REVIEW: Star Trek: Picard Season 3 (Episode 1)

I recently reviewed Star Trek: Picard Season 2 in preparation for seeing Season 3. Like a lot of people I was quite disappointed with the second arc’s arbitrary plotting and implausible writing and with this season, advertised as the last one, promising a reunion with the main cast of Star Trek: The Next Generation, it’s hoped that things will pick back up.

Shortly after the events of Season 2, Picard has finally developed a relationship with his aide, Laris (Orla Brady) and is planning to go on a trip with her to a Romulan aid colony. But the episode actually starts with Picard’s former love, Dr. Beverly Crusher (Gates McFadden) in deep space, manning a starship by herself with apparently one other person. She fends off an attack by mysterious aliens and is seriously wounded, and sends a coded message to Picard, through his old Enterprise-D comm badge, in order to avoid the notice of modern Starfleet. Picard recruits good old Will Riker (Jonathan Frakes), who confirms that none of the old crew have seen Beverly in about 20 years. Riker quickly decodes the message and finds Crusher’s coordinates, and decides to use his Starfleet connections to get them a ride out to the site at the edge of Federation space. This requires a bit of deception on more than one person’s part. At length Picard and Riker take a shuttle out to Beverly’s ship and are quickly ambushed but not before finding out that her passenger is her 20-year old son (Ed Speleers) – whom no one knew about. This raises the question of who this guy’s father is, although he has an English accent, which I think is a big clue.

This emphasis on The Next Generation is probably the direction the series should have taken all along (Episode 1 is actually called ‘The Next Generation’) but the series is still using Star Trek: Picard‘s main original character, Admiral Picard’s former Starfleet aide, Raffi Musiker (Michelle Hurd). She has become a street-level operative for Starfleet Intelligence and is shown trying (and failing) to stop a terrorist attack against a Starfleet facility. How this relates to the main plot has yet to be shown. It also has yet to be shown how the other principals of TNG are drawn into all this, although the navigator on Riker’s old ship happens to be Geordi LaForge’s daughter.

Terry Matalas was the main showrunner of Season 2, although on this story he seems to have done a complete re-boot, for instance putting the title sequence at the end (like on Marvel movies) and putting the secondary credits in the same font as the Next Generation credits. They’re clearly trying as much as possible to get back to the stuff fans liked about Picard and the Next Generation era, and so far it works, largely because of Jonathan Frakes’ swashbuckling spirit. It’s also got some of the more adult subject matter we’ve come to expect from this show and Star Trek’s other streaming media. It’s going to be interesting to see what happens next.

What The State Of The Union Speech Should Have Been Like

Feburary 7, 2023

President Joseph Robinette Biden

Good Evening.

My fellow Americans… I had this big, over an hour long speech set up to go, and then I realized it wasn’t gonna make any difference. The State of the Union speech doesn’t change anything, it doesn’t convince anybody who’s not already in the President’s party, it’s just something you have to do, and nobody cares anymore. I mean look, they’ve got Sarah Huckabee Sanders doing the opposition response tonight, which should show you how much Republicans care about serious discussion.

So I threw it out, and, in consultation with Barack Obama’s anger management translator, I’m just going to lay out what I think right now.

I see we’ve got a lot of celebrities in the audience tonight. Like Bono from U2. He’s probably here to steal my rhymes cause he hasn’t come up with anything good since “Vertigo.” No, really. I mean, Bono, if you guys wanted to do a Ramones tribute, why didn’t you do what Motorhead did and write something that actually sounds like a Ramones song?

A lot of people are here cause they’re just expected to be. They don’t wanna be here. Like Samuel Alito. Congratulations on becoming Chief Justice of the Supreme Court, by the way. At least you act like it.

And then there’s Lauren Boebert and Marjorie Taylor Greene. Yeah, I see you guys. Yeah, same to you. Hey, I gotta ask, why are you both wearing the “I’m With Stupid” T-Shirt?
Seriously, Margie, congratulations on becoming Speaker of the House. I know you worked hard for it.

(Looks over his shoulder) I said what I said.

But that kind of gets to why I’m here tonight. If the State of the Union speech serves anything, it’s for the President to lay out where he thinks our country is in the world right now, and the strength of our country, and what we can do to preserve or improve it. And to the point: The state of our Union is strong. But threatened.

And the point I want to make tonight is that none of that threat is really from outside. We are by far the most powerful economy, in the world. We have by far the most powerful military, in the world. We have, this week, set up a 2.2 billion dollar aid package for Ukraine in its defense against Russia. Now, do you remember, the first time Trump got impeached, it was when new President Volodymyr Zelenskyy was asking for military aid to deal with a Russian backed insurgency in his country, and Trump said, sure, you get that money, if you do us a favor. And that favor was doing opposition research against me, before I’d even really started a presidential campaign and before New Hampshire. Funny coincidence, there. And if you remember before that, when Barack was president, Ukraine had this pro-Russian president who got overthrown in a revolution, he fled to Russia, and then as soon as that happened, Russia just walked into Crimea? Another funny coincidence. It’s almost like, you have all these coincidences piling up to a certain result, and it quits looking like coincidence, doesn’t it?

But the fact that we’re in this position with foreign aid now is because of what we did then. We, and the world, are less affected by Russia or another outside actor than how we as a government, as a people, react. And the threat from outside was influenced by our internal response. Just like, the United States is the most powerful economy in the world. It’s often said that if the US gets a cold, other countries get pneumonia. And we’re reaching that point now. We have a decision to make on raising the debt ceiling, and if that’s not done, it affects our credit rating, and that may affect the entire world economy.

Now, I remember when the right wing was serious, that most Republicans didn’t think the federal government should be doing much more than paying to keep the lights on in the Capitol. Problem is, nowadays, what calls itself conservatism doesn’t even want to do that. They’d rather be in the dark. That’s the joke. Like, how many Republicans does it take to change a light bulb? None. They’ll just sit in the dark and praise Trump for doing such a great job changing the bulb.

We lost more men on both sides in the US Civil War than in World War I, and barely lost more men in World War II. Nobody is more of a threat to our country’s success and survival than we are. And I’m comparing this situation to the Civil War, and it seems like it’s got a lot of the same motivations.

You laugh, but why were all those guys rioting to stop my election running through the Capitol carrying Confederate battle flags? Some of them probably aren’t old enough to remember Lynyrd Skynyrd.

It’s almost like even now, they don’t want to admit they lost that war. A war where their idea of “freedom” meant the freedom for some men to keep others in bondage. A war where their concept of liberty only applied to people who looked, and thought, and prayed like them. So of course they’re not going to acknowledge the popular vote OR the Electoral College. That would mean acknowledging other people have the same rights they do. That’s the whole thing: They don’t want to live in reality.

It’s all of a piece. They don’t want to work on climate change, cause that would require admitting it’s real. Democrats, we may disagree on how to deal with climate change, but we can look at the water level of Lake Mead, and the Caspian Sea, and see that it’s real. In large part, they don’t want to help Ukraine against Russia, because they don’t want to admit Russia is not our friend. And officially, the Republican Party doesn’t want to admit I’m President. But guys: I’m here. I’M THE PRESIDENT. I’m here, now, giving the State of the Union speech. This is not some telepathic projection from the Reptoids trying to control your mind. You expect me to deal with you? You’re going to have to deal with me.

Yet, the posture of the Republican Party is just carry on, like reality isn’t a thing. You don’t just have Trump refusing to admit I won, you’ve got this Kari Lake in Arizona refusing to admit Katie Hobbs is the governor and not her. I mean, jeez, if that’s really how it works, we should send the Detroit Lions to the Super Bowl and not the Chiefs.

Look, that was just an example. I’m sorry Detroit. You’ve been through so much already.

We have two years left in my term. I have yet to announce officially that I’m running again. Like it makes a difference. Because we know Trump’s running again, and frankly, I’m the best chance of stopping him from getting the nuclear codes back. If I accomplish nothing else- and you all are sure trying to make sure that’s the case – it will be enough.

It would not be such an existential threat if a Republican won an election in the natural political cycle of things, but it is an existential threat when an individual can’t deal with reality. We can see from the example of Putin’s Russia what happens when an unhinged individual has no tether to outside reality and dissenting opinion. He pursues evil policies regardless of the consequences and no matter how many thousands or hundreds of thousands get killed. That has had its own effects on the world economy and standard of living. Imagine if that were us.

Imagine again if we just refused to pay our debts, a lot of which were built up just under the last Administration in four years. That’s going to cause terrible consequences to our standard of living, and worse in the rest of the world. And who do you think people are going to blame? Me, who warned you what would happen if you do it, or you, who want to do it just because I’m here and your guy isn’t?

Like I care. This is Dark Brandon you woke up here.

You really should have learned what happened the last time, and the last three to five times, you did a budget standoff. Everybody blamed you, not the Democrats. You try this again: I’m going to let you do it. And then I’m just gonna watch as you have to sit and stew and hear your constituents bitch about the budget problems YOU created for THEM. And I’m gonna see you come crying to me as if you didn’t know from all those times what would happen. And then I’m gonna tell you again: You want me to deal with you? You’re gonna have to deal with ME.

You are in no position to threaten anybody, with the budget, or with the military, because to paraphrase Ronald Reagan: Government is not the solution. Government, under Republicans, is the problem. Republicans are the reason we can’t get gun legislation. Republicans are the reason we can’t federalize abortion rights. Republicans are why the minimum wage is still less than 8 dollars an hour. You have spent as long as I remember – and that’s a long time – pulling this scam where you run for office saying “government is the problem” and then once you get elected, doing everything you can to prove it.

And if that was still working out for you, you wouldn’t be losing elections in Georgia and Arizona. You wouldn’t be trying so hard to stop Democrats from voting in Georgia and Texas and Florida. You wouldn’t have lost an abortion referendum in Kansas. You know how hard it is for Republicans to lose Kansas?

For as long as I still have, as long as I have to be here, every time you stand in the way of what needs to be done – with that FOUR SEAT majority you have – I’m not gonna cry. I’m not gonna whine. I’m not gonna pretend it isn’t happening. I’m just gonna let you do it, and I’m gonna let you live in your own mess. And then you’re gonna have to come to me. Because you’re standing in the way for the same reason you’re gonna let Trump take over your party again: Because you don’t have any better ideas.

So until you do, I say, in the immortal words of Dr. Dre,

“Fuck y’all. All y’all.”

Thank you, and God Bless America.

REVIEW: Star Trek: Picard – Season 2

“It’s not my job to be interesting.”

-Jean-Luc Picard, Star Trek: Picard, Season 2, Episode 7

They just had the first ad for Star Trek: Picard Season 3 last weekend, and it occured to me I still had to finish watching Season 2. I dunno. I don’t think I hated it as much as the rest of the Internet, but I don’t see how I could.

The best way I can describe this season is “all over the map.” It is not as focused as Picard Season 1 nor even as focused as most examples of Star Trek: Discovery, the franchise’s other example of serial season narrative. This might explain why it was harder to binge-watch the whole thing in succession compared to Discovery or Strange New Worlds: I wasn’t that invested in what I was seeing.

When I refer to focus, Picard Season 1 touched on a lot of things, such as the aging of Picard and the process of how a social-democrat Federation became a creepy semi-authoritarian state because it had been subverted by the intelligence service of a defeated enemy – like that has no relevance to current events – but there was a straight premise: Picard (Patrick Stewart) discovers that the deceased Data somehow has a daughter (Isa Briones) and needs to save her from the plot of a secret faction of the Romulan government. This quest ends up recruiting a whole new group of characters (and Seven of Nine) who seemed set up to continue their adventures in Season 2.
Well, they started Season 2 that way, with the formerly civilian Picard, Seven (Jeri Ryan), Raffi Musiker (Michelle Hurd) and Cristobal Rios (Santiago Cabrera) all regaining their Starfleet commissions and coming together for a deep space mission with Dr. Agnes Jurati (Alison Pill) that throws everything up in the air with the return of the Borg and a dimensional reset by a returned Q (John de Lancie). To set the universe back from the Human-racist dystopia it has somehow become, Picard and his friends have to use the patented slingshot-around-the-Sun method of time travel, ending up at a time that looks just like the present, apparently before the Eugenics Wars but at a point where the existence of the future Federation hinges on the mission of a young female astronaut who just happens to be named Picard. I mean, never mind that this can’t be a direct ancestor because she wouldn’t be passing on the family name. Unless she had a child as a single mother. Which is just the first of the cutesy ways this story attempted to dramatically link everything together without considering the consequences.

It would be one thing to start with the continuity from Season 1, and then find some reason to upset it. It’s another thing to throw everything completely out of continuity and then make increasingly strained attempts to bring in characters or actors from Season 1 who have no reason to be there. Like poor Elnor (Evan Evagora) who started this season as a Starfleet cadet under Raffi, became a Romulan guerrilla against the Human fascist timeline, then got tortured and killed no later than Episode 2, occasionally appearing as a flashback or hallucination to haunt a guilty Raffi. Soji (Briones’ character) has no reason to be in this story, so after briefly catching up with her in the first episode, the 21st Century story moves to Briones playing Kore, a medical patient whose father is Brent Spiner playing yet another Soong ancestor, except that this guy is totally unsympathetic and ends up being the reason that Earth becomes an authoritarian regime at war with aliens – which was briefly alluded to in Episode 2 but isn’t really connected until the end of Episode 8.

