OK, So What Now?

As you know by now, June 27, incumbent President Joe Biden had his first 2024 debate against once and possibly future Viceroy for Russian North America Donald Trump, and the universal consensus is that Joe did not have a good night. Which is a polite understatement on the level of “Maybe the Germans should have brought more winter supplies to invade Russia”, “Napoleon was a pretty good artillery captain” or “Michael Ironside has been in a few bad movies.”

If nothing else I got an answer to my question as to why so many people hate Joe Biden and can’t give him credit for anything his Administration does, because Americans can only see the superficial and optics are everything. And Donald Trump understands this better than anyone else. And that is why he has been leading Biden, because Biden actually looks his age while Trump wears a Tribble on his scalp and paints his face the same color they gave David Soul in that one Star Trek episode with the giant lizard head.

But Biden’s age in itself isn’t an insurmountable issue. It’s been the given for quite some time. And he has proven to be pretty sharp on several occasions this year, notably the State of the Union speech, though I recall his voice was going out there too. But in this week’s debate, Joe just seemed out of it. Like, he’d been roped into a Juneteenth celebration and he had no idea what that music was. Sure he focused and started swinging back at Trump by the second half, but that didn’t correct the lethal first impression, especially if you, like many viewers, watched for five minutes, shot your TV and then started looking up prospects for a work visa in Ireland.

The point is, Biden’s performance was so bad that after the debate, all through the night various insiders with ears in the media started making noises to the effect that Democrats need to replace him at the Democratic National Covention.
Guys: Are you really going to go there? Because if you’re serious, you need to explore just how serious your options are.

First off, as I have said, if the president dies or has to retire, he already has a replacement set up, and in this case the replacement is Kamala Harris. And frankly: If people thought Kamala Harris was up to snuff, Democrats would not be in a state of total panic right now. Indeed my position is, and has been, that Biden is only running for a second term because he knows Kamala Harris would be even less popular versus Trump than he is.

And then the second question is not whether they can pull off a brokered convention. If that decision is made, then the process is secondary. The question is who they nominate. Because just as the awful truth of the Republican Party is that there is nobody (except maybe Nikki Haley) who has a chance of winning a national election other than Trump, there is probably no one in the Democratic Party with the national profile and popularity to win the race other than Joe Biden – except perhaps Bernie Sanders, who like the running candidates is real, real old, and technically not a Democrat.

The people with the strongest profile are in different categories. First, Senators like Sanders or Elizabeth Warren. In these cases, that would be taking an incumbent Senator away from the Democrats when their margin is only technical, one seat is guaranteed to flip Republican because Joe Manchin isn’t running in West Virginia, and Democrats are going to need a Senate majority if they win the White House or especially if they don’t. Then you have some non-elected people who are prominent Democrats like Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, but in his case, he ran for President as an openly gay man and found out that certain demographics of Democratic voters aren’t as “progressive” on that issue as he needed them to be. And then of course you have Gavin Newsom, Governor of California. I’m sure he’s sincere when he says he’s supporting Biden, if only because of the practical issues involved in switching horses mid-stream. But if someone gave him a serious transition plan, I’m also sure he wouldn’t turn it down.

And then there’s Biden himself. All the news insiders are saying that the only one who can make him step down is him, and the only people who might convince him to do that are people of the same stature whom he respects, namely: Bill Clinton and Barack Obama. But then, they’re the ones who decided Hillary Clinton was a better candidate than Joe Biden in 2016, so how good is their judgment on this matter?

On an online forum for The Bulwark staff, Bill Kristol declared his position by saying, “If there is no solution, then there is no problem.” You just go with what you have, which is still the most realistic option.

And it just points out the critical difference between liberals and “conservatives” – liberals still act like facts matter. They still act like they have standards. When Biden or some other Democrat is stupid or incompetent, they will actually call it out. They may try to spin somewhat, but they don’t deny what they see. Whereas for the past few weeks, at least, Trump’s fan club and pet media have seen him on the podium insult his own audience or go into a fugue state, and they still act like he built the Pyramids, wrote the King James Bible and invented sliced bread.

Maybe Democrats need more of that. And I think I saw some of that when I looked at the YouTube comments on various people’s pages. I saw people saying basically the same things: “I’m worried, but I can’t vote for Trump.” “We can’t let Trump win.” “I’d rather vote for a ham sandwich than Trump.”

Wishful thinking and denial of reality. Democrats ought to try it out. It’s worked great for Republicans so far!

The Debate Disaster

The June 27 CNN debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump was already expected to be a low point in the history of our republic and the choices it allows itself to have in government, and if anything, it exceeded expectations.

Leading up to this debate, Republicans seemed so eager to talk down expectations that they almost seemed scared of Joe, like he was going to stage the same comeback he did at the State of the Union speech, cause he was on COCAINE! You’ve heard of Cocaine Bear? This is Cocaine Biden!

If Joe had been coked up, he might have been better off.

For the first time, I actually saw what all the Biden-haters have been seeing in him: Joe looked scared, and lost, and OLD. Meanwhile, Trump was doing his usual rambling, evading, bragging Gish Gallop, but at least he seemed to know where he was, which is more than you could say for him in the last few weeks. As many people pointed out, shutting off the other candidate’s mic was assumed to kill Trump’s main weapon, but it actually served to his advantage by allowing him to focus, and made it that much harder for Biden to counter him, when he actually did.

And after the fact I saw a whole bunch of commentators like Keith Olbermann say that the CNN anchors did not challenge Trump on his various lies and evasions about January 6 in particular, but the thing is, it is not the job of reporters to hold Biden’s hand – or the voter’s hand – and point out the stuff that everyone knows isn’t true. Saying “that’s not true”, like Kaitlin Collins did in rump’s townhall lovefest, isn’t enough. What matters in a debate is FIGHTING BACK, and fighting back twice as hard. Imagine if Joe had been just as forceful and direct as Trump was, but with facts on his side. Of course the facts were on his side anyway, but in a TV debate, everything is optics. In this particular case, facts don’t matter. Certainly that was Trump’s strategy. What you need to do is win the day, and as we have seen with the Republican Party, far too many people who know better are willing to meekly surrender and march behind a moronic, dick-swinging bully who shits on everything he touches, as long as it seems like he’s winning. And right now, it seems like Trump’s winning.

And Biden’s performance was the sort of thing that has caused people like Bill Maher to say that Joe shouldn’t be running, and it’s “selfish” of him to hold on when he could die any day. For one thing, there’s a big difference between the President and Ruth Bader Ginsburg: If the president dies, or has to retire, there’s already a replacement set to go. In this case, that replacement is Kamala Harris.

NOW do you see why Joe is still running?

Because if you tell most Americans the choice (if they can’t stand Trump) is either Biden or Harris, most Americans would prefer Biden, probably including a majority of Democrats. After all, if Democrats had preferred her in the 2020 primaries, she would probably be president now.

But that means the issue is both Biden and Harris. You would think that with all the advantages of incumbency, which Trump no longer has, that Democrats would be able to put off the issue of whether they wish to be led by Harris, and if not her, whom, until after they win in 2024, but now more and more Democrats are starting to wonder.

The Telegraph: “White House aides have spent the last three weeks claiming that any stories about the US president’s age and mental capacity were manipulated “cheapfakes” or outright lies. But those at home watching the two men on stage tonight were left with an unavoidable conclusion: Mr Biden struggled to hold his own, and Donald Trump wiped the floor with him.” Reuters, quoting “Top Biden Donor Who Did Not Wish To Be Named”: “There is no way to spin this. His performance was disqualifying.” Analyst Amy Walter: “To be sure, Trump did not ‘win’ this debate as much as Biden lost it. Trump lobbed multiple falsehoods and lies. He failed to make a positive case for his second term, spending more time litigating Biden’s failures. But, Trump is leading in the polls and doesn’t need a ‘rest’ in the way Biden does.” USA Today: “That’s a good man. He loves his country. He’s doing the best that he can,” said Van Jones, a Democratic political analyst for CNN. “But he had a test to meet tonight to restore confidence in the country and of the base, and he failed to do that.” Jones added: “We’re still far from our convention. And there is time for this party to figure out a different way forward if he will allow us to do that.”

Jones was not the only person to say that. And indeed, the Democratic National Convention is not until mid-August. But what are we saying? Are we saying that a party convention isn’t the de facto coronation of the guy who’s got all the organizational bigwigs on his side? Especially since he’s the president?

People say that this election, and this debate in particular, go to show us how screwed this country is, but if the United States is to truly be a representative republic, it has to be led by the people who matter the most: Really old white guys who have no clue what they’re doing.

Are we going to say that Democrats aren’t going to do what they’re “supposed” to, that they’re going to do what they did before the 1980s, and actually get people on the floor to put younger, newer leaders forward and let the community decide, on the basis of who the best choice really is???

What kind of Commie un-American idea is that?!?

C’mon, MAN

As we are running towards 2024’s first presidential debate, which Trump probably will attend, because he will never pass up an opportunity to talk (unless it’s under oath) it’s becoming more clear that the Biden Administration sees the debate as a make-or-break moment. Because Biden, after everything we’ve found out about Trump, is still running behind.

This week the FiveThirtyEight poll shows Biden and Trump still tied. Quinnipiac is showing Trump 49, Biden 45. The 270toWin national poll for this week shows Biden 44.33 percent and Trump 44.67 with “Other” holding the remainder.

That IS with the post Trump trial bump.

And we know this is an issue with Biden as opposed to Democrats generally, because of polls. The Nevada Independent quoted an AARP poll showing that Biden is behind Trump in Nevada by 3 points as of June 25 (prior to Robert Kennedy Jr. being factored in) while incumbent Democratic Senator Jacky Rosen leads Republican challenger Sam Brown by at least 5 points. Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown is running 5 points ahead of his Republican challenger in Ohio, according to Politico. Trump leads Biden by 7 points in the same survey.

As Joan Rivers would say, can we TALK?

Certainly I can understand why people would hate Trump. I can even understand why some people would love Trump. He is, that much more than Ronald Reagan, an exemplar of the Republican attitude that being a great entertainer is synonymous with being a great politician. He is a dumbass for public amusement, who gleefully insults his own audience, knowing they will gleefully respond, because they think they’re flipping off the libs together. He is the Lord of Misrule that the drunks at Mardi Gras elect to be king for the duration of the festivities. The problem of course is that Ash Wednesday always comes, and with it, the hangover.

In this case the hangover was Trump Virus (TM) which ruined the economy that Trump keeps bragging about, and is the reason you no longer have local buffets, or 24-hour supermarkets, and is the reason why they actually raised minimum wage over ten whole dollars an hour in some states, with the effect that had on the economy. If not for that, Trump might have actually been re-elected. But he wasn’t because everybody could see that in a real crisis moment, he was too stupid and immature to react appropriately. But now he’s not the one in charge and everyone wants to blame Biden for the way things are, due to policies that were largely a reaction to Trump fucking everything up. As usual, all Republicans have is America’s national short-term memory.

What I absolutely cannot understand is not why some people love Trump; I understand that all too well. What I do not understand is why some people are not just un-enthused by Joe Biden but absolutely loathe him. Because while it’s easy to see both why some people love Trump and some people hate him, the worst thing you can say about Joe Biden is that he’s too dull to hate.

But just as Trump’s fan club exaggerates Trump’s alleged virtues (like his Christianity) outside their reality, they assume Biden is some kind of tyrant or monster. But part of that is Trump’s propaganda campaign acting like Biden is the real threat to freedom because he’s the one in charge and his administration is prosecuting Trump, completely avoiding all the reasons why. It’s bad enough when Trump acts like “I’m rubber, you’re glue” is a serious political strategy but it is absolutely infuriating when the mainstream media enables him to do it.

That might explain why polls also show Democratic voters blame Biden for the Gaza war (which was provoked by Hamas and its anti-American sponsors), 29% of those polled thought the Biden Administration was behind the Trump/Stormy Daniels trial (a New York case that had actually been delayed while Trump was in office) and 17% of voters actually blame Joe Biden for the Dobbs decision killing Roe v. Wade.

It could just be that many Americans are fucking hammerheads, which is my Occam’s Razor explanation for an increasing number of things these days.

