil war. Many more Russians died from the Russian Civil War than in World War I. You can understand why they wanted order. This country, people want to give the nuclear codes to Gary Busey’s idiot sidekick from The Apprentice cause they got sick of calling customer service and hearing “para espanol, oprime’ el numero dos.”

And in the wake of a Chinese virus that Trump did not cause (but did everything in his power to help Xi Jinping cover up) we entered 2021 with a new president in position to use what we’d learned about the pandemic, including the beginnings of a vaccination program. And that was working pretty well. Not like we don’t already require vaccines in schools for all kinds of diseases without panicking about them. But no, suddenly vaccines are the worst thing since Hitler. As opposed to say, getting a bunch of paramilitary thugs to carry flags and seize a seat of government in an attempt to overthrow the republic.

Many of our issues with supply chains and economic disruptions are at least partially due to the lingering coronavirus and its continuing mutation, and since a lot of that started outside the States, there’s a limited amount that individuals or this government can do about that. Even so, there are things individuals and the government can control. The fact is, going along with the vaccine regimen would help get things back to normal, and normal is the last thing Trumpniks want. Even when Trump himself asked people to get vaccinated in one speech, half the crowd booed him, because at this point that would mean giving Biden, and Fauci, and the Deep State a win, and we can’t have THAT. We already knew, when Trump was president, that governors like DeSantis and people in states like South Dakota weren’t going to enforce or even allow masking and social distancing, no matter how many of their fellow travelers died, and now that there’s a vaccine option, that’s just one more pretext for the cult to engage in performative defiance, just one more icky vegetable that they don’t wanna eat.

Republicans are in fact quite explicit about this, one of them saying that the Party needs “18 more months of chaos and the inability to get stuff done” to get the House back in 2022.

Part of communication is pointing out that the current malaise isn’t (just) because Democrats can’t get anything done, it’s because moderates like Joe Biden are largely in consensus with “progressives” but the entire Republican Party and at least two conservative Senate Democrats are deliberately standing in the way, and if the president has any influence with the public, and (allegedly) the gist of the Democrats’ agenda polls better than actual Democratic politicians do, then Biden and his people need to point out that not only does change not happen by itself, it is happening in the face of sabotage and opposition.

I mean, I’m not even sure why I’m rooting for tax-and-spend Democrats to win, but then I remember that the Libertarian Party, which has never been ready for prime time, is actually getting worse and following the Republicans’ Know-Nothing lead on COVID, and any vote for Republicans is a vote for the Party of Trump. And the last four years ought to demonstrate why that’s a terrible idea.

As I may have said once, a good idea beats a bad idea, but a bad idea beats no idea. In theory, Democrats have an idea: it’s expressed in the massive legislative package set up for the Biden Administration this year. But they didn’t get around to passing even half of it until it was too late for the off-year elections, and that because Democrats assume, as with the Affordable Care Act, that you have to pass the bill to actually see what’s in it, where in fact if they promoted the bill in such a way that voters could see what was in it, they might put more pressure on Congress to get it passed.

Meanwhile Republicans don’t really have any constructive ideas, but they do have rage and hate and discontentment, some of which they have ginned up from phantom buzzword slogans but some of which is due to real issues like inflation that the government either cannot or will not do anything about. And at this rate if you get more Republicans in charge (whether Trump is the specific leader or not) it’s only going to justify Trump’s position that massive death tolls from Trump Virus aren’t government responsibility. But when you have a Democratic Party which assumes that every personal or political concern IS government responsibility, and then doesn’t do anything about them, why not elect Republicans? Because at that point, substance is clearly meaningless and all that matters is one’s preference on culture war aesthetics, and that’s where Republicans always have Democrats beat.

I mean, the Democrats ought to see, or at least deduce, what’s going on. They ought to realize that Republicans aren’t just going to passively wait for liberals to sabotage their own agenda (though that’s usually a safe bet). They’re going to actively work to make things more difficult for Democrats, and they have been, just as they did with Obama. Democrats ought to see that whether “conservative” behavior is an ant-like organized policy or just the spiteful stubbornness of a group of individuals, it is having a collective effect and that is impacting their chances of political success. They ought to be able to pick up on this, react to it and create a counter-strategy. And yet November 2 showed that they’re totally surprised.

I was trying to figure out what this behavior reminded me of, but this October GEICO brought back that commercial they do every Halloween season spoofing slasher horror movies. The one where the small group of people is running through a darkened town in a panic, going, “Let’s go to the barn!” “No, let’s hide at the post office!” And one of the gals wails, “Why don’t we just get in the running car??” And one of the guys with her says “Are you crazy? Let’s go hide behind the chainsaws!” So of course, that’s what they do. And if that isn’t the Democratic Party, I don’t know what is.

Because if the Republicans and Libertarians are just variant intensities and flavors of chowderhead, the Democrats present as people who ACT like they got some sense but refuse to draw obvious conclusions from available data. So, given that the Libertarians actually won a large number of local offices in the off-year election, and the local offices are starting to be where the action is, you may want to reconsider them. I mean, yes, at the end of the day Libertarians may just be Republicans who like pot and support trans rights, but that’s more than you’re going to get from the actual Republican Party. And I’m starting to think it’s more than we’ll get out of the Democrats.

Schrodinger’s Don

It was recently announced that Norm McDonald died after fighting cancer for years, which no one knew about cause he didn’t want to tell anybody. But don’t worry folks, I’m sure that’s just his idea of a joke.

Okay, that wasn’t very funny. Here’s a better joke. My best friend is dead.

It’s been about two months since September 14th. That’s when I found out. I am still trying to process it.

Don Garner has been a friend of mine since… I can’t even remember. More than 30 years. I was still hanging around UNLV and met him through one of the Dungeons & Dragons groups, along with at least one other close friend and a few other guys that I’ve run into a few times since then. And even more than most of those guys, I had a lot in common with him. He knew that much more about Star Trek, and about naval history, than I did, though I think a lot of that was precisely because he’d researched the military history of every US Navy ship named “Enterprise.” He had a great sense of humor. I’ve posted some of his stuff on Facebook. Like: “In the news this week… Richard Branson beat Jeff Bezos into outer space by nine days… and Richard Branson does NOT have over 56,000 people’s names on a petition to not allow him to return to Earth the way Jeff Bezos does”.

