Back To Abnormal

The Sunday before last, I got a rough experience in “the new normal.”

I work evening shift (covering after-hours) for a call center, starting at 5:30 pm. I got in my car at 4:15 pm thinking I could get some fast food from a drive-thru, and then swing back home in time to finish my food before my work-at-home shift started. I forgot that “fast food” is one of those obsolete terms like “theatrical release” or “free and fair elections.”

The McDonald’s nearest my house had at least ten cars rolled around the building and that line didn’t look to be moving any time soon. At 4:30 I flipped around to the Jack In The Box where there was only one car at the drive-thru but had to wait several minutes overhearing the customer and the intercom cashier having some conversation that sounded even more stoned than usual for a Jack In The Box customer and/or employee. So when the girl finally pulled forward I wanted to order just two things and the cashier said, “I’m sorry, but the order ahead of you is literally 250 dollars, and the kitchen is going to be occupied. Can you wait 20 minutes?”

“No.”

(Actually, I wanted to say ‘Fuck You gently with a chainsaw’, but that would have taken too much time.)

If I have to spend more time at a drive-thru waiting for food than I would in a sit-down restaurant, doesn’t that defeat the whole concept of DRIVE-THRU FAST FOOD?!?

By this time it was just about 5, the Mexican drive-thru joint in the neighborhood is closed Sundays, so is the sushi joint, and the only other thing I could think of was this place on East Desert Inn that used to be a Del Taco and is now a fried chicken-soul food joint called Golden Bird Chicken. I was reluctant to do so because they had at best ‘eh’ food and their service was as slow as an arthritic tree on the handful of occasions I had tried them. I went inside because (this is another omen) they didn’t even HAVE drive-thru service the first couple times I went there, that’s how fucking slow they were, they put a garbage can in the drive-thru lane because they knew they couldn’t work that fast. I had to wait behind one guy in line and I ordered two barbeque chicken sandwiches cause I figure all they would need to do is take some chop-parts, sauce them and put them on a bun. There was only the one manager on duty, I didn’t see anybody at the grill for several minutes and it was about 5:15 when I asked if they were getting to my order and the manager asked his one employee on staff if they had the makings for BBQ chicken sandwiches and the guy said “no.” Gee, it would have been nice to know that BEFORE taking my debit card. So I waited a little longer for a transaction cancellation but the manager apparently couldn’t coordinate between the previous customer and the one guy who braved the drive-thru long enough to him to cancel the Goddamn transaction for the food I was NOT getting, and he was making me late for work.

So I said, “Congratulations, I just paid you 8 dollars for nothing” and walked out. I barely had time to get to work and I ended up having to order something delivered from a pizza joint, which of course had to be eaten on the side cause I was at work.

By the way, to anybody who lives in Las Vegas: FUCK Golden Bird Chicken. I am NOT going back there, and if you’re thinking about trying them, DON’T.

But if you look at social media, you might have seen a few other complaints about this issue, but most of them are from the managers of chain restaurants themselves. Several people now have to live on the government’s Federal Pandemic Unemployment Compensation (FPUC), a feature of the CARES Act signed by President Biden, where they get $300 a month. Several Republican Senators are asking Biden to reduce or end the benefits even as some states are reviewing their own unemployment benefits.

Apparently in the Chamber of Commerce’s own analysis, “the $300 benefit results in approximately one in four recipients taking home more in unemployment than they earned working.” Divide 300 by 40 hours a week. That’s 7.5 dollars an hour. Gross pay. Just slightly more than the Federal minimum wage, which hasn’t increased since 2009.

If business in this country can’t compete with THAT level of pay, then maybe this Trump economy wasn’t as gangbusters as we all thought.

As I’ve said: All minimum wage means is that if it were legal for the company to pay you less than that, then they would. And that’s because your job, relative to the cost of hiring your replacement, is only worth that much to the company or less. If it was worth more, they would pay more.

As flawed and hypocritical as the Left can be, they have hit on a key hypocrisy of the Right: They don’t want a laissez-faire economy any more than the Left does.

Yeah, maybe a lot of these fast-food places are actually run by franchisees, and maybe the manager at Golden Bird Chicken is running with the money in his till and that’s it, but a lot of the joints that plead poverty are still associated with major chains, and their collective resources are being used to put themselves at priority ahead of the smaller operators. Like, if you wonder why the food at your favorite bar got so expensive all of a sudden, it’s because the shift to delivery and crash in sit-down eating thanks to Trump Virus (TM) meant that the chains with more buying power than the local bar needed more chicken and other meat and were able to snap up the food supply.

Much like how Walmart used its collective resources to drink every local store’s milkshake and make them uncompetitive and now everyone wonders why Walmart is the only store in town and no one can afford to shop anywhere besides Walmart.

What certain business owners are really complaining about is that The Law of Supply and Demand is real, and now it’s finally starting to work both ways. The Left doesn’t like that aspect of capitalism (or capitalism in general) because the worker usually gets the wrong end of the deal, but certain economic principles are called “laws” because they apply and have been proven to exist regardless of culture and place. It used to be that workers had to put up with shit conditions and wages because there were always more workers than jobs, but apparently that’s no longer the case. So of course wages are going up. Not as much as some people would like, but they are. I mean the Speedee Mart gas station near my place is posting for jobs starting at $12 an hour. I never thought I’d see wages like that at a convenience store. That’s close to what I started at with my current job when I joined a few years ago and I’ve had raises since then.

As I said in one of my first posts:
“(C)onservatives and libertarians mostly think that we shouldn’t make the welfare system too “cushy” because that will de-incentivize work since at some level you could get a better standard of living without working. But that policy has two issues: One, given the “Puritan work ethic” of this country, it’s very unlikely that we ever will have a comprehensive welfare state on the level of an EU country, at least not with our current political class. And two, given that fact, the gradual desertion of the workforce is not so much because the benefits of welfare are so great, but because the benefits of work are so meager. Put another way, if you’re going to be just scraping by whether you have a job or not, you might as well be just scraping by with plenty of free time on the government dole as opposed to just scraping by while busting your ass over 40 hours a week. “

This country didn’t suddenly get socialist. On the whole, you’ve still got the same Ayn Rand-meets-Puritanism approach to welfare in America, and the government’s current level of unemployment benefits is actually more stingy than what businesses had been paying, just as our “socialist” minimum wage was already less than what the market would bear even before Trump Virus, when most fast-food joints had to pay at least a dollar over the Federal minimum to hire people. But now that the country has created a situation where many people weren’t allowed to work, the dynamic has tipped.

And just think, this change happened all because of Donald Trump, our most freeist market, capitalest president EVAR!

I mean maybe this isn’t capitalism in the libertarian, laissez-faire sense, but in the sense of “the economy works because actions have consequences”, maybe it is.

All this gets into how the Left can be philosophically wrong yet be on the right side of the political debate. Like how they say “healthcare is a human right,” which is bullshit. Not that we don’t NEED healthcare, I mean that it’s the wrong argument. You have people running certain parts of government who don’t think we HAVE rights, such as the right not to get killed by a cop for a non-capital crime, or the right to vote if it’s not for a Republican, so don’t try to persuade those people with rights you made up. Nobody, even on the Left, thinks that an interstate highway system is a “human right”, but we paid for it – at least we used to – because everyone saw it as a common benefit. That’s how you need to phrase this.

You don’t pay people 300 bucks a week (which is conditional in any case) because you want to encourage mooching. You do it because it would take the economy that much longer to recover if we had that many more able-bodied and gainfully employed people made homeless in less than a year because The Greatest President The Business Community Ever Had decided that coronavirus wasn’t real and therefore we didn’t need to account for face-to-face services having to shut down across the country.

But hey, at least you got that Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, huh? How’s that working out now?

If even $300 a week is more than 25 percent of unemployment recipients got from working, by the CoC’s own estimate, then that shows how much they got from working. As a right-winger, I can conditionally tolerate unemployment supports until we get this country and economy back to normal. The fact that the business community thinks that $300 a week is spoiling people means that the status quo pre-COVID really wasn’t normal.

And as with a lot of other things, the solution is not to go back to normal, but to find something better than normal, because ‘normal’ was how everything got fucked in the first place.

GAME REVIEW: The Hammer and the Stake (Quickstart)

Here’s one from left-field, so to speak.

I was reading Facebook recently and my old gamer friend Jerry Grayson posted a Kickstarter campaign for an indie press role-playing game called The Hammer and the Stake by the company Weaponized Ink. The premise, from the ad: “Following the Great War and the disastrous Treaty of Trianon, Count Dracula engineers a fascist vampire-coup in Hungary and Romania and establishes himself as the autocrat of the newly created Nagy-Magyarország (‘Greater Hungary’).

“Proletariat freedom fighters work to overthrow Dracula’s despotic-aristocratic regime. The threat is very real, Dracula’s magic is powerful enough to make manifest the worst fears of Marx.

“Time is of the essence. If Dracula’s minions are left unchecked, the people will literally lose their identities and become lumpenproles – beaten down degenerate servants of the Dracula regime.

“You play one of the heroic socialists fighting to liberate the people from both the invisible hand of Adam Smith as well as despotic vampire overlords.”

The funny thing is that if you took the whole vampire mythology out of this premise, it’s still fairly similar to what actually happened to Hungary after 1918.

I want to go into that background but if the real-world history doesn’t appeal to you, you can skip over this next part. Of course if a game dealing with Marxism, 1920’s Hungary and vampires doesn’t appeal to you, you probably shouldn’t be reading any of this.

The History

In 1848, Hungary unsuccessfully rebelled against the old-world Austrian Empire, but they were a strong enough plurality in the Empire to where Austria decided to give them autonomy. By 1867, they came up with a compromise: Austria would restore the Kingdom of Hungary (and the historic Crown of St. Stephen) and in exchange the Hungarians would accept Austria’s Emperor as their King. This led to an unusual (and ultimately unworkable) arrangement called the “Dual Monarchy.” Essentially, Austria-Hungary was two nations with one monarch (and even then he had two official titles). The two nations had two capitals, two parliaments, two sets of laws, everything. How did this work when the dual nation had to have one military command and Austria-Hungary ended up starting World War I? Not that well. Austria-Hungary was the main ally of the German Empire (the ‘bad guys’ of World War I) but Germany ended up having to bail out Austria-Hungary in its various campaigns against the Serbs, the Italians, the Romanians and even the Russians.

When Germany’s coalition, the Central Powers, was defeated by the Allies in 1918, the various subject nations of Central Europe, including Poland, rebelled and sought independence. With various peace treaties, not only did Germany lose it’s Polish and French-speaking territory, Austria and Hungary lost everything outside their modern borders. In the case of Austria, that was the Polish province of Galicia, modern Slovenia and Croatia, Tyrolean Italy and the modern Czech Republic. Hungary had controlled Slovakia, a north Serbian province called Novi Sad, and the historic Romanian province of Transylvania. Hungary didn’t want to lose its “Greater” territories any more than Germany did, because there were still large groups of ethnic Hungarians outside the postwar border. The remaining Allied coalition of France, Romania and the south Slavic states tried to advance into Hungary to enforce post-war borders even as Marxist revolution sparked in Russia and other places including Germany and eventually Hungary. Marxists led by Bela Kun and other Jewish intellectuals took over the transition government and in direct communication with Lenin’s Russian government called their state the “Hungarian Soviet Republic.” The Allied land grab made the revolution both easier and more difficult, because the liberal-reformist government that the Marxists overthrew had no plan to defend Hungary’s territory, yet as hostilities continued, the threat of Leninist-style socialism in Central Europe galvanized the Allies even as the Kun government sought to create ethnic Soviet satellites in Slovakia and elsewhere, undermining Hungarian nationalism for the sake of international revolution.

The main fighting occurred between Hungary and Romania with Romania eventually taking the capital of Budapest, with Kun and his comrades being forced to flee. Hungary ended up with a fascist-adjacent government that continued to press for the restoration of “Greater” Hungary and only somewhat succeeded by allying with Nazi Germany after 1940. The right-wing government also persecuted Jews for their disproportionate presence in the Marxist revolt, but they didn’t attack them nearly as much as the Nazis. In fact, it was after the Hungarian fascist regime refused to turn over its Jews to the Nazi death camps that Hitler overthrew the government. Of course by that time the Soviets were on track to take Budapest.

Then there’s the bit where Hungary, Marxism and vampires link up in the real world: Bela Lugosi, the legendary Dracula actor, was not only a Transylvanian Hungarian, he was a union organizer in a film actors’ union in Hungary, which may have been one of the first screen actors’ unions in the world. Since the unions were aligned with the Hungarian Soviet Republic, Lugosi ended up having to flee the country when the revolution was quashed, and he ended up in the States.

And now you know… the rest of… the story.

The System

The product currently available for The Hammer and the Stake (on the DriveThruRPG site) is called The Workers’ Primer. It specifically says “THIS IS THE PLAYTEST!” It also says that to get full rules you would go to the Discord or Facebook pages for Weaponized Ink, which seem to be more update pages than anything else. So keeping all that in mind, the book currently is 53 pages in PDF, very little layout and very little art.

The opening section goes into how the “Greater Hungary” of this fictional world is that much more backward and repressed than historical 1920s Central Europe on purpose. “Dracula, now elevated to lord of Greater Hungary, tears away the structure of progress to permanently keeps the people as his slaves.” Page 8 has a map confirming that this isn’t the only difference. There is still a Soviet Union, but Finland is still owned by Sweden, Ireland is still part of the United Kingdom, and France is called the “United Angevin Kingdom.” In the south, Italy and Albania have cut big chunks out of Yugoslavia. But the Nagy-Magyarország described in the setting isn’t on the map, just the borders of real-world Hungary and Romania. (This territory also has a crayon mark around it, which implies this is something they’re going to correct later.) So clearly this isn’t just “take the real world and add vampires”, it’s a straight-up alternate history, but at this point there isn’t much background or explanation for it.

After page 8, the book goes into the rules. The core mechanic of The Hammer and the Stake is where you take two six-sided dice and bet against a number. In other words, craps. In the game terms glossary, they also refer to this mechanism as The System (‘A shooter is trying to beat The System’). However (also not unlike craps or roulette) only one player at the table rolls the dice. They don’t say how the players decide who this is, or whether the shooter position is allowed to change during a game.

The only input other players have on task resolution is wagering what number comes up on the dice, where the number of wagers a player can make is based on their relevant Attribute (so if Physical is relevant and the character has Physical 2 they can place two wagers on the roll) and the range of numbers they can bet is based on their rating in a relevant Skill (where a Skill rating of 1 means you can only bet on 12, and a Skill rating of 5 means you can bet on any number but 7, which automatically fails). You can also bet banked Experience Points on a wager but this is another one of those bits that needs editing- on page 12 it says a successful wager with XP gets the point back, but page 17 says you get the point back plus an additional XP. But it also says that you can wager on rolling a 7 regardless of your skill level, then says “An XP wager is lost if a 7 comes up the number before the wagered number.” I’m not even sure this is grammatical. And the rules already confirm a 7 is normally a failure, but does it count as a success if you actually bet on it?

Not only that, it’s an unorthodox role-playing system – and not in a good way – because most games assume that every player gets to roll dice. In this system you basically bet that a certain result comes about and then wait to see if the other player succeeds for you. Is this mechanic the game designers’ attempt to simulate democratic centralism?

The system also has some narrative-style modifiers. Pages 20 to 22 go over how one uses Advantages and Hindrances to set up the stakes of a scene and the characters’ end goals. In game, an Advantage allows a player to ignore the results of one roll. A Hindrance expands the range of failure, so that one Hindrance cancels a success on a 3 and four Hindrances would cancel success on 3 through 6. As with other narrative games, the factors are agreed to by the GM and players, and are pretty subjective. A violent crowd might count as an Advantage if a character is trying to slip away from a Vampire’s goons. Cover or poor visibility would be examples of Hindrances in combat.

The game says that The Hammer and the Stake defaults to scene resolution rather than task resolution. The Skill used in the scene should be relevant to the hardest task in the overall goal. Thus, if a player wants their character to sneak into a building and then place a bomb, the GM decides which of the two actions is harder and then has the player roll on that skill. This may be why only one player gets to roll; the game says the GM should only require rolls in high-stakes situations with serious consequences and “in general, scenes are resolved with a single roll that involves multiple characters and multiple actions.” Given that the roll is supposed to be based on the skill deemed relevant for the scene, I assume that the players pick the shooter based on which character in the scene has the best Skill rating, but this isn’t made clear.

Combat in “THATS” is an extension of this concept, with the use of consequences, that is, wounds. Unarmed attacks and most firearms do one Minor Wound, a rifle does two Minor Wounds, a shotgun or sword does a Major Wound and a machine gun or other heavy weapon does a Lethal Wound. “Minor” means that the character suffers one level of Hindrance, where multiple Minor Wounds in excess of Physical Attribute upgrade the Hindrance by one level. Any Minor Wounds after that point increase the Hindrance on a one-for-one basis. A Major Wound acts as a Hindrance but if the character takes Major Wounds in excess of Physical rating, they are taken out by the pain. Regardless of whether the character remains conscious, they must seek medical attention after the battle scene or die within an hour. A Lethal Wound means the character is taken out and will die if they are not attended to in a number of minutes equal to their Physical Attribute. It’s also mentioned that during a combat scene other characters can attempt other actions such as running for cover or rescuing civilians, which I presume is where their wagers come in.