The main issue affecting Americans in regard to their daily lives under Biden is inflation, and again, Biden Administration policies like the American Rescue Plan directly contributed to that, but they were a direct reaction to the effects of COVID on the economy, and those lingering effects included supply shortages that would have affected prices whether there was a government stimulus or not, and were also present in other countries that also had post-COVID inflation. Actually, the joke is that if not for COVID Trump might have actually won re-election because up to that point things weren’t so bad for most people, but once he had a moment of real crisis and challenge everybody could see that not only was he not up to it, he was actually making the problem worse by allowing the disease to spread for lack of an organized policy. And yet at the same time, the worse things got, the more Trump insisted on hogging the spotlight of the government’s coronavirus plan (or lack thereof) and demanding even more media than he already got. And so there was an inevitable contrast between this whining, braying prima donna who demanded credit for everything without getting results, and Joe Biden, who was and is the exact opposite. It worked for Biden then, but ironically, that very contrast may be what is hurting him now.

On a personal level, Biden’s biggest weakness, especially when challenging Trump’s ethics, is Hunter Biden and a gun prosecution that Hunter could have avoided but probably didn’t precisely because the system wanted to seem like it was being “fair.” But the fact that Biden has problems with a ne’er-do-well son who has drug problems is actually something that could make more people empathize with him. I’ve said this before, but the reason Biden keeps hitting that “I know what it feels like” schtick is because he can. He does know what it feels like cause he’s been where a lot of people are. Whereas Donald Trump has suffered real tragedies in life, namely the death of close relatives, but you’d never know because he doesn’t want to dispel his image of the invincible strongman who never loses. Acknowledging death (among other things) would mean acknowledging that there are some losses you can’t avoid.

Maybe that’s why Biden isn’t popular with the kind of people who like Trump. Cause they don’t want to acknowledge that reality.

Biden is normal. Biden is the guy who goes to church (and knows how to pronounce ‘II Corinthians’ correctly) and doesn’t cheat on his wife. Biden represents normal America, including ‘flyover country’ a lot better than the wannabe billionaire who said flat-out, “I don’t care about you, I just want your vote.” And everybody who heard Trump say that at the time all had a good laugh, because they think that supporting Trump is a big joke on the establishment. Which it is.

Nobody likes the establishment. Sometimes for good reasons. But all the bad things you could say about Biden and his family pale in comparison to the Trump Crime Family. While all the good things you could say about Biden come down to the fact that he’s normal and well adjusted. And clearly nobody in America wants that. It’s not entertaining. And clearly, being entertained is more important than our national security. Clearly it doesn’t matter that the president is real old and has a crooked son, cause otherwise Trump would be that much less popular than Biden. What matters, it seems, is that Trump is abnormal. He’s larger than life. He has pizazz. He’s compelling to watch.

You what else is abnormal? You know what else has pizazz? You know what else is compelling to watch? A train wreck. Or a car crash. Everybody loves to slow down to watch a car crash. A train wreck is intensely fascinating. Unless you’re in it. Then it’s either terrifying or lethal.

Now it ought to go without saying that if you survived the last year of the Trump Organization in Washington, meaning, if you are more than four years old, you know why you don’t want to give a human train wreck control of the most powerful office in the world, but apparently that’s just too much to ask of some people.

As John Oliver put it recently, don’t dismiss the premise of a second Trump term by saying we survived the first one, because not everybody did.

I don’t have to agree with everything that Biden, Harris, or the Democrats want. In fact, between the normie Biden Democrats and the Trump Party, I’d rather vote for the Republican Party, but that party doesn’t exist anymore. I’d really prefer to vote for the Libertarian Party, but THAT party doesn’t exist anymore either.

As it is, the only choice is between a normal guy and a retarded traitor who gave intelligence to the Russians. And I don’t want the best and most powerful country in the world run by a retarded traitor. I don’t know, maybe I’M weird.

But that also means that if you were going to vote for, say, Jacky Rosen for Senator in Nevada as opposed to Sam Brown, you might as well vote the full Democratic ticket now, because it’s not like a Democratic Congress can do more than put a kids’ BandAid on the hemorrhage if Trump gets in power. If you voted against the Republicans’ special ballot initiatives to ban abortion in your state, and you voted for Democrats in the midterms, there is certainly no logical reason not to vote for Joe Biden now.

As Joe himself would say, this is a big fucking deal.

Guilty, Guilty, GUILTY!

May 30 is a new national holiday in America:
Fuck Trump Day.

Donald Trump, former Viceroy of Russian North America, on May 30, 2024 anno domini, was found guilty of all 34 criminal charges against him in a New York court. Politico:

“Just minutes before jurors revealed they had reached a decision, Merchan was preparing to send them home for the day with instructions to come back in the morning to continue deliberating. Trump appeared jovial, his allies predicting that the lengthening deliberation might signify a real battle in the jury room.

But then the judge announced that the jury had given him a note. They had reached a verdict and were in the process of filling out the verdict form.

In an instant, the smiling stopped, a smattering of gasps could be heard, and then a heavy silence filled the room. Reporters who had been packing their bags jolted upright and waited in agonizing suspense for the jury to enter the room.”

Oh, frabjous day! Callou, callay!

He chortled in his joy.

Now I know the various monsignors and cardinals in the Church of Trump have been directed to spread the dogma that this makes Trump a “political prisoner.” Well, so was the Marquis de Sade, and at least he could write books. I’m sure all the good little Trumpniks are gonna tell us the trial was “Rigged” and “STOLLEN.” Here’s at least two things to consider in regard to how the American justice system actually works, at least unless Trump gets re-elected:

One, this is a common-law system of justice in this country, where a criminal defendant has a presumption of innocence, largely because the balance between the government and one individual is necessarily unequal, no matter how much money or power the defendant has. Thus, knowing that this is necessarily the case, the English-speaking world has decided that the defendant must have factors in their favor.

Second, related to the first, is the jury system. I am not going to debate the validity of the premise of “jury nullification”, but it is always possible for a juror in any case to simply hold out and prevent a unanimous verdict against the defendant, which would ultimately lead to a mistrial that would not acquit the defendant, which could lead to a retrial but in this particular case that might have not been practical, especially if it dragged out past November, Trump got re-elected and he sent a CIA hit squad to kill Attorney General Alvin Bragg. Which he could do, if you believe his lawyers at the Supreme Court.

The verdict only ended up taking less than two full court days before deliberation, and that much time probably because there were 34 charges, which was only possible because Trump committed that many crimes. The fact that he got convicted on all charges, with no exceptions, that quickly, just confirms the immortal verdict of Mark Slackmeyer: “That’s guilty! Guilty, Guilty, GUILTY!!!”

I mean, never mind that Trump is right in that there is a two-tiered justice system in that not only does it cater to people who have money and power, it does so in his case to a truly ridiculous degree. The Sackler family has real money and power, and they didn’t get to jerk the system around as much as Trump does. As with OJ Simpson, when you’re a star, they let you do it.

Which right there is why, all the Mainstream Media whining aside, it was a good thing not to have live cameras in the court.

Since no one was able to play to the cameras and try a court case in the realm of public opinion, everyone had to focus on the facts, and that is never good for Trump. The premise, from the start, was, if what Michael Cohen did (paying Stormy Daniels to not reveal an affair with Trump during the 2016 election, thus committing election fraud, and then covering up the event and his payoff thereafter) was a crime that deserved a prison sentence, why was it not a crime for Trump, who ordered the actions?

The prosecution started with National Enquirer publisher David Pecker, who like a couple other people might be described as a hostile witness – he was still fond of Trump, but told what he knew. Specifically, Pecker confirmed that it was the business of his company to publish stories about embarrassing celebrity scandals, such as with Arnold Schwarzenegger’s affairs, and also worked on Trump’s behalf to release negative stories about political rivals like Ben Carson and Ted Cruz. But when presented with the real gold mine of Trump’s sex scandals, Pecker deliberately took a financial hit to squelch them, not just out of friendship with Trump, but to help him win his election campaign (NOT to protect the feelings of Trump’s wife, given that nobody cared if the information came out after the election). Hope Hicks, another close friend of Trump, gave her assessment that Michael Cohen wasn’t the kind of guy who would just pay Trump’s paramour money from his own pocket without compensation, out of the goodness of his heart and without recognition. Which led to the testimony of Cohen himself, which was necessary because he was the only witness who could establish that Trump paid Cohen to pay Daniels and approved the scheme to reimburse Cohen in such a way that it would square with his taxes. (The only other potential witness who could corroborate this being Trump financial officer Allen Weisselberg, who is in prison on other fraud charges and even less credible.)

So after the defense challenged Cohen’s credibility, saying for instance that he misrepresented the nature of a phone call to Trump’s aide, prosecutors showed a photo of aide Keith Schiller with Trump just before the phone call was transcribed, demonstrating that Cohen could have had Schiller bring Trump to the phone at the same time. Then, after the prosecution rested, the defense brought one fact witness and the only other defense witness, Robert Costello, a lawyer who previously advised Cohen and had sought to represent himself as Cohen’s attorney in proceedings after the 2016 election. And this guy Costello started off by muttering contemptuous statements in testimony and then saying “strike” when challenged by Judge Juan Merchan, when only a judge can strike testimony and only the lawyer on the floor can withdraw his own question, not the testimony of a witness. (You would think an attorney would know that.) Then the next day in cross-examination, prosecutors entered evidence of conversations where Costello was acting with other members of the Trump team to keep Cohen from revealing what he knew after the election.

“Our issue is to get Cohen on the right page without giving him the appearance that we are following instructions from Giuliani or the president,” Costello wrote in one 2018 email, referencing Trump and the then-president’s close aide Rudy Giuliani.” Thus giving further evidence to the assertion that this whole thing was a coverup of a crime, not simply “hush money” over a consensual affair, and that Trump committed the acts knowingly and willingly.

In one-and-a-half days of testimony, Costello was a better witness for the prosecution than Michael Cohen was in three days.

But that’s what you would expect, because Trump doesn’t hire attorneys to be attorneys. An attorney would counsel the client on his best interests and run the case in that regard, trying to appeal to the judge and jury. Trump hires attorneys to be his legal mouthpieces and say the belligerent stuff in court that he says outside the court, only with the official veneer of a law license. That’s why defense attorney Todd Blanche theatrically accused Cohen of lying – allowing a redirect that affirmed the prosecution’s position – and why the defense called Costello, who was only there to denigrate Cohen, the judge and the process, and also prompted a cross-examination that further confirmed the prosecutors’ case. Certainly a real defense team would have counseled Trump not to spend so much time sleeping in court, which he had done so consistently that it came off as a power move to show contempt for the trial, not to mention the judge and the jury who had to be there. Maybe that explains why just before the verdict, Trump whined that he didn’t know what the charges were. Well, Donnie, maybe if you’d been awake for any of that you would know. Of course it doesn’t help that you’re a natural simpleton who’s going senile on top of that.

Now that the jury is dismissed, Judge Merchan set a sentencing date for July 11, one week after Independence Day and just four days before the Republican National Convention, where Trump is the presumptive presidential nominee. So of course his attorneys are whining for a delay in the sentencing hearing so that the convicted felon’s schedule will not be interrupted. But it’s not like Trump is actually going to go to prison yet even if he is given that sentence, since he has the right to appeal. And some people, a few of whom are actually credible, thought that there were serious issues with the prosecution’s case, and that Trump has grounds for appeal.

Now as has been pointed out, Trump can still run for president and win, even if he’s sent to prison. This is actually a good thing. As I have said elsewhere, if this were a real dictatorship or one-party regime – like the countries Trump emulates – the party in charge could slap criminal charges on an opposition candidate who threatens to win, and simply eliminate the problem that way. It’s what Putin always does and what they did in Brazil to Lula da Silva, among other examples. Plus, if this country, including the various power elites that have been propping Trump up all this time, are still going to elect Trump after all THIS, frankly, this country will have failed the Darwin Test and won’t deserve to exist.

But, in the meantime, we have a new national holiday. Next May 30, I want to celebrate by having a party with lots of hamburgers, KFC and Diet Coke. Unless Trump actually does win re-election, in which case I will either be dead, eating prison food, or underground, eating rats.