But Don had been in a decline for years. And years. Such that when I learned for sure that he had died, it was sort of like how my roommate’s cat passed away. He took him to the vet and they found out the little guy had lung cancer, and they told my roommate that the cat maybe had weeks to live and it turned out to be only a few days. So it was sad, but we knew it was going to happen at some point, we just didn’t know when. The difference being you expect your pet to be completely dependent on other human beings, and you don’t think there’s anything else you can do if the pet goes terminal. When you’ve got somebody who’s otherwise able to take care of himself and who doesn’t do so, it’s that much more perplexing.

When I said recently on a completely different subject, that I had told someone “you can’t expect other people to care about your life more than you do”, that was Don I was referring to.

For example, Don was the guy who invented the sixburger. That is, you go to Wendy’s, you order two Triple cheeseburgers, and you put them on one bun. I mean, I weigh over 300 pounds, and I couldn’t compete with this. The thing is, for whatever reason he didn’t even have the same work ethic I did. I don’t see why anybody actually wants to work, but this was different. Like, years later when he was on SSI, he frequently seemed surprised that I couldn’t put him into my schedule cause I had a job. It was like, Don was intellectually aware that other people had to work for a living, but that wasn’t really part of his reality. It would have gotten in the way of his hobbies.

And as he aged, his metabolism slowed and he was less able to absorb the results of eating like Dagwood Bumstead. And if you, like me and Don, are on the Standard American Diet (or what Penn Jillette calls ‘SAD’) it’s that much more likely that you’re going to end up with heart disease or Type 2 diabetes and then you’re that much more likely to need consistent long-term medical coverage. And in this country, if you don’t get that coverage through your employer, you need to rely on the generosity of the state – or lack thereof.

If I can think of a point of real divergence, it was around 2006 or so. Prior to that Don had been going from job to job and eventually wound up living with me and my Mom, and we eventually had to kick him out cause he was unemployed and we needed a roommate who could support the household. Don ended up moving in with Jason, a gamer friend of ours down in Henderson. In the summer Jason referred us to jobs with the call center where he worked. It sucked, frankly, but I stuck with it, because it paid for medical insurance and I could see where I was going downhill and how Mom was going downhill with old age. This is how I got to see a regular doctor and how I got diagnosed with Type 2 diabetes. That sucks, and I can’t tell you I have been good with my diet, but I have been eating less sugar than I did before then, and smaller portions. I have also been given prescriptions that have kept my blood sugar under control.

Don meanwhile quit the call center job after only a few weeks cause he couldn’t handle the work. He stayed at Jason’s and gamed with us, but spent a lot of his time asleep. He wasn’t looking for work, or looking into the issues with his health. And when I talked to him about Jason’s place, he would always grumble and complain about his living circumstances (living not only with Jason but his mom and other relatives), but would always move to whatever room they put him up in, as long as they gave him a place to stay, and food to eat, and they didn’t ask questions and they didn’t make him get up and look for a job. His illness was getting to the point where he had band-aids on his toes all the time, and one of his legs looked like a rabid wolf had ripped it up then pissed on it. And because Jason was at that point living with his sister and her two young children, she started to object. His other sister was a social worker who had tried to get Don to get some kind of public assistance and help with his issues, but he had refused. Eventually they forced the situation, and by that time, my roommate had moved out, and then my older brother, so I was once again asked to move Don in. I told him at that time, “Don, the only reason that I am taking you in now is because this is your LAST CHANCE to not die on the street homeless.”

In fact now that I recall, it was my mother of sainted memory who really saved Don’s life, or least gave him more years than he would have had. A couple days after he came back in the house, it was about 2 am or so and Mom had gotten up and noticed Don on the couch and saw that he was unresponsive. She eventually got him up, but from her own experience with Type 2 diabetes realized he was going into a coma. She immediately got me up (even though I had to work in the morning) and take him over to Sunrise Hospital to be checked in. I dropped him off for the ER overnight and they decided his condition was bad enough that they were going to take him in with no questions even though he had no insurance. That’s when Don was first diagnosed with Type 2 diabetes. But that was the good news. It was good news in that at least we knew what was going on. But then he had to proceed from there.

After being at Sunrise about 5 days, he got a veritable grocery list of prescriptions and other scripts he had to take to the UMC (University Medical Center) hospital, because that was the only place where he could get those prescriptions filled with no insurance and only state support. So one day I took him over at 11 in the morning, thinking it would be a couple of hours. They told him that in order to fill the prescriptions from Sunrise, he would have to go through the whole admissions process again at UMC. So I dropped him off. He was there til about 9 pm.
This involved going through several hours of admissions procedures at the ER, going into the Pharmacy line several times- where they had only ONE teller processing orders for a line that (not coincidentally) averaged over 20 people deep, finding out that the doctor at Sunrise who made the prescriptions was not listed in the UMC roster of doctors authorized to prescribe, and in any case they had to change at least one of the prescriptions because they didn’t actually have the brand of pain medication the doctor wrote. While waiting, my friend also went through blood sugar crash at least once BECAUSE he was waiting for the prescription to regulate it, and in direct contrast to the Sunrise staff, no one really bothered to do anything for him at the time.

Compare this to my barely-adequate insurance from work where at most of my jobs I’ve been able to schedule an appointment with a doctor, get regular checkups, the doctor will fill out a prescription with a pharmacy I specify and I can go to the drive-thru and pick it up less than an hour after the fact.

But we eventually managed to get that prescription regimen, and Mom and I both told Don that one of the conditions of him staying with us was that he had to do SOMEthing to support himself. And in a couple weeks we got him to go to the welfare office down the street and got him on food stamps/EBT. And that’s ALL he did. Even after Mom died from her own various co-morbidities he did not do anything to support the household other than get the EBT, which was often not enough to cover his usual diet (which hadn’t changed all that much). So I had him living in the house, I was still paying rent to my sister who has been managing the house ever since, but I was the only person making money and Mom’s Social Security was gone. (If I made enough money to live by myself, I wouldn’t have been in my Mom’s house.) I knew by now that Don was really not able to hold down a job even if he’d wanted to (which he didn’t), but he should have at least been able to call someone to arrange social services and expanded coverage. He did not do that. There was no way I could babysit him or get him to do what he needed to do if I had to work full time during the day. Meanwhile I still had to cover bills by myself on ten dollars an hour even as he jacked the air conditioning up and pushed the power bill past $200 a month because his circulation had made him intolerant to heat. After a few months of this, I told him, flat-out, ‘I don’t care if you get a job, get on welfare, or suck cocks on Boulder Highway, you are GOING to do something to pay your way here.’ He did not. He didn’t want to admit that he needed to be on government dole, but at the same time he had absolutely no problem with couch-surfing at my place, or Jason’s or anyone else and expecting us to cover his upkeep on our budget while he did the absolute bare minimum to maintain his own life. So again, a few months after the ultimatum I had him move out.