To the extent that any of this connects to Picard or his internal situation, it’s in something that old Q ends up saying to young Guinan (Ito Aghayere): Humans are “trapped in the past.” She later tells Picard that this is a strength of the race, in that “you live in the past until you’re able to reconcile it, you do the work because you want to evolve.” In Picard’s case, despite settling down and regaining his status in Starfleet, he isn’t able to get close to his recently-widowed Romulan head of staff (Orla Brady) and can’t explain why. In another one of the too-obvious coincidences, when Picard’s team slingshots to the 21st Century, he has them crash-land Rios’ ship at the Picard estate (which is abandoned at this point) to plan out options, but the darkened grounds bring up family trauma which he was apparently doing a great job of suppressing, because this was the first time in the character’s history that it came up. The temporal agent who is assigned to protect astronaut Picard (who is also played by Brady and who just happens to be Romulan) asks Picard if Q brought him back so he could confront these experiences, and in the final confrontation at Chateau Picard against Soong and a Borged-out Jurati, Picard remembers his mother’s tragic fate, which was pretty clearly telegraphed over several episodes.

Childhood trauma and emotional repression are important issues for Stewart, which he’s spoken about in his personal life, but are we really supposed to believe that Q pulled off all this craziness just so that Picard could learn to forgive himself and open up to love? Well, actually, that does sound just like the sort of thing Q would do, since at least one episode of Next Generation has confirmed that Q did feel sentimental about Jean-Luc. But those episodes were much better executed and didn’t take ten hours to get to the point.

There are great bits and pieces, like in Episode 8, where a de-Borged Seven of Nine, now more in touch with her emotions and empathy, is thus capable of telling Raffi that she’s manipulative and full of shit. But it was a bit hard to follow one thing in particular when we had characters like Renee Picard and Kore brought in one episode and then not used much or at all the next, to say nothing of Rios, as a Hispanic, literally landing in Los Angeles and getting tangled up with a young doctor serving the illegal immigrant community in this show’s most obvious reference to current events. Although that particular romance is probably the best acted part of the season.

And why did Q die? Like much else, there isn’t a believable explanation. Just as there isn’t an explanation for why Brent Spiner chose to let Data die but came back as another character and is supposed to be back in Picard Season 3 as Lore, without makeup and not much explanation for that. But if there’s a theme running through the whole series of Star Trek: Picard, it doesn’t seem to be aging and death per se. Rather, as one ages toward death, one has to say goodbye to the past, including all those people who were the main part of it.

Heavy, if not depressing, stuff. And now Season 3 is supposed to bring back all the other stars of Next Generation in a final goodbye to the series. I had said that Picard Season 1 was well-acted but not very well written, and Season 2 is that much more badly written, to the active detriment of the story. In both stories, they managed to stick the landing, barely, but one hopes that this coming season is a better journey towards the end.

Rules Lawyering

“The secret we should never let the gamemasters know is that they don’t need any rules.”

-Gary Gygax

Well, this January, the Dungeons & Dragons role-playing game finally achieved national attention as a mainstream pastime, although not for a good reason.

Wizards of the Coast (also known as Wizards, WOTC or WotC, pronounced ‘wotsey’) bought out TSR, the company that created Dungeons & Dragons, in 1997. Wizards was in turn bought out by the mega-corporate game company Hasbro in 1999. Shortly thereafter they refurbished the game brand with the 3rd Edition of D&D, creating much needed streamlines and changes and bringing the game’s popularity to a new level. The game has been in 5th Edition since 2012 and is more popular with more mainstream exposure than ever, largely thanks to Critical Role, other online game broadcasts, and pop culture allusions like the Netflix series Stranger Things.

Part of this media share, the reason that “D&D” refers to the roleplaying hobby the way “Coke” refers to all carbonated sodas, is because of the Open Game License, an ingenious feature that the (then) owners of Wizards created for use with D&D 3rd Edition. One of those people, Ryan Dancey, referred to it as a “copyleft” document. The OGL asserts the existence of Wizards’ copyright as it pertains to “Product Identity”, trade dress, features unique to the company’s product such as owlbears and mind flayers in D&D. This is because it has been established that certain things like medieval fantasy or role-playing games are not copyrightable in themselves, but the features of Product Identity are. At the time, Dancey said, “One of my fundamental arguments is that by pursuing the Open Gaming concept, Wizards can establish a clear policy on what it will, and will not allow people to do with its copyrighted materials. Just that alone should spur a huge surge in independent content creation that will feed into the D&D network.” Thus it did. By allowing the use of its game mechanics (the ‘Open Game Content’) to be used by third parties, WotC greatly expanded the industry but in such a way that it promoted D&D’s brand, since new publishers were creating material that referred to their core D&D product.

Over the last year or so, WotC has been promoting “One D&D”, so called because rather than being a new or 6th Edition, it is supposed to be making all editions compatible with each other. This project was also supposed to integrate new play elements that have recently become popular, such as virtual tabletop (VTT) play.

Now, given that WotC has rights to the OGL, there was always a question of whether or not they couldn’t just take it and invalidate it if it interfered with what they wanted to do as a company. The company response from the website FAQ had long stated that the OGL “already defines what will happen to content that has been previously distributed using an earlier version, in Section 9. As a result, even if Wizards made a change you disagreed with, you could continue to use an earlier, acceptable version at your option. In other words, there’s no reason for Wizards to ever make a change that the community of people using the Open Gaming License would object to, because the community would just ignore the change anyway”. Notably, this part of the company’s FAQ was recently removed about the time Wizards started pursuing One D&D.

In Wizards’ press releases between fall 2022 and January 2023, they had stated that “The Dungeons & Dragons Open Gaming License Isn’t Going Anywhere” even though they did specify that third-party creators would need to report income above $50,000, and specifying that certain media like NFTs are not and never were allowed under the OGL. But that was from a Gizmodo article in December before Christmas. On January 5, Linda Codega, the author of that Gizmodo article, released details of an “OGL 1.1” which was supposedly obtained through a non-WotC developer. Most notably, in addition to the income details, the text states that the agreement is “an update to the previously available OGL 1.0(a), which is no longer an authorized license agreement.” And while a third party owned any product it would create with this license, it said “You agree to give Us a nonexclusive, perpetual, irrevocable, sub-licensable, royalty-free license to use that content for any purpose.”

Supposedly this thing was a draft (which was the defense Wizards eventually used to respond to the mess) but in their investigations, Codega had also interviewed people in Kickstarter who confirmed they had already negotiated terms of the document as it stood; specifically OGL 1.1 dictated that a company which grossed more than $750,000 from 3rd-party product had to pay 25 percent of its gross over that figure to WotC. The Kickstarter person told Codega they had made an agreement to make that figure 20 percent for a project that was promoted through Kickstarter, which indirectly confirms that Wizards was using the “draft” as the basis for negotiations. Notably, while all reports are that the One D&D is still in playtest stage and not planned to release until 2024, OGL 1.1 section VII.A said it was to take effect January 13, 2023.

It was perhaps telling that Wizards not only didn’t understand why this got a negative reaction in the larger gaming community but that they did not respond to the negative reaction immediately. After January 4, several companies that made their living off OGL product announced they were developing new game systems independent of the OGL. Wizards were supposed to do their official press announcement of the new setup January 12, and then they just… didn’t. But the same day, WotC’s main fantasy competitor, Paizo, got together with some other companies and decided it was going to make a coalition to sponsor an Open RPG Creative license, nickname “ORC”. The difference is that the intent is to make sure that the license will be owned and managed by an independent party that does not own a game company.

On January 19 – two weeks after the Gizmodo article – WotC finally released an post in the D&D Beyond website announcing the OGL “1.2”, an action which confirmed two things: the company is responding to demand to kill OGL 1.1, but it still wanted to kill 1.0. As part of the process, they asked fans to take a survey on their site, and and according to that site, “So far, survey responses have made it clear that this draft of OGL 1.2 hasn’t hit the mark for our community”. Most of the feedback I got is that the main response to the survey is: “Killing OGL 1.0 is a mistake and you shouldn’t go through with it and I’m not buying your product until you change course.” While 1.2 gets rid of a lot of the stuff that offended the community, like paying royalties to the company, it still specifically deauthorized 1.0, and says stuff like “We and you each waive any right to a jury trial of any dispute”, as though that were a concession on their part, especially since it says before that “This license and all matters relating to its interpretation and enforcement will be governed by the laws of the State of Washington, and any disputes arising out of or relating to this license will be resolved solely and exclusively through individual litigation in the state or federal courts located in the county in which Wizards (or any successor) has its headquarters” – in other words, the company has legal home-field advantage, and class action suits are not allowed in regard to the document.

Well, just today, January 27, the company outright caved. Their previous announcement had stated that open game material would be under a Creative Commons license even as they retained rights to the SRD (System Reference Document, whichever version of core D&D happens to be the current edition at the time). Today they announced not only that they are abandoning attempts to change the OGL from 1.0, they are moving the SRD itself to Creative Commons.

Again, this little issue with what used to be considered a niche of entertainment has gotten a lot of national press attention. Because it actually touches on a lot of serious issues.

WotC as owners of the SRD got to determine how that document is used at any time. We already know this.
But to paraphrase Dr. Ian Malcolm, they were so busy determining whether they could that they never considered whether they should.

It’s like with public affairs and the concept of positive and negative rights. “Positive” rights assume that a liberal government is going to provide them and negative rights assume that human rights are inherent in nature (or given by God) and the purpose of government is only to protect them. For instance, in America, freedom of speech means the government cannot interfere in your exercise of speech or practice of religion. It does not mean that government has to provide you a media platform. Liberals use terms like “a human right” for this and that, eliding the point that the Founders didn’t think that’s how rights worked. We nevertheless have government do certain things because we as a republic have agreed to put money into them, and they improve our overall standard of living. Nobody thinks there is a “human right” to an interstate highway system, but government funds it (sorta) because we can see the benefits. The same argument would apply to national health care. I can say this without being a socialist who thinks everything is a “right”.

Likewise if I am a capitalist who thinks that the right to intellectual property starts and ends with its owner, that doesn’t mean that they HAVE to maintain the strictest control of it. The approach that WotC had taken with the OGL when it first came out was not only good PR, it promoted the hobby in the long run by expanding it beyond the resources of one company.

Basically, Open Gaming License 1.1 flipped the benefit of OGL 1.0 where 1.0 allowed you as third-party creators to have a royalty-free use of the material as long as you acknowledged the brand ownership, and OGL 1.1 means Wizards has royalty-free rights to YOUR material if you want to use the brand. Which, given the size and power relationships between the individual and the corporation, makes one deal a lot better than the other. Depending on perspective.

Simply put, there was NO reason for a smaller publisher to take WotC’s OGL 1.1 if Wizards had all rights to their product and the corporation can make use of their creativity at no charge.

Why was the corporation so hellbent on killing the old Open Gaming License even with the pushback? They’ve offered a few reasons, some of which are more plausible than others but none of which are really convincing.

For one, both the presented OGL 1.1 and the prospective 1.2 version dictate a morality clause. It currently reads, “You will not include content in Your Licensed Works that is harmful, discriminatory, illegal, obscene or harassing, or engage in conduct that is harmful, discriminatory, illegal, obscene or harassing.” In his January 19 post on D&D Beyond, WotC executive Kyle Brink said: “One key reason why we have to deauthorize [OGL 1.0.a]: We can’t use the protective options in 1.2 if someone can just choose to publish harmful, discriminatory, or illegal content under 1.0a.” The phrasing indicates that “harmful or discriminatory” refers to politically incorrect, sexist or other such content, which is basically the sort of woo-woo wokeism that alienates a lot of older and right-wing fans from Wizards. Here’s the thing, with one conspicuous exception, I don’t see any game company who sees regressive politics as a selling point. WotC’s main competitor in the hobby, Paizo, is probably more politically correct than they are. The broader concern is not a company’s rational desire to not be associated with demeaning material, but their potential to veto any expression they don’t like for any reason at all. It’s that much more obvious this is a control play when the license not only says “We have the sole right to decide what conduct or content is hateful, and you covenant that you will not contest any such determination via any suit or other legal action” but again, refers to both game content AND “conduct.”

Because VTTs and similar media were not really a thing around the time of 3rd Edition, OGL 1.2 contained a specific page on the subject. It says that just regular old video conferencing to play games is okay. It states (for instance) that “features that don’t replicate your dining room table storytelling”, such as a video animation of a Magic Missle spell, are not allowed.

The “harmful” content premise can be dealt with via other legal means, or, in the case of fake TSR, refers to a publisher that has much less legal right to old TSR materials than Wizards does, and is small enough to where their infamy will not reflect on the larger corporation. The focus on newer forms of media is more relevant and more pertinent.

One big clue should have been Hasbro’s investor presentation conference on December 8, where Wizards’ new CEO stated that the company is “under-monetized.” (The press reports that Hasbro revenues surpassed 1 billion dollars for the first time in 2021, with $952 million of that being Wizards’ products including D&D and Magic: The Gathering, with tabletop games being 74 percent of the figure. Wizards is under-monetized the way Disney is under-monetized.)

Specifically, Cynthia Williams noted that while Dungeon Masters are only about 20 percent of the player base, they make up most of the spending, since unlike other players they need all the books. The Bell of Lost Souls article indicates the company was aiming to increase the level of gamer spending to create a “recurrent spending environment” among players who are not also gamemasters. How? Digital D&D. After all, that’s where the money is. That just gets into a broader issue in the culture where things are becoming more “virtual.” Like, you don’t pick up a box game and invite your friends over to play it. You download the game off a service, and if it has multiplayer option, you invite your friends to play it on a network. But that means a lot of the software is in the cloud or subject to company control, and they can change the end-user agreement at any time.