The game also refers to this overall system as the Fides system, which is a bit ironic – I assume this is taken from the Latin for “faith” but it also resembles Fidesz, which is the name of the neo-fascist party that’s actually running Hungary now.

Characters

At page 32, the game details the character creation mechanics that the previous pages alluded to. Before you even go over those, your first step is to pick a faction within the setting’s CRF (Carpathian Revolutionary Front). There are eight of them, including a feminist group that is “no longer formally part of the CRF” and a group of Christian socialists who are considered the group experts on the occult and vampirism. There are a variety of views represented so that you’re not just dealing with The Judean Peoples’ Front versus The Peoples’ Front of Judaea. Each sub-society also has its own game benefit (or Faction Ability) that can be invoked in specific circumstances to either add a bonus wager or give the player a bit of narrative control in the scene.

Character Attributes are simple: Mental, Physical and Social. They are given a 1-2-3 priority such that the primary is rank 3, the secondary is rank 2 and the tertiary is rank 1. Remember, if a roll depends on a raw attribute, the character only gets so many wagers times that Attribute rating. It’s implied that an Attribute can get as high as 5 with XP.

Characters get 15 Skill points that are assigned on a one-for-one basis, with no Skill being no higher than rank 5, where that’s the best you can get in the system above). You can also get a Specialization for any skill of 4 or higher by spending two Skill points. It’s not mentioned here (but is mentioned on page 18) that a Specialization that is relevant to a roll allows the player to spend one XP (that does not come back) to substitute one die on the roll, but the result only applies to your character. You get two Abilities, although one must be the Faction Ability. The general Ability list is on pages 40-41.

“Fifth, and finally, pick a name and a revolutionary handle (code name). Develop a background.”

It’s also mentioned here and earlier on pages 17 and 18 that a character starts with 3 XP and gets 3 XP each game. The character is allowed (or encouraged) to wager them on throws; an XP wager can negate a Hindrance, or allow an additional wager in excess of the character’s Attribute. If the wager is a success the character gets the point back plus an additional point (again, that’s not totally clear). XP can be saved between sessions. An Attribute can be improved at a cost of current rating x 5. Skills can be improved at a cost of current rating x 2 (it’s not mentioned how or if you can buy a Skill you don’t already have). Specializations and Talents can be purchased for 10 XP each. (‘Talents will be explained in the full version of the rules.’)

Setting

Page 43 starts the section “Building The Revolution: Getting Into The Setting”. Marxists are very big on using propaganda to demonize fascists and reactionaries (which often means anyone who disagrees with them) as monsters and bloodsuckers. Since the bad guys in THATS are actual bloodsuckers, this works. Given that this is a world where vampires exist, there is brief speculation on whether Marx in his works referred to the parasite class rhetorically or if he knew the occult truth and was speaking in code. The text refers to a CRF Commissariat that screens cells for internal subversion and potential counter-revolutionary behavior, such as certain underground book clubs selling philosophically fascist material. (‘Those book-clubs no longer exist.’)

The text focuses on Budapest as a setting, even though the CRF knows that Hungary is a front government and Dracula is actually running affairs by proxy from his Transylvanian stronghold, which is why they’re the Carpathian Revolutionary Front and not the Hungarian Revolutionary Front. Budapest is historically two cities, the aristocratic Buda on the left bank of the Danube River and the more industrial Pest on the right. In the real world the two municipalities united ages ago, but in this world the two cities are separated and guarded by the Border Police, as Buda is effectively a “gated community.” Pest is best described as “grey, bleak and industrial” and also “squalid and grim.” Security patrols (and public hangings) are prominent and meant to cow the population into submission. The press is forbidden, the cinema is endangered and radios require a permit. For similar reasons, as mentioned in the introduction, the level of technology is deliberately reduced from the historical norm. “Many middle-class bourgeosies (sic) families who remain comfortable and paid in hard currency think the return of gaslights has made their fair city ‘quaint’ once again. They also gossip that the increase in bicycles has beatified the city, and permitted them to avoid any real traffic while they ride in their petrol-powered cars. These same families also bitterly complain about the homeless workers and their families cluttering up the streets and bridges.”

Then they give you “A Handful of Aristocratic Enemies” – actually two. They are a template for Secret Police and another for a “Nosferatu Human-Thrall” which has some vampire powers although it isn’t clear if this character is an example of a full vampire or merely a “Renfield.” Based simply on Skills the secret policeman is a lot more tough; it’s mentioned that a vampire is vulnerable to holy, magical and wooden weapons but it doesn’t say whether they are any less vulnerable to other weapons.

Conclusion

The premise of The Hammer and the Stake is communist propaganda presented more-or-less straight, amd even though the antagonists are genuine bad guys, I have problems with this approach, because Bela Kun and the other communists of Hungary were bloodthirsty incompetents, they were no less so than the ones in Russia and other countries who had more time to kill the people they didn’t like, and when Marxist revolutionaries did succeed in Russia, China and elsewhere, they created gulags, mass famine, “struggle sessions” and a global death toll that everyone agrees was in tens of millions, and no one can agree on the exact figure of how many tens of millions because of politics and a desire to question exactly how many of those dead were killed accidentally or on purpose, as if it makes a difference.

But that’s just quibbling.

There’s certainly tons of atmosphere and potential in this game’s premise, but the real issue is in the game itself. I mean, if you want to turn people off of capitalism by convincing them it’s a pointless game that can only have one winner, you’ve already got MONOPOLY. If you want to make socialism look like a constructive alternative to the present, you don’t want to communicate to players that they have no agency. Again, having only one person who can roll dice is not only against most people’s assumption of a role-playing game, it works best if you’re already familiar with craps, and the end result of that means the game in play would come off as a lot more Rat Pack than Red Army.

There’s also the point that in its current stage, The Hammer and the Stake is a bit raw; there is an example presented for how The System works from the perspective of the active shooter but it really needs an example of how a player character team places multiple wagers and how they can be used to create multiple successes. The text implies this is possible but it isn’t clear in showing how it works. There are also bits alluded to but not detailed, such as how stress or mystical attacks can spiritually drain a character and turn them into a passive “Lumpenproletariat.” Not to hold this against the authors, since they did explain this is a work in progress. But as such, I’d have to give The Hammer and the Stake a grade of Incomplete.

However, if the concept appeals to you, you can go to DriveThruRPG, buy the Quickstart, and organize to seize the means of platelet production!

If Pro Is The Opposite Of Con, What Is The Opposite Of Progress?

“Don’t tell me what you value. Show me your budget, and I’ll tell you what you value.”

-Joe Biden, 2019

Among numerous other bits in the news recently, people are still debating the potential impact of the “election reforms” passed by the Republican government in Georgia. Defenders are telling cynics to “read what it actually says.” The text is here. https://www.legis.ga.gov/api/legislation/document/20212022/201121 It starts off in a fairly defensive manner, Section 2 pointing out that “Many Georgia election processes were challenged in court, including the subjective signature-matching requirements, by Georgians on all sides of the political spectrum”, eliding the point that none of these court challenges produced fruit because the election processes were found valid, and concluding therefore that “changes made in this legislation in 2021 are designed to address the lack of elector confidence in the election system on all sides of the political spectrum”, which is a subjective interpretation at best, given that the lack of successful challenges meant that the only people creating a lack of confidence in the system were Donald Trump and the political party that gives his fingers a reach they would otherwise lack. Many conservative media have pushed their own defenses of the law, and some of them make a little sense. Like, the fact that the runoff period after the general election is now only four weeks. I don’t see why the race had to go into January. A runoff by definition means there are only two candidates left and everyone already knows who they are.

But if you’re criminalizing getting people food and water who are standing in line to vote, and are standing in long lines for extended periods BECAUSE the government has also reduced the number of polling places and hours, then clearly this is the political class picking its voters instead of the other way around, because they saw how a get-out-the-vote campaign shifted the results in Georgia, and they don’t want that happening again.

I am reminded of the old Libertarian joke that government is the guy who breaks your leg and then hands you a crutch and says ‘if it wasn’t for me, you wouldn’t be able to walk.’ Well, in this case Republicans are more laissez-faire than the Libertarians, cause they won’t even give you the crutch.

Let’s assume for the sake of argument that this is a good-faith position. Cause we know that in Florida, Catholic Cuban and Venezuelan communities came out in a big way to vote for Trump and other Republicans last November. If black communities were the stable base for Republicans that Florida Cubans are, they wouldn’t be pulling this shit. Nevertheless, they are pulling this shit, because black vote turnout was critical in winning Georgia for Democrats. So saying they’re only targeting racial communities for political reasons rather than actual racism is either a chicken-or-the-egg question or a distinction without a difference.

I actually kind of think that for all their flapping of fans, Republicans lean into how much liberals hate the idea of not giving water to voters in (post-summer) Georgia, because that’s what conservatives do these days, embrace their heel status as a sort of punk rock credential. It’s also distracted the press from the real problem with S.B. 202: Section 5 amends existing Code 21-2-30 to create a State Election Board which does not include the Secretary of State (who previously had authority over elections and who was personally leaned on by Trump to conjure votes he did not have) and in Section 6, the bill directs that “After following the procedures set forth in Code Section 21-2-33.2, the State Election Board may suspend county or municipal superintendents and appoint an individual to serve as the temporary superintendent in an election.”

Again, there were existing rules that highly benefited Republicans (for one thing, in the 2018 Governor’s race, Stacey Abrams was defeated by Republican Brian Kemp, who was still serving as the Secretary of State overseeing his own election). These were modified only as necessary last year because there was a global pandemic. Democrats played by Republican rules and still won, and Republican officials and judges determined that the results were indeed valid. So now they’re trying to change the rules so that such a result can never happen again.

Basically these guys had the same goal as Donald Trump, this is just the difference between Lawful Evil and Chaotic Stupid.

Make no mistake: This is how the government works in Russia. This is how the government works in Venezuela. This is how governments worked under the Warsaw Pact: You could say you had a “Democratic Republic” and maybe even have more than one opposition party, but somehow they would never have enough votes to win, or even come close. That’s the goal.

And that is why Democrats and the other NotRepublicans of America are looking to see what Washington is going to do about all this. That and other things. After another round or two of shootings, pardon me if I gloss over the details, President Joe Biden announced on April 8 that he is “trying to limit ‘ghost guns’ and make it easier for people to flag family members who shouldn’t be allowed to purchase firearms with a series of executive actions taken Thursday in the wake of recent mass shootings.” In response, Texas Republican Governor Greg Abbott declared that Texas was going to be a “Second Amendment sanctuary state.” Then a few hours later Abbott had to express that he was praying for victims of a shooting in Bryan, Texas.

I actually have to agree with Senator John Kennedy (BR.- Louisiana) when he said, “We don’t need more gun control. We need more idiot control.” The problem is that in both cases, it’s his party that’s getting in the way of that, because if there’s anything they love more than guns, it’s idiots.

New York Magazine’s Jonathan Chait quotes Andrew McCarthy in National Review, saying “The conservative movement has argued for decades that the problem with voting is that too many people do it because it’s too convenient. ‘Voting is a privilege,’ National Review’s Andrew McCarthy argues. (A privilege, not a right.) ‘It would be far better if the franchise were not exercised by ignorant, civics-illiterate people, hypnotized by the flimflam that a great nation needs to be fundamentally transformed rather than competently governed.” And I’d agree with that too. And to elaborate on my last paragraph, the problem isn’t the superficial truth of the Republican statement, it’s the deeper truth that they are the problem they claim to be against, since the whole premise of modern Republican politics is preying on civic illiteracy, selling emotionalism and flimflam, teaching people that what we need is not competent government but a transformation away from the Founders’ Republic. The irony being that while the Founders intended counter-majoritarian systems to act as a check on the civic illiterates, this agenda is never going to appeal to a majority and can only work if a gullible plurality is allowed to rule over them.

So since one faction of this “two party system” is so malign that it’s worse than useless, that means everyone is obliged to see what the Democrats are going to do whether we like them or not. And that means Democrats have to consider not only their near-infinite desires but their very limited room to move.

Whereas the Republican platform as of the 2020 convention is literally “we continue to support Donald Trump’s America First agenda” (and we can see exactly how they’re planning to do that), the Democratic platform is basically giving the Federal government that much more control over our affairs, given that certain states are creating supporting evidence that they shouldn’t be running without supervision from Washington. But this unitary agenda, not even considering the social angle, implies a lot more legislation, and a LOT more spending, which really means a lot more taxes, though they’re hoping you won’t notice that part.

I am still basically a Reason Magazine, Niskanen Center, center-right type of guy. I still think that John Maynard Keynes was the worst thing to happen in Western economics last century, although not because his theories were invalid. In fact, the older I get, the more I see how right they were. It’s just that they set the wrong example. The main dynamic of Keynesianism is what he called “countercyclical spending”, or what I might call counterintuitive spending, where the government spends money when there is no money (like in a recession or depression) to “prime the pump” and then cuts back on spending when the private economy is flush. This seems counterintuitive because the government is spending money when there isn’t any revenue from the private sector, but that’s the point: In tough times (like now) there isn’t any other source of money, so it has to be created. The problem is that you take on debt. Which leads to the real problem with Keynesianism, which is that both parties dismiss the other side of the countercycle, cutting spending (and even raising taxes) during a boom period. For obvious reasons, Republicans are loath to raise taxes and even Democrats have become leery of doing so, but neither party is that concerned with cutting spending, which is why the overall size of government increases under Democrats and why the debt increases are even greater under “fiscally conservative” Republicans and especially under the Trump Organization.

Again, this is one of those times when you need to have government spend money that the private sector can’t, so I’m not doctrinaire libertarian on this, but just as the Laffer Curve is a curve and not an a priori axiom that “lower taxes equal more government revenue”, taking on more debt does not automatically lead to greater prosperity. Just ask Italy or Greece. Creditors accept a large debt load only if the party in question has so many assets that it’s more feasible to let them hold the debt than to make them default. In the case of the US government, our assets are such that “the full faith and credit” of the country allows us to take on a debt that would be unimaginable to anyone else. But that assumes we’ll be good for it, and further financial mismanagement and incompetence may change that assumption.

Keynesianism only works because of the ancient principle, “If you owe the bank 100 dollars, that’s your problem. If you owe the bank 100 million, that’s the bank’s problem.

Come to think of it, that’s pretty much Donald Trump’s whole approach to finance.

Which is why Democrats aren’t going to care about the consequences of taxing and spending, cause they’ve got this thing called MMT, Modern Monetary Theory, or as I call it, Magical Monetary Theory, cause it holds that since government creates money, government is the source of capital, and therefore any degree of desired spending can be justified as necessary and beneficial to the economy. And the laugh is that the best evidence for this “deficits don’t matter” attitude were the Administrations of George W. Bush and Donald J. Trump, the free-marketest, most libertarianist president EVAR.

Like it matters, because there are limits to how much the President can do by executive order, and there are even more limits to how much the House can do without the Senate, because even if Democrats have a technical majority, in practice the chamber operates under a lazy version of the filibuster where the minority party doesn’t even have to hold the floor as long as they announce their attention to vote as a bloc to prevent a three-fifths majority vote. And this is why the liberal media was all aflutter at the announcement that Democrats are able to proceed with one more budget reconciliation bill this year (on the grounds that one was never passed for the 2020 fiscal year), because rather than hash things out with the other party like grownups (because the other party are not grownups), the Democrats who supposedly control the chamber have to wait for the word of the Senate Parliamentarian like she is the Oracle of Delphi.

There was an opinion recently from Jessica Levinson at MSNBC: “Democrats have the power to save democracy. Here’s why they won’t.

Essentially, the only way Democrats can actually use their majority is to get rid of the filibuster, at least provisionally, but the main reason they don’t is that just as Republicans need it to keep such power as they still have while a minority, some Democrats want to keep the filibuster for the same reason, remembering how Harry Reid changed the cloture rules so that a filibuster is not required for judicial nominees, and then seeing how Mitch McConnell used that new standard to help Donald Trump flood the courts with new conservative appointees.

Perhaps it hasn’t occurred to these unnamed Democrats that the only reason they even have a technical majority is because Raphael Warnock was elected Senator from Georgia, the 2020 runoff election was to fill the last two years of a seat where the previous (Republican) Senator had to retire, Warnock has to run again for a regular six-year term in 2022, and thanks to S.B. 202, it just got a lot harder for Democrats to keep that majority. And then guess what Mitch McConnell is going to do to the Democrats’ filibuster once he’s back in charge?

The Democrats did come up with HR1 (or S.1), the “For the People Act”, which is supposed to address a lot of the issues that Republican states want to create with voting, but that’s another one of the things that ain’t going to pass unless they ditch the filibuster. (Not like anyone who isn’t a Democrat will find it much help in opening up our politics.)

And if anyone ever does try to name those Democrats who are so dead set against actually acting like a majority, the name they usually get to is Joe Manchin, Senator from West Virginia. Manchin is notable in even being an elected Democrat in West Virginia, back from the days when that was the norm and not a blue moon event. He’s big on traditions, like back when he and other Senators could commisserate regardless of party. But however culturally conservative he might be, he’s also an old-time Democrat who believes in big spending, which is hard to see how his priorities as a representative and a Democrat align with his priorities as a Senator.