And at that point, he really was homeless. He’d been at Catholic shelters for a few weeks and that basically convinced him that he needed to actually get some professional assistance and support. He was in this flophouse downtown at Ogden for a little while but eventually after getting SSI the state moved him to the apartment in Henderson where he stayed for the rest of his life. Once he’d gotten that much stability, we were able to resume social activities again, see movies and play role-playing games with our friends again. And it mattered a lot to me that we just managed to get together, tell jokes and have fun, even if it was just the two of us and a couple other guys. He wasn’t in the same game group with Jason, even though Jason and his sisters did ask if he wanted to come back. I guess in retrospect Don didn’t want them to see what happened to him. Among other things, he lost both legs over the years, mostly due to diabetes but partly because the people tending to his various infections were no more attentive than the people at UMC.

My current job obliges me to work graveyard (just about dusk to dawn) and September 12, I got a call from our mutual gamer friend Hugh just before I was about to get ready for work. He normally helped Don with rides to games (since he lives on the other side of town) but his truck broke down and he hadn’t heard from Don in about a week and he feared the worst. Unfortunately I had to work Sunday and Monday and I had no time to get out to Don’s place, which is over 13 miles away. Not only that, on my next day off (Tuesday the 14th) I had two doctors’ appointments set up back to back starting before noon when I only left work Tuesday at 4 am. So I was already on the other side of town from where I live, that much further away from Don’s, and had barely gotten any sleep.

At this point I had every expectation that Don was dead, but I didn’t know. I also knew from experience that he could sleep for over 24 hours and not respond to the phone or even to a knock at the door. So as I drove across town, needing to move yet getting caught behind every construction cone, red light and dumbass driver in Vegas, Don’s status was unknown. He could have been dead. He could have been alive. Schrodinger’s Don.

I was on the road stuck between lights and I was scanning rock radio. It started with AC/DC’s “Highway to Hell.” I thought not. I turned to another album rock station and got Alice in Chains:

I believe

Them bones are me

Some say

We’re born into the grave

I feel so alone

Gonna end up a big ol’ pile of them bones

I got to the apartment complex after 3 pm or so, went upstairs and the first thing I noticed was all the empty paper bags left out from Amazon’s delivery service. So clearly Don hadn’t left the apartment, or he would’ve taken them to the garbage. I hit the door several times, and called on the phone, and when I got no answer either way, I warned him I was calling 911. So I did. The Henderson Police came out 20 minutes or so later and interviewed me for what little I knew, then they had me go to the ground floor to talk with one of the cops while another one got the superintendent from the office. Then they opened the door, and as I was talking about the situation with the cop and Don’s downstairs neighbor, we smelled it. All the way from upstairs.

You know that weird combination of stale locker and festering wound? That’s the first time I’d ever smelled that.

The neighbor told us that he’d smelled something odd in the pipes in his bathroom for a few days, which supported my suspicion that Don was dead even before Hugh called me.

My friend Hugh is one of those Trump guys who considers Don’s treatment to be an example of state “death panels” deciding who gets to live or not, and I kind of agree that this is what happens if you rely too much on the government, or on anybody. But that just raises two points: One, the alternative to Nevada’s indigent health care system would be to sink more money into the state government to establish reliable care for everyone, including the indigent. But that would be socialism. The only other option is to go back to the previous American standard which is that everybody only gets health care depending on the plan given by their employer, and Don was already psychologically unable to hold down a job even before he was physically too sick to hold a job.

Two, if there is no collective system of care, that just brings the issue back to individual responsibility. If there is no socialized system, that means you are solely responsible for your own upkeep, and that means holding down a job to get medical benefits whether you like working or not. Because again, no one is going to care about your own life more than you do. Even if they’re paid to care.

Don was not of subnormal intellect. He knew what day it was, at least when he wasn’t zonked out on painkillers. He, like me, and many of our gaming friends, started off as politically right-of-center, and like me but unlike most of those friends came to realize that voting Republican these days is like sticking your dick in a drum of radioactive waste. I’m saying, he wasn’t an idiot. On some levels, he was one of the smarter people I knew. But even more than those guys who want to court Trump Virus to own the libs, it felt to me that there was some broken gear in his system that I didn’t know how to fix.

A few days after the event, my sister suggested I post on Don’s Facebook page to find his next of kin, and his cousin in town managed to reach his sister and brother who both live out of state. The next week I had a long talk over the phone with his sister, who confirmed that all of the issues that my friends and I had noticed with Don’s behavior were no news to her.

This Monday, November 8, would have been Don’s birthday, which is just a week off from mine. And every time that holiday season rolled around I was always wondering if Don would survive for another Thanksgiving or Christmas, and I was always kind of impressed that he did. And that won’t be the case anymore.

There will be no real funeral. There will be no formal obituary. It took over a month for Don’s sister to get a cause of death from the Henderson office. After all this, I have taken it upon myself to summarize another person’s life, and as before I ask myself what more I can do, and again reach the conclusion that no matter how much it is, it will never be enough.

Don had a lot to offer. And like a lot of people I’ve known, he deserved a lot more out of life than he got.

If I can’t do anything else, I can at least speak here. So, Goodbye, Don Garner. You were my best friend for over half of my life. Your life mattered. To me and to those of us who saw the best of you.

You are still remembered.

You are still loved.

I’m Not A Liberal

The big news ending last week was that the big vote that Speaker Nancy Pelosi set up in the House for Democrats’ reconciliation bill had to be postponed because the left wing of the party balked at the current state of negotiations. Basically there was a “bipartisan” bill, so called because even Republicans said they would agree with it on paper, for $1.2 trillion to cover infrastructure, versus the bill that both President Biden and Democratic “progressives” want, which was over $3.5 trillion dollars for a whole bunch of “progressive” stuff that that wing of the party wants and thinks they can load on while we’re spending over a trillion dollars regardless. And as with a lot of these bills that absolutely have to be passed to avoid the collapse of Western Civilization, the current ruling faction wants to sneak in a lot of stuff without analysis.