Basically, WotC tried to take things in a new direction in order to gain greater dominance of the market, and they can’t do that under the terms of the original Open Game License, so they tried to get rid of it.

We know this because they already have. In 2008, WotC came up with D&D 4th Edition, which used a more restrictive game license called the Game System License (GSL) that is not compatible with OGL. Part of this was an attempt to cork the genie back into the bottle and get more control over third-party product. Anyone who signed on to use the GSL for 4E could no longer produce product under the 3rd Edition OGL; however by its own wording the OGL remained in effect for anyone who wished to keep making 3rd Edition material. Which is how Paizo developed the first Pathfinder RPG, being basically a revision of D&D 3.5 Edition with the serial numbers filed off. This succeeded largely because Wizards’ D&D 4th could be expressed in the mathematical formula Suck/Ass. Well, actually, it wasn’t that bad as a fantasy-theme miniatures combat game, it just sucked as a roleplaying game, which believe it or not is not the same thing. Story elements were eclipsed by the tactical element and the emphasis on your character’s role within a team; like, your Rogue wasn’t just a rogue, he was a “Striker”, which brings to mind association football more than fantasy adventure.

As WotC continued to spring bigger leaks than the Titanic, it was revealed that One D&D is supposed to be emphasizing the digital sphere. “Homebrew” virtual content was at first not allowed, but supposedly they went back on that with 1.2. The base game with maximum options was supposed to be 30 dollars a month, including monthly “drops” and other microtransactions. “This would increase the amount of money that is coming from every single table by a degree of 10. What that means is, if they lose some of their player base, people who aren’t willing to shell out cash for D&D Beyond subscriptions, well it doesn’t really matter. Because they have to lose ten people for every one person who pays. Let me put that another way: They could potentially lose 90 percent of the player base of Dungeons & Dragons – and they would be UP money.”

One of the forums I participate in heard about this and one of the guys said, “They’re expecting 30 dollars a month for a crappy MMORPG?” Heck, World of Warcraft is a crappy MMORPG, and that’s less than $15 a month!

Seriously, there are games like WoW or Path Of Exile that offer a fantasy gaming experience for either cheap or free-to-play with add-ons, and Wizards would have to come up with something seriously over and beyond the video standard that’s already been established if they want to justify thirty dollars a month. Specifically, it would have to be a role-playing game experience in the video medium, as opposed to a video game with RPG elements. I mean, again, Wizards already tried making a tabletop RPG that played like a MMORPG, that was 4th Edition.

Which is what gets to the real problem. If this new online project was so knock-your-socks-off that it would justify $30 per month, I think a lot of people would have jumped to the new paradigm and (given the profit margin) it wouldn’t matter so much if the tabletop community took a hike or got left behind. The question is whether the current company could pull that off. Wizards’ biggest projects in the last year for D&D were 5th Edition versions of beloved old lines like Dragonlance and Spelljammer, and those were… not well received. Not to mention, a great example of why Wizards is in no position to judge anyone else for discriminatory content. So the new license seemed less like an attempt to copyright something new and unique to the company and more an attempt to smother competition in an area where other companies have already proven superior.

John Nephew, publisher of Atlas Games, made a pretty good point. Posting on Mastodon and Twitter, he said, “One of the great values of OGL 1.0a is that it sidesteps the orphan works problem of copyright law. You know how we’ve lost so many works of the early 20th century because no one would take a chance on publishing or invest in preserving, due to ambiguous legal status? Open Game Content can be used and re-used and derived-from even if you can’t reach the copyright holder or even determine who it now is if, for example, someone dies.” And in response to another commenter, he said, “The whole essence of RPGs is collaboration and shared creation, right? Our entire hobby is an offense against the foundations of modern corporate-written copyright law. “

Author Cory Doctorow recently had a counter to this point, saying “The OGL predates the Creative Commons licenses, but it neatly illustrates the problem with letting corporate lawyers – rather than public-interest nonprofits – unleash “open” licenses on an unsuspecting, legally unsophisticated audience. … the OGL is a grossly defective instrument that is significantly worse than useless. …The OGL is a license that only grants you permission to use the things that WOTC can’t copyright – “the game mechanic [including] the methods, procedures, processes and routines.” In other words, the OGL gives you permission to use things you don’t need permission to use. …it’s not just that the OGL fails to give you rights – it actually takes away rights you already have to D&D. That’s because – as Walsh points out – fair use and the other copyright limitations and exceptions give you rights to use D&D content, but the OGL is a contract whereby you surrender those rights, promising only to use D&D stuff according to WOTC’s explicit wishes.”

Now others would argue (I’m sure Ryan Dancey would argue) that the document simply clarifies what rights you have to Wizards’ product without having to go to court over what constitutes “copyright”, but that just gets into why the OGL had utility for as long as it did and why it has suddenly turned out to be unreliable. As long as the Open Gaming License (or its equivalent) was under the control of the company that owned the brand it applied to, there was no reason they couldn’t just reset it to whatever they wanted to whenever they wanted. Nobody cared because (as Doctorow states) the OGL was before the Creative Commons concept, and it was certainly progressive for the time. Dancey seemed to think that the wording was sufficiently clear that the company couldn’t “rugpull” the way Doctorow describes, but Wizards was willing to gamble that it’s not. And part of that is for the reason Doctorow describes: Simply agreeing to use the (original) OGL takes away your rights to what would otherwise be fair-use content.

The irony is that nobody really cared up until a few weeks ago and they would not have had Wizards of the Coast, by its own actions, revealed just why the Open Game License is (and in retrospect, always was) a liability to third-party game publishers. And that goes to the deeper irony- no one needed to care. Because there was an arrangement, perhaps inadvertent: Wizards would let third parties publish D&D related stuff, which promoted D&D to the exclusion of everything else in the market. And in exchange for Wizards letting those companies use their brand for “free”, those companies de-emphasized everything else they could have been doing with other game systems. (It also meant that Wizards didn’t need to spend a lot of money on legal cases that weren’t guaranteed to go their way.)

So when Wizards tried to seize control of that product on the grounds that it (or its core material) belongs to them, they were blanking out the fact that were it not for the Open Game License, that product would not have even been created.

This is my take.

Any change to a new edition of a game system is always going to get some push back with some ‘grognards’ preferring the old version. There are right ways and wrong ways to do it. In at least one case, I have seen an owner state, hey, we’re going to make a new edition, I have these ideas on how it’s going to work. The owner would post on the company’s website or some other community resource and go over the ideas and subject them to public debate. It was made clear that the owner had final say, but they wanted to make sure that people knew what was going on, and fans had some input on the process. Wizards did not do it that way. It is pretty clear from the way things leaked and WotC’s awkward, staged response that their proposed changes were NOT a draft. The removal of OGL 1.0 was to be presented as a coup, or in other French language, a fait accompli, which the community would just have to accept because they couldn’t do anything about it.

The other big mistake of Wizards of the Coast – which, like a lot of this story, could have been avoided if the bean counters in charge knew anything about the culture of their customers – is that they decided to slide a document change on the community of gamers that inspired phrases like “rules lawyer” and “min-maxer”.

The corporation’s position was, we have rights to all your material if you’re going to use our brand. The community called the bluff and said, we don’t HAVE to use your brand. So Wizards backtracked and their best chance for killing OGL 1.0 was that the legal language of new OGL does not retroactively invalidate anything done previously, you just can’t do any new material with the new SRD without signing on to the new OGL. But that basically put them back in the same position they were in with D&D 4th Edition, and we all know how that went.

The fact that the community always had the option to quit using WotC official material meant that the corporation was going to be put in that position anyway. But the difference between openly starting with that position and doing it the way WotC did is that the way they did it alienated a lot of people, not just those who were suspicious of the company in the first place but those who were neutral or otherwise supportive. There was no reason to accept the company’s terms for an OGL 1.1 because they were so one-sided. There was no reason to accept OGL 1.2, 2.0 or whatever it would be because now no one can trust that they won’t go back on it. And this has attracted the attention of Forbes, the Washington Post and a whole bunch of other serious outlets outside gaming, and it’s not a good look. (Keep in mind, Hasbro also owns Monopoly and other properties from Parker Brothers, Milton Bradley, Avalon Hill and a bunch of other old companies that they bought out.) Hasbro is in the same position that old TSR was in: Have a small hobby over which you have firm control, or a larger hobby with less control. TSR chose the first option, and look what happened to them.

But that raises what might be an obvious question: Why did Wizards craft an open-source document for their properties if they knew it might be a liability to their future ambitions?

When WotC first took over TSR, Ryan Dancey and the other people involved came up with the OGL because they were thinking long-term. It was done precisely so that the D&D game would not be dependent on the existence or non-existence of TSR or whichever entity had ownership, and it wouldn’t depend on the profits going up Gary Gygax’ nose, or into Lorraine Williams’ hidden accounts, or anywhere other than keeping the company solvent.

(I mean there’s at least one ‘orphan’ non-D20 system I think would fit this scenario, but for diplomacy’s sake, I won’t elaborate.)

Now, WotC is a much bigger company than TSR now, and it’s subsidiary to an even bigger corporation, but the last year has shown us that billionaires can blow away truly astounding levels of profit for the sake of pique.

If so much of what constitutes “D&D” and role-playing cannot be copyrighted, Wizards’ creation of the OGL was their attempt to make sure they had some control of the brand. But that means they own the game license and always have the potential to change it. The only solution is what Paizo and the other “ORC” participants are doing, which is to create a license that isn’t owned by any one company, because Wizards could keep doing this as long as the license to their product is owned by the company that has the product. And if property rights are to mean anything, that’s the bottom line.

But if the gaming community cannot force Wizards to give completely free rights to their intellectual property, by the same token, Wizards cannot force the community to accept the terms for that property. They can always create product using something else.

The community seems to have learned that lesson almost too late. Whereas Wizards seems to have learned it perhaps too late.

If nothing else, I think gamers are going to be looking at their EULAs a lot more carefully now.

I SAID, ‘Ha, HA.’

It ended up taking a historic fifteen votes for the Republican-majority House of Representatives to finally elect Kevin McCarthy (BR.-California). Decidedly no thanks to Matt Gaetz (BR.-Florida), who supposedly made a deal on Friday with a few other holdouts like Paul Gosar and Lauren Boebert to vote “present” and lower the threshold needed for victory. So in order to be extra Drama Queen, Gaetz withheld his vote when called in hopes of being the guy to make the decision, but when roll call came back to him he still voted “present” even once it became clear McCarthy would still end up short. This led to a whole bunch of arguing and haggling in real time on the floor, culminating in Mike Rogers (BR.-Alabama) having to be restrained from reaching over and pasting Gaetz. Rogers’ own colleague, Tim Burchett of Tennessee, joked that “People shouldn’t be drinking, especially when you’re a redneck, on the House floor.” Or as Jeff Foxworthy would say, “if you’re a Republican Congressman… you might be a redneck.”

(After the fact, Rogers and Gaetz made up and apologized to each other. Gaetz actually said we need more cameras in Congress to show what representatives are doing. Well, that’s one thing I can actually agree with Gaetz on. At least Congress can be entertaining, if it’s too much for them to pass laws and do their jobs.)

But that seemed to be just enough embarrassment that other Republicans got the last holdouts like Matt Rosendale (BR.-Montana) to at least switch from “anybody but this guy” to “present” and McCarthy got nominated after midnight on what was then Saturday morning. It was always questionable whether doing the same thing over and over again would ever work, but apparently McCarthy’s approach of just caving on everything to everybody put the burden on his opponents as to why they still needed to oppose him. Gaetz was actually quoted as saying he was having trouble maintaining his leverage because he ran out of things to ask for. And really, I think it just came down to the same reason the Greedy Old Puritans are still following Donald Trump: They don’t have the imagination to come up with new ideas, no matter how clearly the current ideas have failed.

After the basic formalities, the leader of the opposition got to the podium. Hakeem Jeffries (D.-New York) had gotten all 212 Democrats to vote for him on every one of these ballots. And he gave an oration that was the exact opposite of a concession speech. It quickly became famous for the part where he said, “We will never compromise our principles. We’ll always put American values over autocracy, benevolence over bigotry, the Constitution over the cult, democracy over demagogues, economic opportunity over extremism, freedom over fascism …” and it became clear around that point that he was going to be making these comparisons with every letter of the alphabet, ending with “Yes We Can over ‘you can’t do it’, and zealous representation over zero sum confrontation.”

So Jeffries proved that, unlike Republicans, he knows all 26 letters, not just Q and Z.

Then McCarthy finally got to speak. On paper, it was a decent speech, and points to him if he wrote it himself (which a lot of politicians don’t). But his delivery was a dull, plaintive whine that explains why hardly anybody has respect for him. One key point was where he said, “If this week proved anything, it’s this: I never give up.” But the joke is that in order to get the status of power, he had to give up everything that gives the Speaker power, like giving the caucus the right to challenge him with just one vote. It’s sort of like if you had one of those royal succession wars like in Westeros or real-world France or Spain, and one candidate makes deals with the courtiers and rival nobles to give them all the powers of the kingship in exchange for being allowed to hold the title, and he also has to be the piss boy who runs around the court with a bucket for anyone who wants to relieve themselves. Yes, you’re the pissboy, but you get to wear the crown. It’s good to be the King.