A New Hope

Freedom of choice – is what you got

Freedom from choice – is what you want

  • DEVO

The word “cuckold” traditionally refers to somebody whose wife is being unfaithful, whether he knows it or not. Wikipedia: “In biology, a cuckold is a male who unwittingly invests parental effort in juveniles who are not genetically his offspring.” In more recent usage it refers to someone who knows full well his wife is cheating on him, often to the extent of making a sexual fetish of it. But in political terms, “cuck” or “cuckservative” has been used as a pejorative within the conservative movement and Republican Party, referring to any normies who are seen as too moderate or accommodating to Democrats. Of course since 2015, that insult is really just a contest of “more Trumpnik than thou.”

Meanwhile in the wake of the 2020 elections, the right-of-center Libertarian Party, having become a home for the kind of people who identified with Barry Goldwater and Ronald Reagan before the Republican Party decided they were pinko, itself had a faction that felt there were too many moderates in the organization, and wished to purify it of the kind of people who wrote “We condemn bigotry as irrational and repugnant.” The ringleaders of the scheme called themselves the Von Mises Caucus, apparently because they have no idea what Ludwig von Mises actually thought or wrote. In 2022, they elected Andrea McArdle Party chair and took over the outfit, possibly because the National Convention was even more slapdash than usual. And as part of their not-even-trying-to-hide-it effort to turn the LP into the Junior Varsity Club of the Republican Party, at this weekend’s National Convention, McArdle invited Donald Trump to be featured speaker. So, if the common and political definition of “cuck” is someone who watches a man have his way with his lady, what better definition is there for the Von Mises Caucus, which gave free media and exposure to a celebrity presidential candidate who already had them, at the expense of their own candidates, who do not?*

I decided to watch the CSPAN coverage of Trump’s speech just to see how bad it was going to get, enduring Trump’s whiny Mafioso voice for the duration. And you could tell, just from the noise after Trump’s introduction, and the look on his face, that it was not going to be a good night.

But what did these Von Mises cucks expect, when Trump’s attitude is “do what I tell you” and the libertarian’s attitude is “nobody tells me what to do”?

It’s hard to say which attitude is more immature, but in this case, the Libertarians have the right of it.

It is testimony to how objectively terrible Trump is as a salesman – and how lacking in taste the rest of America is for indulging him this long – that his two main pitches to the Libertarian Party were the same two things that every Libertarian always hears from every non-Libertarian: “You’ll never get above 3 percent” and “If you vote your conscience, you’re throwing away your vote because you’ll end up electing the statist you say you hate more. So vote for MY party, and elect the statist you say you hate less.”

Now, there was some cheering for Trump, but it was a bit hard to make out how much of the yelling was for or against him. However it was very clear that his open demand to be nominated as Libertarian candidate for President (despite being the presumptive nominee for a much larger party) was not accepted at all. But contrary to some opinions, Trump did not seem fazed by the hostility. I would say that he thrived on it. But while there are some occasions where it helps you to stir up heat like a wrestling heel, a political convention speech is not one of them. Just ask Ted Cruz.

I was quite surprised that Trump didn’t actually call out, “Can we get Andrea McArdle out? Andrea, get down here and suck my dick. That’s basically what you did when ya invited me, right?”

When Trump wasn’t baiting the audience, he was shamelessly, and cluelessly, pandering to them. Sometimes this worked, like when he promised to pardon Ross Ulbricht, who was sentenced to life in prison for creating the website Silk Road, that sold what the prosecution called illegal “hardcore” drugs. (There were lots of ‘FREE ROSS’ placards waving at Trump’s speech.) But most people jeered when Trump stretched out his arms along the Cross and wailed about how badly he was treated by a government that dared to prosecute him for committing crimes, saying “If I wasn’t a libertarian before, I am now.”

(Sort of like how Trump got arraigned in Georgia for being caught on tape trying to fix the state election results, and saying ‘I just got arrested, so now I know what it’s like to be black.’)

Throughout this convention certain Trumpniks like Vivek Ramaswamy referred to themselves as libertarian or alluded to people like Senator Mike Lee (BR.-Utah) as libertarian, despite never having been in the LP. It is pretty easy to tell the difference, even these days. As Reason Magazine put it regarding Ulbricht, “one possibly instructive fact is that Trump had the opportunity for four years to sign such a clemency grant and opted not to.” There are still such things as principle. The Libertarian Party always was anti-government and Trump is only anti-government as long as he’s not in charge of the Justice Department. The Libertarian Party always was anti-war and anti-interventionist and Trump is only anti-interventionist because Putin is having a war and Trump is his little bitch.

What is the libertarian position on drug scheduling? On border policy? I doubt these “libertarian” Republicans know, given that another one of Trump’s boos towards the end of the spectacle was his promise to “end the humanitarian disaster on our southern border”, proclaiming “You cannot have capitalism and open borders because you will soon be turned into a socialist nation.” But then one of the problems with the Trumpnik movement is that they haven’t decided whether capitalism is a good thing.

The irony is that much of the hostility towards Trump was from the new breed of Libertarians, on the grounds that Trump had done too much to “restrict freedom” in 2020 with coronavirus policy, perhaps forgetting that it was Democratic and (some) Republican governors who enacted restrictions on public assembly and activities prior to this country creating a vaccine. Much of the spread of Trump Virus (TM) was precisely because Trump did little on a nationwide level to address the outbreak, only declaring a national emergency a little less than two months after the first confirmed case (despite getting intelligence about the outbreak from China) because he didn’t want to tank the economy, which tanked anyway cause everyone was getting sick. Including him. And the even bigger punchline is that the only reason Trump created his “Warp Speed” vaccine program is because he almost died from the virus, and the only reason he survived is that he had the best doctors that government could provide. In other words, socialized medicine.

Ostensibly in the interest of fairness, McArdle invited all three national candidates, Trump, incumbent President Joe Biden and independent Robert Kennedy Jr. Biden, of course, refused to come, since unlike Trump he was smart enough to know that he would be heckled, and probably worse than him. But Kennedy was invited, and did speak to the Convention on Friday, which didn’t attract nearly as much media attention as the Trump speech, perhaps because Kennedy wasn’t a fucking asshole to his own audience. Cause Kennedy is an anti-vaxxer from way before the COVID era, and he may be crazier than, well, anybody who’s still a registered Libertarian, but by the same token, he actually had points in common with his audience besides “we hate Joe Biden.”
I mean, Jesus, Trump, half of the Democrats hate Joe Biden. You need better material.

The main thing that this catastrofuck proved is that even if the Von Mises Caucus has turned the LP into that much more of an anti-liberal, anti-tax, anti-vax party, there is a still a difference between a “conservative” (Republican) and a (L)ibertarian, because Trump could care less about liberals, taxes and coronavirus. We know this from his own flip-flops on the latter issue. Trump came to the Libertarian convention believing (or being given the impression) that he would get another adoring flock of obedient worshipers, and however much genuine support he did get, he didn’t get that. He wasn’t there because he agreed with Libertarian positions, he was there to say “Finish Andrea McArdle’s job of turning your Party into an auxiliary of the Republicans, so that you can vote for me and keep me out of prison. I mean, I don’t want to go to prison. Oh Lordy Jesus, I don’wanna go to prison… I’m too pretty for prison… Hey Andrea? Where’s Andrea… please come back, Andrea… I’ll suck your dick…”

Well, however embarrassing the event was for everyone involved, the good news is that even if Trump still becomes our invincible Lord and God (and Vladimir Putin’s sissy gimp) it won’t be because of the Libertarian Party. Despite all the efforts of its current owners.

* -These would be Michael Rechtenwald, Lars Mapstead, Mike ter Maat and several others. On Sunday May 26, the Libertarian Party nominated former Georgia US Senate candidate Chase Oliver on a vote of 60 percent against “none of the above.” This is a footnote, because frankly, nobody cares.

Judge Alito Has Rendered His Decision. Now, Let Him Enforce It.

Supreme Court Chief Justice Samuel Alito has had a rough month.

On May 16, the New York Times published an article detailing how in January 2021, an upside down US flag was flown at the household of Alito and his wife, in the wake of a pro-Donald Trump attack on the US Capitol to stop the confirmation of the Electoral College vote, an attack in which several protestors carried not only white nationalist flags and Confederate flags but the upside down US flag. This week another NYT article detailed how one of Alito’s other homes had flown an “Appeal to Heaven” or Pine Tree Flag during the summer of 2023, a flag that is also used by Christian nationalists and is presented outside the office of current House Speaker Mike Johnson (BR.- Moscow Oblast).

Now the upside-down flag, like the Gadsden Flag, was in past times used by left-wing Vietnam-era protestors, not to mention libertarians, but nowadays they have been co-opted by the “freedom lovers” who think that slavery is okay as long as it’s to Trump, or Putin.

More immediately, Alito, and the rest of the conservatives on the Court, continued to show a consistent pattern this week with the Thursday decision on Alexander vs. South Carolina State Conference of the NAACP, ruling in favor of the South Carolina government’s redistricting of state territory to dilute black majority neighborhood votes and increase the Republican majority in coastal districts. Alito, who wrote the opinion, stated that the lower court ruling that “race predominated in the design of District I in the Enacted Plan was clearly erroneous” and that in keeping with prior decisions, even if partisan gerrymandering violates the Constitution, it presents political questions beyond the federal court system to decide, and since this is (apparently) not a race-based gerrymander, the Supreme Court cannot interfere.

Begging the question, why is that any more fair or why there should be any mandate to restrict the votes of any community, racially comprised or not. It would be just as arbitrary to restrict the votes of a white community composed of Masons, Seventh-Day Adventists or Star Trek fans, and I’m sure that if such a case ever went to the courts, judges would dismiss it as ridiculous. But when it comes to restricting the votes of one of our only two “real” parties, and one that happens to be the predominant choice of a racial minority, somehow that’s okay.

And Clarence Thomas, as he does, went on to say the quiet part really loud. In his concurrence Thomas went farther than Alito, who seemed at pains to disassociate the abstraction of the legislation from its racial impact, to say that Brown vs. Board of Education was “a boundless view of equitable remedies” and ought to be reviewed.

As I said earlier, “In the Dobbs case, Justice Samuel Alito decided that the Fourteenth Amendment due process standard did not apply in the case of abortion and that there had been no legal precedents or language in the original Constitution allowing it. Now, while many right-wingers have objected that the result of Roe v. Wade created a federal standard when the abortion issue should have been left to the states, Alito’s position blanks out the point that we had a Fourteenth Amendment in the first place because we already tried leaving the issue of slavery up to the states and that didn’t work out. Which brings up the relevant point that if the Reconstruction Amendments were meant to correct an institutional racism that had more precedent in American law than the standard going forward, and Alito has decided that these amendments do not apply to women because there was no previous historical standard protecting abortion rights, then there’s all kinds of things they don’t have to apply to.”

It would be one thing if the Alito Court were cutting away New Deal precedents and “penumbras” of a “living document” that aren’t actually stated in legislation or constitutional amendments, but as we can see in Dobbs and several other cases (including the 14th Amendment question of whether an insurrectionist can run for president or whether a president can be made immune to any prosecution, despite all precedent), SCOTUS is ignoring not only the spirit but the actual words of the laws. And not laws from FDR or LBJ eras, but laws created in the 19th Century. Back when the anti-slavery party was Republican.

That leads into the whole matter of creating presidential immunity, and one would think that even Thomas and Alito wouldn’t create a presidency that is effectively above them and would make their own jobs obsolete, but Alito in particular seems besotted with the idea that the laws don’t count if they go against Trump. What small costs are dignity, independence and the protection of laws compared to the chance to serve at the feet of our eternal Lord and Master, and bask in the radiance of His supernaturally bronze skin?

The real problem is that with a president or legislator you could try to correct such malfeasance by kicking them out of office, but you can’t do that with a Supreme Court Justice, and the contempt of Alito in his recent behavior is that he is acting precisely in awareness of this. This is why every other major office in the Constitution is subject to election and even local judges are normally elected by the public in limited terms, as opposed to being a monarchy or College of Cardinals. But, we have decided that such a judiciary is necessary in order to be above partisanship. The problem arises when the justices are appointed by partisan politicians to serve partisan ends and Republicans in particular start court processes in preference to their own legislation because they aren’t subject to popular vote.