For example, I am not as much a fan of the Libertarian Party as I used to be, but I caught one post on their Facebook page where they discussed a “mileage tax” buried in the bill. If you take a deeper dive, you will find articles clarifying that it is officially a “National motor vehicle per-mile user fee pilot”, and it is not a tax. What it is, however, is a proposal to fund a study on how to implement a per-mile fee on vehicles in this country, supposedly as a replacement for gas taxes. So on that score, I’d agree with the LP’s rebuttal: “If they support a program to study a tax, they 100% support that tax. And 19 Senate Republicans already voted yes on it.” Before that, they said: “Imagine supporting that and still looking poor people in the eye and say that you want the rich to pay their fair share.”

The fact of the matter is, we have the government revenue system that we do because the politicians who are already in charge have already decided they’re not going to “make the rich pay their fair share” and even if they did, government is going to spend as much money as it wants regardless of how much it makes. I said this earlier: It doesn’t matter whether Jeff Bezos pays his “fair share”, you would need to multiply Jeff Bezos’ total assets by a factor over almost 25 to get this government’s budget for 2020. And if we all agree it’s unfair that the rest of us have to pay taxes when Jeff Bezos effectively pays none at all, that’s the decision of the people who are actually running the government. After all they only deal with voters once every two years at most and they deal with their contributors almost every day.

In similar terms, liberal Judd Legum posted on Facebook: “This isn’t tough. Let’s say you are paying $1000 a month for health insurance. Then America shifts to Medicare for All and you are paying nothing but your taxes go up by $750. Calling that a ‘tax increase’ is a dishonest Republican talking point.” Yes, except: it’s dishonest to say that’s NOT a tax. It IS a net decrease in the amount of money you need to pay out, and that’s what liberals ought to be emphasizing. But the end result is accomplished VIA a tax. And this is why liberals are losing the public debate, because their best advocates are on Facebook, Twitter and MSDNC, and they’re being disingenuous about how their agenda really works, and even in that disingenuousness they’re still more articulate and effective than the Biden Administration or most Democrats in government.

Remember in the early 20th Century, they told the public that when they changed the Constitution to allow for a direct income tax, it was only 1 percent for income of up to $20,000 a year (which back then was real money). And now look. This is why Republicans can get away with opposing all taxes no matter what, cause the average person doesn’t care if Jeff Bezos gets soaked, he cares that some guy named FICA is taking over one-sixth of his paycheck.

So maybe that’s why not everyone in this country or even everyone in Congress is as exercised about this negotiation as the Left and the Mainstream Media are. Or maybe it’s something else. Arizona Senator Kyrsten Sinema held a Capitol Hill wine fundraiser on September 28, during budget negotiations. Or as I say, “Priorities.”

And the other Democratic Senator who usually gets blamed for Congress not getting anything done, West Virginia’s Joe Manchin, told reporters who questioned his position on his Party’s bills, “I’ve never been a liberal in any way, shape or form. There’s no one that’s ever thought I was.”

Well, thanks for saying it, Joe. Even if you ARE a Democrat, that doesn’t make you a liberal even if that’s where binary American political logic is these days. I’M not a liberal. And it seems to amaze “progressives”, but just because the nominally progressive (or at least not regressive) party they belong to is technically in control of the government, that doesn’t mean they are a majority in this country, just as they aren’t really in control of the government.

If the duopoly system deceives Republicans into thinking their theocrat-corporatist dogma is a lot more popular than it actually is, “progressives” have deceived themselves into thinking their agenda is more popular than it is just because they’re the movers and shakers in one of the two parties that Americans have deceived themselves into thinking are the only ones we can vote for.

That setup ultimately hurts Republicans in a lot of ways, which is why they’re now trying to compensate with their state laws for “election integrity” because they’re losing even some of the people who have voted for them. But in the meantime, duopoly and binary thinking hurt Democrats and “progressives” more because for one thing, they’re actually trying to get stuff done against the premises of a system that has all kinds of safeguards against swift and radical change, and all the Republicans need to do is game that system.

But it also hurts the Left because the need to glop everyone together in two broad coalitions means that their focus is diluted. Many times, I have gone over how America’s alleged polarization is really a case of one party polarizing itself to purge everyone but the True Believers and the other party taking everyone else by default. What calls itself conservatism today basically sums up as “We hate abortion and gays.” Not that previous conservatives didn’t oppose abortion and homosexuality, but they had a little more philosophical grounding. So on just those two subjects, which are both more complex than blanket approval or opposition, anybody who acknowledges that complexity is necessarily outside the party of “We hate abortion and gays.” But that means that the Democratic Party has to include a whole bunch of people who support abortion rights and queer rights, and also a bunch of people whose opinion is more like “I oppose abortion, but I don’t think it should be prevented in cases of rape or incest” or “I don’t like gays and trans people, but I don’t think they should be sent into camps.”

In other words, because some of us are in the Democratic Party simply because we don’t want this government to be returned to the business portfolio of the Trump Organization, doesn’t mean we’re equally enthusiastic about all aspects of the “progressive” agenda. And that group includes the Democrats in Congress.

Assuming of course that Manchin and Sinema are the only two holdouts against the reconciliation bill.

As for the president, Joe Biden is a leftist only in the minds of “conservatives” who think that anybody to the left of Mitt Romney is a leftist. And given that Biden is the one pushing the $3.5 trillion bill (at least I think he is), the question of whether you are or are not a progressive isn’t the issue in getting a bill passed. If it was, you could negotiate. It shouldn’t be too much to say that the “progressive” figure is too high and spends too much money when we don’t know where it’s going, and it shouldn’t be unthinkable to haggle it down. The main reason I’d agree to even $1.2 trillion is because our country’s infrastructure, including medical infrastructure, has been neglected for so long that America threatens to be a Third World banana republic with nuclear weapons. (Much like Russia, which is another goal that Vladimir Putin and the Republicans have in common.) It is something else to deliberately hold up any progress just for the sake of doing so, because that’s what your donors want, or just because your party’s hair-thin majority means you get to make everybody dance for you.

I mean, this is where Republicans want the Democrats. They know that if they just hang together as a party and not agree to a single thing the governing party wants then the Democrats will have to conduct all bill negotiations amongst themselves. And that will end up having “progressive” bills watered down or even stopped. This is what happened with the Affordable Care Act. And the public disappointment from that made it that much easier for Republicans to retake Congress in 2010. And that undermined everything President Obama wanted to do from then on, even though he got re-elected. And that was BEFORE Trump. And Democrats know all of this too, they know this is the Republican strategy, and yet they keep playing into it.