New York Magazine had this bit about how Manchin is actually keen on promoting an infrastructure bill that could actually be twice as costly as the $1.9 billion American Rescue Plan just passed. Such an expensive bill would seem to be at odds with his desire to maintain the (alleged) tradition of bipartisanship through the filibuster, since anything that expensive likely won’t get passed by Republicans.

“He should want to get rid of the filibuster because he suddenly becomes the most powerful person in this place — he’s the 50th vote on everything,” said Senator Chris Coons, Democrat of Delaware, sketching out, though not embracing, the argument.

When Senator Manchin wrote a Washington Post op-ed staking his position, including the idea that we shouldn’t even be using reconciliation to pass legislation, leftist blog Lawyers, Guns & Money rendered its interpretation: “The most natural reading of the op-ed is that Joe Manchin is an abject moron who has never paid attention to anything that’s happened in the Senate during his entire tenure there, but I don’t believe this is accurate. Essentially, there are two major possibilities:

  • Manchin is setting up a more-in-sorrow-than-in-anger defense when Republicans refuse to compromise on anything and Dems agree to some kind of filibuster reform Manchin can sell as technically maintaining his pledge.
  • Manchin is perfectly fine with total gridlock, and is happy not to accomplish much of anything as long as people have to continually kiss his ass to even get judges and cabinet officials approved.

“Alas, while I used to have optimism about door #1 at this point it seems like the latter is much more likely.”

Problem is, if Manchin either seriously expects good faith from the Party of Trump or is trying to create a position to change his mind when they do not act in good faith, then refusing to endorse filibuster reform even as a negotiating tactic removes the only tool Democrats have to pressure Republicans with. As for gridlock, a Senate with no filibuster and a majority by tiebreaker makes Manchin The Man Whose Ass Must Be Kissed to an even greater degree, for the reason Senator Coons stated. Thus one returns to the rejected theory: That Joe Manchin is an abject moron who, if he ever paid attention to what the Senate was like in his entire tenure, is certainly not aware of what it’s like now.

Which means in the short run at least, the direction that “conservatives” claim to hate so much keeps reinforcing, as we turn more and more powers over to an imperial executive because Congress can’t get anything done. And that direction keeps getting more and more “radical left” because the former Republican Party refuses to act as a moderating influence because it has no more moderate influences within itself, and Democrats now know there is no point in dealing with them.

I used to think of our politics as a situation where the Democrats were Soviet Russia, the Republicans were Nazi Germany and America was Poland. It’s even more sad and absurd than that: It’s more like a fight between two squads of Star Wars Stormtroopers where neither team can hit a target, yet one of them falls down anyway.

Everyone’s A Little Bit Racist

The after-the-fact coverage of the Atlanta shootings March 16 just happened to be on Saint Patrick’s Day, and on March 17, and as I was getting up, the buzz on Facebook was largely about how certain people wanted to push an apologist line about how the shooter told police he had a “sex addiction” that compelled his actions. And then as I turned on the TV and went to MSDNC, Nicolle Wallace had a couple of people on, one black, one white Irish guy from Detroit, and they pointed out that if the suspect was going to attack women for “sex addiction” he could have gone to strip clubs or other places associated with sex, rather than attacking two Asian massage parlors and killing eight people, six of them Asian women.

But another thing the panel brought up is how Wallace and one of her guests were both Irish-American, and the white guy brought up that yes, there was some discrimination against Irish people when they first came to this country. It really pales in comparison (so to speak) with the attacks on non-white people today and over history, but it still ought to be addressed.

In more recent times after Catholic Ireland became independent, a lot of Irish moved to ‘the mother country’ in Britain to get work (a pattern that repeated with people from the West Indies, India, Pakistan and other parts of the former Empire) and suffered their own discrimination. Sex Pistols singer John Lydon (son of immigrants) titled his autobiography Rotten: No Irish, No Blacks, No Dogs. Considering that, and again, the later pattern of non-white immigration from other parts of the Commonwealth, it shouldn’t be surprising that one of the other big stories from Britain is the Oprah Winfrey interview with Meghan Markle and her husband Prince Harry about how they were essentially frozen out of the royal family over Harry’s decision to marry and have children with a biracial woman who is darker than the usual Brit but still fairly Caucasian.

Bringing up how Irish were discriminated against shouldn’t be whataboutism or negation of the point in question. It should point out to white people that if even other white people can get hit with prejudice and legal discrimination, that should tell you how bad it is for everybody else who’s not white. For black people, American Indians, Indian Indians, the Chinese during the 19th and early 20th Centuries, the Japanese after Pearl Harbor (for which we created internment camps), the Vietnamese refugees after 1975, all of it.

In this country, anti-Irish prejudice, like our other prejudices, has a longer provenance. Putting up “No Irish Need Apply” signs was enough of a tradition that they wrote songs about it. And in the time leading up to the Civil War, one of the major political movements was the American Party, who were actually called the “Know-Nothing Party” because as was the custom of the day, they organized into societies taking oaths of secrecy, obliging them to say “I know nothing” when asked about the movement. Of course, 19th Century English was also lacking in irony. But the other reason the name fit was because “members supported deportation of foreign beggars and criminals; a 21-year naturalization period for immigrants; mandatory Bible reading in schools; and the elimination of all Catholics from public office. They wanted to restore their vision of what America should look like with temperance, Protestantism, self-reliance, with American nationality and work ethic enshrined as the nation’s highest values.”

Stop me if this seems in any way familiar.

This sort of nativism was eclipsed during the Civil War, because we had other priorities, but the guy who led the Union at that time was also against the Know-Nothing sentiment. Abraham Lincoln had said: “I am not a Know-Nothing. That is certain. How could I be? How can any one who abhors the oppression of negroes, be in favor of degrading classes of white people? Our progress in degeneracy appears to me to be pretty rapid. As a nation, we begin by declaring that “all men are created equal.” We now practically read it “all men are created equal, except negroes.” When the Know-Nothings get control, it will read “all men are created equal, except negroes, and foreigners, and catholics.” When it comes to this I should prefer emigrating to some country where they make no pretence of loving liberty- to Russia, for instance, where despotism can be taken pure, and without the base alloy of hypocracy.”

Again, a surprisingly relevant quote for today.

Now there’s also been some reconstructed history about how Irish indentured servitude in the American colonies meant that we have some claim to being slaves. That isn’t the case. But it ought to demonstrate some need for empathy, not “well, my people had it rough, so don’t complain so much.” Yet you not only have that attitude, you have ‘white separatists’ from Slavic families that would have been killed by the Nazis and Italian families that would have been attacked by the Klan. And then there’s Stephen Miller, and I don’t know what HIS fucking deal is.

Point is, we do have a pretty strong history of immigration (in addition to institutional racism against African Americans and native tribes), and in almost every case they came from countries where even white people couldn’t “pass” because they dressed different, spoke English “wrong”, had the “wrong” religion, whatever. In the days of the Know-Nothing Party the Catholic immigrants were Irish and Germans. Later they were Italians. Now they’re Mexicans and Central Americans.

And yet, the modern Know-Nothing Party, the Donald Trump Fan Club formerly known as the Republican Party, actually increased its share of black and Latino vote in the 2020 presidential election compared to 2016. Which seems odd given that both Republicans and Democrats wanted to brand Trump’s party with a certain form of identity politics, but people who talked about the subject told foreign interviewers that politics weren’t just “black and white.” One Texan told the BBC that while he grew up in a Mexican-Lebanese family, “”Neoliberal expansion has really hurt both Mexico and the US, and when you have family that live there, and you can see how it’s hurt people living, their jobs, their wages, it really has increased the narco-war, and this is one of the things Trump came in saying – ‘hey, we’re going to tear apart these trade deals’ – and then he actually did it.” Others pointed to the Republican stance against abortion, or against socialism, which was critical to the Cuban and Venezuelan communities that helped Trump win Florida.

This fact both undermines and supports the Left’s need to make everything about race. Even for non-white communities, not everything is about race. The recent waves of immigrants were discriminated against, just as the Irish were in their time, and as we see even now, they’re assimilating and voting for regressive politicians. Just as the Irish did. Because they don’t see how this stuff has anything to do with them.

Just ask the Jews who grew up in Germany during the 1930s (if there are any left). You can be a perfectly assimilated member of the society and think you’re just like anybody else only to have your rights taken away because some know-nothing faction took control of the government. That’s why everybody needs to be on guard against it.

May the luck of the Irish be with you.

The Once and Future Libertarian, Continued

“No advocate of reason can claim the right to establish HIS version of a good society, if such society includes the initiation of force against dissenters in ANY issue. No advocate of the free mind can claim the right to force the minds of others.”
-Ayn Rand, Letters of Ayn Rand

One will note that I called my last post “The Once And Future Libertarian” without doing much to advocate for libertarianism or the Libertarian Party. That’s because, having gone over what’s still wrong with the duopoly, and why simply assimilating into the Democrat Collective is not sufficient to solve this country’s problems, it requires a bit more analysis as to why going libertarian is a good idea. Especially these days.

Since one of the major issues in the news the last few weeks is Texas. What specifically about Texas? The whole thing. First, while the winter storms of February were intense for most of the country, it was only in Texas that the weather caused both power and water to go out across the state, since lack of power also caused the systems heating (and cleaning) the water lines to freeze. And that, it turned out, was because a, the Texas power grid is separate from the rest of the area around it, and b, the state didn’t protect that power grid by winterizing the equipment. And of course, now people are getting charged four-digit power bills for that period, because Texas utilities were allowed to charge customers “what the market will bear.” One company, Griddy, had actually warned customers to leave. The first time I’d heard about that story, I thought they were telling people to leave Texas, which is good advice regardless of the weather.

And then on March 2 Texas Governor Greg Abbott (three guesses as to what party he is, and the first three don’t count) publicly announced, as though it were something to be proud of, that he was lifting all COVID-19 restrictions in the state “100 percent.” This was exactly at the point that vaccines were about to roll out, but before the sectors of labor most likely to require contact with the public, such as medical and service workers, were vaccinated. Which sort of defeats the purpose of acting like the pandemic is over.

How is a right-winger, especially a libertarian, going to say that lack of restrictions is necessarily going to lead to good results? You can’t. Which leads to the second lesson I want to impart to the Right. To recall, “The first thing that right-wingers (Republican or Libertarian) have to learn is that the Left is going to call them a bunch of heartless ogres and witches whether they earn the reputation or not. Which is what makes it imperative NOT to earn it.” The second lesson is that the reason we have as much government as we do is that someone saw a need for it, as I’ve also said before. Since the kind of disaster that we’ve seen in Texas can happen if you just let the private sector do as it will, this makes it possible to enact heavy regulations under the impression they’re actually going to help people. I say, “under the impression” because that’s not usually how it works, and that’s really not the reason we have the bureaucracy that we do. In fact, much of the regulation we have is specifically intended to protect the businesses ostensibly being regulated, and is written on their behalf, sometimes actually BY them.

Believe it or not, the best explanation of this point I’ve seen is from leftists on social media.

Here is an example of what would happen if we treated the local pizzeria like we treated health care: https://www.facebook.com/james.gillen.969/posts/3737875906261472?notif_id=1614799095747641&notif_t=feedback_reaction_generic&ref=notif

And then there’s this: (https://www.facebook.com/kirstin.hamaker/posts/3784372801624524)

I wasn’t able to see anything else referring to this tweetstorm on my Internet searches, so I just posted the link.

Even if you see the need for regulations of the dairy industry (in this case) or the corn syrup industry, or whatever, the regulations we have are designed not only to benefit giant industries but to corner out smaller farmers and producers that not only would do things in a more capitalist, competitive way, but would also behave more ethically and follow the regulations and practices that the liberals and socialists actually want.

And in regard to the particular crisis, before Greg Abbott was Texas Governor, he was the state Attorney General, and had taken the (Republican) state government’s position against the Obama Administration that it should be able to operate its power grid independently and not have to enact the winterization procedures that everybody else did. Now he’s calling on the utilities to do so, even as politicians are telling us we need to rescue the people stuck with bills from unregulated companies. The Texas Tribune article: “Lawmakers have demanded that the utility commission roll back its decision to allow the huge rate increases, or suggested cobbling together some package of emergency waivers or relief money to buffer Texans’ from the high bills.

“We cannot allow someone to exploit a market when they were the ones responsible for the dire consequences in the first place,” said state Rep. Brooks Landgraf, R-Odessa.”

If only they could have guessed that such consequences were possible.

I opened with that particular Ayn Rand quote because it could be interpreted for more than one purpose. With COVID, for instance, is it “initiation of force against dissenters” if the state government imposes laws restricting people’s freedom of action, for example, mandating masks, to stop the spread of the pandemic?

Well, let’s look at it another way. If a storm takes out an old bridge and the state has to put up barriers until a crew can be sent and they have to put up a sign saying “BRIDGE OUT”, is that a restriction of your right to use the roadway? You could interpret it that way. You could just blow past the barrier, go “FUCK you I won’t do what ya tell me” and cross the bridge, at which point, it won’t be the government that’s restricting your freedom. It’ll be gravity.

Pretty much the same point can be made with regard to coronavirus restrictions. We didn’t have to have them, and not every state does. Deciding that your state is “free” of coronavirus restrictions doesn’t make the state free of coronavirus. Plus which, in a lot of cases during the early reaction to COVID-19, private businesses were quicker to create social distancing rules than government, and in the current situation, a lot of places in Texas have announced in the wake of the governor’s decision that they will still mandate pandemic rules, at least for their own employees. (In the case of airlines, they are operating under federal restrictions.) Now surely right-wing followers of Ayn Rand will respect a business owner’s right to dictate the use of their space? Well, we know the answer to that question.

In the Dallas Morning News article, the CEO for the Texas Association of Business said in response to Abbott’s announcement that “The association believes businesses understand the protocols needed to ‘function safely’ and that ‘Texas companies will operate responsibly’.” But if we could trust businesses to operate responsibly, you wouldn’t have the situation you do in Texas with the power grid and the other utilities. At the same time, like I said, businesses on the whole have been more responsible about pandemic restrictions than certain state governments or American Presidents. As I say, it is possible for two different things to be true at the same time. On a case by case level, I can trust people to do the right thing, but not as a rule. There has to be a default standard. THAT’s why you have a government.

But what if the local government is less responsible than the public at large? Ay, there’s the rub.

Part of the problem is that invocations of “freedom” versus “socialism” are not only dodging common sense, they’re using deceptive political labels. The most officially socialist country in the world is the “People’s” Republic of China, which is no less socialist in its desire to have one party control all aspects of the country, they just figured after a few decades of Leninist/Maoist ideology that they wouldn’t get to run it for much longer if the masses were starving and near revolt. So they incorporated just enough capitalism, under strict controls, to keep the structure going. So you have one country that apes a leftist ideology but really has a bunch of guys in business suits in control.

Meanwhile here you have a bunch of professional Christians and ostensible conservatives who want to preserve a nationalist and capitalist system but are finding themselves increasingly unpopular – since after a few decades of ideology the masses are starting to starve – so in order for the guys in business suits to stay in control, they increasingly ape the posture of a one-party socialist regime that among other things says that only people the ruling party deems “patriots” can get to run for a local government. Where have I heard that one before?

That would be the danger to the American experiment even if the Republican faction of the duopoly were competent. As it is, the real danger from a right-wing (or non-socialist) standpoint is that the only alternative presented against the Democrats is a bunch of bad-faith culture war initiatives that are not taken seriously and really are not intended to be taken seriously. Now, if you’re to believe the polls, three out of four Americans approve the $1.9 trillion “Rescue Plan” passed by Congress and signed by President Biden March 11, including at least half of Republicans. The actual Republican Party isn’t even trying to compete with that, even though they still have the numbers to do so. Instead they’re using their media to read Green Eggs and Ham.

So from a right-wing standpoint, the longer these guys are the official NotDemocrat Party, the less likely it is there will be any serious resistance to genuinely bad left-wing ideas, especially when the Party of Trump took the real bipartisan concerns about “the swamp” and used them to promote incompetence, corruption and spite. The only opposition to an open borders policy is internment camps and separating families. The only plan for balancing our trade deficit was a tariff war with China that simply let them expand their trade with everyone else without benefiting us, and shutting down some of our retailers in the process.

And from a left-wing standpoint, a “conservative” party that doesn’t even try to represent its voters is just there. Like a lump. Or an obstacle. They are serving literally no purpose in the government other than to make the Democrats negotiate everything amongst their “progressive” and centrist wings. That does serve the moderating function that a multi-party system would otherwise create, but again that merely emphasizes the twin points that the more the Democrats are expected to absorb every voter and faction that is NotRepublican, the more they have to do everything themselves, for people who are not their natural constituency (if they even have one), because the Republican Party is worse than useless.

If you expect politics to get anywhere and you expect elections to be taken seriously, the Democrats are going to need competition. Do you seriously want that competition to be the Republican Party?

So that’s why I’m going back to the Libertarian Party. There needs to be something else. And please don’t tell me their ideas are horrible and they can’t be taken seriously. You HAVE one faction of the duopoly that has truly horrible ideas that shouldn’t be taken seriously, and yet are. The matter, bluntly, is whether the ideas have any support, and it looks like Republicans are starting to lose that support. Which leads to my third lesson for Libertarians in particular. We’re already against government. But assuming we DO want to get elected, we have to take government seriously. You’ve already got the people who are against government IN government and making a mess of it. You’ve already got the Merry Pranksters. As long as they’re there, they’re going to be making the Right worse and the country as a whole worse. It can’t be that hard to present a constructive alternative to them. You just have to be the grownups in the room, and the fact that Libertarians can be the grownups compared to Republicans shows where we are now. This is a real opportunity that I think must be taken.