That being the case Democrats are weighing their options. Thomas and Alito are not going to recuse themselves on anything, and given that the Charleston decision was 6 votes against three liberal dissents, it wouldn’t matter if only the two most obviously corrupt justices were taken out. It has been suggested in the wake of Alito’s partisanship that at least one house of Congress call the justices for testimony on their decisions, apparently on the assumption that the liberals will do so even if the conservatives refuse. That’s a good idea, but I have an idea that’s a little more… provocative.

Recently I also said that we need to call Trump’s – and Alito’s – bluff on the matter of presidential immunity. “Common sense (which granted seems to be in short supply at the Alito Court) indicates that the ruling doesn’t apply to just Trump. Ask these people if all these hypotheticals they are blithely discussing would apply in the abstract to Joe Biden. … Could Joe Biden, the day after presidential immunity was created by SCOTUS, then immediately declare Dobbs v. Mississippi to be null and void and sign an executive order making the previous Roe v. Wade standard nationwide again?”

Why wait?

I think President Biden should sign an executive order now to do what his party is talking about and federalize the provisions of Roe v. Wade, specifically that abortion is legal up to the point of “quickening” or fetal viability, and have that enforced nationwide by the Justice Department.

Because for one thing, that would oblige the Alito Court to make a decision.

As I also said: “Because even if nobody in this case is arguing that the President’s authority allows him to destroy the balance of powers and nullify a SCOTUS ruling, what would THEY be able to do about it, if they themselves have declared that anything the president does cannot be prosecuted (short of impeachment and removal from office, which would require a two-thirds vote of the Senate, including Democrats, meaning, IT’S NEVER GOING TO HAPPEN), just as long as he says the two magic words “official act“, which will strike him with a lightning bolt and give him superpowers?”

That is in fact the situation right now. If, even prior to Alito ruling in favor of Trump’s position (which of course he is not going to unless the election ends up in Trump’s favor) the current president takes a pen and wipes out Alito’s (and Trump’s) main judicial legacy, what alternative is there except to press an impeachment? I’m sure that Johnson’s House would be glad to do so as everyone forgets for a moment how much they all hate Marjorie Taylor, Matt Gaetz and Mike Johnson. But again, impeachment is never going to work because it requires two-thirds of the Senate to convict, it is currently 51-49 Democrat, and that means Republicans would need to pull away 18 Democrats – over one-third of the delegation – to vote against their President on an issue that they have been wedded to ever since Dobbs.

What other way would there be except to rule that the President IS subject to law and there ARE other legal means to stop him from going too far?

And let me be clear: That WOULD be going too far. To act directly against a Court ruling would not only be to overrule the prerogatives of the judiciary but the prerogatives of the legislature, which as conservatives have told us should have made the standard on federal abortion rights in the first place, as opposed to SCOTUS “legislating from the bench” in Roe. That is for one thing why Democrats are talking about creating federal legislation to that effect as opposed to going to a Court that is not theirs and that they will not soon be able to get back.

Which is why Biden’s executive order should also come with a detail.

It should be time-limited to apply only through the date December 31, 2024, since everybody knows that if Donald Trump gets re-elected he can immediately reverse the order. There would also be a gap between January 1, 2025 and the inauguration on January 20, so if Democrats care about making this work they need to not only re-elect Joe Biden but make damn sure that Trump and his Meal Team Six can’t try again to do what they did on 2021. For one thing I presume Biden will not be making sure that local law enforcement and Capitol Police are suspiciously without reinforcement on January 6.

So that, if the Democrats want this override to actually last, they need to do the constitutional thing and draft that legislation, and have it ready to go by the time of the Democratic National Convention and campaign on it. Oh, and while they’re at it, they should draft legislation mandating that the Supreme Court is under the same ethics codes as lower courts, and expanding SCOTUS to 13 members (one for each District) AND giving them term limits. And campaign on THAT.

(Incidentally, this would also call the Democrats‘ bluff and force them to address the issue seriously, rather than keeping it as a political football the way Republicans did with their constituents for years before Dobbs.)

Put this Court on the ballot. Because whether anyone admits it or not, it already is.

The last time a president (a Democrat) seriously tried a court-packing scheme to change a hostile Court, it was widely considered a failure. After the Supreme Court ruled several times against Franklin Roosevelt’s New Deal bills, in 1937, Roosevelt supported a Judicial Procedures Reform Act. This would have allowed the President to appoint one new Justice to the Court for every current member who was over the age of 70, and at that time, that would have been six more Justices. This was rightfully seen as court-packing and obviously intended to achieve a partisan result, and the legislation died on the vine as even Democrats went against their president on the matter. But the joke is that the proposal failed, but not really. Shortly after the proposal, the Supreme Court ruled for the liberal position on West Coast Hotel Co. v. Parrish with a 5-4 margin as Justice Owen Roberts, who had ruled often against the liberals, agreeing with a Washington state law establishing a minimum wage. Popular wisdom called this “the switch in time that saved nine” although deliberations on the case had been made before FDR’s court-packing scheme. “Chief Justice Hughes wrote in his autobiographical notes that Roosevelt’s court reform proposal ‘had not the slightest effect on our [the court’s] decision’, but due to the delayed announcement of its decision the Court was characterized as retreating under fire. Roosevelt also believed that because of the overwhelming support that had been shown for the New Deal in his re-election, Hughes was able to persuade Roberts to no longer base his votes on his own political beliefs and side with him during future votes on New Deal related policies. In one of his notes from 1936, Hughes wrote that Roosevelt’s re-election forced the court to depart from ‘its fortress in public opinion’.” This also meant that such radical legislation as Roosevelt proposed was really not necessary.

That also meant that those justices, such as Willis Van Devanter, who wanted to retire did so without the expectation that they would be replaced by a conservative, and over the years FDR managed to make additional appointments that created a friendlier Supreme Court. Of course, part of this was because he had the time to do so. Roosevelt was elected four times, against the previously unwritten tradition that a president would only serve two terms, and died in 1945, very old and frail, shortly after his last re-election. And after his death, largely Republican-sponsored legislation quickly led to the Twenty-Second Amendment to the Constitution, specifying that no person can be elected President more than twice or in any event serve more than ten years including time as acting President. In the Wikipedia article on the Amendment, it was noted that the founding presidents felt a two-term limit to be practical considering the factors of time and aging, with Thomas Jefferson writing in an address, “If some termination to the services of the chief magistrate be not fixed by the Constitution, or supplied by practice, his office, nominally for years, will in fact, become for life; and history shows how easily that degenerates into an inheritance.”

The terms of the Supreme Court justices, like their number, and their code of ethics or lack thereof, are not set by the Court itself, all present conduct aside. They are traditionally set by Congress. The size of the Court was only set at nine after the Judiciary Act of 1869, and had previously been changed no less than six times in the nation’s history, usually for partisan reasons. As it is, two of Donald Trump’s three Supreme Court appointments were because of the deaths of Antonin Scalia, who had health conditions, and Ruth Bader Ginsburg, who was very old and frail. Ironically, FDR’s court-packing scheme failed because it was easily seen as an attempt to unbalance the American separation of powers, while the creation of presidential term limits directly after his death was deemed necessary to enforce a limit that previous men had been willing to enforce on themselves.

But now, frankly, it’s the other way around.

You’re at WAR, Democrats.

At some point, you should try shooting back.

Absolute Immunity To Logic

Before the Supreme Court for Republicans Of The United States – SCROTUS – held arguments April 25 on Viceroy Trump’s theory of absolute presidntial immunity, it was assumed by Conventional Wisdom that the conservative, one-third Trump appointee court would seek to tactically delay a decision so that federal trials against him could not proceed before the election, but ultimately would not give him a win.

Now, people aren’t so sure.

San Francisco Chronicle: “Justices Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh, two of Trump’s three high court appointees, and (Samuel) Alito said their concern was not the case against Trump, but rather the effect of their ruling on future presidencies.

“Each time Justice Department lawyer Michael Dreeben sought to focus on Trump’s actions, these justices jumped in. “This case has huge implications for the presidency, for the future of the presidency, for the future of the country,” Kavanaugh said. The court is writing a decision “for the ages,” Gorsuch said.

“Justice Amy Coney Barrett, the other Trump appointee, seemed less open to arguments advanced by Trump lawyer D. John Sauer, searching for a way a trial could take place.”

Bloomberg: “Alito offered some support for Trump’s legal arguments, saying it could be destabilizing if presidents are concerned they’ll be criminally prosecuted when they leave office.

“A stable democratic society requires that a candidate who loses an election, even a close one, even a hotly contested one, leave office peacefully,” Alito said. He questioned whether presidents will now fear they’ll be “criminally prosecuted by a bitter political opponent” rather than going into a “peaceful retirement.”

“Will that not lead us into a cycle that destabilizes the functioning of our country as a democracy?” Alito asked.

Alito and Clarence Thomas are both very old guys and would probably like to retire, but only if they can make sure that their replacements would be conservatives, and conservatives of their ilk. So even if an “absolute immunity” decision would end up undermining their own authority, they will probably support it so that they can ensure their effective dynasty is continued, which it would not be if they died with President Biden (or Harris) in charge. The result would be “Our Lord Trump will reign o’er us forever and ever, because we, the Supreme Court, will protect him.”
That seems to be the art of this deal.

The problem at that point is that America would no longer be America.

At that point, we would not have rule of law any more, we would have rule by the biggest gang. The thing that the Wittgenstein of Witlessness doesn’t seem to get is that the Right is not the biggest gang. And you would think that Alito and Thomas would be smart enough to know that, but apparently not.

Several former military commanders filed an amicus brief on this case, summarized somewhat by an article by Ray Mabus, former Secretary of the Navy: “Imagine a large group of activists assembled outside the White House, peacefully protesting a recent decision by the president. They are waving signs denouncing the new policy, holding banners demanding change and chanting slogans about that president. As their numbers begin to swell, as their voices grow louder, the president issues an order to military commanders: Take them out.

“Our military leadership would then be faced with an impossible choice. They’d either have to follow the clearly unlawful order of their commander in chief, and commit crimes for which they could be prosecuted, or openly defy that order.

“This is not a far removed hypothetical, but a very real choice service members could face if the president of the United States is immune from criminal prosecution. “

Trump is assuming that once he gets in charge and appoints himself dominus et deus, he will be invincible because civilian resistance could not stand against the US military. But that assumes all of the military will stand with him. When they, and our NATO allies, now know that he thinks soldiers are suckers and he insists on being Putin’s little bitch.

This demand to the Court also rests on a critical flaw. As I have said, the weakness of this Roman-inspired republic is that like Rome, it grants more and more power to the executive rather than the Senate, which increasingly can’t get anything done. As a result, we have assumed the president to have more authority than he strictly has under the Constitution. War making powers, for instance. The assertion of the normie culture has been, “the President can do anything he wants, cause he’s the President.” Which is now Donald Trump’s best justification for his lifelong belief that “Donald Trump can do anything he wants, cause he’s Donald Trump.”

And while his lawyers may insist that while their argument in the abstract hypothetically applies to ANY president, it’s very easy to bring the matter back to reality. Trump is asking for absolute power. He’s saying, “The King can do whatever he likes”, but he’s NOT the King. Common sense (which granted seems to be in short supply at the Alito Court) indicates that the ruling doesn’t apply to just Trump. Ask these people if all these hypotheticals they are blithely discussing would apply in the abstract to Joe Biden.

Could Joe Biden order somebody to ice Donald Trump?
Could Joe Biden order a crackdown on right-wing media ranging from Reason Magazine to Newsmax?
Could Joe Biden, the day after presidential immunity was created by SCOTUS, then immediately declare Dobbs v. Mississippi to be null and void and sign an executive order making the previous Roe v. Wade standard nationwide again?

I think we all know how Chief Justice Alito would react to that hypothetical.

Because even if nobody in this case is arguing that the President’s authority allows him to destroy the balance of powers and nullify a SCOTUS ruling, what would THEY be able to do about it, if they themselves have declared that anything the president does cannot be prosecuted (short of impeachment and removal from office, which would require a two-thirds vote of the Senate, including Democrats, meaning, IT’S NEVER GOING TO HAPPEN), just as long as he says the two magic words “official act“, which will strike him with a lightning bolt and give him superpowers?

Memo to Future Fascists: Don’t declare absolute power until you actually HAVE it. Like that nice Hitler boy, he knew what he was doing.