Right now, the Democratic Party reminds me of that recurring gag in Peanuts with Charlie, Lucy and the football, except that Charlie Brown is the one yanking the football away from himself.

And that is because the Republicans are thinking strategically and the Democrats aren’t.

And that is because paradoxically, the party of altruism, collectivism and (democratic) socialism is incapable of getting everyone united on the same goal, whereas the party (that claims to be) of selfishness, individualism and capitalism can get all of its members to subordinate their personal consciences to the will of one leader, whether that leader is a paragon of Machiavellian cunning like Mitch McConnell or a pumpkin-colored inbred who is so lazy he thinks Manual Labor is the President of Mexico.

And THAT is because the party of selfishness and individualism has everyone pretty much on the same page. However much they may talk about the virtues of hard work and the free market, they know they’ve got it made as members of Congress, they have benefits that they would not get even in the private sector (if you’re already rich, like Mitt Romney, so much the better) and the best way to maintain what are effectively lifelong privileges is to cater to the donor class and run the country for their benefit.

Whereas with the Democrats, you can’t get “progressives” and centrists to agree, but while some progressives realize the consequences of letting Republicans win (namely, that the January 6 mentality takes over government), centrists don’t seem to think that’s such a big deal. Cause in the end, the main thing they have in common with the Republicans is that they want to keep their lifelong privileges and do to that, they have to do what the donors want. The fact that America might become a fascist state without the intellectual depth isn’t something that concerns either the donors or them.

That being the case, the old Washington system of negotiating with senators for quid pro quo isn’t going to work on the likes of Kyrsten Sinema, cause her donors are clearly giving her more than Joe Biden can.

So assuming he hasn’t already done so, I would counsel Joe Biden to be a bit less Barack Obama and a little more LBJ. If I was Biden, this is what I would be telling Sinema, Manchin, and anybody else who needs it:

“You’re representing your states and your country, even if your donors think that you’re just running the government for their benefit. Cause they don’t care if America becomes a Third World banana republic.”

(And they really should. As former Senator Al Franken said recently, ‘if your local bridge collapses when you’re trying to cross, your Mercedes will sink in the river just as fast as a Hyundai.’)

“So here’s the deal. This is the budget bill I agreed to. In Washington terms that means the Party agreed to it. That means YOU agree to it. If you expect to have the benefits of Democratic Party affiliation you need to work with the Party. If you work against it, you’re not getting one red cent for your re-election campaigns. You’re not getting any other Democrat to endorse you and if you get primaried, I’m endorsing that person.

“If that seems all or nothing, you’re the ones giving me nothing. Give me something to negotiate with. If you won’t, you kill my Party’s agenda and my chances of getting re-elected and that doesn’t seem to bug you, but you can’t screw with me and expect me to just smile.

“Your other choice is to do what you’re doing indirectly and do it out in the open and join the Republican Party. Because in this system we’ve created, if you’re not on my side, you’re on theirs. After all what’s the point in saying we have a majority if we’re not going to act like it? I know that’s a big bluff on my part, but hey, if you call it, I’m sure Mitch and the Republicans will treat you just as generously as you’ve treated us.

“Look at it another way. Do you know Roman history? Well- imagine I’m Caesar. So you can stab me in the back, just remember how that worked out for Brutus.”

Liberty Vs. “Liberty”

“You have become the very thing you swore to destroy.”

-Obi-Wan Kenobi, Star Wars Episode III: Revenge of the Sith

Well, it’s been over a year since Trump Virus (TM) made it big in the States, and as the cartoon goes, it would like to dedicate this next song to all the people who never believed in it when it was coming up.
Cause if it wasn’t for all those people, it wouldn’t be as big as it is today.

Even after we developed a workable vaccine distribution program, there’s still at least 25 percent of the population nationwide that refuses to take it, and that’s an average. In some Republican states the numbers are a lot higher, as are coronavirus cases.

Again, Trump himself tried to get his cult to get vaccinated, and that’s one direction from their Leader that they just won’t take.

I saw something recently at the store that explained everything. It was on a box of Pop Tarts. If you are a connoisseur, you would know that while Pop Tarts can be eaten raw, they are supposed to be heated in a toaster, or in extremis, in a microwave. So consider that. I looked at the back of the box, and in large capital letters, it said: “REMOVE FROM FOIL BEFORE HEATING”.

When you have fully pondered the implications of this directive, namely the fact that the food company deemed it necessary in the first place, you will understand why we haven’t beat COVID.

Meanwhile, I don’t know if this is a case of being on brand or just trying to jump on the culture war, but the national Libertarian Party is putting up social media posts and ads saying “Already Against the Next Mandate.”

I have come to the distressing realization that the word libertarian is one of those words that should only be used in air quotes, much like “conservative” or “progressive.”

I mean, last weekend we had to commemorate the 20th anniversary of the 9-11 attack – and you know, it’s distressingly commercial how 9-11 Season seems to keep coming up earlier every year – and it really amazes me how the people who scream and howl and threaten civil war over wearing a mask or getting a vaccine for a temporary situation don’t care so much about the fact 20 years after 9-11, we STILL have a TSA and it’s STILL making us take off our shoes at the airport over airplane hijackings that we learned how to counter maybe a week after the event, when largely thanks to these “patriots”, we are losing a third of the people we lost in the 9-11 hijackings to COVID EVERY DAMN DAY.

You know, the same people losing their minds over Joe Biden mandating employer vaccines through OSHA, saying “he doesn’t have that power!” and all the Liberal Media going, “well, yes he does, cause this is part of OSHA’s charter and it’s been that way for years.” Now, all the actual Libertarians, who don’t assume government’s powers as existing a priori, would be telling you, “uh YEAH, that’s what we’ve been warning about” but apparently this is a huge shock to everybody whose first definition of “libertarian” is “not being a Demonrat.”

I mean, good for you if you’ve finally realized that government doesn’t always (if ever) have your best interest at heart, but strange that you only feel this way about the one mass initiative that is doing something right, and just happens to be the one that the grievance media wants to use to gin up the next round of the culture war.