The line of the night was probably in a Daily Beast article: “I just think we should check in,” quipped Rep. Adam Smith (D-WA), “and make sure McCarthy still has two kidneys.”

The first bill the McCarthy House passed was an attempt to reverse the recent funding increase for the IRS. Among the first business of the week was a bill to prosecute abortionists if they do not attempt to resuscitate fetuses that are born alive, when there is already a 2002 federal law for that effect. The Party of Trump now wants to defund the Department of Homeland Security because they allegedly aren’t securing the border, when the whole reason the agency even exists was because the last Republican government before Trump wanted another government bureaucracy to club brown-skinned people with. Not only that, the original Open Gaming License is no longer an enforceable document and anything you make under the new License means Wizards of the Coast has rights to all your stuff.

The “Freedom Caucus” might think they won something, but really, what they got was what Democrats got when they finally took the Senate from Mitch McConnell: the most technical of majorities in which one dissent can kill any initiative because dissent in the ranks means they aren’t really a majority, and in order to have the advantages of one, they have to let a couple of prima donnas (like Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema) turn them all into the supporting cast of their personal opera.

This may or may not matter as much as it did with the Democrats, because Joe Biden actually managed to work with the prima donnas and other legislators to get things done in the stretch. But there was still a lot that “progressives” wanted and couldn’t get. I say it won’t matter as much to Republicans, because they don’t care about boojie shit like “legislation” and “public service” and would rather just stage witch hunts in committee rooms in the afternoon then go on Fox News after 8 pm to brag about how butch they are.
And it seems we don’t even know what Kevin gave away to be King Pissboy. For all the talk that Gaetz and others make about “democracy” and “transparency”, Axios reported that the real details of how the House operates under McCarthy are determined by a “private document that only some House Republicans have seen and others refuse to talk about“. Even conservatives like Nancy Mace of South Carolina told Axios “What I am raising hell about is whatever potential backroom deals may have been done.” So you can imagine what Democrats are thinking. I’m not sure what the Republicans have to hide. I don’t see what could be more discrediting than supporting Kevin McCarthy.

Some of the Republican ideas, like a committee to investigate our dependence on China, and a demand that legislation not be voted on without 72 hours notice, are not bad at all. But even when Republicans could count to eleven without pulling down their pants, you could never get them to do anything that would actually reduce the size of government (again, see the Department of Homeland Security) or protect individual freedom, let alone cut spending and taxes in enough proportion to dent the deficit. So naturally they’re less believable on old “conservative” issues like libertarianism and national defense and more believable on Trumpnik issues like abortion prohibition and pursuing grudges. Like with Ukraine, where their demand to cut funding to the Zelenskyy government is less about fiscal prudence or isolationism and more about the fact that their Master’s Master would rather that he get to complete his genocide without anyone fighting back.

The only problem with letting the kids run the playpen for two years is that we still need two houses of Congress to pass a budget, and most of these brats would rather not pass a budget. Again, not because of any fiscal conservative desire to force Democrats to impose some budget discipline, but because FUCK YOU, That’s Why. They seem to forget that every single time that Republicans forced a government shutdown over the debt, even under Trump, the public relations hit and bureaucratic consequences were such that it always weakened the Republican position in the long run, which is why such standoffs have always ended. But then if Republicans had a long-term memory, they would remember that Joe Biden won the election. As it is, everyone is scared that continued standoff would wreck the US government’s “full faith and credit” and backing of our national debt, which already took a hit in 2011 during the Obama Administration. And if a budget standoff has the global effects that all the conventional thinkers fear, that will end up wrecking the world economy. And as with previous standoffs, voters aren’t going to blame Democrats even if a Democrat is president. Everyone assumes that certain seats are “safe” for Republicans but if they prove themselves to be sufficiently malign and incompetent, even some of those safe Republican states and districts might fall to Democrats, as Georgia and Arizona did in the last few cycles.

At that point Mike Rogers is going to have to get in line behind Mitch McConnell, Dan Crenshaw, and a few other Republicans to kick Matt Gaetz’ ass.

Assuming of course that such cockamamie ideas can even get off the ground. After all, there’s nothing in the Republicans’ little agreement (from what we know of it) that says that a Democrat can’t be the one to call a no-confidence vote on the Speaker. But then they know that if they called that play, the Republicans might go back to conference and find a Speaker with balls.

Like Nancy Pelosi.

HA Ha!

Upon this a question arises: whether it be better to be loved than feared or feared than loved? It may be answered that one should wish to be both, but, because it is difficult to unite them in one person, is much safer to be feared than loved, when, of the two, either must be dispensed with. Because this is to be asserted in general of men, that they are ungrateful, fickle, false, cowardly,covetous, and as long as you succeed they are yours entirely; they will offer you their blood, property, life and children, as is said above, when the need is far distant; but when it approaches they turn against you. And that prince who, relying entirely on their promises, has neglected other precautions, is ruined; because friendships that are obtained by payments, and not by greatness or nobility of mind, may indeed be earned, but they are not secured, and in time of need cannot be relied upon; and men have less scruple in offending one who is beloved than one who is feared, for love is preserved by the link of obligation which, owing to the baseness of men, is broken at every opportunity for their advantage; but fear preserves you by a dread of punishment which never fails.

  • Niccolo Machiavelli, The Prince, Chapter XVII

So all the Democrats were fretting and all the Republicans were gloating about all the laws they would get to pass and all the investigations they would get to start against Democrats once they had control over the House of Representatives this term. Except, officially, they’re not in control. Kevin McCarthy (BR.-California) was the designated candidate for Speaker and did get an overwhelming majority of his caucus to make him leader of his party, but unlike the Senate (where unwritten tradition apparently allows the leader of the majority party to run the whole show just because), Article I of the Constitution says the House has to elect its leader by consensus of the entire chamber, including the opposition. Because the Speaker is the presiding officer, no other procedures, including the swearing in of members, can begin until the Speaker is chosen. And since the Republican majority in the House, including the people who voted against McCarthy’s leadership, are only ten more than the Democrats, those opponents only need five votes to torpedo McCarthy’s Speaker bid. Well, guess what. The first round of votes, all 212 Democrats voted for their leader, Hakeem Jeffries (New York) and 19 Republicans went against McCarthy. Since then, they have gone through the same result, as of Thursday night, ten more times. Well, not exactly the same result. In the fourth and subsequent ballots, Victoria Spartz (R.-Indiana) voted “present” which lowered the threshold McCarthy needed but ultimately meant one less vote in his favor since none of the defectors went to his side. On Friday, McCarthy still fell short on a twelfth and thirteenth vote, but got more than ten Republicans back to his side, perhaps because today is the second anniversary of their Viceroy trying to seize control of our government by force, and they wanted to honor the occasion.

This after McCarthy went to any and every length to make sure he had the whole Republican Party behind him in his quest for the Speaker’s office. He admitted on tape after the Trump Riots (TM), “I’ve had it with this guy. What he did is unacceptable” but McCarthy continued to support Trump’s claims that the 2020 election of Joe Biden was illegitimate. For example, he had signed an amicus brief supporting Trump’s case in Texas v. Pennsylvania, which the Supreme Court refused to hear on the grounds that one state cannot contest the election process of another state. Hours after the Trump Riots, McCarthy was one of the Republicans who voted against certifying Biden’s win in two states. On January 28, McCarthy appeared at Mar-a-Lago to take a picture with Trump, an act that the mainstream media described as “kissing Trump’s ring”, since they’re operating on the rules of basic cable. He aceeded to the wishes of Matt Gaetz (BR.-Florida) and other Trumpniks who demanded the excommunication of Liz Cheney (R.-Wyoming) from House leadership for opposing Trump’s auto-coup. This as Kevin insisted, “I don’t think anybody is questioning the legitimacy of the presidential election”. In June 2021, McCarthy opposed the creation of a bipartisan House commission to investigate the Capitol riots, threatening the committee assignments of any Republicans who participated, inadvertently giving a free hand to Speaker Nancy Pelosi to have her own committee with two Republicans, Cheney and retiring Congressman Adam Kinzinger (Illinois) who were already on the outs with the Church of Trump. Which is part of how the committee got recordings that both McCarthy and Cheney had participated in, which might be why Gaetz and the other Trumpniks won’t back him as leader, since they have no more reason to trust what he tells them than Cheney had to trust what he told her.

McCarthy is – what’s the term I’m looking for here? – Ah yes. A “bitch-ass nigga.”

One of my Facebook friends posted that Kevin must have a thing for public humiliation. I said, “I figured that out from his actions immediately after January 6.”

One of the journalists reporting on this for MSDNC said that Kevin McCarthy’s problem is that he can’t change being Kevin McCarthy. No, I would say the problem is the exact opposite. Kevin McCarthy has changed being Kevin McCarthy lots of times. Nobody trusts him, nobody likes him, nobody respects him, and no one will follow him.

Apparently Kevin didn’t figure out that if you’ve already conceded everything to the other party, you have no leverage to make them hold to their side of the deal. But among Kevin’s myriad vices, the foremost of them is stupidity.

The spiritual lesson I get from Kevin McCarthy is that you should never crave a thing so desperately that you make it obvious to others how much you want it. Because then they know how to make you dance on their string.

He’d already agreed to bring back the old House rule (prudently tanked by Pelosi) that members could bring a vote of no confidence in the Speaker if it had just five supporters. After the sixth ballot, McCarthy agreed that McCarthy’s leadership PAC would not spend any money on “safe” seats for Congress, meaning he would not support any candidate who was opposed to the Trumpniks. He has also now agreed that a no-confidence vote only requires one Congressman, so basically anything he does is subject to liberum veto. What is liberum veto? Well, in the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth, this was a right of any man in the Sejm (senate) to hold up any legislation at will, meaning one person could thwart an otherwise overwhelming consensus. This weakness in the system made “Polish parliament” an insult term in Western Europe and is considered one of the reasons that the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth declined and died, because Russia (among other countries) figured out they could buy the vote of any Polish senator to stop the Commonwealth from doing anything in its best interest, including stopping Russia from undermining and seizing their territory.

Why am I bringing up Russia buying legislators to act against their own country? No reason.

McCarthy is in a way just as serious about government as his opponents. Any such deal isn’t worth the toilet paper it is written on and will soon be flushed down the john after being used for its natural purpose.

He certainly doesn’t have any serious policy differences with Trumpniks, and Trump himself is pushing for his speakership. But all the pundits cackling over the House defiance of Trump’s dictate fail to realize (as with his endorsement of COVID vaccine) that his influence is entirely negative. Trump just gave a role model to a party base that was already driven by oppositional defiant disorder. When Trump, in his own long-term interest, decides to support the structure rather than tear it down, suddenly the brats don’t listen to him. I mean when you let them get drunk every night, they’re not going to like it when you tell them to switch to milk.

Which is why Matt “Morrissey Called, He Wants His Hairstyle Back” Gaetz admitted when called out by McCarthy that he didn’t care if Hakeem Jeffries ended up getting the speakership, and why Gaetz was seen on the House floor in conversations with people like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who in her previous terms was one of the people who thought Nancy Pelosi wasn’t leftist enough.

What it is is that these guys want all the freedom to be bomb throwers and all the privileges of being in the establishment. They want all the rights and none of the responsibilities. They want to have it both ways. In short, they’re Republicans.

Anti-McCarthy Trumpnik Lauren Boebert engaged in a semi-serious discussion with Stephanie Ruhle on MSDNC, the same week she had a discussion with Sean Hannity that was actually more combative, and you know, give Boebert points for showing up, given that most Republicans don’t see going on MSDNC as being worth the effort, and most of that network’s hosts agree. But one of the points she was trying to make is that for years, no one in the House leadership, in either party, really cared about conservative concerns like balancing the budget, and the only way for that to happen was for the “radicals” to use their leverage.

Reason Magazine had at least one web article this week taking this premise at face value, mocking Mainstream Media for saying these guys only care about personal power when they actually have real procedural concerns, or that they are only serving Trump when the leaders (including Boebert) have specifically gone against him to oppose McCarthy. “None of Mr. McCarthy’s opponents reversed course after receiving calls from Mr. Trump encouraging them to do so,” Lerer and Epstein note. If they are not in it for him, the Times suggests, they must be in it for themselves, because they cannot possibly be trying to accomplish what they say they are trying to accomplish—a proposition so absurd that it is not even worth considering.”

Yes, Charlie Brown, and this time I’ll keep the football on the ground FOR SURE.

The fact that Republicans – and a lot of non-Republicans – had serious questions about how Democrats were running things didn’t mean Republicans had a better idea in 2016. What is absurd is thinking that “conservatives” are any more concerned with fiscal restraint and regular order than they were last year, or when Republicans were last in charge. What is absurd is watching Republican majorities balloon the deficit that much more than Democrats who actually advertise how much they tax and spend. The last time a Republican Speaker seriously tried to change things was Newt Gingrich with the Contract With America, and we all know how that went. The reason the Mainstream Media are so quick to assume the rebels are more concerned with power and privilege than good government is because they have had years and years to watch this process, and know not to take any of these presentations in good faith, unlike Reason Magazine.

Taking the rebels seriously is to act under the assumption that these Republicans think that elected office is a public responsibility, when they think that the purpose of elected office is an opportunity to be the Christian conservative version of GG Allin. But then, given that Allin’s real legal name was Jesus Christ, the analogy may be that much more apt.