Mind you, I will probably be voting Democrat in several elections simply because the Libertarian Party doesn’t post candidates for those races. But you have to start somewhere. I already know there’s no point in trying to change anyone’s mind in the Republican Party, and there’s really no point in trying to sway Democrats either.

I want to have a party for the rest of us.

The Once and Future Libertarian

And there’s always a place for the angry young man

With his fist in the air and his head in the sand

And he’s never been able to learn from mistakes

So he can’t understand why his heart always breaks

But his honor is pure and his courage as well

And he’s fair and he’s true and he’s boring as hell

And he’ll go to the grave as an angry old man

-Billy Joel, “Prelude/Angry Young Man”

So: February is over. And so is this year’s CPAC. The keynote speaker, of course, was Russia’s Viceroy in exile, Donald Trump, who actually told his crowd that he was looking forward to beating the Democrats a third time, so fat chance that any of these people will see reason. It’s pretty obvious that unless homeboy dies from swallowing a chicken bone whole, the Banana Republican Party is gonna hold the nomination open for him, and if he dies, they’re probably going to pave the way for Junior or Ivanka or one of his other sperm products. I guess it’s easier than coming up with new candidates or new ideas.

The former Party of Lincoln isn’t a political party anymore: It’s a pity party. In 2016, Trump achieved white-trash apotheosis by telling his audience what they wanted to hear (like ‘we’ll build a wall and Mexico will pay for it’) even though they, contrary to image, were educated enough to know this could never be true. Now, these same people, most of whom are old enough to remember when the Republican Party had a reputation for competence, are agreeing with Donald Trump and telling Donald Trump what he wants to hear, knowing now that it’s only lost them the White House and the Senate, not because they believe it, not because he really believes it, but just because it makes him feel better.

What is the alternative to the “alt-right”? The NeverTrump organization, The Lincoln Project, which was already in bad odor with a lot of “progressives” because it was run by exactly the kind of people who were mean to them before Trump took over the Republicans (and therefore, unlike the Left, knew how to fight him with his own weapons) practically disintegrated in the first two weeks of February when New York Magazine and other sources revealed that Project co-founder John Weaver was using his position to pressure young men into sex. I mean, this isn’t the first time that somebody I rooted for turned out to be a creepy sex predator, so let’s just say that February wasn’t a good month for me.

What’s the alternative to the Right? The Democrats, whom the Party of Trump will say are more lefty than Leon Trotsky at a Frida Kahlo party. Try telling that to the Left. Right now “progressives” are mad about at least two events in the Biden Administration, their bombing of Iranian allies in Syria, and their lack of support for Office of Management and Budget Director nominee Neera Tanden, who had to withdraw her nomination this Tuesday. This second issue is that much more rich because Tanden is one of those disingenuous, arrogant establishment liberals who has pulled off the diplomatic feat of pissing off both the woke Left and the Trumpnik Right. Not that it’s in any way hard to piss off either one, but it’s usually for radically different reasons.

It has been pointed out for instance, that Tanden is a Beltway insider and former head of the Center for American Progress, an ostensibly centrist think tank with strong Democratic Party roots, and while managing it catered to wealthy donors, including foreigners. She has also been slagged (mainly by Bernie Sanders fans) for “late-night, out-of-control rage-tweeting”, which is now the stated rationale for cloth-coat Republicans like Mitt Romney to oppose her nomination in the Senate, even though for most Republicans other than Romney that was hardly a disqualification for Trump being president. David Sirota:

“On the left, the Democratic noise machine is calling out the Republican party’s hypocrisy, while wrongly pretending that Tanden is a victim. These self-righteous Tanden defenders have gone completely silent about her actual record.

“Meanwhile, save for a few bits of solid policy-focused reporting, journalists are mostly hounding senators to get their reactions to Tanden’s tweets rather than asking them about her past behavior. Some media folk are even promoting the Neera-As-Victim mythology, somehow disregarding and distracting attention from Tanden’s alleged attack on a union of journalists.

“As evidenced by her record, Tanden is a victim in the same way war is peace, which is to say that she is not a victim, she is a perpetrator. But the Republican party, the Democratic party and the Washington media machine will not allow the record documenting that basic, verifiable, indisputable reality to be reviewed, litigated or considered. …

“Moreover, the Tanden brigade – and their online army now bullying reporters with racist vitriol – are cynically relying on a political and media environment that will allow such memory-holing to take place. They are banking on the brute force of their own denialist propaganda and a miasma of distracting misinformation to make sure that nobody recognizes that they are exposing themselves. They are making clear that their hope for career advancement, their desire for White House access, and their personal connections to a thinktank powerbroker are more important to them than any social cause.

“Taken together, such behaviors represent more than the death of expertise. They signify the premeditated murder of the most basic facts that are supposed to inform democratic decision-making. The motives here are unstated but obvious: nobody in either party or in the Washington media wants to center Tanden’s nomination on her actual record, because if that record becomes disqualifying for career advancement in Washington, it could set a precedent jeopardizing the personal career prospects of every creature slithering through the Washington swamp.”

As for the Syria bombing, I have to agree with a summary in New York Magazine’s website: “Biden has much more regard for constitutional checks and balances than Trump ever did, but the legal basis for Thursday’s action remains thin. To his credit, at least he attempted to make an argument on the basis of self-defense, and perhaps the threat the target posed was more imminent than we know. But most likely, the administration proceeded with the strike without asking Congress’s permission simply because the defense and national security brass knew they almost certainly wouldn’t get it and wouldn’t face any real consequences for acting without it. Dropping bombs in the Middle East without congressional approval has become a humdrum exercise by now.”

In other words, Democrats don’t seem to have learned anything either. And half of the reason we had the last four years is that America was sick and tired of Beltway business as usual no matter how obviously unqualified the alleged alternative to the swamp was. Biden won because Trump made the swamp that much more murky and vicious, but the reason bad politicians continue to win elections is because Americans have a notoriously short memory for what happened two to four years ago, and it’s that much easier to fleece an audience like the current Republican Party, which doesn’t want to remember what happened even yesterday.

On MSDNC in December, (before he was called to account over John Weaver) Lincoln Project co-founder Steve Schmidt told one of the talking heads that he’d officially switched to the Democratic Party. He said, “At the end of the day, there’s now one pro-democracy political party in the United States of America and that’s the Democratic Party. And I am a member of that party because of that. I’m a single issue voter. I believe in democracy.” Problem is, it’s a bit hard to present yourself as a defender of democracy if you’re actively working to reduce, not expand, the number of choices in the system. (It’s also possible that Schmidt’s claim of being a Democrat wasn’t on the up-and-up.) It may in fact be the case that there is only one practical choice, but again, America as a political consensus has a terrible memory, and when it is fueled primarily by negative partisanship, that means that there is always a chance that people will vote for the not-incumbent member of the duopoly no matter how objectively terrible it is. People apparently need to be reminded that that is how Trump won last time.

I keep seeing all these liberals and centrists tell me that a serious political system needs two parties to work, but I don’t know how serious they are when they say that. Basically they want the illusion of debate with a “Democrat Lite” party that is more generically conservative than they are. That’s half of why the Party of Trump is such a radicalized personality cult, because they really don’t like the Republican Party establishment either. And why should they? They’re just as much swamp creatures as Neera Tanden.

The problem with that zombie party is not that they disagree with Democrats, but that they disagree with reality. They are a malignant organ in the body politic. And frankly, I don’t see why the entire country (many of whom would still be Republican, except that they believe in heresies like that Earth-revolves-around-the-Sun thing) has to get swallowed up into the Democratic Party just to oppose the anti-reality insurgency, when that party isn’t even a good fit for the Left.

One of the better burns I’ve seen recently was somebody on social media pointing out that all the stuff they told us would happen under socialism is in fact what’s happening now under capitalism. “There will be lines for food! They won’t be able to keep power on! Medical care will be rationed! You won’t have real choices in elections!” Yes indeed. And I’m still not socialist, because all that stuff that socialists tell us is happening in this country IS in fact still happening in Venezuela, and if anything pissed me off about the Party of Trump winning Florida last election it was all the people who fled Cuba and Venezuela who were willing to vote for a corrupt thug to create a one-party regime. I guess it’s okay if you pay lip service to religion or something.

The problem in both cases is not whether the country is socialist or capitalist. The problem is whether public affairs are accountable to the whole community or merely to an elite (whether that be a political party or a business elite). And that is never going to change as long as the only alternative to the Republican Party is the Democratic swamp, and the only alternative to the Democratic Party is… what we saw at CPAC last weekend.

And I am not bringing up Democratic malfeasance to engage in whataboutism, because the premise of whataboutism is somewhere between “X is morally superior to Y because no matter how bad X is, Y is always worse” and “X doesn’t need to be better than Y because the two are morally equivalent.” The Right can’t play that game any more because after years of history it is too obvious that Republicans go out of their way to be more immoral and corrupt than Democrats when they get real power, escalating all the traits that they rightfully attacked when Bill Clinton was president, and combining them with incompetence to boot.

What I am saying is that if Y is going to be better than X, that has to be proven by action. You can’t just give one side a pass because you have good reason to not want the Republicans back in charge. The only way to break the cycle is to have something that is better than X or Y, and right now, the Libertarian Party ain’t it. However it has more potential to be “it” than anything else in America.

It’s pretty Goddamn obvious now that the Republicans not only will not learn anything, at this point they may not be able to. If Democrats expect me to vote for them again, they need to demonstrate that they’ve learned something after all this.

To Be Continued…

Rush Limbaugh, RIP

As we know, Rush Limbaugh died last week as a result of the cigars he held in his formerly nicotine-stained fingers. I leave it to you to decide what the “RIP” stands for.

The news of Rush’s death led to a LOT of negative comments on social media, which I shared in because of my current feelings about Limbaugh and the movement that he boosted. However my opinion isn’t that of a liberal who hated Limbaugh’s guts just because. I’m speaking as somebody who used to LIKE Limbaugh, and listened to his show (and to a lesser extent, Sean Hannity and Fox News) and while I may be more in agreement with liberals than I used to be, my antipathy toward Limbaugh is not because I always hated conservatism, but because I once agreed with it and hate what people like Rush turned it into. And even then, as with leftists saying “real socialism has never been tried” it’s a question of whether what I hate was a giant scam that I was persuaded had real merit or an agenda with real merit that was co-opted for a giant scam.

You have to understand, as much as some people think otherwise, politics is not eternal. I’ve already mentioned how liberals who find it hard to believe how Reagan destroyed their perfect world of regulations, upper tax brackets and unions don’t comprehend that at the time, a lot of people didn’t see that as a perfect world. I’ve heard it said, “if you remember the Seventies, you weren’t really there.” Well, I did remember that period, cause I was a kid, and unlike a lot of kids, I didn’t like drugs and didn’t like what they did to my peers. So I got to look at what was going on around me and I didn’t like it: Double digit inflation, double digit unemployment, an energy crisis, President Carter getting humiliated by the Iranians and even by a bunny rabbit. Reagan was my fuckin’ hero, frankly. If I’d been old enough, I would’ve voted for him. By the time I was old enough to vote, the Republican choice was George HW Bush. And as I said of him, he acted like Mr. Rogers when he should’ve acted like John Wayne, and he acted like John Wayne when he should have acted like Mr. Rogers.

So I was a conservative, or thought I was, and even in my conservatism I was still skeptical. I saw the whole political bag with a certain sense of humor that was lacking in most conservatives and certainly liberals. And of all the political observers, Rush Limbaugh was the least inclined to take the Beltway culture seriously. At the time, I considered that attitude a necessary corrective to politics as usual.

Rush was of course influential enough that when Newt Gingrich successfully won back Congress for the Republicans in 1994 – for the first time since 1954 – the Republicans invited Limbaugh to speak to the new Congressional delegates.

And among other things, he said, “You people in the press have got to understand something. This country is conservative, it has been for a long time. Get used to it. You tried to change it and you failed… (these reporters) were all trying to say in a roundabout way that I took a bunch of brainless people and converted them to mind-numbed robots. … there may be some talk show hosts who do that and I don’t think they’re the majority, I think the reason you’re sitting here tonight and liberals aren’t is that you understand the American people are intelligent. They are aware. They care.”

None of this is eternal. Even if both liberals and conservatives act like it is. Leftists assume that the government is built around the assertions of conservatives and reactionaries, when that was not always the case. The “conservatives” act as though the government is still built around the assertions of liberal Democrats and get-along-to-go-along Republicans, when that hasn’t been the case since at least Newt and Rush’s heyday. But both of those guys did perceive conservatism under attack, they did have a plan to get control of Washington, and they did execute it. That’s why there is still so much praise for Rush Limbaugh in conservative circles, because they remember when Rush was a serious influence on politics, hard as that may be to imagine today.

But then, it’s a bit hard to imagine today that Rudy Guiliani was once called “America’s Mayor” after 9/11. Which is for a similar reason.

Limbaugh is today less remembered for a constructive influence than a destructive one. For example, saying that Chelsea was the White House dog during the Clinton Administration. I’m sure a lot of people wouldn’t care. I mean, the whole point of being transgressive is that you don’t care about other people’s peer pressure and political correctness. But a lot of us who did listen to Rush and fell out of that habit did listen because we thought conservatism was supposed to be promoting something positive. Capitalism, opportunity, the chance to make a success of yourself, and challenging government mainly when it got in the way of all that. Over the years, it became obvious that even if there was a core there, that’s not what was being advertised. Years later, I wrote that the problem with “conservative” philosophy was that there really ISN’T a conservative philosophy and that to be conservative means to be conservative relative to something. And that was the problem with trying to convey conservatism as a positive philosophy, and I think why the Republican Congress never really tried to do that even back when they aspired to ideas: “Conservatives don’t get anything done because they don’t know what they want. And they don’t know what they want because they don’t know what they ARE.”

Over the years I’d also noticed that Rush was starting to somehow… lose it, as a radio host. His voice seemed off, and he rambled. It wasn’t for some time that he announced he was going deaf, and that was only after he had to respond to investigations that he was using unprescribed painkillers. (Which wasn’t his only incident with unprescribed drugs. In 2006, he returned from the Dominican Republic and customs officials confiscated a supply of Viagra that was not in his name. After the incident, Rush told his audience, ‘I had a great time in the Dominican Republic. Wish I could tell you about it.’)

But I also mentioned in my piece that if one wants to find out what happened to conservatism, or why the conservatism of Goldwater and Reagan turned into the Trump Fan Club, the mentality that led to Trump didn’t just come out of nowhere:
“Conor Friedersdorf had an excellent column in The Atlantic where he talked about how one of Rush Limbaugh’s own listeners (along with a columnist at RedState) called him on supporting Trump even when it was clear to many he would flip-flop on immigration, even when Rush said “I never took him seriously on this!”

“But that’s something I picked up on a while ago. Back when I was still conservative enough to listen to Limbaugh’s show, I remembered that right up to the last week of Hillary Clinton’s Senate campaign against Rick Fazio, he was predicting that she would find some reason to back out. Or that she would end up losing. Of course, she didn’t. I distinctly remember the day after the 2006 midterm elections (when Democrats under President George W. Bush regained the House) when Limbaugh angrily confessed, “I feel liberated. … I no longer am gonna have to carry the water for people who I think don’t deserve having their water carried.” Heck, way back in 1992 (when Rush had a TV show) I remember a TV Guide cover with a blurb on an article, “Rush Limbaugh: I’m so-o-o happy Clinton won!

In other words, whether he wanted to admit it or not, Rush was a political hack. I’d mentioned in another column that I was reminded of another incident where I deliberately tried to go over Fox News programming for a whole day to get my impressions of it, and it just so happened to be the day that Malik Hasan shot up Fort Hood, so I got to see that Fox News does have a real news operation, and the fact that there was real news to report put the midday events in contrast to the speculation of opinion pundits like Bill O’Reilly (now Tucker Carlson) in prime time, where Fox makes its real money and ratings. I said that that wasn’t the end of my watching Fox News, but I started watching it less and less, cause it felt like I’d seen the wires behind the magic trick. That’s pretty much how I felt about Rush saying that he was carrying the water for the Republican Party. Who was making the implication that he was? Wasn’t Rush the brave truth-teller against the RINO establishment? No. He was there to tell his audience to support the Party. Calling himself a water carrier was simply an admission of what should have been obvious by then.

I’ve been saying this many times, many ways, but in politics, you don’t succeed unless you give people something to fight FOR. And when Democrats didn’t figure that out, they lost to Republicans in 2004, and in 2016. Republicans won under Reagan and (sometimes) under the Bush family because they associated their party with positive traits that Americans wanted to be associated with. Apparently that’s just too hard now. Rush could have used his golden microphone to present constructive ideas for what Republicans could do, as opposed to just making fun of Democrat women and using “socialism” as a Devil word. I say this because I seem to recall in the old days that he would come up with ideas. But I guess that just wasn’t commercial. Rush Limbaugh, like Rudolph Giuliani and even Donald Trump, took his ‘tell-it-like-is’ reputation, and rather than use it to tell it like it is, became a cartoon character whose job was to amuse a limited demographic. And as with the demagogue who basically stole his act and took it to the White House, a lot of people took him as seriously as the Gospel (more seriously, in fact) when his ideas were becoming less and less serious.