In the last few decades the libertarian movement was greatly associated with the Objectivist philosophy of Ayn Rand, but Rand herself despised the original libertarians, calling them “hippies of the right”. This is why. As I say, Rand as a person had more issues than TIME Magazine, but those personal issues were largely due to her disregarding her own statement: That reality exists objectively (thus the name), independent of emotion and perception and it can only be properly apprehended through reason and examination, not “whim-worship” and emotion. And nobody seems to get that these days, because the only opponents of the normie Democrat system are a Libertarian political party that is not very organized at all and an organized political party that must rely on emotion and whim-worship because its “conservatism” is that much less coherent than it was in previous years. And when, as a natural result of that trend, the movement experiences identity fusion with the most emotional and whim worshiping politician in our history, you can’t just turn on a dime and ask them to suddenly start thinking. When said figure (in his own long term self interest) asks people to get vaccinated, the cognitive dissonance is too great. It’s like Uncle Festus saying you CAN’T get drunk and fuck your cousin.

I don’t think we should need a mandate or government action to take the vaccine. I also don’t think we need a law banning people from sticking forks into wall sockets, but if enough “freedom lovers” decide that’s the best way to own the libs, that might happen.

But then, I told people that joke on a Libertarian Party Facebook page and got pushback on that. I was told, “do you want government to have the power to tell you what you can put in your body?” I said, “there’s this thing called The Law of the Excluded Middle you might want to look up. Also the word ‘sarcasm’.”

Let me see if I can break it down for you, people.

To begin with, viruses are real. Like God, they cannot be perceived with the naked eye. Unlike God, they can be perceived with advanced microscopes, so if you can believe in God, you can believe that viruses are real. Moving on. On a related subject, science is real. And as Neil DeGrasse Tyson was quoted as saying, “the beautiful thing about science is that it exists whether you believe in it or not.”

One aspect of viruses is that they mutate. This is only a matter of time. It is the reason new viruses pop up despite our immunization procedures. It is that much more likely that a virus will mutate if there is no immunization procedure, which we did not have until Trump’s “Operation Warp Speed” program, and even then the benefits did not really manifest until after Biden’s inauguration. (Oh, that reminds me of another fact you might not have been aware of: Biden is President.)

This would be happening whether government was restricting public action at all. It is in fact, happening for largely the reason that it hasn’t restricted public action much during the last year of the Trump Organization or the first few months of the Biden Administration. Part of that is because the US actually is a federal system where states have power, as opposed to a ‘unitary’ government like Britain or France, and virus containment policy was not a matter of scientific consensus but a governor’s decision on what would benefit them with their pet voter demographic. Neil DeGrasse Tyson also said in regard to the coronavirus that because virii do not acknowledge state boundaries, this means that not having a national mask mandate or expecting mandates to only be enforced by some governors and not others is “like designating a peeing section of a swimming pool.”

A virus spread can only be contained and reduced if the virus is not given the opportunity to go to new hosts, because since a virus is not actually a life form, it needs the cells of a biological host to infect so that it can replicate itself. Social distancing before the vaccination program was a very imperfect method of preventing the spread, and so is masking, but they are better than nothing, which was what we had last year. Because we had vaccination proceeding nationally we were having state and local governments remove mask and distancing restrictions and were on track to making things controllable, but then people decided to make disease treatment into a political football again at the same time the coronavirus achieved its Delta mutation. (This is from the Greek alphabet where ‘Delta’ is the fourth letter in sequence. We now have scientists warning of Lambda and Mu variants, which are the eleventh and twelfth letters. THAT’s the timetable of mutation and spread we’re dealing with here.) Delta is more effective than base COVID-19 at infecting people even when they are vaccinated, so yes, kids, vaccines are not a cure-all. They are however still better than nothing. In fact, according to the CDC (if you’re one of those gullible sheep who believes experts) ‘breakthrough’ cases among people who have been vaccinated are still a lot less likely to lead to hospitalization. But because the virus continues to spread and mutate, restrictions are coming back, and if you are not vaccinated you do not even have the imperfect defense that the vaccines give you.

In other words:

THE ONLY ENTITY WHOSE FREEDOM YOU ARE EXPANDING IS THE FREEDOM OF THE VIRUS TO SPREAD AND MUTATE, AND BECAUSE OF THAT EVERYONE ELSE STILL HAS TO WEAR A MASK AND WAIT FOR BOOSTER SHOTS, BECAUSE YOU DECIDED NOT TO FOLLOW DIRECTIONS. EVERYONE ELSE IS LESS FREE BECAUSE OF YOUR “FREEDOM”, INCLUDING YOU, BECAUSE YOU ARE THAT MUCH MORE LIKELY TO GET STUCK ON A VENTILATOR IF YOU NEVER GOT THE SHOT. AND I AM PRINTING ALL THIS IN ALL CAPS ON THE OFF CHANCE THAT YOU WILL FIND BIG LETTERS EASIER TO READ.

The 2016 election, in which the two most unpopular and incompetent candidates the duopoly ever presented faced each other, should have demonstrated the bankruptcy of the system and given the Libertarian Party the perfect opportunity to capitalize.

And yet you have somehow managed to combine the feckless incompetence of the Democrats with the childish ideology of the Republicans. Now, if you could combine the popular civil libertarianism of Democrats with the Republicans’ skill at winning the game no matter what, you’d actually be dangerous.

The Libertarian Party still has the best chance to challenge the Republicans if only because the Democrats are the only other popular alternative, but you can’t challenge them by being that much more emotional and stupid than they are. You can’t challenge them by being more “punk rock” than they are. Once you might have been able to present yourself as being anti-establishment, but after Trump, the Republicans pretty much stole that act. The problem there is that too many people define “the establishment” not as the Democratic Party but as the whole concept of a constitutional republic. And given the backlash against Republican childishness, it does not help a smaller fringe party to be even MORE childish and unpopular just to prove how Xtreeem and Edgee we are. At this point you are no longer challenging the Republicans, you are following them. And that’s not going to work.

As I said recently:

“There has been a lot of talk about ‘freedom’ and ‘liberty’ being thrown around, not only by right-wingers but by leftists who look at them and see ‘liberty’ as a joke. In fact the coronavirus crisis (the crisis being not the virus itself but our response to it) does a lot to demonstrate why we don’t have a more libertarian world or in particular a more libertarian America. In a perfect libertarian world (itself a subjective hypothetical) we would need less laws because people would be educated enough to make decisions for themselves and exercise common sense. We have all the laws we do because people do not have education and common sense. And every time there’s a crisis, government uses that as a pretext to take more and more liberties, and they can do so because people do not exercise common sense.