But the fact that a small minority is holding up the process underlies the point that the vast majority of House Republicans really do want McCarthy, or at least see him as the best of options. But because of their weak margin of superiority, without the holdouts, Republicans are actually outnumbered by the 212 Democrats voting consistently for Hakeem Jeffries. Nobody considers that if the Democrats are the known element and the Gaetz types are never going to vote McCarthy, the main Republicans actually have the power to make a decision. If they can’t get enough people to go McCarthy they can go outside the cycle and find a conservative that the Gaetz types do not hate, or, some Republicans, even just six, can vote for Jeffries, or Republicans can move for plurality vote, which would either lead to a Jeffries win or scare the radicals with that possibility and convince them to go with the main Republicans’ choice.

But that would mean taking a stand, even if it’s for somebody who is on paper more conservative than McCarthy, and the “normal” Republicans don’t want to alienate either McCarthy or the insurrectionists, just like McCarthy wants to be the leader of “normal” Republicans and also of the insurrectionists.

So they want all the freedom to be bomb throwers and all the privileges of being in the establishment. They want all the rights and none of the responsibilities. They want to have it both ways. In short, they’re Republicans.

And if this is the behavior you can expect from the sane and sensible Republicans, it’s no wonder the lunatics are running the asylum.

Maybe It’s The Beginning Of The End

“So here are the conclusions that this year tells us:

The first, sad conclusion is that there were a lot of lies this year and it must stop.”

-Margarita Simonyan, Russia Today propagandist

There is still a pretty good chance that Donald Trump may again be the Viceroy for Russian North America, if only because the Republican Party isn’t motivated to stop him from being nominated as their candidate. Even though, weeks after announcing a presidential campaign, he really isn’t doing much with it. Early in December he blasted a “MAJOR ANNOUNCEMENT” that some people thought might actually be a major announcement relevant to his political strategy, assuming he had one. Which he doesn’t. Instead he did a video where the big announcement was a new line of NFT virtual trading cards featuring Trump in poses like superhero and astronaut (also, policeman, sailor, construction worker, cowboy, Indian chief…). For $99 each, with no guarantee which one you’d get. This was so ridiculous even Trumpworld felt the need to ridicule it. Steve Bannon, on his “War Room” podcast, said “I can’t do this anymore… We’re at war,” Bannon said. “They oughta be fired today.” Bannon’s guest, Sebastian Gorka, said, “Whoever wrote that pitch should be fired and should never be involved” – as if Gorka and Bannon both didn’t know that Trump isn’t going to do anything he doesn’t want to do.

Around the same time, a Trumpnik with the appropriate alias “Baked Alaska”, who got convicted on misdemeanor earlier this year for participating in the Capitol riot, told reporters, “I can’t believe I’m going to jail for an NFT salesman.”

Poor little Trumpniks. They actually thought he was serious. That he cared about something greater than himself.

They thought Trump was going to be their Hard Man. Their version of Vladimir Putin, or at least Rodrigo Duterte. They thought he was gonna kick ass and take names, and anybody who didn’t march in step was gonna be sent to the Gulag.

What they got was Liddle Donnie Clown Boy. What they got was the guy who sells Trump Vodka and Trump Steaks.

And given that Trump doesn’t drink alcohol, and eats steaks well-done with ketchup, they should have figured that he knows just as much about government as he does about liquor and cooking.

(It kind of raises the question of what Trump would do if he had a Food Network show. ‘Next the recipe calls for a tablespoon of kosher salt, which as everybody knows, is salt that only comes from the front part of the cow.’)

It also doesn’t help Trump’s case going towards the 2024 campaign that the Democrats in Congress finally got access to Trump’s tax returns, with just enough time to release them to the public before Republicans take over the House. Investigative journalist and longtime Trump hunter David Cay Johnston came up with his own take, saying “Trump’s Taxes Are the Best Case Yet for Putting Him in Prison” even as he also details why that hasn’t happened yet. As Johnston himself says, whatever tax reforms he would recommend are not going to do any good now because they haven’t been enacted yet, and they probably won’t be, because as he says, the people who benefit from the system as it is are also the donor class, and some of the politicians they sponsor in both parties. Of course most of them don’t have the capacity to appoint their own Treasury Secretary and IRS chief, as Trump did.

His usual weasely presentation has been that he did everything legally and he was just working the system and “that makes me smart” and all that. And that may indeed be true. But if so, it just raises the question, if he didn’t do anything wrong, why was he so desperate to hide what he did?

Well, Johnston’s article also points out: “Perhaps most glaring in the tax returns is that they include 26 Trump businesses—or imaginary businesses—with zero revenue and hundreds of thousands of dollars in tax deductions for expenses.

“Unless Trump can produce records showing the expenses are real and meet other standards to be deductible, that’s fraud. That Trump did it 26 times as a candidate and as president is powerful evidence that he qualifies for prosecution by the federal government and New York State for criminal tax fraud.”

But again, that assumes that someone’s actually going to enforce the law, and most of the reason things got to this point is that nobody does. When Trump wasn’t a politician, it wasn’t considered a priority to go after him, and even after he used his presidency to make himself a national security risk, for that reason, the political establishment now think he’s too big to fail.

This year, when Saturday Night Live again gave Dave Chappelle a host gig the weekend after an election, he said, among many other politically incorrect things, that Trump is very popular, even loved, among some people at least. Because Trump is “an honest liar.” As in, during his first debate, he said “this whole system is rigged!” And when the moderator asked him to demonstrate why, Trump said, “I know the system is rigged, because I USE it.” He said to Hillary Clinton (according to Chappelle), “if you want me to pay my taxes, change the tax code. But I know you won’t, because your friends and your donors enjoy the same tax breaks that I do.’ …And with that, my friends, a star was born.”

It really brings up the old phrase “Hypocrisy is the respect that vice pays to virtue.” Or as I said, a long time ago when this all started: “But when the virtue of honesty is conflated with the vice of rudeness – often by a political class who have good reason to fear honesty – the result is that anyone who wishes to sell rudeness can do so by calling it honesty. And thus a population deprived of the virtue will embrace the vice. It’s like living in the most antiseptic circumstances and then finally being exposed to filth, and your immune system has no experience with it.” We can see simply from the example of Hillary Clinton what hypocrisy leads us to. But if one objects to the vice underlying hypocrisy, obviously the solution is to challenge the vice, not openly embrace it. What we’re seeing is the open embrace of vice, and why it’s not an improvement on hypocrisy. Because when the ruling class can’t even bother to lie anymore, they have no reason to moderate their evil, because they know no one’s going to call them on it.

Much as all those professional Christians that Republicans nominated to the Supreme Court told the Democrats that Roe v. Wade was “settled law” (when it wasn’t), that simply ending Roe wasn’t going to undermine the right to abortion in states that still affirmed it (when it did) and the Dobbs decision didn’t set a precedent on civil rights cases like Obergefell v. Hodges (when it does). We have now reached the dangerous point where the powers that be still feel the need to lie, but can’t even bother to lie WELL.

There is still a need to lie because previous evidence to the contrary, there was still a fear that reactionary forces could have pushed the envelope too far. That maybe, hey, we can’t just admit we’re running an entire country only for the benefit of people who agree with us and fuck everybody else in it. Those other people might get MAD. And, previous evidence to the contrary, this election they actually DID.

The reason a liar continues to lie when lying would be unnecessary or impractical is because to lie is to set up a conflict between what wants to be true and what one knows to be true. Thus, self-deception is the root of any lie. But this means that there are only two ways to resolve the conflict: Either force everyone else to go along with the lie or to give up the lie. And the real problem occurs when the outside world makes it clear it will not be forced.

Ukraine is just a more visceral example. My quote at the beginning was from Margarita Simonyan, a “journalist” for Russia Today, the main media service of the Putin government. It was part of a year-end review of Russia’s performance, or lack thereof, in the “special military operation” against the “Nazi” government of Ukraine. Now, simply because one is a propagandist doesn’t mean one can’t tell the truth. Just because one might prefer to believe the Ukrainian government doesn’t mean they don’t engage in propaganda. But it comes down to the fact that you don’t have to “believe” anything but the facts. If Russia were winning in Ukraine, it would be a lot easier for them to say so. If they had actually managed to take the capital in three days, they could have filmed it. Russia and Ukraine can say anything they want about who’s winning, but I believe Ukraine is winning by simple virtue of the fact that they’re still around. We’ve heard that some people can make a silk purse out of a sow’s ear, but that requires a sow’s ear. Russia doesn’t even have a sow’s ear to work with, which is why even their propaganda ministries are unable to point to victories that haven’t happened and instead point fingers everywhere except where the problem starts.

For a shill like Simonyan to truly stop the lies, she would have to start with the first obvious one: That Ukraine is just a “little Russia”, that it doesn’t really exist as its own nationality and that therefore Russia can just walk in and take it without anybody seriously trying to stop them. But by implication that would mean challenging the greater premise that supports it: That you can have faith in a ruthless leader whose decisions are more wise the more unaccountable he becomes. Ending that belief would challenge her whole world view, and she’s not going to do that. Likewise an American fascist like Steve Bannon might admit that his Leader is capable of error, but he’s going to go back to serving Trump, like he has in the past. Where else is he going to go? What else is he going to do? Be normal???

You cannot expect these people to just evolve or grow out of it. On an individual level, people who aren’t fully invested in the lie may realize it isn’t working out for them and quit supporting it, which is a big part of why Democratic candidates won in 2022, either because of Republicans voting for them or simply not voting at all. But the people who are most invested have the most to lose, and not just in terms of money. The best and brightest of the fascists might be capable of acknowledging the facts against them, but they are too emotional to grasp why the facts are against them, because that would challenge their whole view of reality.

We cannot assume that the bad guys will just see the error of their ways, or just die out. Trump and Putin may be old, but they’re not dying fast enough. And even if they died tomorrow, their proteges would be waiting in the wings, because they’ve been taught to think that bad behavior would be rewarded. The only thing that disincentivizes bad behavior is to quit rewarding it. And that means actively resisting it, either on the battlefield or the ballot box. That does not guarantee success, let alone some utopian future, but for quite some time – a little bit before Brexit and Trump, actually – it seemed as though the forces of regression had the upper hand, and were going to direct the world. This autumn the rest of the world showed they would, and could, fight back. And that might be a turning point, a beginning of the end for “post-liberal” lying and corruption.

That might actually be a Happy New Year.

The Art of Modern War

“I don’t need a ride, I need ammo.”

-Ukrainian President Volodomyr Zelenskyy, February 2022

“I don’t need ammo, I need a ride.”

– Russian Armed Forces, September 2022

Welcome back my friends, to the war that never ends.
On November 11, which we celebrate as Veterans’ Day from the Armistice of World War I in the West (in Russia, they weren’t quite so lucky), Ukraine liberated the city of Kherson, capital of Kherson Oblast, the only major regional capital that Russia managed to capture in 2022. It was a surprise how suddenly it happened. Less than three days before, Russia controlled a large territory on the west bank of the Dnipro River which comes into the Black Sea near Kherson. On November 9, Ukraine retook the town of Snihurivka, which is about 59 kilometers drive from Kherson city. And now Ukraine’s military is in Kherson’s center.
It was not expected to be this easy. Given the Putin government’s general contempt for human rights, everyone in the West expected Russia’s telegraphed withdrawal from the area to be a giant trap, with garrisons hiding in the cities to snipe at Ukrainian troops, or worse, Russia blowing the dam on the east side of the river to flood the city and delta, causing thousands of casualties. That didn’t happen, or if there are any traps, no one has seen them yet. On YouTube, the channel Combat Veteran Reacts pointed out that Russia needed to secure bridges to get people across before blowing them up to stop the enemy. With temporary pontoon bridges, they’re usually only one vehicle wide, which means you might have a max of 50 troops in an APC cross the river at a time. That would of course assume that everyone was retreating in good order. “What appears maybe to have happened is that instead of a systematic careful withdrawal that Ukraine can exploit, the Russians just… heard a withdrawal order on the TV, literally picked up their rifles, got into any vehicle, and just drove to the river.” Which, as with their retreat from Kharkiv Oblast in September means leaving a lot of military equipment behind, only worse because the earlier campaign was over more open terrain.

Since then the war has become a bit more stagnant, but as the weather worsens, Russia has tried to press for what advantage it can, mainly by pushing for the east-central town of Bakhmut, which most Western military analysts think has little strategic value. By contrast, Ukraine took not only the Kherson area west of the Dnipro, they really changed the course of the war by taking back most of the Kharkiv oblast due northeast of their capital, Kyiv. That was some time after they had managed to defend the capital well enough to make Russia retreat from their offensive there. Overall, since Vladimir Putin started his war of choice in February 24, 2022, Ukraine has taken back roughly half of the territory that Russia managed to seize at the high mark of their invasion progress.

It is the most impressive military campaign in Europe since World War II. And one of the ironies is that while Putin has tried to combine the reactionary politics of the Orthodox Church with the statism and organized power of the Soviet Union, part of Ukraine’s success is that, intentionally or not, they are doing a better job with World War II Soviet military theory than the Russians.