Now that is okay if you see your role in the culture as being a jester or wrestling heel, but it’s not okay when you’re trying to lead the free world. Even in this country, you normally win elections by getting the most votes, and the flukes where that has not been the case have convinced the Republican Party that they can survive on the political campaign equivalent of AM radio niche programming, and that’s why they are where they are now. The first thing that right-wingers (Republican or Libertarian) have to learn is that the Left is going to call them a bunch of heartless ogres and witches whether they earn the reputation or not. Which is what makes it imperative NOT to earn it. Because if the uncommitted middle of the country can compare what woke cancel culture is telling them about you with what you actually do, and they see you are not the racist, sexist, whatever they are painting you as, you can prevail. But if you go out of your damn way to be associated with racists and other knuckle-draggers, then that’s on you. That’s how Joe Biden won Arizona, and Georgia, and the Electoral College by 74 Electoral votes, because even if Trump got more votes than he did in 2016, he got that many more people pissed at him who might not have been otherwise.

When all you have is negative partisanship, and you’re an effective minority, you’re setting yourself up to fail against a majority whose negative partisanship is earned by your actions. Of course, Biden also had positive partisanship, in that he seemed to be a real human being and professional government official, not a celebrity who made Snidely Whiplash look like Albert Schweitzer.

As National Review’s Michael Brendan Dougherty put it, “Many conservatives who have loathed the Donald Trump era will look back on Limbaugh’s success with regret, realizing that the talk-radio revolution was the giant leap from Ronald Reagan to Donald Trump.” I accidentally observed the same thing about Rush’s connection to Trump years before Rush’s death, as Trump was starting to take over the Republican Party, and concluded, “This attitude has been going on for quite some time, at least by the start of the second Obama term. The Republican Party has been Trump’s party for years. They were just waiting for him to show up.” And that’s because there isn’t a whole lot of space between Trump and Rush Limbaugh, except that Rush at least was coming off an intellectual tradition of William Buckley, Ronald Reagan and Barry Goldwater, and what he ended up doing was making something that didn’t even deserve to be called Zombie Reaganism. His fan club, who professed to disdain empty-headed celebrity millionaires, ended up becoming “mind-numbed robots” to a radio celebrity and a “reality” TV star, only one of whom could make a claim to being a self-made man.

Among the various other NeverTrump conservative autopsies of Limbaugh, on the 19th Andrew Sullivan said (on Substack): “As with Roger Ailes, it’s stupid to deny Limbaugh’s media genius. He created an entire world for his ditto heads to live and breathe in; he mastered an often hilarious gift for self-mockery disguised as self-flattery; and he had an unerring ability to expose and prick the self-righteous humbug of pious lefties. I will confess to laughing out loud many times at his blasphemy.

“And in the context of the once-smothering liberal monopoly of mass media of the 1980s, this insurrection was ballsy and overdue. But like the Gingrich phase of conservatism in the 1990s, which also broke a long-held liberal monopoly on the House of Representatives, it curdled over time. The tribal mockery was funny when allied with a coherent and counter-intuitive defense of conservative ideas and arguments. But as the years went by, and as conservatism remained calcified in a Reaganite zombie phase, the mockery began to replace the ideas completely, faute de mieux. What was originally an argument became merely an attitude, like the grin that slowly became all that was left of the Cheshire Cat. And with the emergence of a figure like Trump, who was a walking assault on conservative ideas and sensibility, the attitude became detached from any principle but tribalism, and based itself in exactly the kind of personal cultism Limbaugh innovated for himself.

“He was as personally kind and generous, we are told, as he was publicly shameless. And it’s important to see the man as a complicated whole. But what he did to conservatism was ultimately to facilitate its demise as a functional governing philosophy; and what he did to the country was intensify its cynicism and tribalism. Few did so much to popularize conservative values; and few did more, in the end, to discredit them.”

In fact, the real summary of Limbaugh’s spirit was already written over ten years before he died:

https://www.theonion.com/i-dont-even-want-to-be-alive-anymore-1819584611?utm_campaign=The+Onion&utm_content=1613585718&utm_medium=SocialMarketing&utm_source=facebook

First Impressions

Thursday I saw this clip from Ultra-Radical Centrists on Facebook, detailing the last place we’d seen Jen Psaki, under the Obama Administration. “Time for a flash back to this classic performance of hers from 6 years ago where she told with a straight face that it was a ‘long standing policy’ for the US to not promote coups in Latin American nations.”

Simply doing a standard press briefing on January 20 seems to have pacified the Washington press corps, but that’s just because we’ve moved from a pack of surly liars who want to gaslight you over them stealing the silverware to a group of professional liars who know how to keep the story straight.

Yes, going back to normal is an improvement, but only the first step. After all, “normal” is how we got Trump.

It seems as though Viceroy Trump’s shocktroopers are starting to have second thoughts.

“Proud Boys are ditching Trump hours after he left the White House for good, calling him a ‘shill’ and ‘extraordinarily weak'”

“However, as Trump left office, some Proud Boys were disappointed that he didn’t put up more of a fight to stay in power, and that he later condemned the violence that ensued during the Capitol siege, which led to five deaths.”Some members called Trump a “shill” and “extraordinarily weak,” and have since urged others not to attend any more Trump events or even those from the Republican party, The Times reported.

“Members are angered that Trump didn’t help the Proud Boys arrested for their involvement in the January 6 siege.”

“Q Anon followers are giving up on their conspiracy theory after Biden’s inauguration: ‘Is anyone still holding the line?'”

“One hour after President Joe Biden was inaugurated in Washington, DC, on Wednesday, QAnon conspiracy-theory chat rooms had an overwhelming — albeit familiar — sense of hopelessness.

“What are we waiting for now?” one comment in a QAnon Telegram channel said. “Is anyone still holding the line?” said another.

“So, was Q just one big lie and psyop that I foolishly followed and believed for over 3 years?” another user said.”

“Wednesday was the final chance at redemption for QAnon, a baseless far-right conspiracy theory alleging that former President Donald Trump was fighting a “deep state” cabal of pedophiles and human traffickers.

“Many believers of QAnon had anticipated that Biden would be arrested at his inauguration, or that Trump would do something, anything at all, to prevent his successor from taking office.

“But in the end, Trump said goodbye, danced to the ‘YMCA,’ and flew to Florida, and Biden became president.”

…You mean he LIED to me???

The Beltway media is telling us that the two parties in the Senate are in a standoff over the use of the filibuster. Actually not just the filibuster, but the whole ‘organizing package’ of the current Congress that determines who controls committees. “The longer the standoff over the organizing package persists, the weirder the Senate will become. New senators have not been added to committees and the ratios have not changed, leaving the GOP in the majority on some panels.” This is all done, of course, for the sake of Mitch “the Bitch” McConnell and his attempts to retain effective personal veto power on all activity despite no longer being Senate Majority Leader. “Schumer may be able to satisfy McConnell with something less than a written commitment, perhaps a speech on the Senate floor or a verbal acknowledgement that his preference is not to invoke the nuclear option. But even some Republicans are skeptical that Democrats will give up their leverage so easily and simply trust that Republicans will work with them on legislation. McConnell’s “reasoning is let’s do it now while we’re all in this management mode as opposed to under fire when there’s a burning issue,” said Sen. Kevin Cramer (R-N.D.). “I’m skeptical of the outcome. I think Mitch’s effort is noble but I just don’t think it ends there.”

This of course is happening at the same time that the Senate has to take Viceroy Trump’s second impeachment trial, and even after he basically sent a mob to kill them, hardly anyone in the Republican caucus is definitely saying they’d vote to convict. Senator Rand Paul (BR.-Kentucky) told Fox’s Laura Ingraham that “a third of Republicans will leave the party” if it goes along with impeachment. Well, again: sounds like a You problem.

Look, Democrats have two imperatives before this Biden Administration even gets off the ground: One is to stop the Republicans from filibustering every damn thing on the Senate floor or else it will take 60 Senators to get anything done, meaning, nothing will get done. The other is to convict Trump for inciting an insurrection, because even if he’s only the President of Mar-a-Lago now, a conviction would mean that there would be a simple majority vote on banning him from federal office again, and even if Rand Paul is inclined to forgive his Master for sending his mob to trash the chamber, I don’t think the fellow Senator from Kentucky will, especially since Trump, combining the worst traits of Archie Bunker and Inspector Clouseau, single-handedly killed the Republicans’ chances in Georgia, and with those losses, took McConnell’s control of the Senate. Which is why he has to fight for what he can now.

Democrats are probably not going to outright kill the filibuster (otherwise that would kill the influence of West Virginia’s Joe Manchin, the last conservative Southern Democrat, and they need all the Senators they have), but they at least need to maintain the option. Currently neither party has reason to back down, but someone has to. And again, the key factor for Republicans is that if they got what they want in both floor assignments and impeachment, Trump would go free to run again, and the more foresighted Republicans (such as they are) realize that would be as much a problem for them as anybody. At the same time, convicting Trump is a short-term priority for Democrats compared to the ability to organize the floor, since they know (from experience with Obama) that Mitch and the Republicans will try to obstruct every single thing they want to do and then turn around and say that Democrats can’t get anything done and use that as the reason to campaign for more seats.

Democrats have to use the Republicans’ position against them. They have to be willing to let Trump’s conviction go to fight for the Senate, because that’s what they actually HAVE now, and it’s only McConell who is forcing the issue. McConnell would (probably) like to convict Trump but he can’t press his caucus and Democrats still need at least 17 defectors from the Party of Trump. But after their second opportunity to hold Trump accountable, if they smile for the reporters and say he’s “learned his lesson” again, that’s a liability for anyone in 2022. And if they want to keep their committee assignments, Democrats have to go around them and bring everything to a floor vote, which Chuck Schumer can do now.

Democrats have to make it clear that they can bear the consequences of not going along with the Republicans – not having committees and not having a Trump conviction – better than the Republicans can. Trump is now just as much of a problem to them. And the committee system is a convenience for the body, and if Republicans want to make it inconvenient for the majority, Democrats will have to govern without it.

In short, if Chuck Schumer is capable of realizing it (which I doubt), Democrats really have Republicans over a barrel and he ought to just make them work with him and not the other way around. If Republicans don’t like it? Tough. It was Mitch McConnell who said “Elections have consequences.” It is the Republican Party that acts as though 51 percent of the vote (in their case less) earns 100 percent of the power. And however many conservatives pretend to Social Darwinism, there isn’t even a point in having elections if we cannot enforce consequences for peddling stupidity.

The Final Fisking

I’m not really in the mood to give Viceroy Trump a political obituary the way I did with Barack Obama. For one thing, The Trump Organization will not actually be dead until it is staked in the coffin, has its head chopped off, then has the coffin blasted to bits in a sealed room so that the ashes cannot escape, at which point the ashes will be collected and shot into the sun. Trump is the anti-Tom Joad. Whenever someone is being a belligerent idiot, he’ll be there. Whenever some businessman is driving a creditor into bankruptcy cause he won’t pay his bills, he’ll be there. Whenever you see a cop beating a guy, he’ll be that cop. Trump is immortal.

But that hasn’t stopped some columnists from doing the same, for example at National Review, whose new motto seems to be “We’re not PRO-Trump, we’ve just got a funny way of showing it.” And as part of the literate Right’s desire to play Schrodinger’s Conservative and have their “benefits” of Trumpism and their “deep concern” too, they’ve given a piece to David L. Bahnsen, who “runs a private-wealth-management firm and is a National Review Institute trustee.” This piece, “A Final Assessment of the Trump Presidency, and the Path Forward” is supposed to be a warts-and-all review of Trump’s presidency, but in its typical desire to rationalize conservative Trump support, reveals a cluelessness surpassing Julianne Hough wearing blackface to the Halloween party. And so I have decided to give this particular column a fisking in order to help sum up the effects of The Trump Organization on our country, and on Republican politics in particular.

Remember, “fisking” is a term that first referred to the point-by-point rebuttal of leftist journalist Robert Fisk, back in the Bush Administration days when some people on the Right still had enough brains to form a philosophy other than “The Trump is my shepherd; I shall not want.” Fisking is not to be confused with “fisting”, even if the intent and result are similar.

In hindsight, I wish I had published this article before the events of January 6 at the Capitol building.

I’ll bet.

My goal in this piece has been important to me for a long time — an objective, thoughtful, and fair assessment of the Trump presidency, complete with some suggestions for the path forward in political life after Trump. The ambitions of this article are not changed by the riots, and in fact some conclusions are reinforced by them. However, the already high volume at which this particular conversation takes place in all circles is now even higher, and when everything is this loud, it seems that nothing gets heard at all. I have never written an article before where I felt such a burden to manage the volume to the end of the takeaways, even if not everything will be found agreeable by all.

That strange and awkward preface is not something I can ever imagine writing for the typical articles I author in the fields of economics, culture, and social thought.

Well, that should tell you your chances of success in this endeavor.

…my intent in this article: to assess the overall presidency of Donald Trump, and to do so with no need for vindication, no axe to grind, and a truly open and humble disposition. The advantage (and burden) of such a piece versus all of the various ad hoc events, policies, tweets, and decisions over the years is that I am now trying to “pull it all together.” There is some finality in this, and that means final conclusions will offend or bother some readers. I hope the offense or bother this piece produces for supporters and critics of the president will be minimal and even pre-forgiven. I write on this subject because I want a path forward.

I do not worry about the offense or bother this piece may or may not cause in the far Left — in those whose efforts at critiquing Donald Trump have been unhinged, unfair, and completely counterproductive. The undeserved martyr-like treatment given to Trump by many of his supporters is mostly the by-product of his treatment by the media, which makes no sense to me. I don’t suggest they did not have material available to them, because they had it in abundance. I am suggesting that rather than critiquing the president with the obvious things right in front of them, a huge portion of the country chose to chase absurd conspiracy theories, wild insinuations of Hitlerian tendencies, and often overt lies that served to create insurmountable distrust when there were truthful criticisms to launch. The “CNN camp” has made the role of presidential critics such as myself almost impossible, lumping us in with the unhinged camp. For purposes of my piece, I ask you to fairly and rightly separate my efforts from that camp, because they do not belong there.

Well, let me go into some detail. First, Mr. Bahnsen, you should not stress over whether your opinions cause any offense on the Left, because they’re going to find something to be offended about no matter what you say. Secondly, it is superficial to say that attacks on Trump are all exaggerated or “Hitlerian.” I personally find such comparisons to be a big insult. To Hitler. After all, Hitler actually volunteered for the army, and he led an economic recovery for more than three years before starting a major catastrophe that killed everybody. The thesis of my response is that your very equivocation betrays the problem with presenting an ‘even-handed’ treatment of the subject Mr. Trump. If there are indeed good things about the Trump time in office from a neutral or right-wing perspective, the fact that both the praise and hate for Trump are exaggerated out of proportion to results (I differ as to how exaggerated these opinions are) indicates the problem for the critic who presents himself as even-handed. Not just in that the Left will not hear anything good you have to say about Trump, but more that the Right will not hear any criticism of their Leader. My suspicion borne out by the last four years of observation is that the Right will be a tougher sell for your “path forward”, for that reason.

Many who had the “Never Trump” label ascribed to them sacrificed needed credibility, either early on or, for others, later into the presidency, for a willingness to sacrifice previously held beliefs if it meant being aligned with the president.

There’s a difference between “sacrificing” previously held beliefs just because they’re associated with an individual and changing one’s beliefs because you’ve learned something with experience and perspective. By the same token, if one’s experience causes a person to align against a given individual, that doesn’t necessarily disqualify their opinion just because you want to defend that subject.

And the so-called “Always Trump” camp never found a way to generally support an agenda without an unhealthy, often sycophantic, loyalty to the president. The bipolarity of these two positions has taken over the Right these last four years, leaving some who have genuinely believed that there was not just room for, but the necessity for, a more nuanced position in exile.

Yes, except that bi-polarity implies there are two positions. Those “Never Trumpers” who committed heresy against Our President have in effect excommunicated themselves from the Right, no matter their positions on taxes or abortion or such. Their main opportunities for media exposure are with the Washington Post media, or MSNBC, or one of those other mainstream outlets, which means they will be shut off by Republican listeners just as surely as The Liberal Media deplatforms Republicans and cancels their book contracts. It is not the Never Trumpers who were preventing “a more nuanced position in exile” – they were trying to create it. They could not, because the “Always Trump” position is now dominant in the Republican Party and conservative movement, and nuance is the enemy to them.

I want to say something to the president’s most ardent supporters, the group I fear will be offended by many of the conclusions of this piece. Whether you come out of this reading convinced of this or not, I really do, from the bottom of my heart, understand. I understand the frustrations you feel, the fear you have for what is happening in our country and our culture. I understand the desire for there to be someone who you feel is pushing back or fighting. It makes perfect sense to me why you find the media contemptible, and why you see someone such as President Trump who so often fights with the media as your friend, and maybe even your protector.

Ah, so a riot is the language of the unheard. I get it.