“Liberty doesn’t just mean rights, it means responsibility. And contra libertarians, it used to be conservatives making that assertion. Liberty means not only taking responsibility for one’s free will but accepting that we need to protect others’ rights. But some people define ‘rights’ as belonging only to them, not even to ‘white people’ but only to white people of a certain tribe and political alignment. And these rights do not imply taking responsibility for one’s own decisions or extending the same right to others.

“Just as their role model demands all the power and none of the responsibility, the cult demands the freedom to do as they please without acknowledging the consequences.”

Libertarianism at base is nothing less than what liberals have been calling “the American experiment” – the idea that We, the People of the former colonies are fit to manage our own affairs without the Parliament in London or the King in his court overriding our priorities. But that assumes we are in fact fit to manage our own affairs. If you want a more libertarian world, you need to demonstrate that you DON’T need a whole bunch of new intrusive laws because you acknowledge common sense ways of living. Coronavirus has made it that much more clear that the reason we have all the laws we do is because common sense ain’t all that common, at least in this country.

That is, if you want to be treated as a rational adult, you first need to start acting like a rational adult. If you want to act like a child who wants everything except responsibility, you should expect to treated like a child: That is, to be pushed around by grownups and told what to do because you are clearly incontinent to make your own decisions. There is a reason that adults don’t let children run around naked and throw their own shit, and it’s that much more obvious when the “shit” in question is a deadly contagious disease.

And I can hear the response even now: “Why CAN’T I run around naked? What do you mean THERE ARE ALREADY LAWS against public nudity? Who says?? That’s just another step towards The Holocaust! Do you want the Democrats to turn this country into SOCIALIST NORTH KOREA?!?!?”

No, I don’t, “freedom lovers”, but if anything is going to make that more likely, it’s you. You are exactly the sort of libertarian that the Left points at to say how useless the movement is and now you’ve made it that much easier for them to brand any dissenters as a public health danger. It would be a lot harder for them if you were not in fact a public health danger. Again, this is exactly how government grows and spreads, because not only are there opportunists in authority taking advantage of a real crisis, other people react to that crisis by making things worse for themselves and others, and that makes the heavy hand of authority that much more popular.

In fact there are a couple of recent articles (both in New York Magazine) indicating that this anti-Democrat virtue signaling might actually be helping the Democrats. One September 10 article quoted a previous article in The Atlantic on the California recall effort, and then says more generally, “Democrats also are aware that the ranks of the fearful and possibly angry vaccinated include a disproportionate percentage of seniors and college-educated people, who are the most likely to vote in non-presidential elections like the California recall or next year’s national midterms. It’s not safe to assume that all vaccinated people will embrace mandates (which is where these predictions of this being a 75-25 winning proposition for Biden come from), but it’s not unreasonable to think that on balance it represents smart politics for a president who’d rather be talking about fighting COVID-19 than about not fighting the Taliban or about Democrats fighting with each other over his domestic agenda.”

This leads to a Sunday article reviewing the current status of California’s ballot initiative to recall Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom, who was never all that popular to begin with, but the recall effort didn’t really get serious until what the article describes as “a series of slapstick-quality self-owns” like Newsom appearing maskless at a fancy restaurant when mask restrictions were still on. Once the petition for recall got enough votes, the referendum started to gain more attention as right-wing talk show host Larry Elder entered the race as a Republican. Elder is fairly famous in talk radio, but if you didn’t already know who he was, don’t worry, liberal outlets like New York Magazine will be happy to tell you. “Shortly after Elder got in the race this summer, Newsom’s political consultants sat the governor down with a highlight reel of the radio host’s most offensive claims. A sampling: Systemic racism is “a lie”; employers should be able to fire women who get pregnant; the women who marched against Trump in 2017 were too unattractive to be sexually assaulted. “What the fuck?” Newsom said, according to someone who was there. “Is this serious?” Soon Politico reported that Elder’s ex-fiancée had accused him of waving a gun at her while high. “I say he’s even more extreme than Trump,” Newsom now routinely tells supporters. It’s worked. By the end of August, Newsom had reeled in huge donations from unions, Silicon Valley, and Hollywood. Netflix’s Reed Hastings has donated more to Newsom than most of his opponents have raised in total, while producer Jeffrey Katzenberg, Laurene Powell Jobs, Eric Schmidt, Priscilla Chan, and Connie Ballmer aren’t far behind.”

The result: “Polls that showed “keep” and “remove” voters almost evenly split in August, thanks to liberal apathy and right-wing fury, have now widened to a comfortable 13-point margin in Newsom’s favor, according to FiveThirtyEight’s average.” The article implies that a lot of the turnaround is because of the two different factions’ approach to the virus, not to mention other things: “And yet Newsom, in the final stretch, has now allowed that there’s something to the idea with the politics of COVID blending into Republican power grabs blending into a wave of anti-incumbent sentiment around the country. “You see what’s happening in Florida! You see what’s happening in Texas! We have to give those ballots back in!” he said on an early-September Zoom call with LGBTQ+ activists. “Forgive me for being intense about this, but, man, this is real! This recall is real!”

If there is anyone who epitomizes limousine liberalism and its clueless, statist approach to the virus more than Nancy Pelosi, it would be Newsom. And he might win this recall because the presented alternative, one of the most prominent “small l libertarian” right-wingers out there, is perceived as being even worse.

In this Cold Civil War between left-wing faith in government and right-wing “liberty”, each side is handicapped by its own disadvantages, namely deserved unpopularity that will only increase as everyone becomes more polarized. Thus the fight will end up being won not on a positive level, with one side proving the worth of its arguments, but on a totally negative level with one side losing because its malice, incompetence and compulsion to alienate the general public ends up pissing off more voters than the other team. Well, I guess we know who’s winning that fight.

On Afghanistan

Well, I suppose the fall of Kabul requires some sort of commentary, although I think the reason Joe Biden could get away with letting things collapse as quickly as they did and blame the Afghanistan government because they “gave up” is because the average American doesn’t care what happens there any more than he does.

I can give Biden a certain amount of credit in acknowledging, better than his President Barack Obama ever did, that the Afghanistan occupation was a Bush boondoggle that wasn’t doing us any good, especially after Bush divided our focus by taking Iraq. And as much as I hate Donald Trump, even he had the sense to want to get out. I could only blame Trump for two things: Not actually getting out, and then blaming Biden for actually carrying out the withdrawal plan that he initiated.