Which is why when you listen to some of these talking heads, you’re getting an assessment: The three liberal justices will not vote for Trump, Thomas (who of course has not recused himself in a case where he has personal interest) will certainly vote for Trump, Alito is at least 90 percent likely to vote for Trump, Neil Gorsuch is at least 50 percent likely to vote for Trump, which leaves Brett Kavanaugh, Amy Comey Barrett and nominal Chief Justice John Roberts as the balance, and while they seemed ambiguous, they also don’t seem to be totally on Trump’s side. So the thinking now is, “Of all the nine justices, Gorsuch appeared to be steering his like-minded colleagues toward a decision that could result in sending the 2020 subversion case back to the district court in Washington for more hearings with instructions about what acts constitute official or private actions.” That would of course, still be a delay, and would definitely drag things out past the election, but that would also mean that SCROTUS wouldn’t have to worry about giving President Biden absolute immunity. So at least somebody‘s thinking ahead.

But even entertaining this mishegoss demonstrates the emotion and illogic of the Alito Court, which in attempting to decide a matter once and for all for their side just ends up creating a bigger rats’ nest. This same week, the Court held arguments on a State of Idaho law that forbids abortion for any reason other than the potential death of the mother, leading, among other things, to 55 percent of OB-GYNs in Idaho leaving the state for fear of being prosecuted if the government rules against their medical decisions. A possibility that could not have occurred without Dobbs vs. Mississippi. In that decision, Chief Justice Alito ruled that a national right to abortion did not exist because there is no affirmative precedent for it, even though this opinion had to assert a position not only against stare decisis but the wording of the Fourteenth Amendment, “No State shall make or enforce any law which shall abridge the privileges or immunities of citizens of the United States”. So there should be no right to abortion because it isn’t positively stated in the Constitution. But there should be a right to presidential immunity when there’s nothing in the Constitution on that subject one way or another? Because it’s never come up before? Because nobody other than this particular subject forced the issue before, unless you count Nixon, which brings up the question that Justice Ketanji Brown-Jackson asked Trump’s attorney D. John Sauer, “What about the pardon?”

Mr. Sauer asserted for his client that the president must have absolute immunity from prosecution or the office will be crippled, raising the question of why no other president, including Richard Nixon or Bill Clinton, have made such an argument in the face of investigation. It is telling how much the republic has deteriorated that no president before Trump would make such an argument, and no other Supreme Court would take it seriously.

To assert, okay, maybe we shouldn’t let this obviously compromised and senile Russian asset have complete immunity but maybe the president in the abstract deserves some level of privilege for “official acts” is to assert a presidential power that never existed in the letter of law and was assumed not to exist in the spirit of the law, prior to a largely Trump-appointed Court. If such privilege were granted, would that lead to Mr. Alito getting more, or less, legal hassles in future cases?

Maybe … they shouldn’t give the president that privilege.

This is the judiciary, not the legislature. To create an interpretation beyond both the wording and spirit of the original law is effectively legislating from the bench. Which I thought “conservatives” were against. They should just stick to the script and what it says.

What is the term for that? Textualism? Strict constructionism? Constitutionalism?

Gee, if only we had a conservative Supreme Court that operated on that philosophy!

A House Divided Against Itself Cannot Stand

When the Way was lost there was virtue.

When virtue was lost there was benevolence.

When benevolence was lost there was right.

When right was lost there were the rituals.

The rituals are the wearing thin of loyalty and trustworthiness

And the harbinger of chaos.

  • Lao Zi, Tao Te Ching

Saturday – 4/20 – the House of Representatives finally got to vote for Ukraine (and Israel, and Taiwan) after House Speaker Mike Johnson (BR.-Louisiana) suddenly changed his mind last week and decided to move the process through after holding up the Senate foreign aid bill for more than seven months. This required going over many in Johnson’s own Trumpnik party who oppose Ukraine aid at all costs, and many “progressives” who didn’t agree with Israel aid. It also meant that the various culture-war issues that Johnson was using as a pretext for holding up aid got agreed to by Republicans and centrist Democrats, such as a demand to have China remove its interest in the TikTok social media service.

Now the press seems to be forgetting that this move was actually Johnson’s last-ditch defense of the Trumpnik position: By separating the four proposals rather than just voting up or down on the Senate bill as is, he creates a situation where the House bill gets passed to the Senate when it was all that Democrats and hawk Republicans could do to stop the MRGA (Make Russia Great Again) contingent in the Senate from filibustering it. However, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer announced on Twit that the Senate has locked in an agreement to approve the bills on the first vote Tuesday. In other words: Fuck You, Rand Paul.

I’ve been looking over some of my favorite YouTube bloggers for their opinions. Jake Broe actually thought that the Israel lobby got to Johnson, namely because of how the politics shifted after Iran directly attacked Israel with missiles. Which makes sense. Because as we know, Johnson’s brinksmanship and infinite delays were not just starving out Ukraine, but Taiwan, which is threatened by China, and Israel, which is threatened not only by Hamas, but by Hamas’ patron (and Russia’s drone supplier) Iran. And whether or not Israel can survive without American aid (I suspect it can survive a lot better against Iran than Ukraine can survive against Russia), Israel aid has been one of the proverbial “third rails” of Congressional policy, for both parties, and it’s amazing – and telling what’s happened to the Republicans – that Johnson could flip off Israel as long as he did.

So hey, thanks, Worldwide Zionist Conspiracy!

But again, that raises the question of why things changed. It’s a little easier to guess why an increasingly young and “progressive” Democrat caucus is not as fond of Israel especially as the Netanyahu government has made it more brutal and corrupt. But with the Republicans, being brutal and corrupt are selling points. And the Evangelicals who form much of the Republican base have always supported Israel because in their eschatology, Israel has to be restored in order to bring about Armageddon, so that Jesus can come back and be President again.

What’s changed is that, as I say, if Donald Trump announced tomorrow that he is a woman undergoing the process of transition, then every Republican in Congress would fight to the death for a pair of rusty garden shears to be the first one to castrate himself on the grounds that masculinity is now “gay.”

And that gets to the point that Republicans are what I call “professional Christians.” Not in the theological sense that they profess to a certain creed, but in the sense that being a certain kind of Christian is their job. It’s how they make money. And if they quit having the political opinions that are associated with that sort of faith, they could get fired. And then not only would they lose all those free taxpayer goodies from working in Washington, they might have to work in fast food or customer service like the rest of us.

Needless to say, to avoid that they would rather do anything else, even if one has to twist the definition of “Christian” like a Mobius strip. For example, outside of Congress, there’s Bill Barr, Trump’s former attorney general, who might certainly be evil but still has a brain. He at least was capable of resigning before he could be asked to fulfill Trump’s more harebrained election-stopping schemes, and in the subsequent years he went on something of a rehabilitation tour telling everyone in the press what a rotten incompetent Trump is. But he has always said he would vote for the Republican candidate because Biden is so terrible, and last week he affirmed he would vote for “the Republican ticket” (not mentioning Trump) because a second term in office for President Joe Biden would be “national suicide.”

That is not morality. That is not even ideology. That is programming.

That is “run program, if x, execute y.” All that matters is, does the candidate have an R by his name? I’m voting for him. Do they have a D by their name? I can’t vote for them.

Presumably Catholics like Barr rationalize voting for such an un-Christian Leader because the Democrats endorse horrible policies like trans rights and abortion rights. Of course Catholics always have been against abortion, but the Southern Baptists who have been at the center of modern conservatism used to support some medical allowances for abortion, even after Roe v. Wade was decided. After 1980, the Southern Baptist conference refused to allow abortion in cases of rape, incest or mental trauma. This was of course about the time that the Religious Right developed as a real force in Republican politics. In In Thy Kingdom Come, Randall Balmer recounts comments that political consultant Paul Weyrich, whom he describes as “one of the architects of the Religious Right in the late 1970s”, made at a conference sponsored by a religious right organization that they both attended in Washington in 1990:

“In the course of one of the sessions, Weyrich tried to make a point to his Religious Right brethren (no women attended the conference, as I recall). Let’s remember, he said animatedly, that the Religious Right did not come together in response to the Roe decision. No, Weyrich insisted, what got us going as a political movement was the attempt on the part of the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) to rescind the tax-exempt status of Bob Jones University because of its racially discriminatory policies.” According to a Politico article by Balmer, “Weyrich’s genius, however, lay in his understanding that racism — the defense of racial segregation — was not likely to energize grassroots evangelical voters. So he, Falwell and others deftly flipped the script. Instead of the Religious Right mobilizing in defense of segregation, evangelical leaders in the late 1970s decried government intrusion into their affairs as an assault on religious freedom, thereby writing a page for the modern Republican Party playbook, used shamelessly (later) in the Hobby Lobby and the Masterpiece Cakeshop cases. … I recall reading through Weyrich’s papers at the University of Wyoming in Laramie, and when I came across his correspondence following the 1978 midterm elections, the papers almost began to sizzle with excitement. He characterized the outcome as “true cause for celebration.” Weyrich had finally landed on an issue — abortion — that could mobilize grassroots evangelicals. Now, (Jerry) Falwell and other leaders of the Religious Right had a “respectable” issue, opposition to abortion, one that would energize white evangelicals — and, not incidentally, divert attention from the real origins of their movement.” In such a way white Evangelicals were able to create a “big tent” with the religious humanists of the Catholic Right, even though they agreed on little else but abortion prohibition: “In a reflection of their anxiety about linking their cause to the Republican Party or the New Christian Right, the nation’s Catholic bishops highlighted their opposition to the death penalty and their concern for the poor when discussing issues of concern in the 1980 election, while saying less about abortion than they had in the previous election cycle. The bishops’ desire to distance themselves from Reagan continued after the Republican’s election to the White House. While Jerry Falwell endorsed the president’s nuclear weapons buildup and his cuts in social programs, the National Conference of Catholic Bishops condemned these measures”.

It is such a movement that inspired not only Speaker Johnson’s previous loyalty to Trump but also the loyalty of Johnson’s current main opponent and fellow Republican Marjorie Taylor, Georgia Congresswoman and Troll Doll Animated By Witchcraft. Parroting the Russian line (only without the intelligence of a parrot), she opposes Ukraine as a Nazi state (run by a Jewish guy), says that Biden is trying to get this country into a war, even as Russia continues to threaten nuclear strikes against the West, and after Johnson’s flip last week announced no less than 22 riders on his set of bills, such as calling on Ukraine to shut down its “biolabs” (which do not exist), demanding that any Congressman who voted for Ukraine should be forced to join their military, demanding a “space laser” on the border (presumably to kill unarmed civilians trying to cross) and ordering that any aid given from the package either be rendered void or sent to other recipients. It’s what you call too clever by half, only without the clever part.

I mean, in previous decades when we used the term “useful idiots” for Russian partisans, it wasn’t quite so literal.

For the sake of being “pro-life”, partisans like Rand Paul, Marjorie Taylor and J.D. Vance are supporting a country that bombs Orthodox churches, that persecutes Evangelicals and Jehovah’s Witnesses and commits rape against victims as young as 4.

That is what The Party of Life is really supporting, kiddies.

Perhaps it was for this reason that some Republicans who actually remember when their “pro-life” party was represented by Ronald Reagan and John McCain started to object, in increasingly public ways. House Foreign Affairs Committee Chairman Michael McCaul (R.-Texas) said “I think Russian propaganda has made its way into the United States, unfortunately, and it’s infected a good chunk of my party’s base”. Another hawk, Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R.-Texas) told reporters, “I guess their reasoning is they want Russia to win so badly that they want to oust the speaker over it. I mean, it’s a strange position to take. I think they want to be in the minority too. I think that’s an obvious reality.” Crenshaw added: “I’m still trying to process all the bulls**t.”

Which might explain the really interesting rumor I got from the Internet this weekend.

Saturday, Beau of the Fifth Column posted a bit saying that some Republicans have stated a position, some publicly, though he didn’t name names. But the position is that if MAGAt Republicans go through with their motion to vacate against Johnson, these Republicans would immediately resign. And as of this week, the Republican margin of majority in the House is exactly one. Meaning the House would pass to control of the Democrats and the new Speaker would be Hakeem Jeffries of New York. Beau also said that the implied threat would be that if the House and the Senate are both Democrat controlled then they can pass a resolution taking Trump off the ballots. I consider this highly unlikely. More plausible is the chance that if enough Republican Congressmen in the right states leave, this will kill the Trumpnik ace in the hole: If the Electoral College is tied or contested then the election is decided in the House of Representatives, where the vote is done by state delegation and Republicans thus had an edge even in 2020.