The Soviet approach to land warfare was called deep operation, or deep battle doctrine, and it was so called because it dealt with not only tactics and strategy but also what the US military now calls the operational level of a military campaign, dealing with the totality of both tactical and strategic affairs. According to the Wikipedia article, “It was a tenet that emphasized destroying, suppressing or disorganizing enemy forces not only at the line of contact but also throughout the depth of the battlefield. …The goal of a deep operation was to inflict a decisive strategic defeat on the enemy’s logistical abilities and render the defence of their front more difficult, impossible, or indeed irrelevant. ” In military history, the theory was most associated with Mikhail Tukhachevsky, a marshal who got executed in Stalin’s purges, but after Hitler betrayed Stalin and invaded Soviet Russia, Marshal Zhukov and other generals re-developed it and put it to use against the Axis. However the first theorist to name the theory was Vladimir Trianadfillov, a Soviet general who died in 1931.

Deep battle’s emphasis on mobile warfare and encirclement resembled the Germans’ contemporary ‘blitzkrieg’ tactics (which themselves borrowed from maverick generals in Britain and France) but according to its name, went deeper in intention and results. From the article:

“Blitzkrieg emphasized the importance of a single strike on a Schwerpunkt (focal point) as a means of rapidly defeating an enemy; deep battle emphasized the need for multiple breakthrough points and reserves to exploit the breach quickly. The difference in doctrine can be explained by the strategic circumstances for the Soviet Union and Germany at the time. Germany had a smaller population but a better-trained army, and the Soviet Union had a larger population but a less-trained army. As a result, Blitzkrieg emphasized narrow front attacks in which quality could be decisive, but deep battle emphasized wider front attacks in which quantity could be used effectively.

“In principle, the Red Army would seek to destroy the enemy’s operational reserves and its operational depth and occupy as much of his strategic depth as possible. Within the Soviet concept of deep operations was the principle of strangulation if the situation demanded it, instead of physically encircling the enemy and destroying him immediately. Triandafillov stated in 1929:

The outcome in modern war will be attained not through the physical destruction of the opponent but rather through a succession of developing manoeuvres that will aim at inducing him to see his ability to comply further with his operational goals. The effect of this mental state leads to operational shock or system paralysis, and ultimately to the disintegration of his operational system. The success of the operational manoeuvre is attained through all-arms combat (combined arms) at the tactical level, and by combining a frontal holding force with a mobile column to penetrate the opponent’s depth at the operational level. The element of depth is a dominant factor in the conduct of deep operations both in the offensive and defensive.”

This differed from blitzkrieg and “Clausewitzian” principles of destroying enemy units in the field, which was the main focus of Germany in the two World Wars. The article states that the major example of this approach was Operation Uranus, the Soviet encirclement of the German Sixth Army at Stalingrad; once the Germans were committed in the city, the weaker military units guarding the flanks were routed and the Germans were cut off from any escape. At that point the Soviets simply waited for winter and lack of supply to defeat the Germans in the city. The Battle of Stalingrad ended up capturing 91,000 Axis soldiers.

The other term used for this military approach in World War II was maskirovka (masquerade), basically deceiving the Germans as to where the Soviet offensive was going to move so that the Axis would try to defend in a different area and then the Soviets would attack at a weak point. What Americans might call “hit ’em where they ain’t.” Not unlike what the Western Allies did in 1944 when they made all their maneuvering in Britain look like our invasion of Nazi Europe was going to start in Calais (a narrower point in the English Channel than Normandy and closer to both Paris and Germany) so that the Nazi garrisons were concentrated there instead of the real invasion points (in Normandy) so that Normandy was less defended and the Allies had more time and space to expand the beach heads.

Ukraine, with its relatively small army and pre-war lack of mobile forces, is not really able to perform Nazi or Soviet style encirclements of Russians on the battlefield. But they have still been operating as much on an operational as a tactical level, with the Kharkiv offensive in particular being not so much simply engaging the enemy directly as wearing down their front and support lines before attacking so that the offensive was on their terms. As with maskirovka, the principal element was feinting moves to make Russia believe that the main offensive was going toward Kherson city. US military support was critical in this regard, as HIMARS missile batteries were used to strike behind Russian lines up to 70 kilometers, hitting critical supply and ammunition depots. Another huge factor in Ukraine’s success with deception is its greater mastery of modern information war; one Ukrainian official said “They are blind, we see everything.” Ukrainian strikes behind the lines also included attacks on Russian radar systems and the use of anti-aircraft systems to counter Russian drones and air missions. By September 6, Ukrainian forces had amassed at a focal point in Balakliia, dazing Russian forces and causing a rapid retreat. By September 9, Ukraine had reached Kupiansk, a major rail and transportation hub, undermining Russia’s ability to resupply and redeploy in the sector and contributing to the armed forces’ decision to withdraw to the Oskil river. But in October Ukraine continued the offensive and managed to reach as far as Kreminna before Russia managed to regroup and push back. In the wake of all this Russia’s forces were further deteriorated by loss of equipment, partially because of Ukraine’s rapid advance but also because Russian attempts to blow bridges frequently occured before they could get tanks and heavy equipment across, and as Russian troops simply abandoned their defense posts.

Which only brings up the point that as cunning as Ukraine’s strategy has been up to this point, its success has at least as much to do with the deficiencies of the Russian side.

Putin launched his invasion in February apparently on the assumption that Ukraine’s field defenses were just going to break, he would be able to take Kyiv, and then whatever rump government managed to hold the west of Ukraine would eventually accede to whatever stooge he wanted to impose on them. He may have thought this because President Zelenskyy really wasn’t that popular at home before the war started, or because the West hadn’t done anything to help Ukraine after Russia’s previous violations of Ukrainian territory in 2014 and after. Indeed, part of Putin’s escalation to full-scale war was his diplomatic recognition of the pro-Russia Luhansk and Donetsk “republics” on Ukraine’s eastern border with Russia, and the fact that Ukraine had been fighting those separatists on a low level for years despite lack of Western support should have told Putin that his “special military operation” wasn’t going to be just a three-hour tour.

A large part of this is the relative lack of presence of the Russian Air Force. Many of its Sukhoi models of close air support craft are outdated by 21st Century standards. The Ukrainians’ use of anti-aircraft batteries, even before high-level NATO support, demonstrated greater efficiency for the value than Russian offensive air and contributed to making Russian pilots “risk averse.” Part of that is because Russian craft are more reliant on unguided weapons, meaning they have to get close to the target to fire. The overall problem is that Russia’s military does not train their pilots intensively, with their flying time roughly 100 hours per year, less than one-third that of their NATO counterparts. More skilled pilots would be better able to reach “dynamic” targets and still survive.

That hollowness and lack of support point to an even more fundamental problem with Russia’s military. In October, a lieutenant general reported that 1.5 sets of military uniforms had gone missing. Apparently this was 1.5 million sets of uniforms that were supposed to be on record and are now unaccounted for. These were supposed to include winter uniforms. And as the Starks would say, winter is coming. Such gear as they do have is not optimized for winter and is made out of synthetic materials to save costs. Corruption is endemic in the entire Russian government, leading to a military that is more designed for the elites to profit from graft than to perform its national defense or attack purposes. “Most companies responsible for providing food to the Russian military are connected to Yevgeny Prigozhin — the patron of PMC Wagner, the mercenary organization, and sponsor of the Internet Research Agency, which has been accused of meddling in the United States elections. ” The military’s performance in the Ukraine invasion was foreshadowed by the fact that just a few days after the first attacks, Russia, the greatest fuel exporter in Europe, had army vehicles stuck on the road for lack of gas. The country uses tanks dating back from the 1980s and earlier. And of course it has absolutely no regard for information security, which is why social media has so many examples of Russian soldiers calling home from war zones. So if everyone on YouTube knows where the Russians are and what they’re doing, certainly the Ukrainian Armed Forces do.

So you have a Russian invader force that is easily monitored by Ukraine, poorly equipped, poorly organized, with no one knowing what they’re doing, no chain of command who can tell grunts what the mission is and what to do if conditions change, no one cares about anything besides getting through the day or how much they can scam from the war zone, and no one really wants to be there besides Vladimir Putin. And every day their support network is being hammered by Ukraine so it would be that much harder to hold a position once Ukraine actually advances. And then one day, they advance.

The end result was the ultimate example of “quiet quitting.”

Putin says on one hand that Ukraine is essentially Russia and there is no such thing as Ukraine, but then he forgot why you don’t want to start a war with Russia. Even if YOU ARE Russia.

Moreover, like any good fascist, Putin seems to think that that which he wishes to be so therefore is so. He seems to think that because the “traditional Russia” exists in his mind, that his country still has the tools of traditional Russia, namely an inexhaustible manpower reserve. Like, the Germans could kill all the Russians they wanted and there would still be more. That’s not the case any more, and it hasn’t been the case for quite some time. According to Wikipedia: “From the 1990s to 2001, Russia’s death rate had exceeded its birth rate, which has been called a demographic crisis by analysts. Subsequently, the nation has an ageing population, with the median age of the country being 40.3 years. In 2009, Russia recorded annual population growth for the first time in fifteen years; and during the mid-2010s, Russia had seen increased population growth due to declining death rates, increased birth rates and increased immigration. However, since 2020, due to excess deaths from the COVID-19 pandemic, Russia’s population has undergone its largest peacetime decline in recorded history. In 2020, the total fertility rate across Russia was estimated to be 1.5 children born per woman, which is below the replacement rate of 2.1 and about equal to the European average.” Also, in 1941, the Russian fertility rate (number of children born to each woman) was 4.6. In 1945 it was 1.92. The previously higher fertility rates did not lead to an overall population increase because of Russia’s Civil War, the two world wars and “political killings”.
This is of course why Putin invaded Ukraine with a peacetime army not nearly the size needed to subdue the population and army of Ukraine, and the failure of that was not even so much because of not having 300,000 more men but because Russia didn’t have the supplies to cover the force it did have.

Which all adds up to the fact that Russia simply doesn’t have the wherewithal to run a military the size of the Soviet Union. Heck, the Soviet Union couldn’t afford a military the size of the Soviet Union’s, which was a large part of why the Cold War ended.

Less than two days after appearing at the battlefield in Bakhmut, Ukrainian President Volodomyr Zelenskyy made a surprise flight (most likely unannounced for security reasons) to Washington DC, appearing at a press conference with President Biden on December 21 to petition the US government for more military support. He then appeared to a joint session of Congress, much as Winston Churchill spoke to Congress just after Pearl Harbor, the difference being that Churchill probably had less fascist sympathizers on the Republican side of the aisle. But Zelenskyy said at one point that most Ukrainians would be celebrating Christmas this holiday by candlelight, not out of sentiment, but because of Russian attacks on their infrastructure. But he continued, “we will celebrate Christmas, and even if there is no electricity, the light of our faith in ourselves will not be put out.”

It gets to a point that applies to both Ukrainians and Russians this winter, which one of the MSNBC talking heads made when they found out about Zelenskyy’s visit Wednesday morning. Quoting Napoleon, he said: “In war, the moral is to the physical as three is to one.”

MAGAGA!!!

“And so the first returns are in, and the Silly Party has taken Leicester! What do you think of that- Norman?”

“Well, yes, the election went much as I predicted, except that the Silly Party won.”

-“Election Night”, Monty Python’s Flying Circus

So now, finally, the 2022 midterms are over. In the Georgia runoff, incumbent Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock won – barely – against college football star and Trump friend Herschel Walker, who got a huge amount of Republican turnout despite or likely because being as dumb as an entire store full of left shoes and picked only because Trump wanted him and the rest of the Republicans thought this was the ideal Black candidate. If nothing else, we now know why it’s better to be a werewolf than a vampire: Warnock is an ordained minister, and Clerics can’t turn werewolves.

Now, given that even before this, Democrats had managed to keep 50 seats in the Senate and held the House Republicans to a five-seat majority (who probably aren’t in consensus about their leadership) the conventional wisdom from everyone was that Donald Trump was to blame for pushing a whole bunch of election-liar candidates who wanted to skew state governments to make sure no one could elect Democrats again. That and, the Alito Court’s decision to strike down Roe v. Wade attracted a surprising amount of anger. Well, it surprised Republicans, anyway. Hey, Mr. Alito, it turns out that women had the right to choose after all. Maybe while you were obviating the 14th Amendment and completely ignoring the Ninth, you could have used your magical legal bullshit to eliminate the 19th Amendment and take away women’s right to vote. It would have made things so much easier for your Party.

Usually in a midterm election, voters kick out the party in power. Except, people perceived, not just because of the Dobbs decision, that the party in power isn’t so much the Biden Democrats as the Trump Republicans. Supposedly even before the election, Trump told insiders that creating a pro-life supermajority on the Supreme Court wasn’t going to help him politically, and it’s another one of the factors that pin the blame on him for Republican performance.

That’s one of the reasons why Republicans supposedly begged the former Russian Viceroy to hold off on announcing a re-election campaign until after the election, but just one week afterward, November 15, he made this big presentation at Mar-a-Lago and announced he was running to stay out of prison for President of the United States. Those who actually bothered to watch said it was a great example of what Trump used to call “low energy.” Such that the press caught some people trying to leave the room.

Anyway, somewhere inside a speech that was so wandering and tedious that even Laura Ingraham cut away from it, Trump said he was going to “make America great and glorious again.”

MAGAGA!

Isn’t that Lady Gaga’s final form?