The very heartfelt and rational critiques I offer herein about Donald Trump are not because I disagree with you about those problems; they are because I disagree with you about Trump as the solution.I hope you will find my arguments for such persuasive. …Those who are the most significant critics of Trump on the Right have too often failed to strive for any level of empathy for those identifying as Trump supporters when significant empathy is warranted and even required.

Guy, their favorite slogan was “Fuck Your Feelings.” I wasn’t aware that was a cry for empathy.

And to the extent that I agree with your central point, sir, it’s that the Trump fan club that took over conservatism (to the extent it blends into the Tea Party) had some real points about business-as-usual government (mainly from Democrats but also establishment Republicans) and the fact that they were completely wrong about the solution doesn’t change the fact that there are real issues with pre-Trump government. More’s the pity, because association with Trump means first and foremost that such supposedly conscientious people really cared more about the negative impulses they got to indulge in Trump’s cult of personality. More to the point, the fact that Trump IS identified as “the solution” because he has absorbed the Right and will brook no debate makes it that much less likely that real reform can happen outside “the swamp.” He hasn’t drained it, he has made it stronger, because he has made it look preferable to the alleged solution.

The Good

There are some things that have to be said about the Trump presidency in a “final hour assessment” that are unambiguously good. And I will start with the single greatest achievement of the entire Trump era: He kept Hillary Clinton from ever being our president. For all the other good and bad, I have absolutely no problem rooting this piece in the simple observation that President Donald Trump meant there was no President Hillary Clinton, and that is an unalloyed good. I haven’t compromised a single bit around the case that Hillary Clinton would have been an unfathomable disaster for our country. Her defeat is something I will celebrate forever, regardless of who it was who defeated her. I do not share the belief of some of my friends that in 2016 “only Trump could have beaten her.” What we know is that President Trump did defeat her, to the surprise of many — including myself. This remains the hallmark achievement of the Trump era.

Ehh, almost, but not quite.

The fact that Hillary can inspire (and deserve) such hatred even now, and that both Biden and Obama won clear victories when the Electoral College slipped out of her fingers, indicates in retrospect that almost anybody could have beaten her, and my personal conspiracy theory is that Donnie’s old buddy Bill put Trump up to running against Hillary Clinton as the ultimate wrestling heel as part of the effort to tar the Republican Party for good. They just forgot that people like wrestling heels more than Hillary. And I personally agree with the Clinton camp that James Comey’s revival of the email investigations just days before the election did more to kill her momentum than any thing the Russians did overtly or covertly. Indeed, given how close things were, had Hillary won, the Right might be saying that anybody BUT Trump could have beat her, given that he was the only Republican candidate who approached her negatives with the unconverted.

Another significant policy achievement of the Trump presidency is his three Supreme Court justices.

This is of course, the Right’s go-to justification for everything else.

This is also the crowning achievement of Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell. For some reason, MAGA hates this man, and I have absolutely no idea why.

Because Mitch has an existence outside Donald Trump.

There are a few other accomplishments often brought up when constructing Trump’s presidential resume. The corporate-tax reform was a needed and important piece of legislation, not as — contrary to popular leftist lies — a support for the rich, but as a support for the job creation, business investment, capex, global competitiveness, repatriation of foreign profits, and reduction of loopholes it fostered. That this accomplishment actually went through a real legislative process makes it even more important — it cannot be reversed so easily, and it was actually done properly in the context of the Constitution.

True. And as you imply, if there was anything good about all this, and it is the sort of thing that any Republican would want, then that implies any Republican president would have pursued it. That begs the question of whether these gains were worth the loss of the Party’s reputation, and your words as a whole provide the answer.

I am glad the president relocated to the U.S. embassy to Jerusalem, ended the Iranian nuclear deal, and pulled us out of the Paris accord. These things carry more symbolic than practical significance, but symbolic gestures do matter.

Given liberal Jews’ longstanding support for Israel, the fact that Democrats couldn’t bring themselves to take a similar position has less to do with the wonderful genius of Donald Trump (other than his capacity to push on with an idea no matter who it offends) and more to do with external factors: specifically the fact that Israeli government is even more dominated than American government by a “conservative” government that is even more corrupt and pandering to the fundamentalists than ours is, plus a realization on the Arab states’ part that they never really cared about the Palestinians much anyway, and were willing to trade them for deals with the US and help with containing Shia Iran.

It may seem like small ball to many of you, and with some of the ghastly pardons that are included in his actions, may even rub you the wrong way. But I would include the president’s pardons of Michael Milken and Conrad Black as two of his greatest hits. I’ve written enough about the Milken pardon but will celebrate it long after Trump is gone.

You’re right, David. Pardoning Milken in particular does rub me the wrong way. As a matter of fact, this one paragraph almost invalidates everything you say by itself. At Milken’s sentencing, Judge Kimba Wood told him: “You were willing to commit only crimes that were unlikely to be detected. … When a man of your power in the financial world… repeatedly conspires to violate, and violates, securities and tax business in order to achieve more power and wealth for himself… a significant prison term is required.”

I do not disagree with President Trump’s defenders that he has been one of the most pro-life presidents we have ever had.

I do.

His voice, rhetoric, public support, judicial appointments, and HHS personnel are high up in his report card for this tireless defending of the unborn.

Which is to say, years after he quit attending Jeffrey Epstein parties. Look, Republicans, you have to ask yourself what the endgame is here. If you honestly think abortion is murder at any point in pregnancy, then you can stop with nothing less than not only the repeal of Roe v. Wade but a Human Life Amendment or state laws to either ban abortion or do as good as. And even invalidating Roe v. Wade would mean that all the motivation and momentum leaves your side and goes to the baby-killer side, and if they can’t campaign against your scrubbed, fresh-faced young judges, they’re certainly going to campaign against the Senators that approved them. Your side is already the dog that caught the car. Soon, it’s going to shift in Reverse.

The Bad

Well, I’ve gone over this in extensive detail, but lets’ see what you think.

It is at this time that I regretfully suggest that the presidency has been an abject disaster in so many ways, not generally because of his policies, but because of the character, temperament, ego, and pathology of the president, that time and time again blotted out the good and undermined opportunities for success. Ultimately, it is my position that the things we were told didn’t matter inevitably damaged the things we were told did matter. [my emphasis]

This is my strongest point of agreement.

First, allow me to numerically offer categorical critiques that I believe warrant very little controversy on the Right. There is a certain sequence here, but they are not ranked in an order of importance:

1) “But he fights” is the most universally uttered argument in defense of President Trump, and in this phrase sits the core of my disagreement with MAGA world. “Yes, I know he tweets silly things sometimes, but at least he stands up to the media and cancel culture and the Left.” “I don’t like his temperament either, but he gets things done.” You know the lines to which I am referring, and they are universal from many who have supported President Trump.

Now, I would be happy to rebut the conclusions of this thinking — that because he “gets things done” and “stands up to the Left,” it is easy to tolerate the tweets, insults, conspiracy theories, childish behavior, boorishness, and so forth. I vehemently disagree with that thinking, but I will avoid even that argument, because this one is so much easier, and so much more undermining of that proposition: The temperament and behavior could not be ignored for the greater good, because the greater good to which you refer failed as a result of the temperament and behavior.

I spent four years pleading with people to understand that the president listened to the masses, and if he got pushback on his behavior, his craving for popularity would mean a shift in behavior. Instead of feeling pressured to change, he felt emboldened.

This should not be a surprise to so many people. We are dealing with a symbiosis. I have mentioned more times than I care to recall that Trump’s uncanny bond with his fan club is a case of identity fusion, or as the joke goes, Donald Trump is what the average Donald Trump fan would be if they had money. When you’re dealing with pivotal figures, there’s always a debate between the Hegelian position that history is formed by “great men” and the Marxist position that “great men” simply follow the mass and are subject to the same material circumstances. The truth is a little of both. If the “base” saw Trump in themselves, it’s not because they wanted a government that was more informed by F.A. Hayek or Thomas Aquinas. They wanted somebody who would run things the way they would if they got the chance. That’s exactly what happened. You can look at tapes of Donald Trump not that many years ago and see that even if he was no deep intellectual, he was at least articulate. Now all he can do is parrot the same slogans the Republican masses and their representatives have been parroting to each other for years, because a conman plays to the mark. It would be one thing if he were cynically manipulating that mass with lies and hate, but Trump has gotten high on his own supply to the extent that he resembles Al Pacino in the last scene of Scarface. Trump tells his lies to the crowd, and they cheer him on, so he eggs them on even more. They make each other worse.

But allow me to strike at the heart of what cost President Trump reelection: that first debate. I can criticize President Trump for much, but I do not criticize his marketing savvy and even his political instincts. How could I? President Trump either entered that first debate wanting to lose the election, or actually believing that the nation liked and wanted petulance of a variety we have never seen in American presidential history. Any review of the strategy he utilized in the second debate versus how he behaved in the first debate decimates the argument that “you have to let Trump be Trump.” As we saw in the second debate, he is highly capable of reining it in when he believes it will help him pragmatically. His performance in the second debate was masterful, not just because he articulated needed truth about the COVID moment, but because his temperament was sober, respectful, serious, and right. By then, nearly half of voting had already happened. The inability to empirically prove cause and effect does not change what we know instinctively to be true — his conduct at the first debate destroyed his candidacy.

Sir, if you think that Trump’s second debate was “masterful” and that he presented any truth about COVID, that is part of the problem.

But I will use even clearer data to make my case: Do you know that he still enjoyed high levels of approval and support even a month into the COVID moment? Even as death tolls were climbing and his own orders for national lockdown were decimating the economy, the country had not yet blamed President Trump for it. It is in this area that I vehemently disagree with many of my friends on the Right who have been outspoken critics of President Trump: The idea that he “caused the deaths of 300,000 Americans” is absurd. One can do revisionist history on what transpired in January and February of 2020 all they want, but there is very little President Trump could have done or should have done differently. “But he knew it was serious and did nothing.” What was he supposed to do? Shut down the economy before we had experienced a single death over a totally unknown and pre-understood respiratory virus? It’s partisan nonsense, and everyone knows it.

What’s partisan nonsense is dodging the point because it doesn’t fit your thesis. Trump indeed enjoyed high levels of support not only at the start of the COVID “moment” (such a lovely euphemism) but all the way through the election, not so much in Liberal Media opinion polls, but in the only poll that counted, the one taken in November. He just managed to alienate that many more people, or that many more people thought Joe Biden did a better imitation of a human being. No, he didn’t cause the deaths of 300,000 people… he just refused to ban China travel until their virus had already spread to Europe, declared the European travel ban on such short notice that airports were slammed with passengers trying to get back in the country in conditions ideal for spreading a virus, refused to admit there was a crisis in the first two months of the spread, shuffled Alex Azar and Mike Pence in control of the task force and then eventually took over their press conferences so he’d have a national audience for his blame-the-media pity party, belittled Dr. Fauci, belitted Dr. Birx, encouraged the herd immunity theory, and consistently treated masks as though they had cooties on them (which is kind of the point, actually).

TOTALLY NOT the same thing!

I do not know why so many decided that President Trump accusing Ted Cruz’s dad of killing JFK was acceptable or why the mocking statements about the physical appearance of Carly Fiorina and Heidi Cruz were tolerated during the 2016 campaign. But I do know that when the exact same behavior inevitably carried in the COVID moment of 2020, it was unpalatable for many Americans.

Not nearly enough of them.

I am not suggesting that President Trump lost in 2020 because he tweeted that President Obama faked the killing of Osama bin Laden and had Seal Team Six killed. Rather, I am suggesting that he tweeted it because he thought he could. A numbness had built up such that the totally unacceptable became ignored. And in a 40-40-20 country, on the margin, it was political suicide — not merely this tweet, but the entire lot of them.

And that’s what your party hasn’t figured out, David. You were scared of that 40/40/20 margin going the wrong way, and rather than do anything to counter that other 40 or wean the 20 in the middle to your view, you doubled down on stupid. “he tweeted it because he thought he could.” Yes… and who gave him that impression?

2) Those who believe the federal government is too large, should be reined it, should spend less, should extract less money from the private sector, and should seek a greater fiscal responsibility have surrendered any semblance of credibility for years. It has to be said that this is not just because we spent trillions of dollars more than ever thought possible — and this was before the COVID stimulus packages.

I understand there was excessive spending in past Republican and Democratic administrations, but there were always objectors. The Tea Party movement was a response to profligate spending under the Obama administration. And during the Bush Jr. spending years, there was a significant, though inadequate, resistance from the Right in the House and Senate. Trump did not merely spend us into oblivion, he got the “freedom caucus” to spend us into oblivion. He wasn’t hypocritical. Bush Jr. said he favored right-sized government, and then overspent. Trump overspent, and said it was because he didn’t favor right-sized government.

Hi. Welcome to the Libertarian Party.

Thanks for acknowledging that the Republicans never really gave a rat’s tail about government restraint in the first place and certainly didn’t under Trump. As you say, the difference between Trump and the respectable cloth-coat Republicans is that Trump didn’t bother with the hypocrisy. But Hey – he’s authentic!

The various cultural fears I alluded to earlier have been used as an excuse for his entire term in office to ignore the economic recklessness playing out both in deed and word, and yet having ceded the high ground to the leftist argument for size of government, spending, and budget math, we will now face the cultural ramifications of abandoning basic first things. I want to be clear — I am not merely worried that the Left will now call us hypocrites regarding spending; I am worried because it is true. And it is not true because we said one thing and did another.

Faced with a big-spending Republican president who said he wanted negative interest rates, trillions of dollars of deficits, and unlimited budget increases in each category, the GOP House and Senate, either afraid of a mean tweet, a MAGA primary opponent, or perhaps genuinely converted by the intellectual force of the Trumpian argument, capitulated. I cannot imagine what it will take to establish credibility. And when Democratic spending offends us, I cannot imagine what many in MAGA will say. For many, they would be wise to sit that argument out.

In the immortal word of Cher Horowitz, “DUH.” To paraphrase, the things you were told – ahem, the things WE told YOU – did matter were things you thought didn’t matter, and for the sake of your goals, you killed the things you say do matter. Almost as if the venal cult of personality and the chance to “fight back and make liberals cry” mattered to you more than Christian ethics or responsible government, otherwise you wouldn’t have done so much to enable a guy who makes Bill Clinton’s impeachment case look like a parking ticket. Now nobody believes you as a moral authority, and they certainly won’t take you seriously when you look at Joe Biden’s spending agenda and realize that you’re supposed to be the party of fiscal responsibility. The irony being that your most libertarian, pro-capitalist president EVAR hollowed out small business to such a great extent with the effects of Trump Virus means that we’re actually going to need that massive Keynesian spending to prime the pump. You’re doing more to justify the left-socialist spectrum than anything they could do with their limited imaginations. “I am not merely worried that the Left will now call us hypocrites regarding spending; I am worried because it is true.” As the kids say these days, sounds like a You problem.

3) One of the major premises of the Trump presidency was that he would bring in the competence and get-stuff-done mentality of a businessman to Washington. The results may set back the cause of a private-sector businessman fixing Washington for decades. The constant “palace intrigue” management style of the president (a style that sits at the heart of his business philosophy, too), created the most volatile and unstable White House staff and cabinet in generations.

Several fine patriots of great prestige and competence have come into the administration, and I differ with those Trump critics who believe those patriots had a duty to leave when Trump misbehaved throughout his presidency. I am quite confident that those who were on the “A-team” of the administration represented a superior alternative to the reality TV stars and campaign grifters who could have potentially replaced them.

Well, this is again what you get when you let your projections blind you to the fact that Trump was never a successful billionaire, he just played one on TV. And yes: the results will set back the chance for a similar pitch for decades. We can only hope. As for the ‘A-Team’ giving way to the grifters, what do you expect? Trump doesn’t want competent people, because he’s incompetent, and at core, jealous and insecure because of that. He wants bottom-feeders who look up to him because that treats his insecurity. The results are what we got. Geez Louise, if liberals could figure that out, why couldn’t National Review? It seems erudition and culture aren’t everything.

…It is my humble, gracious, yet unwavering view that what many of the president’s supporters see (and love) as a “won’t back down/fight the Left” attitude, is really a character malady that happens to sometimes align with the Right’s agenda.

Quite.

… Let us dispel of the myth that the only options are the gentlemanly passivity and ineffectualness of a Jeb Bush or Mitt Romney, or else the vulgarity and narcissism of Donald Trump. Have we truly come to a place where we do not believe we can engage the cultural and political fights of the day with energy, force, and boldness, yet without the self-defeating traits of ego and childishness that so often defined President Trump? Is this not the falsest dilemma of our time?

David, I think this whole essay is a therapeutic attempt to avoid coming to grips with the fact that you already know the answer to that question, and you don’t want to say it.

Reagan gave us “Morning in America.” Trump gave us “American Carnage.” Literally. That says it all.

Reagan won 49 states in 1984. Trump’s one clear victory was only because certain key states had a margin of “third” party votes exceeding the difference between Trump and Clinton, which liberals never fail to remind me. Reagan didn’t need to come up with ghost stories and fish tales about stolen ballots and landslides, because he earned what he got. Republicans used to be popular. Even with Dubya, they were sorta popular. Not anymore. To go back to Republican budget hypocrisy, I think that’s a lot more consequential than whether Republicans are supposedly racist. For one thing, we all know how many more black and Hispanic votes Trump got this time. For another thing, institutional racism is a problem that will ultimately solve itself as demographics change. The question is what kind of government we have, and if “conservatives” keep screaming about socialism but are just as spendthrift and statist, they have no claim to be an alternative.