And of course all the liberal partisans like MSDNC are playing up the point that Viceroy Trump was the guy who first had the idea to negotiate with the Taliban directly AT Camp David (which his advisers got him to fall back on) and did make an agreement, bypassing the Kabul government, that released 5000 prisoners who ended up going back to fight for the Taliban. But what do you expect? Blaming other people for what he did and taking credit for what he didn’t do is Trump’s thing. I’m just wondering why Trump was so desperate to stay in the White House knowing that he had already planned to pull out of Afghanistan and would therefore get blamed if Kabul fell while he was in charge. But then again, he IS senile.

But that’s what happens when you’re the president. You get blamed for anything that goes wrong on your watch, just as you get the credit for what goes right even if you really had nothing to do with it. And of course, Biden knows this. Neither Trump nor (frankly) Obama wanted to make a difficult decision, because they knew they would get blamed for exactly what’s happening now: the country falling apart without American forces because Afghans would not fight back no matter how much hardware we gave them, and religious fundamentalists marching into towns, rounding up dissidents and telling women they can’t go outside the home. (Republicans only object to religious fundamentalists rounding up dissidents and oppressing women when said fundamentalists wear beards and don’t worship Jesus.)

Again I can at least give Biden respect for knowing to cut bait even knowing that he’d be the one to get blamed for something that everyone knew had to happen anyway. But then I think he’s willing to take the lumps because everyone, including the superficially pro-military Republican Party, knows this had to happen anyway.

And it comes down to one point Biden made in his Monday speech: “American troops cannot and should not be fighting in a war and dying in a war that Afghan forces are not willing to fight for themselves.”

It reminded me of a time when, after getting taken advantage of too many times by professional drug addicts, I dealt with another friend who was not a narcotics addict but was still doing everything he could to destroy his own life while still relying on me for material support and the enabling of his bad habits. At one point, I told him, “you can’t expect other people to care about your life more than you do.”

The Afghanistan, uh, project was something that Americans, or rather the foreign-policy “blob” always cared about more than the Afghan population at large. However much benefit Westernizing the cities had and however much it helped to give girls opportunity for education, this was really more a side benefit for the occupation and not really of benefit to the population at large, at least not enough to get them to support the Western-backed government.

If you’ve ever worked in a call center and have ever tried to show a senior citizen how to sign up for an Internet account over the phone, then you know why we needed 20 years to get Afghanistan out of the Dark Ages and it still didn’t work.

Plus which, it’s not like that’s necessarily a good idea. Both conservative imperialists and liberal technocrats thought they could take an ancient culture and fit it into our way of doing things as if that was the only valid system. It by and large bypassed the way people had been doing things for ages and so all those technical and financial advantages didn’t help against an enemy that knew the terrain.

In an article just out for The Atlantic, a former Pentagon official recounts how he visited Kabul in 2017 and the delegation had to travel by helicopter instead of by road: “As we flew over Kabul, I realized that the Afghan security forces, backed by thousands of U.S. personnel, could not even secure the heart of Afghanistan’s capital.” Monday on The Rachel Maddow Show, Maddow played the tape of when she and Richard Engel were touring Kabul 11 years ago – so, only halfway into the occupation – and observed a walled neighborhood built from scratch that wasn’t there before 9-11, and noted how the locals derided the architecture as “narcopalaces”, “gangster chic, big, garish, gigantic, rococo” places designed to look very, very rich. And she said: “I feel like it taught me something that you can only sort of experience by being there… if you do churn billions of dollars a month, every month, into the economy of one of the world’s poorest countries, and you do that month in and month out for a whole year, and you do that month in and month out for a second year… ultimately you do billions of dollars a month, for 20 solid years, if you do that and at the end of 20 solid years of investment, it’s still one of the poorest countries on Earth? There’s a problem.”

In one of the more glaring examples of US incompetence and carelessness during the “planned” withdrawal, we pulled out of the Bagram air base without telling the locals. “The U.S. left Afghanistan’s Bagram Airfield after nearly 20 years by shutting off the electricity and slipping away in the night without notifying the base’s new Afghan commander, who discovered the Americans’ departure more than two hours after they left, Afghan military officials said. … Before the Afghan army could take control of the airfield about an hour’s drive from the Afghan capital Kabul, it was invaded by a small army of looters, who ransacked barrack after barrack and rummaged through giant storage tents before being evicted, according to Afghan military officials.

“… The big ticket items left behind include thousands of civilian vehicles, many of them without keys to start them, and hundreds of armored vehicles. Kohistani said the U.S. also left behind small weapons and the ammunition for them, but the departing troops took heavy weapons with them. Ammunition for weapons not being left behind for the Afghan military was blown up before they left.

“Afghan soldiers who wandered Monday throughout the base that had once seen as many as 100,000 U.S. troops were deeply critical of how the U.S. left Bagram, leaving in the night without telling the Afghan soldiers tasked with patrolling the perimeter.

“In one night, they lost all the goodwill of 20 years by leaving the way they did, in the night, without telling the Afghan soldiers who were outside patrolling the area,” said Afghan soldier Naematullah, who asked that only his one name be used.”

It’s of a piece with our whole approach to the military in a foreign base, where everything is set up to the benefit of an outside infrastructure without any coordination with the locals, based on the ultratech that the US military has become addicted to, and therefore unusable by the local military that doesn’t have access to our support structure, to the extent that we gave a damn about that in the first place. Which meant that once deprived of that outside technical support system the Afghan military had no resources, because there was no thought in asking the locals how they would fight the war, and therefore no advantage to having greater numbers than the Taliban (in theory) and the same knowledge of the terrain. This was not a great arrangement for the Afghans or the Americans on the ground, but it was great for our military-industrial complex, and that’s all that matters.

You would think – you would think – that after so many historical examples like Mao Zedong and Ho Chi Minh using a poor but highly motivated army to deliver a strategic defeat to forces that figuratively had all the money in the world but weren’t having any of that trickling down to them, that the United States would have learned that the top-down approach doesn’t work. But if we cared about anything other than the top, things wouldn’t be like this.

Nobody learns anything because nobody has to. The US isn’t going to do either the moral nor the practical thing. That’s not what this government does. The government just sets up a gravy train for connected people and keeps it going regardless of whether it fulfills the alleged goal, and no matter how many times we find that it isn’t working out, we keep it going as long as there’s enough money to do so. But then one day you may not have enough money to do so, as both the British and the Russians found out.

I am mainly reminded of the lesson learned by the computer at the end of Wargames: “The only way to win is not to play.”