Keep in mind, this would make Jeffries the first Black Speaker of the House in America’s history, so if hawk Republicans are willing to contemplate that, they must be PISSED at the MAGAts.

I had pointed out a while ago that the MAGAt ultimatum has always been that if sane Republicans ever challenged Trumpnik dominance that Trump and his cult could just take their ball – that is, their voter base – and go home. Yet the Trumpniks have never asked themselves what would happen if the sane Republicans left them. We may be about to find out.

But this just gets to a point I already made about why Republicans can’t do anything even if they are in charge, because one, as Mr. Crenshaw implies, they are in spirit always an opposition, read, minority party because being in charge is no fun and implies too much responsibility. Second, the American system has been tending more and more towards giving power to the executive and while you would think that works for Donald Trump, his actual time in office and his “Project 2025” indicates the problems you get if you make the President the Emperor for real and dismiss the other branches of government. You need checks and balances if only to correct mistakes you don’t know you’re making. And if the GOP (Greedy Old Puritans) are now almost completely a Party of Trump, that may serve his concept of unitary government but it doesn’t serve government as it actually exists.

In his Trump’s own mind at least, the Republicans are the Party of Trump and each individual is just an extension of his own interests, but all these other roles in the government and all these downballot races still matter. But the appeal of being in the Trump cult is the idea that if Trump does whatever he wants and tells everybody what to do and gets away with it, you can too. Which is of course just another Trump lie. And the problem is if your office does NOT give you the effective powers of a Roman Emperor and you still want to act like you are.

As I said: “It’s one thing if the party is dictated to by one whiny little baby who has actual influence and the support of the mob. But what if you don’t have those things and you still want to be a whiny little baby? How do you expect to resolve disputes? By following rules and acting like an adult? Well, clearly that’s not cool in the Republican Party any more. So what happens when you have two or more people who don’t have a clear majority of supporters, expecting to speak for the Party, expecting to exercise supremacy when they don’t have it? What do you have then?”

It’s one thing if you’re the president and tradition and practicality give you a great deal of authority, but if you’re Joe Schmo representing the district of Kokomo, you don’t get to dictate terms like Trump. But nobody told the Trumpniks.

When Kevin McCarthy (BR.- California) acceded to Matt Gaetz (BR.- Pedophilia) and his demand to let the Speakership be challenged by only a single Congressman, he was signing his own political death warrant and he knew it, but he didn’t care, because like many politicians he cared more about the perks of his station more than actually doing anything with power. But the fact that anyone can bring a motion against the Speaker means that any one member of Congress – such as Marjorie Taylor – can act like a Trump, and that’s exactly why they wanted that to happen. And the rest of Congress – apparently now including a strong plurality of Republicans – can see why that doesn’t work.

A certain amount of compromise is necessary even if “conservatives” hate the concept more than Randians. Because everyone else on the floor is a vain political creature just like you and they’re not going to give you something for nothing any more than you would do for them. The (small r) republican system is designed the way it is to allow for negotiation between different groups. You will never have a united States of America otherwise, because we can’t all agree on everything.

This is, incidentally, one reason the First Amendment says that Congress shall make no law establishing an official religion for the government, which Trumpniks would know if they ever bothered to read it.

As Hayes Brown at MSNBC points out, the irony in Johnson’s deal is that it ends up being the way the House is supposed to work. By constitutional design. Recall that the whole clusterfuck with Kevin McCarthy happened because the House has to choose its Speaker by vote of the entire chamber, not just the majority party. “It is not the parties that are dictating what becomes law so much as the will of the majority. And the process, which has allowed for amendments rather than diktats from above and will allow members to vote as they please without repercussion from leadership, is exactly what archconservatives say they want.” This is of course the exact opposite of the way Business As Usual has been until now, where both the Senate and House leaders get to dictate the agenda without even considering whether a majority is behind them, which was how then-Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell was able to keep President Obama from even getting his choice for Supreme Court to a floor vote. The business of the country doesn’t get done because the party agenda is more important. But at least in this case we have a clear majority of legislators who may not agree on whether abortion is a mortal sin or whether it’s the Jews or Arabs of the Middle East who should be treated as pariahs, but can agree that helping our historic allies and defending countries against our historic enemies is a primary national interest, even if one side’s party boss – who may have ulterior motives on the matter – disagrees.

Country over party.

What a fucking concept.

Kill The Head And The Body Will Die

“If you choose not to decide, you still have made a choice.”

– Rush, “Freewill”

As we could all predict by now, Donald Trump, Once and Future Viceroy for Russian North America, has not only gotten more tasteless than ever but during Holy Week decided to lean that much harder into his Christ complex than he did last year.

Like, selling a Bible that anybody could pick up for practically free and packaging it with a copy of the Constitution (which he’s also never read) and the lyrics to “God Bless The USA” all for the low, low price of $59.99. Something tells me this text isn’t going to include the Gospel passages where Christ chases the moneychangers from the Temple but again, that’s assuming that the fan club has actually read that part.

Look, all I’m saying is, if Trump wants to prove he’s Jesus, all he has to do is get nailed to a cross – live on TV, so we can all see him scream – get hung up in the air, die of exposure, and come back after three days. THEN I’ll worship him as God. Deal?

No, no, no, Feds, I am not threatening to kill a (former) president. I mean, if Trump IS Jesus, if he dies, he comes back, right? No harm, no foul!

Now if Donnie knows he ISN’T the Messiah – and we all know that even if he is, he’s too cowardly to take the chance – then maybe he should shut his fat mouth with the comparisons to Jesus.

And while he’s at it, he should quit saying he’s been treated worse than Abraham Lincoln. How do we know you haven’t been treated worse than Lincoln, Donnie? You’re STILL ALIVE, aren’t you?

For Trump to be treated as bad as Lincoln, he would have to be assassinated by a Confederate sympathizer who was angry that Trump stopped a white supremacist insurrection against the United States government. Somehow I consider that less likely than Trump opening his tomb after three days.

Although Trump is establishing a pretty good case for life after death, not just in that he is still walking around after almost eighty years of an indulgent lifestyle that would kill most men, but because he is clearly able to walk around with no brain activity. Most of us observed even when Trump was President that his command of vocabulary was greatly limited even compared to where it was a few years before 2015. Now it’s impossible not to notice how he slurs, forgets basic words and gets people’s names mixed up, like when he says that Barack Obama is the current president and not Joe Biden. Or when he twitted that Jimmy Kimmel and Al Pacino at the Oscars were the same guy.

Trump is like a dog. He’s only got so many brain cells to process a given mental activity. Like, have you ever been in a room and had a conversation with someone, and a dog is in the room, and you are talking about any number of things, and one of you says the word “food” and the dog’s ears prick up? That’s Trump. He hates the current President for usurping his throne, but he really hates Barack Obama (cause, reasons) so he fuses his present object of hatred with his primary one. Likewise, he has always hated Nancy Pelosi but currently hates Nikki Haley for impeding his path to coronation, so he kept repeating Nikki Haley’s name and blaming her as Speaker for the events of January 6, when everyone knows she wasn’t the Speaker then, it was Pelosi. But Trump’s brain isn’t complex enough to make these subtle distinctions.

The problem is, Trump is a meal ticket for a lot of people, some of whom are not even Russian. And they have to strike the balance between Trump being just dumb enough to manipulate and not so mentally incontinent that he gives the game away. So I’m sure one of his people had to tell him that he has to put a lid on these blankouts or else Ivanka is going to have to take him to a nice memory care facility where you eat dinner with plastic utensils. So Trump came up with an explanation that will satisfy the intellect of both himself and his fan club: Whenever he confuses Obama with Biden, it’s because Obama is really the one in charge and Trump calls him the President sarcastically. Or as political strategist Pee-Wee Herman would say, “I meant to do that.”

(You will recall that Trump has also adopted other campaign strategies from Pee-Wee Herman, such as ‘NEHHH!’ and ‘I know you are, but what am I ?’)

No doubt when, not if, Trump goes into a fugue state, drops his pants and looses his bowels on stage in full view of reporters and cameras, he will explain the incident after the fact as his postmodern symbolic commentary on the worth of the Democratic Party and its campaign promises. The fun will be watching the rest of his Party try to play along.

Trump said that if Biden wins, it would be “the end of democracy.” Which is really just his typical projecting. But in a way he’s right.

Because we should not be confused into thinking that “democracy” in the US actually means democracy or representative government. Americans say “democracy” to refer to our political system like we say “Levi’s” to refer to jeans or “Coke” to refer to any random soda pop when anybody who knows the difference between Coke and Pepsi and prefers one to the other would probably not appreciate the generalization. When we say “democracy” we just mean “the way we’re accustomed to doing things.” And the way America has been accustomed to doing things is that we are in effect only allowed to vote for one of two political parties, in exchange for which the two parties graciously allow each other’s existence and trade places in the government majority every once in a while. But like an officially de-segregated school where the races never hang out together, states have been grouping up into one-party blocs for a while, and people in one state can’t see the opinions of states run by another party as legitimate. This has been kind of a default in the Democratic-liberal echo chamber, but it is actually being enforced by law and legal maneuvering in Republican-run states, even in states where Democrats can’t get the time of day and such maneuvering shouldn’t even be needed. And because of such maneuvering, Republicans are starting to get a backlash even in those states. So if Biden wins, the Party of Trump will just confirm in their own minds that this government is an illegitimate imposition on their right to rule, and if Trump wins, the Democrats, and probably everyone else who doesn’t vote for Trump, will see it as a coup, even in the increasingly unlikely event that Trump has the votes to win fair and square like he did in 2016.

This is no longer a two-party system. It is one party that actually wants to have a government versus an insurgency. And when that insurgency is actually in charge, as with the Trump Organization before 2021 or the House of Representatives now, they can’t get anything done besides using government force to go after their enemies, who often include each other. And as the Republican Party becomes that much more a literal Party of Trump, where individual members only exist as extensions of the Leader’s will, it becomes that much more of an all-or-nothing situation, by his demand. In fact it has to be, as Trump’s lifelong criminal tendencies only metastasized with the opportunity of his office and the former real-estate cheat became an outright threat to national security who has to be investigated and prosecuted.

This is an all-or-nothing election, by Trump’s demand, whether anybody else wants it or not. You might wish that once this is over, we can all get back to an equilibrium between the two parties in the status quo ante, but the old order is gone and will not come back, because the people who actually run the Republican Party don’t want the old Republican Party, even if Trump dies tomorrow. As it is, we already know Trump will not simply retire and co-exist with other political actors like every other president and losing candidate before him has. This election is very simple: Do you want Donald Trump to be your King or do you want Donald Trump to go to jail?

Those are the only two choices. It is not a choice of whether you prefer the Republican or third-party candidate in Congress to the Democrat. It is not even a question of whether you think Joe Biden should be President. And it is certainly not an issue with a box of Wheaties being eight dollars at the store. The choice is: Do you want Donald Trump to be an unaccountable God-Emperor or do you want Donald Trump to be investigated and prosecuted for his crimes? Because Donald Trump, with his “presidential immunity” tactic, will accept no other terms. Any vote that is not for Joe Biden and Democrats down-ballot, whether it’s third-party, ticket splitting, or staying home, is a vote for Donald Trump to be your King. Any vote that is for Democratic candidates is a vote for Trump to go to jail. And if the Trumpniks actually seem to be leaning into the idea of “vote in November so we’ll never have to vote again”, I don’t think enough non-Trumpniks seem to be grasping the full implications of what it means to oppose Trump, why he must be opposed totally, and what would have to happen if he is defeated.

It is the reason that Mitch McConnell and various other Republican Senators who knew better did not join the Democrats in impeachment after January 6. Because it was perceived that this would mean breaking with Trump’s “MAGA” movement and if they did that, the Republican Party would effectively cease to exist. It might hold on in “safe” seats but those seats are usually safe only because of the kind of people who go along with MAGA.

We could go to war with these people. If that seems radical, just remember that they declared war on the rest of us when they decided to support an insurrectionist who wanted to overturn an election to stay in power. But as Eric Stratton would say, that would take years, and cost millions of lives.