Wailing and worrying about association with Trump betrays the point that you followed him because, for one thing, he really was the most popular and competent national politician you had. If you had anybody better, you would have taken them, cause at one point you did have better. For another, just as the “base” influences the leadership, the reverse is also true. I like to say that this was the Party of Trump for years before 2015, Republicans were just waiting for him to show up. For years “Tea Party” people had gone past legitimate skepticism of Big Government to attacks on government per se, and they arranged things so that you had to appeal to their wingnuttery just to win a primary, even though candidates had to tack left and pretend to be moderate to appeal to the general audience. Trump showed them they could get their populism straight from the tap.

The respectable, cloth-coat Republicans, like the ones who work for National Review (or used to) have scared themselves into thinking that rather than challenge the opposition 40 percent or adapt to the middle 20 percent and poach them from the Enemy, they have to stick with the “base” and adopt counter-majoritarian tactics to make sure that’s enough. And since that really isn’t enough, they’re scared to death of losing the once-Tea Party/now-Trumpnik/future-Q people. No one in the Trumpnik movement has ever stopped to think that they would be in that much more of a demographic slide if the respectable conservatives left them instead. I wonder why.

The Way Forward

I agree with those critical of the president that there will likely be a period of reckoning ahead, but I do not agree that we ought to hope for such. Rooting for various dependable conservative Senators to lose for blood-sport because they tried to thread the needle in dealing with Trump these last few years is counter-productive. Seeking to “cancel” those who dared to bring some competence and productivity to the administration is silly, unfair, and wrong.

These are Senators we’re dealing with. Lindsey Graham is fine. Tommy Tuberville is fine. Mitch McConnell is fine. The only way people like that lose in this system is if they’ve made themselves that unpopular, and that takes a lot more than “cancel culture.”

…If I could wave a wand and make it so, we would have a resurgence of fusionism tomorrow — this time juxtaposing a toughness in demeanor, an appeal to disenfranchised working-class voters, and traditional movement conservatives. I see nothing contradictory in any of those three components, and I see no choice of forward progress for our movement (politically) without all three for the time being.

Another assortment of a “Big Tent.” A wise position: Except it has to acknowledge that the last Big Tent of Christianists, libertarians and neocons collapsed because their views are really not that compatible in the end, and the working-class and “traditional” (Christianist) people are even less so. The fact that factions are contradictory doesn’t mean that a coalition can’t be formed – it’s been done before. But that takes not only leadership but intellect. “Toughness”, while necessary, is not synonymous with leadership and it certainly isn’t synonymous with intellect.

The war big tech seems determined to fight against conservatives is not going to make this dynamic any easier. Many will get bogged down by the technical details of Section 230 and big tech’s freedom as private companies. Others still will demand exhaustive regulation and reversals, allowing their desperation to move them from the frying pan to the fire. A Trumpian authoritarianism is more palatable to so many than Silicon Valley authoritarianism, but I prefer neither. When I am asked if I want what we have these last few years, or a Silicon Valley dominance in partnership with a woke Democratic Party, my answer is, “None of the above.” We have every right and every chance to work for an affirmative vision of our movement, now. In fact, we have every duty to do so.

Hey, David, there’s at least one party that’s “None of the above.”

Ultimately, the substantial phenomena of Trump’s personality is what has to fade for conservatives, not merely meaning his personality, but the excessive reliance on personality. All things being equal, I am quite sure the GOP has little chance of winning a presidential election without a candidate of forceful and charismatic personality. But as Matthew Continetti suggests, what is needed now is a “depersonalization of the right.” We will need dynamic and high-character people to deliver, and yes, they will have to be fighters.

A very good point actually. As much as pre-Trump Republicans seemed to worship Reagan, they did not make him a personality cult the way they did Trump. But that again betrays the fact that they’ve got nothing else to work with. Paradoxically, for a political party to depersonalize, it has to have more than one personality.

But if we care about the size of the state, the character of the country, the virtue of the people, the futures of our children, the protection of our Constitution, and a permanent defeat of the forces of socialism and collectivism, we are best advised to fight these evils with less reliance on the mere appeal of a big personality and more commitment to defensible principles.

I want to reiterate my empathy for those who feel we are on the losing side of a culture war and need reinforcements that include the “strength” and “toughness” of Donald Trump. We are in a culture war and a debacle of secular-humanist wokeism, and we will need strength and toughness to prevail.

[much dross follows in conclusion]

For people who go on so much about strength and toughness, you’re more Princess-and-the-Pea than all the social media lefties.

It never seems to have occurred to you that people of a generically conservative temperament ARE the majority in this country – and by ‘conservative’ I mean, keeping the traditions that work, gradually changing the things that don’t, making the system work for everyone and using common sense. I DON’T mean “we hate abortion and gays.” This is why Biden, who differs with his Church on the abortion issue, comes off as more Christian and Middle American than Trump, who has probably paid more for abortions than for building contracts. You’re losing not because the great middle disagrees with you about the Left. They don’t. That’s the only reason you’ve managed to coast this long. The Left is starting to beat you anyway because for all the photos you show of riots and burning in the BLM protests, you’re the ones in charge of the national agenda – right up to January 20, 2021. And you, by your own actions, have made the Democrats and Left look like the sane alternative to you.

You can only get so far on empty promises and propaganda and “no matter how much you hate us, those guys are always worse.” That didn’t work for Hillary Clinton. How long did you think it would work for you?

Don’t try to present yourselves as the sane alternative to the Left until you actually become that. If you want to, that is. To paraphrase from above, “And when Democratic (policy) offends us, I cannot imagine what many in MAGA will say. For many, they would be wise to sit that argument out.”

Lock Him Up, Continued

Yeah, I should’ve known that an impeachment seven days after the president incites an insurrection is as fast as this government is ever gonna get.

Still, given that the process didn’t start until after the weekend was over, the second impeachment of Donald Trump did conclude remarkably fast, in less than 24 hours, after it officially started. It actually had ten Republicans on board, which is the most defections from the defendant’s party in any presidential impeachment case. And since there have only been four impeachments of a president in American history, and Trump has made history by being impeached twice, he has also attained an achievement in having half of them all by himself.

Not like it matters that much, since Mitch McConnell (in direct contrast to his Operation Warp Speed-like maneuvering to fill Justice Ginsburg’s Supreme Court seat) is not convening the Senate until at least January 19, so while it is legal to impeach a president after he has left office, those of us who think Trump should get kicked out and Go Directly To Jail, Do Not Collect $250,000 are going to be disappointed. Actually disappointment isn’t the issue, it’s how much damage Putin’s little boy can still do in six days.

“Mr. President, you’ve just become the first president to be impeached twice after inciting insurrection! What are you going to do NEXT?”
“I’m gonna start a nuclear war, so I can go for the hat trick!”

In a certain respect it’s actually better for the prosecution (Democrats) that the Senate trial proceed after the government changes hands, because with the Senate tied, a Democratic Vice President (Kamala Harris) as legal head of the Senate, gives that party the majority, meaning the prosecution case isn’t going to have the legs cut out from under it right at the get-go the way McConnell did in the last impeachment. (But on the bright side, Republicans, it looks like the president gets impeached every January from now on.) On the other hand, you still need 67 Senators to convict, meaning 17 Republicans (or 18, if Democrat Joe Manchin wants to uphold his conservative reputation). And the likelihood is against that, precisely because the stakes are that conviction would lead to a second vote to bar the former president from any future Federal office (which requires only a simple majority) the internal Republican Party support for Trump in both his 2020 challenge and a future 2024 campaign is still a majority. It’s also assumed that if Trump is no longer in the picture that Republicans will see less need to act so boldly against him. The problem with that “let’s just move on” posture is precisely that Trump will never give up the spotlight willingly, and the Party has brought itself to this crossroads precisely because they would not confront him. The fact that some Republicans (including McConnell and Alaska’s Lisa Murkowski) are willing to even entertain the idea of convicting him on that basis indicates that they’re foresighted enough to get him out of the picture. But ultimately this Senate trial, like the last one, is less the Democratic Party pressing its already known opinion on Trump and more the Republican Party decision as to whether it wishes to continue being ruled by him, even as the costs start to outweigh the benefits.

The prosecution at least is going to be pretty straightforward based on the article of impeachment: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/1/13/incitement-of-insurrection-impeachment-resolution-full-text “On January 6, 2021, pursuant to the 12th Amendment to the Constitution of the United States, the Vice President of the United States, the House of Representatives, and the Senate met at the United States Capitol for a Joint Session of Congress to count the votes of the Electoral College. In the months preceding the Joint Session, President Trump repeatedly issued false statements asserting that the Presidential election results were the product of widespread fraud and should not be accepted by the American people or certified by State or Federal officials. Shortly before the Joint Session commenced, President Trump, addressed a crowd at the Ellipse in Washington, D.C. There, he reiterated false claims that “we won this election, and we won it by a landslide.” He also willfully made statements that, in context, encouraged – and foreseeably resulted in – lawless action at the Capitol, such as: “if you don’t fight like hell you’re not going to have a country any more.” Thus incited by President Trump, members of the crowd he had addressed, in an attempt to, among other objectives, interfere with the Joint Session’s solemn constitutional duty to certify the results of the 2020 Presidential election, unlawfully breached and vandalized the Capitol, injured and killed law enforcement personnel, menaced Members of Congress, the Vice President, and Congressional personnel, and engaged in other violent, deadly, destructive and seditious acts.”

Lest one think this is taken out of context, here is the text of Trump’s “Stop the Steal” speech, all the rambling and interrupting chants included: https://www.rev.com/blog/transcripts/donald-trump-speech-save-america-rally-transcript-january-6 Notably he mentions how “They’ll knock out Lincoln too, by the way. They’ve been taking his statue down, but then we signed a little law. You hurt our monuments, you hurt our heroes, you go to jail for 10 years and everything stopped.” But I’m sure the part Trump would want emphasized is “We have come to demand that Congress do the right thing and only count the electors who have been lawfully slated, lawfully slated. I know that everyone here will soon be marching over to the Capitol building to peacefully and patriotically make your voices heard.” Never mind that in Trumpworld, “peaceful protest” is code for “all these darkies get to march in the streets without masks on, so why can’t we?”

The legal question then is, is Trump legally liable if he didn’t specifically tell people to hunt the Vice President and Congress?

There was a completely unrelated question on Quora, I can’t find it now, but it was basically “what is a great detail in a movie scene?” And one person answered with one of the courtroom scenes in A Few Good Men, where Cruise’s defense attorney questions a corporal, the prosecutor (Kevin Bacon) comes up with a line of argument to undermine Cruise’s assertion, and Cruise comes back up with another line of questioning that proves his point. And as they take the witness off the stand, Cruise walks back to his desk and the camera shows Bacon nodding in rueful admiration of Cruise’s skill. That was considered to be an example of good character detail.

But I bring up that particular scene because of the specific context and dialogue.

In A Few Good Men, two Marines are up for court-martial due to the death of a recruit at Guantanamo Bay. Lieutenant Kaffee, Cruise’s character, has a Corporal Barnes from the unit on the stand (played by Noah Wyle) and goes into several questions asking him to detail a “Code Red”, which is basically a hazing process designed to break down a Marine who seems to be screwing up. The prosecutor, Captain Ross, gets up and gives the corporal the Marine outline for recruit training and asks him to detail the regulation involving the use of Code Red. He can’t. He then picks up the manual for the garrison at Guantanamo Bay and asks the corporal where the use of Code Red is. The corporal just says that “Code Red” is a term for an informal process, meaning it’s off the books. Ross’ point is that the defense can’t bring up a process that’s not in regulations as though the defendants were giving orders. But as he walks back, Kaffee gets up, snatches the book out of Ross’ hand and asks the corporal to describe where in the Guantanamo manual he would find the mess hall. And Barnes says he can’t. And Kaffee asks if he never had a meal on the base then, and Barnes says of course he did. So Kaffee asks, “I don’t understand, how would you know where the mess hall is, if it’s not in this book?” And Corporal Barnes just says, “Well I guess I just followed the crowd at chowtime, sir.”

You don’t need to know what the specific order is. You just follow the crowd at chowtime.

This goes with the often-mentioned similarity between Trump and the New York mob, specifically the “Teflon Don”, John Gotti, who craved the spotlight more than most Mafia bosses. A reporter who covered the Mob confirmed that the similarity is somewhat intentional: “It’s important to remember that Trump learned his ABCs for success from Roy Cohn, who was mixed up in the Mafia, defended them, and mentored Trump exactly how to succeed in life. “Always be aggressive, take no prisoners …”

“Trump resembles John Gotti. Most mob bosses were quiet, stayed in the shadows, didn’t want any kind of publicity or exposure. All Gotti wanted was the spotlight, all the time. That bolstered his ego, made him feel important. …Gotti would never say, “Hit that guy.” He’d just say, “Do me a favor, get rid of that stone in my shoe.” He would just say, “He’s a problem.” You never caught Gotti saying, “Let’s do a hit job on him,” but the understanding is clear to their acolytes. They know what the code words mean. … Just remember, Roy Cohn. He taught him his ABCs. He was a mentor. Trump was proud of it! Remember that line about, “Where’s my Roy Cohn?” The government works for him; he doesn’t work for the government.”

Not only that, there is legal precedent with the case in question. An article in Politico goes over the potential problems for Trump: “As a person with good lawyers and experience being investigated, Trump would undoubtedly claim these comments were nothing more than First-Amendment-protected political speech if he were charged with encouraging the mob to commit seditious conspiracy. But that might not help. In 1969, the U.S. Supreme Court, in Brandenberg v Ohio, found that the government can punish inflammatory speech when it is “directed to inciting or producing imminent lawless action and is likely to incite or produce such action.”

So did Trump know that his statements were “likely” to produce imminent lawless action?

Well, in his NOW BANNED Twitter account, Trump said “JANUARY SIXTH, SEE YOU IN DC!” after also saying “Statistically impossible to have lost the 2020 Election. Big protest in D.C. on January 6th. Be there, will be wild!” For weeks, Trump supporters fed by his own mythologizing on Twitter and rumors spread amongst themselves and the Q Anon network, organized for a protest specifically timed for the Elector count on January 6, even before Republican Congressman Louie Gohmert and Senator Josh Hawley announced their intent to contest the slate. “The story of how the pied-pipers of Trumpism enlisted supporters illustrates the dramatic evolution of Trump’s voters into an effective and well-financed network of activist groups. The crowds that rally organizers recruited were joined in Washington by more radical right-wing groups that have increasingly become a fixture at pro-Trump demonstrations – including white supremacists and devotees of the QAnon conspiracy theory, which casts Trump as a savior figure and elite Democrats as a cabal of Satan-worshipping pedophiles and cannibals. “

Trump also knew that the people doing his bidding in denying coronavirus strategies by state governments were willing to take violent extremes. A month before the election, Trump’s own FBI announced charges against 13 men in a plot to kidnap Gretchen Whitmer, the governor of Michigan, “and otherwise violently overthrow the state government.” Now most of the time it’s extremely easy for Trump to plead ignorance, but it stretches credibility for him to say he was unaware of what people say about him on social media, especially pro-Trump networks that repeat his opinions and support his position that opposition to his rule is illegal by definition.

It was that much harder for Trump to deny the potential for violence when he came to the outdoor podium on January 6 and saw exactly how many people were outside ready to respond to what he had to say. I’m not sure if he would have seen the hanging scaffold that someone set up for Mike Pence. And while he did indeed say “We have come to demand that Congress do the right thing and only count the electors who have been lawfully slated, lawfully slated. I know that everyone here will soon be marching over to the Capitol building to peacefully and patriotically make your voices heard” he also used fascist bullyboy code language like “We’re going walk down to the Capitol, and we’re going to cheer on our brave senators, and congressmen and women. We’re probably not going to be cheering so much for some of them because you’ll never take back our country with weakness. You have to show strength, and you have to be strong” and “The Democrats are hopeless. They’re never voting for anything, not even one vote. But we’re going to try and give our Republicans, the weak ones, because the strong ones don’t need any of our help, we’re going to try and give them the kind of pride and boldness that they need to take back our country.”

So certainly there’s more legal basis for a criminal claim – both in the context of impeachment and outside it – than “you’re mean, and you’re haters, and you’re meanie haters, and you just want to take down the bestest most Americanest president we’ve had since Jesus.”

But as I keep saying: Not like it matters. Because in this government, the only way you can stop a malicious incompetent from doing this much damage as President is not to elect him in the first place, and that’s very difficult when the duopoly does even more than the Constitution to enforce a first-past-the-post election system, and that binary logic thus causes a huge plurality of America to program themselves into thinking that the only alternative to the Democratic Party is the designated official NotDemocrat party, even if that party endorses the most cuckooland nonsense, because you don’t want to be a DEMOCRAT, do you?? And because that self same election system causes all political functions in the Federal government to be apportioned between the two parties, and again, you’ve got that 2/3 requirement to convict on an impeachment, you’re most likely not going to get even 1/3 of the 50 Republicans required to convict their Leader, even knowing he started a brushfire without caring if they got burned. And that’s only partly because there’s a genuine (M)ob intimidation campaign against them. In other cases the identity fusion with Trump is just that strong, and even the more sensible people refuse to do anything constructive because that would be seen as surrendering to the Democrats.