But the problem with paying any attention to this at all is that I simply don’t have time to. In the time between the general election, the Trump announcement and the Georgia runoff, Trump actually managed to get himself involved in multiple fuckups. On the way to Make America Gross And Ghetto Again, Trump decided to host Kanye West at Mar-a-Lago. Kanye West, who now legally goes by “Ye.” (I assume this is supposed to be ‘yay’ as in the last syllable, but I pronounce it ‘yee’ as in Ye Gads.) He has recently been accompanied everywhere by “traditional Catholic” and white supremacist Nick Fuentes, acting as Ye’s wannabe Salacious Crumb. If you don’t know who Fuentes is, congratulations, you have a life. If you actually want to know, just do a Google search on the phrase WHERE THE FUCK IS YOUR CHIN? Anyway, Kanye has been erratic for quite some time, as anybody who follows hip-hop could tell you, but he really started acting crazy – by Kanye standards – when he twitted that he was going to go “death con 3 on JEWISH PEOPLE”. Except DEFCON is an abbreviation and he actually spelled it ‘death’. You would think a black man would know how to spell DEF. Whatever. It got to where Ye and Fuentes appeared on Alex Jones’ show (with Ye wearing full-body clothing and a full mask with zip holes for the eyes, apparently to keep TheJews from injecting him with nanotech) and everyone thought, “Wow, I hope Alex Jones can talk some sense into this guy.”

Ye, like Trump, was also supported by Elon Musk at Twitter at least until Ye said he would allow the banned Alex Jones to post from his account, posted a swastika inside a Star of David, and when threatened by Musk, posted his “final tweet” as a picture of Musk getting hosed down at the beach. (‘I love free speech so much, I’m letting Q people and racists back!’ ‘Hey boss, Kanye posted a pic of you looking whiter than a night light.’ ‘Ban his ass.’) Not that Elon gave up on trying to help Trump: This last week he made an arrangement with Gonzo journalist Matt Taibbi to release “The Twitter Files” – on Twitter – being a set of internal communications where Twitter staff debated whether to release emails from Hunter Biden’s pilfered laptop three weeks before the 2020 election. They eventually decided against doing so, but without consulting then-head and Twitter founder Jack Dorsey, who now calls their decision a mistake. The staff had also consulted left-wing free speech advocate Congressman Ro Khanna (D.-California) who recommended against killing the story.
And you know where this is going. In order to Make America Goonish And Garish Again, Trump committed his compound fuckup. Posting on his Truf Censhal platform, he said, “So, with the revelation of MASSIVE & WIDESPREAD FRAUD & DECEPTION in working closely with Big Tech Companies, the DNC, & the Democrat Party, do you throw the Presidential Election Results of 2020 OUT and declare the RIGHTFUL WINNER, or do you have a NEW ELECTION? A Massive Fraud of this type and magnitude allows for the termination of all rules, regulations, and articles, even those found in the Constitution. Our great ‘Founders’ did not want, and would not condone, False & Fraudulent Elections!”

This has made a lot of people very angry and has been widely regarded as a bad move.

But here is the crux of the issue that lit the fuse on Trump’s tampon: “The Biden campaign asked Twitter to review five tweets, which were later deleted. Taibbi did not disclose the content of the Biden campaign requests, presenting only their URLs; …four tweets contained nude photos and videos of Hunter Biden, which violate Twitter policy and California law as revenge porn.” Again, the joke to me is that Twitter HAS a policy. Based on history, especially now, I thought anybody could post snuff films and prolapse porn and it’s all good.

But apparently Hunter Biden’s penis doesn’t impress most Americans as much as it impresses Republicans. Especially when the main story of this became not an alleged collusion to keep the Biden family from being smeared, but the owner of the Republican Party demanding to terminate the Constitution, in so doing violating his previous oath and creating incriminating evidence in any case against him for the January 6 riot.

Now, the fact that a lot of this mishegoss involved James Baker, a Twitter legal counsel who was also part of James Comey’s FBI investigation into Trump caused a lot of the Right to think, “Oh, praise Jesus, we’ve finally got something on these Demonrats.” But Tuesday the Trump Organization tax fraud trial in New York returned 17 charges as 17 guilty verdicts. And while Trump himself was not personally indicted, suddenly Hunter Biden and his Dad didn’t seem so crooked and evil anymore.

All of which – and it’s a lot, even for this guy – have caused the political-media complex to think that Trump is at his weakest moment, and that if there was ever a time for the Republican Party to get rid of him, it’s now.

HaHaHa.

No.

Sure the smart Republicans are saying they should get rid of Trump. The smart people have known that Trump is bad news for years. The smart people aren’t the ones running the Republican Party. The Party isn’t run by heartless manipulators like Mitch McConnell and Rupert Murdoch. It isn’t run by functionaries like Paul Ryan or Kevin McCarthy. It’s run by people like Lauren “Bubblehead” Boebert and Matt “Morrissey Called, He Wants His Hairstyle Back” Gaetz. People who either are as dumb and venal as they seem or are putting on an act to appeal to voters who are even worse.

They dismiss the critiques of liberals, “liberal” apparently being anybody who thinks that a mob coup is illegal. They say it all comes down to “Orange Man Bad.” Well, YES. Orange Man Bad. Also: White slavery bad. Leprosy bad. Cancer bad. Why are we debating the given? The problem is not Orange Man Bad, the problem is that the modern Republican Party could defend and support cancer as long as cancer helped them ban abortion.

Trump’s sorta like Hitler. Except Hitler liked dogs. And he served in the military. And he didn’t cheat on his girlfriend.
Now you may be going, “No, No. Stop. Why are you acting like Trump is worse than Hitler? Hitler was Hitler.” Exactly. I’m saying, if the Trumpniks want to sell my country to some idiot clownboy who’s not even AS good as Hitler, maybe we should cut the Germans some slack.

Maybe we should quit thinking America is “exceptional” and admit we were just lucky.

Maybe, just as people of Russian and Chinese and German ethnicity can move to this country and adopt that can-do, optimistic, individualist American spirit, so it is possible for Americans to adopt the sullen, collectivist, Sklavmoral mindset of Russians or Nazi-era Germans, if the local culture changes enough.

Trump might be a loathsome mass of all potential human vices, congealed into something resembling a humanoid form, but if one were to judge from his positions prior to getting into politics, you could see why some made the case that he could be a good leader. He didn’t always agree with Republican orthodoxy and he clearly didn’t care about following the party’s internal political correctness. Unfortunately what seemed like pragmatism was simply not having a moral core beyond “anything that gets me what I want is good”.

Even more unfortunately, that description also fits most of the people who worship Trump, including all the Good Christians (TM) who were amazingly eager to discard their decorum and moralism as long as government trampled over all that procedural stuff that conservatives used to favor. Like, the Constitution.

For all the huffing and handwringing in the media and the Republican Party about Trump palling around with terrorists and wanting to get rid of the Constitution, they really shouldn’t be acting so surprised. And both the Republican establishment and the liberal media should quit acting like this is gonna make a difference. You notice that for the last six years, Trump has always been pushing it. The “good” Republicans and establishment people (including people in his own inner circle) have always tried to pull him back towards respectability. That never works. He always pulls them further and further into the slime. Because he’s been betting that they need him more than he needs them, and so far, that bluff has not been called.

Because if it is, Trump can always take his ball and go home, that “ball” being his voter base. And for both moral and long-term practical reasons, the Republican Party really should cut him off and make it clear that they don’t want to have the kind of people that Trump encourages in the Party. But the implication there is that without those people, they won’t even be as competitive in national elections as they are now, cause this is the base they’ve been cultivating for years before him. He simply said the sort of stuff they were saying to themselves and wouldn’t admit cause that would make them unpopular with the rest of the country. Trump showed them they didn’t have to care about that. He gave the base the freedom to be their worst selves. He gave the base the freedom to be … base.

As I say, it’s horrible enough that these guys emulate the Nazis, but the problem is they’re so BAD at it.

Not even the original Nazis. I mean, back in the ’70s, the ACLU took flak because they defended the right of Illinois Nazis to protest in a Jewish neighborhood in Skokie. Hey, remember when that sort of thing WASN’T tolerated by an establishment political party? But this is them:

Look at these guys. Clean-cut, uniformed, capable of marching in formation, and I can’t see from here, but the slogans they’re carrying are probably grammatically correct.

Now think of the guys who stormed the Capitol. Fat, slovenly, unshaven and just bringing whatever odd gear they had to the riot like it was a BYOB (Bring Your Own Bombs).

I’m just saying, our standards for fascism have really gone downhill.

I mean, if Nazi Germany invaded the Soviet Union and their tanks had the little metal testicles dangling off the back, that would be the Republican Party right now.

Again, Trump IS the base and the base IS Trump. Who in the Republican political class is more like the Republican Party than Trump? Even if they trained to walk with their knuckles at waist level and learned how to talk English gooder, they wouldn’t mean it. And the more civilized Republicans are no longer able to cover for them, because the agenda has been laid bare. And Democrats have been stewing over all those Supreme Court appointees mouthing “settled law” so many times, even they might have figured out they should quit trusting conservatives.


So why NOT keep supporting Trump? The alternative would be to… actually come up with common-sense, centrist and right-wing ideas that would appeal to the general public. But then they’d have to admit the general public into the movement, and then they would no longer have the freedom to be their worst selves. If they could appeal to the wider public, they wouldn’t be who they are.

So for the next two years (at least) they’re going to keep goosestepping behind Trump so he can Make America Gallant And Goofus Again. Reagan would not have recognized this party, but Barry Goldwater would have. He was the one who said “Mark my word, if and when these preachers get control of the party, and they’re sure trying to do so, it’s going to be a terrible damn problem. Frankly, these people frighten me. Politics and governing demand compromise. But these Christians believe they are acting in the name of God, so they can’t and won’t compromise. I know, I’ve tried to deal with them.” But in a lesser-known quote on similar lines, he said: “Those who seek absolute power, even though they seek it to do what they regard as good, are simply demanding the right to enforce their own version of heaven on earth. And let me remind you, they are the very ones who always create the most hellish tyrannies. Absolute power does corrupt, and those who seek it must be suspect and must be opposed. Their mistaken course stems from false notions of equality, ladies and gentlemen. Equality, rightly understood, as our founding fathers understood it, leads to liberty and to the emancipation of creative differences. Wrongly understood, as it has been so tragically in our time, it leads first to conformity and then to despotism. Fellow Republicans, it is the cause of Republicanism to resist concentrations of power, private or public, which enforce such conformity and inflict such despotism. It is the cause of Republicanism to ensure that power remains in the hands of the people.”

But this party seems to think that’s commie wokeness or whatever their influencers have told them to hate this week.

It continues to marginalize conservatives and libertarians like myself, who stupidly believed that the Right was about creating a limited constitutional republic and free-market economy, as opposed to trolling the libs and giving more power to the already privileged because one identifies with them as opposed to your fellow working stiffs. Cause apparently the toadies and trolls are more numerous than the liberty caucus, or at least more motivated.

Unfortunately for them, the last election, which should have been the best opportunity for Republicans to make gains against a flawed and unpopular Biden Administration, demonstrated that this approach isn’t going to work with the voting public, even with all the state and federal rules in their favor. The only route left is another coup. In which case, they have to hope that their militia are not as incompetent as their lawyers and legislators have proven to be. But you know what they say: “A failed coup that isn’t punished isn’t a failure, it’s just a rehearsal.”

So step up, Republicans, it’s time to Make America Greedy And Gullible Again!
Or is that Make America Gluttonous And Grabby Again?

We’re still working this out.

A Sermon To The Republican Party

From the First Book of Samuel, Chapter 8 (King James Version):

And it came to pass, when Samuel was old, that he made his sons judges over Israel.

Now the name of his firstborn was Joel; and the name of his second, Abiah: they were judges in Beersheba.

And his sons walked not in his ways, but turned aside after lucre, and took bribes, and perverted judgment.

Then all the elders of Israel gathered themselves together, and came to Samuel unto Ramah,

And said unto him, Behold, thou art old, and thy sons walk not in thy ways: now make us a king to judge us like all the nations.

But the thing displeased Samuel, when they said, Give us a king to judge us. And Samuel prayed unto the Lord.

And the Lord said unto Samuel, Hearken unto the voice of the people in all that they say unto thee: for they have not rejected thee, but they have rejected me, that I should not reign over them.

According to all the works which they have done since the day that I brought them up out of Egypt even unto this day, wherewith they have forsaken me, and served other gods, so do they also unto thee.

Now therefore hearken unto their voice: howbeit yet protest solemnly unto them, and shew them the manner of the king that shall reign over them.

10 And Samuel told all the words of the Lord unto the people that asked of him a king.

11 And he said, This will be the manner of the king that shall reign over you: He will take your sons, and appoint them for himself, for his chariots, and to be his horsemen; and some shall run before his chariots.

12 And he will appoint him captains over thousands, and captains over fifties; and will set them to ear his ground, and to reap his harvest, and to make his instruments of war, and instruments of his chariots.

13 And he will take your daughters to be confectionaries, and to be cooks, and to be bakers.

14 And he will take your fields, and your vineyards, and your oliveyards, even the best of them, and give them to his servants.

15 And he will take the tenth of your seed, and of your vineyards, and give to his officers, and to his servants.

16 And he will take your menservants, and your maidservants, and your goodliest young men, and your asses, and put them to his work.

17 He will take the tenth of your sheep: and ye shall be his servants.

18 And ye shall cry out in that day because of your king which ye shall have chosen you; and the Lord will not hear you in that day.

19 Nevertheless the people refused to obey the voice of Samuel; and they said, Nay; but we will have a king over us;

20 That we also may be like all the nations; and that our king may judge us, and go out before us, and fight our battles.

21 And Samuel heard all the words of the people, and he rehearsed them in the ears of the Lord.

22 And the Lord said to Samuel, Hearken unto their voice, and make them a king. And Samuel said unto the men of Israel, Go ye every man unto his city.