Trump is perceived as invincible because his movement is perceived as invincible, and this reinforces his cult’s identity fusion, because the cult follows Trump because they perceive HIM as invincible. He gives them the freedom to be their worst selves because he gets to indulge his most lowbrow, evil, animal instincts and get away with it, so they think they can too. But anybody can see that it’s not entirely mutual. Trump’s underlings DO go to jail. Trump’s political followers do lose election recounts and have their “election was rigged” cases thrown out of court. Even Steve Bannon and Paul Manafort got sent to prison briefly, although Trump pardoned them, which gets to a different point.

And in a lot of those cases, a lot of those defendants expressed regret for their actions in court, once they realized their actions had consequences. But then a lot of them went back on their public statements and returned to insurrectionist rhetoric. Why? Because Trump is still a free man who gets to do whatever he wants so they figure their Savior is going to come back and restore the Kingdom.

The obvious way to break this identity fusion is to make the insurrectionists realize that consequences accrue to everybody, including the Leader.

Rhetorically speaking, kill the head and the body will die.

Here’s a really radical communist idea that you could only come up with after smoking a foot-long blunt laced with PCP. You ready?

You sitting down?
You’re holding on to your chair?
Here it is:
What if – when there is a law on the books where punishment for violation includes jail time, and someone breaks that law, they go to jail?

Seize it if you try.

Or, what if, when a defendant is found guilty at trial and sentenced to pay a settlement, and obliged to put up a bond at settlement or forfeit assets, that person actually pays the bond, on time – as opposed to getting the bond cut by more than half, and getting more time to pay it?

I know, right? It’s like no one else THOUGHT of this before!

But this gets to the flip side of the problem, which is that if Republicans don’t want to impose order on their organization (which is what a political party is for) because then the duopoly would cease to exist, the “normie” Democrat-aligned establishment is handling Trump with kid gloves and a ten-foot pole because they realize the duopoly would cease to exist if they went after the mobster who took over one of the ruling parties like a Stage 4 cancer. I have been telling Republicans, over and over and over again, that if they keep going down this path with Trump, America really will be a one-party state, and that one party will be the Democrats. And nobody wants that. Including the Democrats. Because then they’d actually have to take responsibility for something.

And the whole premise of modern American government is avoiding taking responsibility. The idea that someone, somewhere else, is going to solve the problem, and not me. Sometimes – not as often as we want to think – that actually works. It will not work with Trump, who is a barnacle on the system that will not just go away and do what he’s expected to do like Hillary Clinton or George W. Bush. At this point, refusing to confront Trump is catering to him, and that will irreversibly alter the system just as much as the radical un-American commie idea that elites who commit crimes should go to jail like everybody else.

When the republic was founded, even between the Articles of Confederation and the Constitution, the idea was not to have the kind of government that the Colonies had under George III. From now on, the premise of political science is to not have the kind of government that would cater to Donald Trump. If only because recent historical example demonstrates that giving the President unchallenged authority and unlimited benefit of the doubt only incentivizes career criminals to seek the office. Like, in addition to putting Supreme Court Justices on term limits so that the institution isn’t quite so dependent on the choices of one President, we should state flat out that the President IS under the same laws as everyone else and can be investigated and prosecuted by the FBI just like everybody else. Because impeachment will never work due to partisanship, and any truly partisan investigation untroubled by facts will flounder at the start, as even the Republicans have been obliged to acknowledge with their investigations of Joe Biden. Not only that we should take away a lot of the powers that have been given to the presidency, like the sole power to pardon, which in the cases of both Trump and Bill Clinton has been used with ulterior motive.

Of course that would not only require voting in Democrats (or non-Republicans) nationally, it would require voting in the kind of people who understand why things need to change and will actually change them. But again, it’s either that, or one way or another you are voting for the status quo, and one way or another the status quo is going to die because “conservatives” will not work to preserve it and are actively trying to destroy it. Responsibility cannot be avoided. A choice needs to be made regardless.

I already know what my decision is, but it’s not just my decision.

It’s yours.

REVIEW: Star Trek Discovery Season 5 (so far)

I had said that with the first season of Star Trek: Discovery, they didn’t fail so much in execution as in full-bore pursuing a direction that just happened to be the wrong one. Maybe I was wrong. Maybe it’s the execution that’s off.

This was clear to me in the first episode of the current (and last) season of Discovery, which starts out in slamming Space Pulp fashion with Captain Burnham (Sonequa Martin-Green) in a space suit literally riding the outside of a starship while attempting to disable its engines to prevent criminals from getting away with a top-secret artifact. But then the scene cuts to flashback at a Starfleet celebration party and spends a bit too long on exposition before getting right back to where it was. Better direction – from say, Jonathan Frakes – or better scriptwriting could have created tension or irony by going back and forth between the two events, but this is an example of how Discovery kills momentum even when it is able to create it.

The incident stems from a double-secret “Red Directive” from the mysterious Dr. Kovich (David Cronenberg), which apparently justifies going against all Federation protocols. Burnham naturally doesn’t like this, and has her team investigate what little they’re allowed to know. In the meantime the pursuit is hampered because the criminals have endangered civilians while escaping, and Burnham directs Discovery to stop and clean up the mess because after all, the Federation are supposed to be the good guys. (As opposed to certain other ‘good guy’ nations of the real world that I will not name here.)

Eventually Burnham gets Kovich to reveal the purpose of their mission: The couriers Moll and L’ak (Eve Harlow and Elias Toufexis) had gotten their hands on the diary of a Romulan scientist who was a bit actor in none other than “The Chase” episode of the last season of Star Trek: The Next Generation where Picard picked up the lead of his late archaeology professor and, pursued by Klingon, Cardassian and Romulan teams, managed to find a hologram from the “Progenitors” who were the ultimate reason why humaniform life is so common in the Star Trek galaxy, and who left their last message in hopes that their descendants could live in peace. And while at the time nothing ever came of it (I liked the reaction where the Klingon captain said ‘That’s IT??’), apparently this Romulan scientist was taking notes and managed to trace the secret of the Progenitors’ universe-creating technology. And obviously the Feds don’t want these two criminals to exploit the secret for themselves, much less sell it to someone really nasty. Whatever that secret is.

And while the story manages to bring back Tilly (Meg Wiseman) and Book (David Ajala), who turns out to have a family connection to Moll, the main guest star of this season so far seems to be Captain Rayner (veteran Canadian character actor Callum Keith Rennie) whose ship interferes with Discovery’s mission about as much as it helps it. Rayner is a combative jerk, and in this respect greatly reminds me of Ruon Tarka from Season 4, except that Rennie has enough charisma to make it work. Not only that, Rayner seems to be more moral and self-aware than Tarka.


So at the same time that Rayner is pressured to give up his command because his rash actions led to the aforementioned endangering of civilians, Captain Saru (Doug Jones) decides to join the diplomatic core and marry T’rina of Ni’Var, so before leaving Discovery he tells Burnham to find a replacement Number One who is just as much of a “force” as she is. So she gets Admiral Vance to let her pick Rayner. Precisely because he’s not going to be a yes-man, and also to honor Saru, who took a chance on her as an officer after she’d been that much more insubordinate.

All well and good, but just as the issue with Season 4 was that they took the premise of Star Trek: The Motion Picture and stretched it over thirteen hours, the premise here seems to be revisiting “The Chase” and going from one episode to over 10. It’s not bad so far, but I’ve been seeing almost as many chances for this season to go wrong as it has to go right.

The Ukraine War and Hearts of Iron IV, Continued

Keep men, lose land: Land can be taken again. Keep land, lose men: Both men and land are lost.

Mao Zedong

This was a lesson that Chinese Communist leader Mao had to learn the hard way. After the fall of the Chinese Empire, various (small-r) republican factions united against the warlords and petty nobles holding parts of the country; the Communists and the Nationalists (Kuomintang) were both inspired by Sun Yat-sen, but the Nationalists were opposed to the Communists and their Soviet influence. They joined forces but each faction tried to subvert the other until Chiang-kai-shek, leader of the Nationalists, turned on the Communists in 1927, destroying their strength in the urban centers. At this time Mao was only one of several revolutionary commanders, but he and others managed to escape Nationalist encirclement in a campaign that Chinese Communist mythology calls “the Long March”. Thus they developed a “space for time” strategy by necessity that ended up being mirrored by Chiang himself when the Japanese invaded and took over most of the coast and the Chinese capital of Nanjing.

Meanwhile in the present, the command of Ukraine’s defense went into transition. Until this year the Ukrainian Commander in Chief was the popular general Valeriy Zaluzhnyi, who was popular with his troops, especially after the 2022 campaign to clear the Kharkiv Oblast. But his position allowed him to say things that were unpopular with the government, like in 2023 when he famously did an interview with The Economist stating that the government’s counter-offensive had stalled, and why. In February, President Volodomyr Zelenskyy dismissed Zaluzhnyi while also appointing him Ambassador to the United Kingdom. Zaluzhnyi was replaced by General Oleksandr Syrskyi, who is thought to be more a follower of the old Soviet school of military thinking, and while given credit for the Kharkiv offensive was also blamed for continuing to lose troops at Bakhmut past the point that the city served any military purpose. According to one article, “So popular was Zaluzhnyi that Zelensky’s own approval rating dipped by five points to 60% after he fired the general. … The sense at the moment is of a political class that is factionalizing and selecting sub-optimal solutions to thorny problems. Syrskyi’s approach since his appointment has been to mimic Zaluzhnyi’s cautious, realist style—he has drawn up contingency plans in case American military aid never shows up, withdrawn from Avdiivka to avoid massive troop losses, and redoubled the army’s commitment to technological advancement and drone warfare. That close resemblance to Zaluzhnyi’s approach poses the question of why Zaluzhnyi was dismissed at all. And by all indications, the answer is that it had little to do with military strategy but was rather about personal friction between Zelensky and the former military leader.”

The popularity, or lack thereof, of each side’s government also relates to how many men each side can recruit, which is another point.

The Russian colossus has been underestimated by us. Whenever a dozen divisions are destroyed, the Russians replace them with another dozen.

Wehrmacht Chief of Staff Franz Halder

No bastard ever won a war by dying for his country. He won by making the other dumb bastard die for his country.

George S. Patton

As a lot of people have pointed out, Russia is always dangerous because they will literally waste their own troops and send untrained and even unarmed men into combat in order to make the enemy use up ammo and potentially erode their manpower, and then – eventually – gain ground after losing a lot more population than a more humane, or at least more intelligent and pragmatic, country would. In both World Wars Russia would actually send unarmed conscripts onto the field and order them to pick up any weapons they found on their comrades who’d already died. Basically, the Zapp Brannigan Killbot strategy decades before Futurama.

You might ask, how does one defeat such an enemy? Well, it happened at least once. Largely because the Russian homefront was so deprived in World War I, people revolted against the Czarist government in 1917. While this is not emphasized by popular history, The Bolshevik Revolution was not against the Czar but against the liberal “Provisional Government” that succeeded the Czar and remained unpopular because they wanted to keep fighting the Germans on behalf of the Allies. Also little known, the Soviets initially wanted to make peace with Germany – no surprise given that Germany had facilitated Lenin’s return to Russia from exile – but balked when the treaty included separating Poland and the Baltics from Russia “on the principle of self-determination that the Bolsheviks themselves espoused.” The only reason the Reds agreed to a peace treaty was because they had even less ability to resist German advances than the Czarist army did.

The other example of a military defeat in modern Russian history comes from the occupation of Afghanistan, originally to support a local Marxist party that had seized control from the former monarchy in 1978. And after about ten years, the Soviet Union realized that that conflict was their Vietnam, and was only bleeding their manpower and treasury to prop up a government nobody wanted, and so after about ten years, they left. It is telling that the figure for Soviet killed in that period is between 14,000 and 26,000, over ten years, while in less than three years of fighting in Ukraine, Putin’s Russian Federation has (according to US intelligence) lost 315,000 killed and wounded, while also losing two-thirds of its pre-war tank fleet.

In both cases, it didn’t matter so much that Russia had seemingly infinite numbers of men to throw away if the people at the home front didn’t see the conflict as futile.