This is why there are several reforms being proposed – such as creating DC and Puerto Rico as Democrat-friendly Senate bastions (giving statehood to DC would also mean they’re not waiting on Federal approval to restore order in the district), or severely reducing the lame-duck period so that sedition campaigns against a lawful election don’t have nearly as much time to brew.

These reforms are almost as unlikely to work as impeachment and removal of a president by the Senate, because even if they weren’t specifically intended to cripple one of the two parties, the Republicans will certainly perceive that intent. The only solution then would be the long-term process going on now, in which the Republicans continue to alienate the center of the country. But Democrats learned from 2020 that they can’t count on every race, especially in “red” states, going their way, and they have every reason to suspect that if the sitting president’s party (theirs) loses seats in the midterm, as they are expected to do in 2022, Mitch (the Bitch) McConnell will do exactly what he did to Obama after 2010 and hamstring Joe Biden as much as possible and use that as the pitch for why Republicans should retake the White House. And if Trump is not in prison, and still has an audience, there’s every reason to suspect he will get nominated again, and win the White House again, because certainly no one in his party is going to stop him.

Which is why, in terms of having a national audience, the strongest consequence of Trump’s little stunt on January 6 wasn’t yet another impeachment trial where his pet political party can enable him yet again. It was getting kicked off social media, especially Twitter.

Simply not having his media megaphone seems to have demoralized Trump to the point that he isn’t even trying to get his message out to the public, even though he has all the pre-Twitter methods that a president has historically had to communicate, including TV. Except he’s sort of alienated Fox News, too.

But while the Left has embraced Twitter’s decision in the short term, it’s inspired them to a lot of tut-tutting about the control that Twitter and other corporations have over social discourse. Even Jack Dorsey has admitted this is an issue.

I personally think the system is working, at least now that it’s finally reached the extreme. I don’t think that we should be passing more laws on these media platforms, and ironically the people who want to get rid of Section 230 (including Trump) are blanking out the point that removing the platforms’ shield of liability would have only created the result that has already happened, where the companies de-platformed Trump and his goons on their own, because he was becoming a liability to their reputations (such that their own employees were near revolt) and potentially a legal liability.

The solution would have been for Twitter and Facebook to enforce THEIR OWN RULES of conduct that they are perfectly willing to impose on Joe Schmo, but no, because Trump is a big time celebrity (and incidentally the president) every excretion from that upper colon he calls a brain is “newsworthy.” All I know is, if Trump had posted more than two topless photographs, Facebook would’ve banned him for life.

Supposedly others have pointed out that if someone in the private sector had said half the stuff that Trump said on Twitter as a matter of course, they would lose their job. And we can say this because a lot of Trump’s supporters got fired from their jobs after they joined the Beer Belly Putsch January 6 and bragged about it on social media. And yet both the traditionally anti-capitalist Left and the woke conservatives who suddenly realized that capitalists are dictating terms to politicians are unable to regulate a threat to public safety half as expediently as Twitter did by removing Donald Trump’s power within their medium, which he has less claim to than he has to the Republican Party.

This is part of why I’m libertarian, because I think that private business is often doing a better job of regulating itself and reading the consequences of its public actions than government regulators do. And if I were liberal, I would be concerned not just that reactionaries are trying to take over the government, and not just that private companies have so much control over public activity, but that private businesses, as mercenary and dysfunctional as they are, are still regulating themselves better than the public sector is able to regulate and reform itself.

LOCK HIM UP

The Twenty-Fifth Amendment of the Constitution of the United States

Section 4. Whenever the Vice President and a majority of either the principal officers of the executive departments or of such other body as Congress may by law provide, transmit to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives their written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office, the Vice President shall immediately assume the powers and duties of the office as Acting President.

Thereafter, when the President transmits to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives his written declaration that no inability exists, he shall resume the powers and duties of his office unless the Vice President and a majority of either the principal officers of the executive department or of such other body as Congress may by law provide, transmit within four days to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives their written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office. Thereupon Congress shall decide the issue, assembling within forty-eight hours for that purpose if not in session. If the Congress, within twenty-one days after receipt of the latter written declaration, or, if Congress is not in session, within twenty-one days after Congress is required to assemble, determines by two-thirds vote of both Houses that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office, the Vice President shall continue to discharge the same as Acting President; otherwise, the President shall resume the powers and duties of his office.

Well, it was long past time, but it’s certainly time now.

In 2016, Republicans were going, “We can’t have the president elected by majority vote! We need the Electoral College, or else the government will be held hostage to an unqualified demagogue and his gullible angry mob!”
Republicans in 2021 formed a gullible angry mob at the behest of an unqualified demagogue and stormed the Capitol building in order to stop fellow Republicans from lawfully contesting the Electoral College slate.

This was, of course, after Donald Trump, who is not the POTUS, but the PLBB (Putin’s Little Bitch Boy), encouraged the masses of people who he told to come out and party with him today on Twitter, telling them “we’ll walk down, and I’ll be there with you… to the Capitol, to cheer on our brave Congressmen and women” and then scurried off to his limo and drove back to his bunker to watch TV and bask in the results of his work. To smile, and laugh, and have a little joke at the expense of all his followers. At Mike Pence. At Mitch McConnell. At all the people who’d ever stood up for him. To watch reporters take pictures of the yahoos in the House and Senate chambers, looting the offices and carrying Confederate flags.

Jefferson Davis, thou art avenged.

Make no mistake, even though there were quite a few Republicans willing to continue the charade of contesting the Electoral slate, Trump put the mob up to this, against his own party’s lawful request to contest the results, because he knew that would fail, and he knew that he would lose his last chance to keep America as the favorite satellite country in Putin’s new Warsaw Pact.

This, like the Trump arm twist of Georgia’s Secretary of State, was the tactic of a mob boss. As in, “I’ve got a mob, I got my boys, you better be nice to me, cause if I don’t get my way, my boys are gonna make things ugly. You don’t want it to get ugly, do ya?”

As I write, the Senate has reconvened, and Georgia Senator Loeffler, one of the opportunists who had jumped on that bandwagon, and just lost her seat probably because of it, took the floor in a subdued voice and withdrew her objection to the slate of Electors. It seems as though most of the people, at least in the Senate, who were going to support this little stunt in order to give Trump and his army of babies a pacifier changed their minds, perhaps because they now see that there’s no way to pacify them, perhaps because, like Loeffler, it’s now too late to save themselves, and others because they now know that if they want to save their political careers, they need to choose between the mob and the rest of the country.

So what was going to be at least a symbolic triumph for the Party of Trump in the Congress (and remember kids: moral victories don’t count) has been completely dashed because of the real Party of Trump that what’s left of the Republican Party was trying to keep a lid on.

Good JOB, Trumpniks.

But what happens now?

Do we just say, “Oh thank goodness, that’s over. Let’s go back to normal”?
FUCK that. The Trumpniks don’t want normal. They want war.
It would be impolite to deny them.

As the TV talking heads point out, Trump is still president for two more weeks, and he can do a lot. Or as Trump would say, A LOT. There is now a movement in Congress, supported by Rep. Ilhan Omar among others, to impeach Trump AGAIN. It’s doubtful that would work, since even if McConnell isn’t able to gum up the works as Senate Majority Leader, you still need 2/3 of the Senate to actually remove an official. I’d still like to see it happen, just so Trump can make the history books yet again, but that’s gonna take at least 14 days, and we don’t have that kind of time.

We do not want Putin’s Little Bitch Boy in charge of the nuclear weapons.

It has also been suggested that we invoke the 25th Amendment. This is a bit more realistic. And I think it’s telling that the recent reports are saying that it was Mike Pence, not Trump, who approved sending the National Guard to DC after the shenanigans. But that’s probably because even now, Trump cares more about the perks of being president (such as, FBI immunity) than actually being one.

Just now (after 9 Eastern) Democrat Steny Hoyer mentioned how he remembered being in the Capitol when the country was assaulted from without, on 9-11. This is an assault from within.

This is the domestic 9-11.

Trump should be IMMEDIATELY removed from office, along with anybody else who wants to continue this stunt, under the terms of the 14th Amendment, which to repeat states: “No person shall be a Senator or Representative in Congress, or elector of President and Vice President, or hold any office, civil or military, under the United States, or under any State, who, having previously taken an oath, as a member of Congress, or as an officer of the United States, or as a member of any State legislature, or as an executive or judicial officer of any State, to support the Constitution of the United States, shall have engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the same, or given aid or comfort to the enemies thereof. But Congress may, by a vote of two-thirds of each House, remove such disability.

Not only should Trump be removed from office, the Republican Party should at least have the guts of Facebook and Twitter in even temporarily removing Trump from their platforms. Trump should be expelled from the Republican Party immediately and permanently, or they will have learned nothing, they will not be able to break from this mistake, and the rest of the country should treat them as the party of sedition.

In conclusion, I leave you with the immortal words of Senator Lindsey Graham:

When he’s right, he’s right.

Georgia On My Mind

Wow, just when we thought Viceroy Trump couldn’t do more to stage a coup or do so in a more incompetent and incriminating fashion, here we are.

Sunday January 3, somebody released a recording of a call that Trump and his staff (including Mark Meadows) made in conference with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensberger AND his attorney Ryan Germany. This ended up getting sent to the Washington Post and is available online. In this call, which lasted over an hour because Trump rambled, wandered, conjured conspiracies and made up big fish stories in his Racist-Uncle-at-Thanksgiving way, Trump insisted several times that “there’s no way I lost Georgia” despite Raffensberger telling him several times that the numbers were not with him, he told Raffensberger, who is in charge of election tallies, “The people of Georgia know that this was a scam, and because of what you’ve done to the president, a lot of people aren’t going out to vote. A lot of Republicans are going to vote negative because they hate what you did to the president.” He added: “You would be respected if this thing could be straightened out before the election.” How did he propose to do this? He said: “I just want to find 11,780 votes, which is one more than we have, because we won the state.” In other words, start with the result I want, and create the statistic I know to achieve it.

This is of course Oh We’ve Got Trump’s Ass On A Rack And He’s Cooked For Sure THIS Time incident #14547, cause no matter how many times little baby gets caught with his hand in the cookie jar, his pet political party is so pussywhipped that they really will give him legal immunity even if he did shoot someone on 5th Avenue. Not to mention the fact that the learned-helplessness contingent of the government (aka The Democratic Party) wouldn’t do anything even if the Banana Republican Party was standing out of the way. Still, with Trump trying to Stop The Steal with an actual steal, it’s telling that the Church of Trump is more determined to create a dogma to explain this paradox of faith than Christianity is at explaining, say, why we even need Jesus if Mary was without sin. At one point Trumpnik Jason Miller scream-tweeted that the Post had only released 4 to 6 minutes of the call, apparently under the impression that the entire thing would exonerate The Leader. It’s possible the WP released the entire thing just to piss in his mouth. Then you had several other members of the Church twitting that because Trump had the state of Georgia under a lawsuit for the election results that releasing the audio was illegal and a breach of the legal action. I presume that Mr. Germany is a better lawyer than (say) Sidney Powell, and could have notified Raffensberger if that was in fact the case. For somebody who so clearly wants to be a Mob boss, Trump still hasn’t figured out that “he was wearing a wire” isn’t a legal defense.

This in fact was only the escalation of the continuing campaign of the Party of Trump to assist him in his wishful thinking and denial. Last week, Rep. Louie Gohmert (BR-Gohmert) sent a lawsuit to force Vice President Mike Pence, in his official position as presiding officer of the Senate, to accept “alternate electors” (i.e. Acolytes in the Church of Trump) over the Electors officially approved after the ‘safe harbor’ point. A lawsuit, by the way, which was thrown out by Saturday. But Gohmert was also one of the first to demand a challenge of the Electors on what would normally be a pro forma certification of the election on January 6. For this challenge to proceed, Gohmert or another Representative would need to be supported by at least one Senator, and despite Mitch McConnell imposing an iron discipline on his caucus otherwise, Senator Josh Hawley (BR-Missouri) just came out to support the motion, which everyone knows is going to fail, if only because the Democrats still have a majority in the House and there won’t be enough Republicans to support it. But at this point it’s all about playing to the ex-Tea Party/now Trumpnik/future Qanon “base”. And given how everybody tells me that Hawley is NOT a blithering idiot (as opposed to Gohmert), and therefore must know that Trump isn’t going to roll over and let somebody else get the presidential nomination in 2024 if Trump (or at least one of his genespawn) can get it, I have to assume Hawley is pandering to that crowd for his future political ambitions on the assumption that Trump will soon have to change his accommodations from separate beds with Melania to sharing a cell with a 7-foot Samoan named “Desiree.” The joke, of course, is that the smart Republicans refused to take down Trump in 2016 before he got too big for his britches, cause they didn’t want to alienate that precious “base.” And that’s why Trump is now dragging them all by the shorthairs.

Not to mention that a lot of institutional Republican paralysis is that they can’t afford to buck The Leader when there’s still a runoff election in the two US Senate races in Georgia, which due to weak but still net-positive Democratic gains in the chamber mean that if both those races are lost, Mitch “the Bitch” is no longer Senate Majority Leader because it would be 50-50 and Kamala Harris would break ties. And most polls show the two Democratic challengers barely edging the Republican incumbents. At this point, it all comes down to seeing if the Republicans’ Election Day vote floods the Democrats’ early vote the way it did in so many elections elsewhere. But the early numbers are not looking good for Republicans. But it may not matter. If the Trumpniks realize that their Leader’s back is really against the wall, they may rally to save him from all the lesbians, atheists and other Democrats.

Here’s the thing. I’ve often discussed how the process of government resembles both role-playing games and old-time boardgames in that there are Rules As Written (in this case, the Constitution) and the house rules everybody uses, which in this case are the various rules of Congress and unwritten “norms” by which the system really works day to day, which is part of why the “rule of law” Democrats (who didn’t care much for the ‘rule of law’ the last time we had a pathological liar and real-estate cheat in the White House) are so helpless against Trump, because they don’t operate on laws, just norms.

But with both the Trump Party stunt against the Electoral vote and Trump himself pulling a Zelensky on Raffensberger, it seems to have gone a lot further than that.

Most boardgames always use the same set of components, so if you play Monopoly or Risk, you’re always playing a variation on the same game. But in 2011, Hasbro released RISK Legacy, which was unique and controversial because it was specifically designed to be altered in play. For instance: “What makes this game unique is that when powers are chosen, players must choose one of their faction’s two powers, affix that power’s sticker to their faction card, then destroy the card that has the other rule on it – and by destroy, the rules mean what they say: ‘If a card is DESTROYED, it is removed from the game permanently. Rip it up. Throw it in the trash.’ This key concept permeates through the game. Some things you do in a game will affect it temporarily, while others will affect it permanently. These changes may include boosting the resources of a country (for recruiting troops in lieu of the older ‘match three symbols’ style of recruiting), adding bonuses or penalties to defending die rolls to countries, or adding permanent continent troop bonuses that may affect all players. The rule book itself is also designed to change as the game continues, with blocks of blank space on the pages to allow for rules additions or changes. Entire sections of rules will not take effect until later in the game.” This brand actually inspired a whole new genre called the legacy game, which is based on the idea that the game as bought is to some degree permanently altered in play.

The US government prior to Donald Trump was Monopoly or Risk. The US government under Donald Trump is Risk Legacy.

The only way the “rule of law” marshmallows are going to actually have the rule of law back is to admit that is exactly what we do not have now, and we are not operating under the set of rules we think we are. And in some respect we have not been operating under the Rules As Written for quite some time. You want to go back to vanilla Risk, then you buy a new board of vanilla Risk at the department store and start over with the REAL rules system, because this is Risk Legacy, and half the board is in the garbage can.

That means, among other things, using ALL resources at one’s disposal to slam the people who are trying to subvert the government. When the Congressional Trumpniks announced their scheme to make their gold-plated calf President For Life, a lot of leftists went over the 14th Amendment, specifically Section 3, which states: “No person shall be a Senator or Representative in Congress, or elector of President and Vice President, or hold any office, civil or military, under the United States, or under any State, who, having previously taken an oath, as a member of Congress, or as an officer of the United States, or as a member of any State legislature, or as an executive or judicial officer of any State, to support the Constitution of the United States, shall have engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the same, or given aid or comfort to the enemies thereof. But Congress may, by a vote of two-thirds of each House, remove such disability.” This, along with the other sections, was passed because there were in fact a bunch of Confederate state representatives who had been kicked out of Congress in 1861 after secession, and the Union needed to make sure that such behavior was not rewarded after the Civil War. We had not needed to consider it until now because we didn’t have a bunch of redneck reactionaries trying to overthrow the government through the Congress until now. And when the idea of kicking the Trumpniks out of the new Congress was first proposed, I thought it was too harsh. But after Sunday? Fuck ’em.

At the very least, make sure any Representative who signed the petition to contest the Electors, and any Senator who supports the challenge, lose all their committee assignments for the duration of the Congress, because that’s all these vain little creatures really care about anyway.

You can’t end the game and set up a new one if the other players are still playing a completely different game without you. Bad enough that it’s Risk Legacy, but with Republicans, you’re gonna have a situation where they’re playing Risk Legacy and Trump is playing Calvinball.

You want the rule of law? Start enforcing the law for a change.

You don’t do that, it doesn’t matter if Democrats win Georgia.