The Word of the Lord.

And like I said, why should I believe this stuff when clearly you don’t?

People I Can Be Thankful For

If the rule you followed brought you to this, of what use was the rule?

-Cormac McCarthy, No Country For Old Men

Of course this is the week that we’re all supposed to give thanks for what good fortune we had this year and to specify what exactly we are thankful for. Off the top of my head, I can give thanks to at least two people this year.

The first, perhaps not surprisingly, is Donald Trump. The Republican Party has failed to gain more than ten seats in a Congressional midterm where a Democrat was president, and Trumpnik Republican candidates have largely failed to win key races for state government. This historic failure to perform is almost entirely because the Party felt the need to stay in Trump’s good graces and so agreed to nominate election-liar candidates like Adam Laxalt for US Senator in Nevada, Doug Mastriano as Governor in Pennsylvania, and pretty much every Republican in Arizona. All of whom lost.

Now, of course Trump was already planning to announce his wonderful re-election campaign to be Vladimir Putin’s Viceroy for Russian North America, and he was hoping he would get a huge boost from supporting all these candidates who were supposed to sweep against an unpopular Democratic Party and Biden Administration. It turns out, there’s one thing more unpopular than the Biden Democratic Party, and that’s the Trump Republican Party. So that meant Liddle Donnie Clown Boy didn’t get the big push he was hoping for in his campaign announcement. Worse than that, the truly amazing performance of Florida Governor Ron DeSantis and some other Republicans (like Georgia Governor Brian Kemp) who are just as authoritarian as Trump but not as erratic mean that for the first time since 2016, some Republicans are actually advocating for someone else to be President. Of course Trump has to run anyway, basically to stay out of prison, but it’s getting that much harder. In a further act of disloyalty, “his” Supreme Court ordered that he must hand over his tax returns to a House investigative committee. The fact that Democrats won’t have charge of the House after December doesn’t matter, because they can share those documents with Senate committees, and the Senate hasn’t changed over to the Republicans. Again, largely because of the Party going along with Trump’s incompetence.

None of all the establishment Republican huffing and puffing against Trump is going to make much difference, because the professionals haven’t been in charge for a while. I plan to write in much greater detail about this subject, but I am thankful for Donald Trump because he always wants to make everything about him, even when he isn’t on the ballot. And by forcing his party to go along with his Big Lie, he did indeed make the election all about him, because everyone knew that all of those Church of Trump candidates for Governor and Secretary of State were going to change the rules to protect their party, and Trump in particular, from competition in 2024. So he made this election matter about as much as 2024, and a whole bunch of people, probably including some conservatives, realized we had to put a stop to that campaign this year. And we did. And in the process we made it a little less likely that Trump’s scheme to grab power again will work.

Again, none of this is going to stop “the base” from goosestepping in line to elect Trump so that they’ll never have to vote again, but that’s the other reason to be thankful. If Trump’s lies and schemes forced the non-Republican part of the country to move actively against him – which required acting against his Party – he’s forcing Republican and conservative influencers to consider if their slavish loyalty was worth it in the long run. A party that literally is only a Party of Trump, that is only about catering to his whims and delusions, cannot survive. And yet it has taken over precisely because celebrity worship and irrationality are more prized in the public sphere than professionalism and intellect. To really address the broader problem we need to address a culture that would make somebody like Trump president, which is where I get to the other person I want to thank:

Elon Musk.

I have already gone over how much Musk is fucking over Twitter, but apparently he’s not done. In his continuing tilt to squeeze a profit out of a medium that has never been profitable, Musk decided to fire a whole bunch of technical employees only to ask them to come back because they were fired “by mistake” or because he needed them to handle software issues that he didn’t realize needed to be dealt with. It turns out two of these people never worked there in the first place and were just trolling the company. I had said that the Occam’s Razor explanation for Musk’s erratic behavior is that he made a deal without knowing what he was doing or how to run this particular company, and he is hardly disabusing me of that notion.

I now put Elon Musk on a list with Rudy Guiliani and Vladimir Putin – men whom I used to think were intelligent. It turns out they’re just latter-day cases of the Peter Principle. The Peter Principle, for those who didn’t grow up in the ’70s, states that “In a hierarchy, every employee tends to rise to his level of incompetence.” Consequently, “In time, every post tends to be occupied by an employee who is incompetent to carry out its duties.” Like, maybe Vladimir Putin’s skill set at destroying opposition on a political level led him to believe he could invade the largest country in Europe other than Russia, with draftees and trainees and inadequate air support and logistics for the operation, and get the capital to fall in three days. Almost a year after the fact, that doesn’t seem to be the case.

Of course Trump is an even bigger example of the Peter Principle, but the difference is that Musk used to be considered competent. As in, even the people who didn’t like his management of Tesla or Space X didn’t think he was running them into the ground. But now the Tesla stock he was using to back up his takeover has gone down $700 billion in value from a year ago.

I can’t remember where, but someone recently said that Musk’s Twitter purchase was like a gambling addict buying the race track. This is about what you would expect. But I am thankful because not only is Musk wrecking Twitter, he is wrecking its credibility as an information source in the event that someone else takes charge. Liberals have been complaining for some time that Twitter is a monopoly, as if it were the only company providing a posting medium and as if that were the same thing as a public information service. But Musk’s utter disregard for information security really is a problem for anybody who wants to post on Twitter, and illustrates the problem we face when such a large and influential company is suddenly taken over by a capricious nitwit. But the difference between the Twitter base and the Republican Party is that social media users really do have other options. The one currently getting a lot of the buzz is Mastodon. The difference between that service and Twitter is that Mastodon is open-source. A Reason Magazine article explains it this way: “Essentially, Mastodon is a federation of independent but interconnected servers. It’s common to see Mastodon users refer to it as the “fediverse.” For the most part, folks in one part of the Mastodon fediverse can see and interact with folks in all other parts of the Mastodon fediverse.” One poster said, “This really isn’t a place of influencers – at least in its current iteration. If you don’t want to reply to comments on your posts you probably shouldn’t post. This (is) engagement and community not hot takes and “influence” that can be monetarized by advertisers.”

Of course that last bit may illustrate why Twitter got as toxic as it did and why all the people complaining about it didn’t leave until it became more liability than it was worth.

As Adam Conover said recently regarding Musk in particular, “(Sam Bankman-Fried), Elon and (Mark Zuckerberg) haven’t been hurt by their apocalyptic failures, but their image has. Everyone from the media to the government can finally see the truth. And that’s a good thing, because if we remember that these guys are actually dumbasses, then we can beat them.”

Of course that’s the bright-side way to look at it. The other way to look at it is that these con men got as far as they did because the majority who gave them power are that much bigger dumbasses.

Death Of A Twit

On Friday November 11, it was Veterans’ Day, when we honor our veterans, including those who died in service. And I checked my cellphone as I was getting out of bed, and found out that Kevin Conroy, the definitive Batman voice actor, had died. Not only that, Gallagher died.

Gallagher doesn’t die. I always thought that 50 years from now I would be dead and cremated and Gallagher would still be touring the clubs, his skeletal arms lifting the mallet to crush watermelons with maniacal focus, his remaining hairs wisping behind him like the angry ghosts of better comedians.

It’s like when I found out Lou Reed died. Once I was watching a concert video with him and somebody asked, “Who is that old guy? He looks like he’s dying, like he’s starving to death.” And I said, “No, he’s not dying, he’s just Lou Reed!” Lou Reed doesn’t die, he just gets homelier and homelier! And then he really died. Wow. Man, when Lou Reed died, it was a sad day for trans junkie hookers everywhere.

But at this morbid moment, I can at least take solace in an impending death that will actually do the world some good.

Twitter.

People have been bagging on Elon Musk for a while now, and his latest tilt towards the LOL Right has only confirmed why so many people hated him in the first place even as the rest of us admired his entrepreneurial moxie. But his latest and biggest mistake was sealing the deal to buy out Twitter even as he’d found out early on that it wasn’t profitable enough to be worth the investment. And so he is apparently deciding to make it an actual business. And in the process he is doing more to destroy the Twitter brand than he could if he were trying to liquidate Twitter on purpose, and I can’t prove that that isn’t what he’s really doing.

The first thing Musk did was to fire its previous executives including its general counsel, cause I guess Twitter had too much content supervision. Apparently, Elon’s takeover was so poorly done that the Twitter company got locked out of its own account for 12 days because login details had not been shared for the transition.

But the biggest policy change Musk made was to the status of “the blue checkmark.” For most of Twitter’s history, having a blue checkmark next to your account name marked you as the verified user and protected against fakes. To get it, you had to fill out a form. Most public figures’ accounts, like the accounts of the President (and the individual who is or used to be the president) are verified this way. I did not know this until recently because I don’t give a rat’s tail about Twitter and until now it really didn’t matter. But now Musk, officially “Chief Twit”, decided his main goal with the site was to monetize a communications medium that he’d sunk $44 billion into. He told everybody that in order to keep their blue checkmarks, they’d have to pay him $20 per month. And a lot of those verified posters pointed out it was their traffic that built the site, with Stephen King saying “Fuck that, they should pay ME.” So Musk haggled himself down to $8. But then he said that with the monthly fee service, which he christened “Twitter Blue”, you got to use after-post edits and other features that previously weren’t in Twitter before. That’s good. Although most of these features are on Facebook for free. But the company seemed more concerned with monetizing something that had previously been free but optional than with screening out spam/bot accounts, which everyone agrees are a problem on Twitter and that Musk has promised to address as highest priority. Since anybody could “verify” they were who they said they were by paying for the privilege, you had a whole bunch of people doing Elon Musk clone accounts and saying goofy things to demean his image, which meant that Mr. Free Speech banned a whole bunch of people and specified that any such fake account that is not specifically labeled “PARODY” will also be banned. But that wasn’t it. You had another guy who has taken the handle of Jesus Christ (‘Carpenter. Healer. God’), and somebody who took a verified Nintendo account and used it to post an account picture of Super Mario giving the finger.

Of course, if I was running Nintendo and I were running their Twitter account, showing Mario giving the finger would be exactly what I’d do. But maybe that’s why I’m not running Nintendo.

If you believe in free speech, that means you protect the integrity of free speech. Even for corporations. We have a right to state our opinion and not have it mistaken for someone else’s, or have someone else claiming to be us and giving us issues. Like, with Eli Lilly having to explain that insulin ISN’T free now.

Somewhat predictably, Elon backed off the Twitter Blue spiel once it became clear how much legal liability it was creating.

Not to mention, Musk is so hopped up on cost controls that he is basically filling all the executive posts by himself while expecting his people to give up work-from-home arrangements and go without days off. Which is further evidence that he’s running things into the ground deliberately, but then he wouldn’t be making things so hard for himself in the short term. The Occam’s Razor explanation would be that he just doesn’t know what he’s doing.

Somebody joked, “Hey Elon, you should buy Chik-fil-A and Hobby Lobby next.” The difference being that those businesses are actually making lots of money. Which among other things means that they wouldn’t have been vulnerable to a takeover because they don’t need a buyout.

As much as I hate to say, maybe liberals were right about libertarianism. Because a totally free, unregulated society still requires some level of implied rules that everyone voluntarily agrees to, and the reason we have all the damn rules we have is apparently because some people need to be told the obvious. Like “Don’t shit where you eat” and “Don’t be a racist moron.” The lesson with Twitter is that however much you believe in free speech and a marketplace of ideas, if your institution doesn’t adhere to a minimal set of principles and make them clear to everyone who wants to participate, then any jokester or opportunist can take over the medium and undermine it to the point that no one can trust it or take it seriously. Y’know, like what happened with the actual Libertarian Party.

Once again: Nothing is a priori. Nothing in this world sprang fully formed and equipped straight from the head of a god. People assume that Twitter is or should be some ideal public medium that fits their standard of what the ideal is, when Jack Dorsey and his people just built it as a small-scale, personal post platform, and because of that very informality, it took off. It was never really intended to become a profit instrument, much less the world’s “town square.” But that is what the community did with it.

And just as some in the community think of Twitter as an objective communications medium when it was never really intended to be such, Musk seems to think that because he paid many billions of dollars for Twitter that it ought to turn a profit. Again, Twitter only has value because of the people who are on it, and that value doesn’t necessarily translate directly into money. Remember what they say about social media: If you’re not paying for the product then you ARE the product. Someone on Pajiba pointed out, “If Twitter goes down, so does the easiest method Ukrainians have to inform the world of Russia’s war crimes, and an easy way for labor unions, dissidents, and other folks without much power to organize efforts. Twitter may have more problems than solutions, but it does have value. Or it did, before Musk’s ongoing crises gave him reason to smash it.”

A while ago, I concluded my opinion of Twitter with the following: “media critic Matt Zoller Seitz was quoted (from Twitter) saying “I’ve said it before, and I’ll repeat it now: if a superior alternative to Twitter appeared tomorrow, I’d be gone from here in a heartbeat.” My advice to Seitz would be to get together with like-minded people and come to a consensus about what “a superior alternative to Twitter” means, and then find people of means to finance it and experts to create it. My personal goal is to make enough money to where I can buy out Twitter with the specific purpose of destroying the website. Either that, or use the space for something more ennobling, like bumfights or fetish porn.”

Somebody still needs to figure out what a better alternative to Twitter would be and whether it would be more feasible as a profit site or a non-profit medium. As it is, I’m predicting Twitter bumfights and porn any week now.