In this war, both sides need to recruit as many men as possible, and both have problems. Russia in theory can recruit a lot more men than it has, and probably will now that Putin has won his election as easily as Trump wins at his own golf courses, and for basically the same reason. But one of the big reasons Putin hasn’t done so yet is that even he feels the need to worry about domestic dissent, and if the war gets closer to home because the draft affects the home front, that becomes more of a factor. The problem of course is that the war already has affected the home front, given that the country’s winter infrastructure collapsed in several places this year because the national budgets are entirely focused on the war and men who could have been servicing the heating systems are down at the front.

Meanwhile, despite its own critical need for personnel, Ukraine is that much less able to mobilize, given that as a democracy it is even less able to commandeer the population than Putin’s tyranny. In response to a Ukrainian request, the Estonian government is saying it is willing to repatriate Ukranian refugee men to serve in the war. The average age of a Ukrainian soldier is over 40. Even if Ukraine had enough materiel to support the war, it would be hard for them to take the offensive with manpower shortages, and it becomes that much more difficult to gain international support if it can be perceived that Ukraine’s own men aren’t going to fight. Probably the best solution at this point is where individual Ukrainian brigades are doing their own recruitment, “shunning an official mobilization system that they say is dysfunctional, often drafting people who are unfit and unwilling to fight.”

Neither one of these countries has a lot of logistical support right now, Ukraine because of Trumpnik interference and the EU mobilizing too late, and Russia because despite all of its built in advantages, it’s still Russia. You would think that this being the case Russia would realize it has time on its side, and all other things being equal it could just keep pushing with conventional attacks to undermine Ukraine in the long term. But if they thought that way they wouldn’t be throwing as many men into a meat grinder as possible for minimal amounts of land that they would probably get just as well with constant artillery bombardment.

It’s almost as if military conquest and the material benefits of taking Ukraine were secondary to Putin’s ultimate goal of killing as many people as possible, even if they’re on his own side.

As in a lot of wars, the Ukraine war basically amounts to who can kill the most people. And if Russia seems to have the advantage in that it has a lot more people to kill, it’s setting things up to where Ukraine can kill that many more of them.

It’s good to trust others. But, not to do so is so much better.

Benito Mussolini

You will all wind up shining the shoes of the Germans!

Italo Balbo

The first quote reflects the cynical, “Machiavellian” attitude of the fascist who thinks he knows better than the liberal just how the real world works. The second quote is from another veteran Italian Fascist, air ace Italo Balbo, who remembered that Italy preceded Germany in prestige and had a fascist government 11 years before Hitler. Much like Mussolini’s own son-in-law, Foreign Minister Galezzo Ciano, Balbo was very suspicious of the Nazi government and warned Mussolini and his fellow Fascists against increasing their ties to it. Balbo ended up assigned out of the way to govern Italian Libya. In 1940, Balbo died in Libya during the North Africa campaign when his scout plane was shot down by Italian anti-aircraft fire, further proving one of Murphy’s Rules of Combat: “Friendly fire – isn’t.”

And because Italy did not and probably could not become an industrial power on par with Germany or even France, it suffered more as it became more entwined with the Axis coalition, leading to the Allies taking their colonies and invading the homeland itself. By the time they reached the mainland, Mussolini was arrested by his own government, only to be “rescued” by Nazi commandos and installed as the head of a German puppet state running the remainder of Axis Italy. And when the war had brought both Italy and Germany to ruin, Mussolini tried to escape to Switzerland, only to get captured by partisans and executed in very sordid circumstances.

In his recent “interview” (rather, setup speech) to Tucker Carlson, Putin not only went on at tendentious length about why Ukraine isn’t a separate country from Russia, he attacked Russia’s old enemy Poland by saying Poland actually forced Nazi Germany to attack it by not agreeing with German negotiations. Blanking out the minor point that up until 1938, Hitler’s expansion was into his German-speaking “back yard” of Rhineland and the nation of Austria, while his takeover of the Sudetenland (in modern Czechia) was justified on similar grounds. That got some pushback from the West because that territory included mountains and fortifications that had been set up precisely to protect Czechoslovakia against German expansion, but Hitler promised everybody that that would be his “last territorial demand.” And then months after the Munich agreement Hitler walked into the defenseless remainder to invest Czechia and separate Slovakia from Czechoslovakia to become a separate puppet. So by summer 1939, Poland knew not to trust Hitler’s diplomacy, and so did everybody else.

Except Stalin.

On September 17, 1939, 16 days after Hitler attacked Poland, Stalin moved his troops in from the east to take ethnically Ukranian and Belorussian territory that Poland had won from Russia in a 1921 war (largely because of Stalin’s incompetence as a Red Army general, but I digress). This was the result of a Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact, whose secret provisions allowed Stalin to not only take eastern Poland but pressure Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania into joining the USSR, and also forcing Romania to cede Bessarabia (modern Moldova). Stalin also used the opportunity of the larger war to invade Finland, but had to settle for taking border territory rather than conquering the “historic Russian territory” outright.

And then after Hitler had conquered or subverted damn near every other country in Europe, on June 22, 1941, he invaded the Soviet Union in a move that surprised practically no one, except Stalin.

“Nine days before the invasion, the Kremlin ordered Moscow radio to assure listeners there was no prospect of a German invasion. An official TASS report dismissed “rumors” of a coming German attack as “clumsy propaganda” spread by countries hostile to Soviet Russia. Even as the offensive unfolded, Stalin still thought it was a provocation by German generals. “I’m sure Hitler isn’t aware of this,” Stalin told military aides.”

It’s like “I can’t believe the amoral bastard who I assisted in destroying another country was going to turn and try to destroy ME.”


And because of that, tens of millions of Soviets died who only died because Stalin had enabled Hitler in the first place.

But at least Uncle Joe died well.

And in our period, even as Donald Trump and his pet political party, along with Stalin’s former satellite Hungary, continue to do Putin’s bidding to help Russia kill Ukraine, promoting a country that defines itself as being at war with the West, Putin himself is increasingly obliged to orient his economy towards Red China because his war isolated him from Western economies – even as Chinese Premier Xi Jinping wants to maintain economic ties to the West and therefore refuses to give him more active support. China is at least as tyrannical, expansionist and racist as Russia, but just as Putin dreams of regaining all the Czar’s old territories like Finland, China dreams of retaking lands stolen from them by the Czar.

It’s almost a paradox that the most evil, untrustworthy and untrusting people are nevertheless practically gullible when dealing with people who are that much more treacherous than they are. But it makes sense if you consider that such people consider treacherousness to be an admirable trait.

As long as there are sovereign nations possessing great power, war is inevitable.

Albert Einstein

Albert Einstein was a socialist. The “good” kind. As a result he was in something of a moral conflict during the Nazi period. A Jewish German, he had to flee Germany during the Nazi period and he ended up violating his own pacifist principles to urge American President Franklin Roosevelt to speed up nuclear fission research in 1939 for fear that Nazi Germany could beat the West to an atomic bomb. (Never mind that the Nazis handicapped their own research by outlawing the work of Jewish scientists like Einstein.) When America did develop the bomb, we used it on Japan, and Einstein protested, with some accuracy, that the A-bomb attacks were partially motivated by “US-Soviet politicking” and the need to stop the Russians from dividing Japan the way they did Germany.

The book Out Of My Later Years (ISBN-13 978-1453204931) is a collection of Einstein’s various essays on a number of subjects, including but not related to physics. The section “Public Affairs” includes not only defenses of socialism but the 1947 “Open Letter to the General Assembly of the United Nations”. In this, he addressed the danger posed to the world by nuclear weapons and the inevitable arms race that was developing between the Soviet Union and the Western Allies. He said:

“The UN cannot be blamed for these failures. No international organization can be stronger than the constitutional powers given it, or than its component parts want it to be. As a matter of fact, the United Nations is an extremely important and useful institution provided the peoples and governments of the world realize it is only a transitional system towards the final goal, which is the establishment of a supranational authority vested with sufficient legislative and executive powers to keep the peace. The present impasse lies in the fact that there is no sufficient, reliable supranational authority. Thus the responsible leaders of all governments are obliged to act on the assumption of eventual war. … There can never be complete agreement on international control and the administration of atomic energy or on general disarmament until there is a modification of the traditional concept of national sovereignty. For as long as atomic energy and armaments are considered a vital part of national security no nation will give more than lip service to international treaties. Security is indivisible. It can be reached only when necessary guarantees of law and enforcement obtain everywhere, so that military security is no longer the problem of any single state. There is no compromise between preparation for war, on one hand, and preparation of a world society based on law and order of the other.”

The principal objection to this essay was placed by a group of four scientists from the Soviet Union.

A man has to be alert at all times if he expects to keep on breathing. If not, some German son-of-a-bitch is going to sneak up and beat him to death with a sock full of shit.

George S. Patton

You would be amazed how relevant this still is.

REVIEW: Star Trek: Discovery (Season Four)

Well, Star Trek: Discovery is setting up its fifth (and last) season in April, so it occurs to me I should give my impressions on Season Four.

In comparison to the previous series Star Trek: Discovery, the main complaint Trek fans seem to have with the last season of Star Trek: Strange New Worlds is that it only went for ten episodes. Whereas most people think SNW didn’t go on long enough, you can’t say that about “DISCO” Season 4, which went on for 13 episodes. And to me, it seemed a lot longer.

This is the problem with being a Trek fan who is neither a “progressive” nor a knee-jerk anti-liberal: Discovery isn’t BAD, certainly not as bad as certain pundits would tell you, but it’s often hard to give a damn about it.

Season Four reminded me of nothing other than Star Trek: The Motion Picture (or as my friends and I called it, ‘Star Trek the Motionless Picture’). It centers on a strange space anomaly that has the power to destroy entire planets and cannot be stopped. The solution centers not on violent confrontation but on scientific inquiry, exploration and humanist values. But it takes A REAL LONG TIME to get there.

If fans of the time thought that Star Trek: The Motion Picture was too slow and ponderous, Discovery Season 4 is basically the same story done over about 13 hours. Though not entirely. There are some interludes where support characters like Owosekun get some spotlight. One of my favorite characters, Saru (Doug Jones) has a chaste affair with the Vulcan ambassador from Ni’Var. Tilly (Mary Wiseman) decides she’s not cut out for ship duty but still has a role in the main story. Adira’s Trill personality/lover Grey Tal (Ian Alexander) is given a synthetic body (much like Picard’s) so that he can interact with the physical world, and while this story doesn’t go anywhere cause Grey really doesn’t have a place in the crew, it’s nice to see that this plot element was addressed at all.

While the focus remains on Sonequa Martin-Green playing Michael Burnham as Captain, Season Four is largely the story of Cleveland Booker (David Ajala) whose homeworld was the first victim of the “Dark Matter Anomaly” and whose grief is the source of much of the show’s drama, even as the DMA proves to be a threat to the entire galaxy. Ajala is good enough in this story that it would have been that much more dramatically interesting if Book had initiated the conflict in trying to destroy the anomaly, but he doesn’t have the resources to do so, so the story introduces Ruon Tarka (Shawn Doyle) an arrogant scientist who offers his services, but is so high-handed in his approach that it’s pretty easy to see why Burnham goes against him, and thus it’s also predictable when his plan doesn’t work out. As such it’s a little difficult to care about Tarka even though the series does establish an effective back story explaining his motives.

Other than that, I thought the most interesting thing about Season Four long-term is how it continues to develop the independence and legal status of the Discovery’s now-sentient memory library and computer, Zora (Annabelle Wallis), assisted by the professional advice of Dr. Kovich (played by director David Cronenberg in what is probably the best stunt casting since David Bowie in The Last Temptation of Christ). I say long-term because just as characters like Kovich, Adira, Grey and Admiral Vance got introduced in the future timeline of Season Three and continued on, Zora is continuing to develop. In fact her continued existence is something of a loose end.

But it’s kind of telling that again, I found a “side trek” story of Season Four to be more fascinating than the actual plotline that was omnipresent from the end of Episode One onward. Season Three by contrast was genuinely dramatic even if I thought the reveal and the resolution were kind of anti-climax. Now supposedly the producers, taking the example of SNW Season Two, are making Season Five more episodic and action-packed, which would help. As I said about Discovery regarding Season Three, I like the characters and the actors but the writing falls down, and if you like the characters, that actually makes a bad story more disappointing. Let’s hope that they turn things around like SNW and Star Trek: Picard Season Three.